Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, July 29, 2012
Euro-zone Crisis, What Germany is Doing Wrong / Currencies / Eurozone Debt Crisis
John Taylor, founder and CEO of the world's largest currency hedge fund FX Concepts, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Sara Eisen and said that Draghi's promise to do what's needed to preserve the euro will result in a weaker currency as the ECB prints more money than its counterparts. He said that Europe's crisis is in the "second or third inning...it's in the beginning. You've got a long way to go."
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Wednesday, July 25, 2012
The Currency Debasement Fallacy / Currencies / Fiat Currency
In Frédéric Bastiat’s 1850 essay Ce qu'on voit et ce qu'on ne voit pas, the famous economist introduced the parable of the broken window. He illustrated the principle that intentionally breaking a window just so that someone can subsequently fix it did not actually represent an increase in the net wealth of an economy. Today we will examine a similarly misguided fallacy that has been the foundation of an equally disastrous pattern of economic policy. We will call this the fallacy of the debased currency.
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Monday, July 23, 2012
Rising U.S. Dollar Forces Bernanke’s Hand / Currencies / US Dollar
Could it be that world governments and central banks are now taking drastic measures to re-inflate their economies because they don’t believe their own economic statistics? For example, China reported that GDP growth came in at 7.6% last quarter. That’s slower growth, but still not so bad. However, China’s electricity consumption has slowed much faster than growth in official GDP (electricity generation was unchanged in June from a year earlier at 393.4 billion kilowatt-hours), when they normally move in tandem. Turning to the U.S., the Labor Department announced last week that initial jobless claims fell 26k to 350k. Sounds great…but wait. Digging into the unadjusted data, there was actually an increase of 69,971 claims for the week—an increase of 19% from the week prior. Now that’s some seasonal adjustment!Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 23, 2012
Euro Shorts Smell Blood / Currencies / Euro
Within the eurozone there are great stresses. At one extreme there are punitive costs of borrowing for Greece, Cyprus, Portugal, Ireland, Spain and Italy; at the other there is zero or negative interest rates for Germany, the Netherlands and Finland. Doubtless the first group begets the second, as captive investors in euros have to buy government bonds, and this requirement is being funnelled away from risk into safety.
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Friday, July 20, 2012
Forex Trading Event - See Today's Top 5 FX Opportunities / Currencies / Forex Trading
You're invited to a free forex trading event hosted by our friends at Elliott Wave International!
How to Trade the Top 5 Forex Opportunities Right Now
Now through July 26, EWI Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens will walk you through some of his best opportunities in key forex markets and show you how to act on them using the Elliott Wave Principle.
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Friday, July 20, 2012
Why is the Austrailian Dollar Still Surging? / Currencies / Forex Trading
Picture this. It's late May. You're in Australia. You have an interest in the currency markets: Maybe you speculate in forex; maybe your business depends on the exchange rates.
Every morning, you scan the headlines. This is what you see regarding the Australian dollar during the last week of May:
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Thursday, July 19, 2012
Germany Leaving the Euro as Germans Are Already Using Deutschemarks Again! / Currencies / Eurozone Debt Crisis
Since November 2011, I’ve been saying that Germany will leave the Euro, but NOT necessarily the EU. The reason? Well, for one thing Germany laid out legislation that would allow this happen. Then of course you have the following comments from Germany’s finance minister Wolfgang Schauble:
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Tuesday, July 17, 2012
Today's Top 5 Forex Trading Opportunities / Currencies / Forex Trading
Dear Trader,
On July 6, the EUR/USD fell to a new 2-year low.
The reason for the drop?
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Wednesday, July 11, 2012
Gold to Outshine U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
As the price of gold has gone up fivefold over the past 10 years, why would one buy it at today's prices? For the same reason an investor would buy any other asset: if one believed it would be a good investment now, that is if one believed it may appreciate in value and add portfolio diversification benefits. A key reason to hold gold today might be to prepare for the crisis tomorrow.
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Thursday, July 05, 2012
A Rare Forex Trading Opportunity in the Australian Dollar / Currencies / Forex Trading
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Right now, the Australian dollar is a perfect example of what I look for in my True Wealth newsletter...
It is cheap, hated, and in an uptrend.
It is time to buy Aussie dollars.
Thursday, June 28, 2012
US Dollar: Wave Counts, Flight-to-Safety? / Currencies / US Dollar
In light of how political systems have so utterly ruined the purpose and utility of the modern worlds essential and fungible units of exchange, and despite the oxymoron in our alluding to a flight-to-safety, we shall nonetheless endeavor to add a meaningful level of clarity to the disposition of the US dollar.
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Monday, June 25, 2012
Faith, Confidence, and Sound Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency
A recent study about high, long-term government budget deficits published by the Washington Post indicates that such situations can be statistically linked to significantly lower future growth levels.The National Bureau of Economic Research looked at 26 past examples of when the level of government was running over 90 percent for a five year period or longer.
Wednesday, June 13, 2012
How to Save the Euro / Currencies / Euro
The management of the Eurozone debt crisis is dysfunctional. In our assessment, to save the Euro, policy makers must focus on competitiveness, common sense and communication. If policy makers strived to achieve just one of these principles, the Euro might outshine the U.S. dollar.
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Friday, June 08, 2012
Strong U.S. Dollar Fallacy / Currencies / US Dollar
After a shocking upset in Greece’s parliamentary elections, the US dollar surged dramatically. Soaring 5.4% in May alone, the world’s reserve currency won legions of fans among traders. “King Dollar” was universally lauded, with everyone jumping on the strong-dollar bandwagon. But this dazzling strength was merely a short-term phenomenon. Zoom out a little, and today’s “strong dollar” is a fallacy.
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Friday, June 08, 2012
What Is Money, The Greatest Invention Ever? / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Today, we're accustomed to thinking of small greenish paper rectangles as the definition of money, and we think of the US government as the only source of money. To honestly discuss sound money, we need to realize where our current money customs came from.
At first, it was every man for himself. You ate or wore what you could pick or catch.
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Friday, June 08, 2012
Will The Euro Survive? / Currencies / Euro
BIG PICTURE - Europe's debt problems are driving the world's financial markets and investors are trying to figure out whether the single currency will survive. Furthermore, the mainstream media is currently awash with scary forecasts about the impending collapse of the Euro and many pundits are now predicting a Greek or Spanish default.
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Thursday, June 07, 2012
What's Next for the U.S. Dollar? QE3? / Currencies / US Dollar
The dismal U.S. jobs report for May, released last Friday, caused the price of gold to soar as the market appears to be pricing in an ever-greater chance of "QE3" - another round of quantitative easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). But given that 10-year government debt is already down at 1.5%, the Fed may dive deeper into its toolbox in an effort to jumpstart the economy. Investors may want to consider taking advantage of the recent U.S. dollar rally to diversify out of the greenback ahead of QE3.
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Wednesday, June 06, 2012
Reasons Why the U.S. Dollar is Really Rising / Currencies / US Dollar
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: By all accounts, the U.S. dollar should be the functional equivalent of a Zimbabwean bill.
The Fed has pumped trillions into the worldwide financial system as part of misguided stimulus efforts that should be incredibly inflationary.
Yet, instead of a disastrous repeat of the Weimar Republic, the U.S. dollar has strengthened considerably.
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Friday, June 01, 2012
China and Japan Abandon U.S. Dollar as a Means of Trade / Currencies / US Dollar
In the next month China and Japan (China's main trading partner) will no longer use the U.S. dollar as the only currency in trade with each other. They will use the Yuan and the Yen directly with each other. This will see the dollar removed from a large chunk of the world's trade -in itself, not a very large percentage, but a significant one. It's the start of a trend that is set to grow. We've no doubt that China is tailoring its trade with all its trading partners to use the dollar only so far as it is required to deal with the U.S. and other dollar-dependent nations. Oil from Russia utilizes the Yuan and Rouble, and Australia has arranged a similar deal.
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Friday, May 25, 2012
Euro to Surge / Currencies / Euro
The fortunes of Europe’s beleaguered euro currency have been heavily influencing US markets. Both stocks and commodities have been battered down recently by overwhelming euro bearishness. This has proven seriously vexing for traders trying to focus on fundamentals. But the extreme euro pessimism worrying everyone is actually very bullish. This loathed, oversold currency is due to surge again.
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