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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2013

Silver - The Precious Metals Bellweather? Possibly / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

A shout-out to I M Vronsky and his crew, [Gold-Eagle], for reaching its 475 Millionth view since it began on 1 January 1997. Congrats!

This is a singular look at silver because of its current position on the charts that may be giving our first hint of potential bottoming activity. It is a "fashionable sport" for many to call a bottom, or a top, even though "they" are consistently wrong. No one can tell what has not yet happened, aka the future.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 07, 2013

Gold and Silver Bear Raid as Expected on Non Farm Payrolls Day / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

The expected bear raid showed up right on cue.

Scroll down for intraday commentary on the Non-Farm Payrolls Report and the precious metals action.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 06, 2013

In Defense of Gold… and “Gold Bugs” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Mark Skousen writes: “Gold isn’t such a hot inflation hedge.”- Alexander Green

In his July 1 Investment U column, “Why You Still Shouldn’t Listen to Gold Bugs,” Alex Green made the bold statement that gold has been a lousy inflation hedge.

He wrote, “It hit a high of $875 an ounce in January 1980. And even though we experienced double-digit inflation that year, it lost a third of its value by Dec. 31. And it kept dropping for almost 20 years.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 06, 2013

Gold And Silver – Silver Market Sending A Message / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

When the markets “speak,” we “listen.” For all of the non-stop bullish “news” about the unprecedented demand, more for gold than silver, and all of the talk about how useless the COMEX paper market is, it has been the paper market that the forces of supply and demand have been heeding. If it were otherwise, the unprecedented demand for gold would have the price of gold higher than the bogus paper market. Yet, that has not been the case.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 06, 2013

Do Rising Long Interest Rates Threaten Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

As gold has plunged in the past couple months, yields on benchmark US 10-year Treasury Notes have soared.  Many Wall Street analysts claim these rising long rates are very bearish for gold, and have exacerbated its recent weakness.  Since the metal yields nothing, higher bond yields make investing in gold less attractive.  This thesis certainly sounds logical, but do rising long rates really threaten gold?

Like any market theory, this one is best tested against the record of history and precedent.  If rising or higher bond yields hammered gold prices in the past, then the gold bears’ warnings about their impact this time around are probably justified.  And given the extraordinary surge in 10y Treasury yields in the past couple months, gold investors really need to consider how these yields affected gold historically.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 06, 2013

Changes in Silver Part 3: So Who Is Buying? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Miguel Perez-Santalla writes: With photography gone, and PV not plugging the gap, where is silver seeing the strongest demand...?

FOR ALL ITS monetary and investment history, silver is by far an industrial metal today.

The industrial sector consumed close to 466 million ounces of silver in 2012 according to the Silver Institute. Add what's left of photographic demand, and you get to 524 moz, some 62% of total fabrication.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 06, 2013

Gold Price Moves from the European Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Despite the lack of trading activity in the United States due to the Independence Day celebrations, yesterday's session in Europe was very interesting. The players on the foreign exchange market have provided plenty of thrills. Without a doubt, the ECB President's announcement was fuel for further dynamic declines in the euro. Draghi said the bank expected its key interest rates to remain at current or lower levels for an extended period. The ECB left its main interest rates unchanged as expected at record lows of 0.5 percent. Market reaction was swift and pronounced. The European currency dropped to a five-week low against the dollar.

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2013

U.S. Dollar Jumps on Non Farm Payrolls, Sending Gold and Silver to Lowest Weekly Close in 3 Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The DOLLAR PRICE of gold dropped $20 per ounce lunchtime Friday in London, briefly dropping through $1220 per ounce after the release of June's US non-farm payrolls data.

Non-farm payrolls growth came in at 195,000 against consensus forecasts of 165,000.

The US jobless rate stayed at 7.6% however, rather than slipping as forecast. But average hourly earnings rose 2.2% annually against the 2.0% analysts predicted.

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2013

Has Gold's 'Bubble' Burst Or Is This A Golden Opportunity? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,232.75, EUR 957.40 and GBP 822.55 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,249.50, EUR 961.15 and GBP 819.67 per ounce.

Gold is lower today in all currencies. It is now flat on the week in dollar terms but has eked out gains in pound and euro terms after the BOE and ECB elected to keep interest rates at 0.5%. Unprecedentedly low interest rates continue in the western world which is gold supportive.

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2013

Dollar Gold Correlation - All The Wrong Reasons! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Darah_Bazargan

While most 4th rate analysts unwittingly misdirect you into watching for a big dollar collapse and cling on to its alleged correlation to gold, all you have to do is look back a year and see their relationship is worthless. The gold trade has been an obvious disappointment and its most recent breakdown through 1320 has brought about a ‘think tank’ infested with analysts fetching for all sorts of reasons that seem rational for calling a bottom. None of which are true--and of course these same analysts that tell you to keep an ‘open mind’ are the ones mentally blocked from knowing the characteristics of a downtrend. And they’ve been sending you emails and newsletters for months saying this “JUST MAY BE the TIME” we have reached the final low!

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2013

Investing in Gold Bullion Is All About Timing—Here’s How to Do It Right / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: People always ask me about gold bullion. They want to know if it’s the right time to get back into gold bullion as an investment. While many other advisors are advocating a wholesale abandonment of gold bullion, I believe the time to buy is close.

Finding the proper entry point in the market is never easy, but there are several factors that combine to indicate an ideal investment opportunity. The first step to recognizing when the investment opportunity arises is to understand some gold bullion fundamentals.

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2013

When Silver Becomes Real Medicine / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Silver has been used to heal infections for thousands of years. It is currently commonly used in alternative medicine in its colloidal form suspended in water as a broad spectrum treatment for infections with bacteria, viruses and fungi in both humans and animals.

A recently published scientific study led by James Collins of Boston University has confirmed this usage by showing how silver ions disrupt and ultimately kill bacteria by increasing the permeability of their cellular membranes.

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2013

Silver HFT Program / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

High Frequency Trading or HFT is a form of rapid algorithmic trading performed by computers and executed directly into financial markets, typically without human intervention.

Recent estimates have indicated that upwards of 70 percent of futures and equities trading volume is now being executed by algorithmic trading programs that are often run by large fund managers and financial institutions.

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2013

Central Banks Push Gold Price Higher, But Investor Sentiment Remains Negative / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

GOLD PRICES held steady in Dollars on Thursday in London, trading around $1250 per ounce as US markets were closed for Independence Day.

European stock markets rose sharply however, and the gold price for both UK and Euro investors rose over 1.0%, as the European Central Bank and Bank of England kept their interest rates at record-low levels.

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Commodities

Friday, July 05, 2013

7 Reasons to be Bullish on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Gary Gately writes: Gold We Trust 2013," set a 12-month target for gold prices at $1,480 and a long-range target at $2,230.

"Even though the consensus is convinced that the gold bull market has ended, we remain firmly of the opinion that the fundamental argument in favor of gold remains intact," the 53-page report stated.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 04, 2013

Continuing Rising Inflation, Negative Real Interest Rates Continue Bolsters Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,249.50, EUR 961.15 and GBP 819.67 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,246.00, EUR 962.16 and GBP 818.28 per ounce.

Gold rose $10.70 or 0.86% yesterday and closed at $1,252.90/oz. Silver surged to $19.905 and finished up 2.38% at $19.80/oz.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 04, 2013

How Gold Lost Its Luster / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: John_Mauldin

We have not revisited the topic of gold in Outside the Box recently, mostly due to the fact that nearly everything I read on the subject is derivative of what I have been reading for years. There hasn't been much that would cause me to think about gold in a different way, and that is the purpose of Outside the Box: to present new perspectives and make us think.

I have recently started to read the work of Ben Hunt at Epsilon Theory. His ideas are interesting in that he examines markets from a behavioral economics perspective, with ample doses of game theory and history, a combination that few people can bring to the table. (In a random but pleasant development, I will get to have lunch with him next week in Dallas when he visits my town. I look forward to it.)

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Silver Market Buy Signal - Again! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

For the umpteenth time (actually the 3rd since June 2012), silver has given a buy signal according to my reading of the technical indicators.

Problem: How valuable is technical analysis (moving averages, oscillators, over-sold conditions, etc.) when the silver and gold markets are dominated by computers (High Frequency Trading - HFT) and not human beings?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Dow and Gold Silver Ratio Signals Coming Silver Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Hubert_Moolman

The Dow, in particular, has been the biggest obstacle to a rise in precious metals, due to it sucking up most of the available value on global markets. However, it appears that this obstacle is now out of the way, with the Dow likely having peaked.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 03, 2013

Gold Drop Done Enough, Traders Are Too Short / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

GOLD ROSE more than 1.4% from an overnight low at $1242 per ounce in London on Wednesday morning as world stock markets sank and the US Dollar rose.

Commodity prices ticked higher with major government bonds. Silver rallied 2.8% to rise again above last week's finish at $19.69 before dropping with gold.

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