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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Friday, February 03, 2017

The US Dollar is About to Collapse / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Graham_Summers

The $USD is about to collapse.

This is not fear mongering, nor is it just a bold statement. The $USD has peaked and is about to breakdown in a BIG way.

See for yourself, the greenback has taken out critical support. The spike higher that occurred starting election night is looking more and more like a bullish headfake.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 31, 2017

EURUSD Forex Trading Strategy Simplifies a Choppy Market / Currencies / Euro

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

The forex market accounts for trillions worth of transactions on a daily basis, which makes it one of the most liquid markets to participate in. The EUR/USD currency pair accounts for most of those transactions but that does not make the pair immune to the rigorous volatility experienced amongst the exotic currency pairs.

Due to less liquidity, currency markets involving less popular pairs tend to be more volatile than their more popular counterparts. However, as demonstrated in the chart below, the EUR/USD pair, which is one of the most popular currency pairs in the Forex market has been very choppy of late. At least, when you look at it from the perspective of the hourly chart.
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Currencies

Monday, January 30, 2017

US Dollar Chartathon / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

In this Weekend Report I'm going to show you some updated charts on the US dollar which has been in a bull market since the low in 2011. It's hard for a lot of investors to admit, but until the charts change the bull market continues. A bull market is characterized by a series of consolidation patterns forming one top of the next, until the last pattern is a reversal pattern which reverses the bull trend. The old expression, the trend is your friend, also applies to the US dollar as well. Until the US dollar negates the series of higher highs and higher lows on an intermediate term basis, we have to assume the bull market is in tact.

Lets start by looking at a daily line chart for the US dollar which shows the horizontal trading range beginning back in March of 2015. The breakout topside of the horizontal trading range took place a little over 2 months ago in November of last year. After the initial breakout there was the initial backtest which could have been the beginning of the next impulse move up, but the US dollar stalled out a month later and is currently backtesting the top rail around the 100 area again.

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Currencies

Friday, January 27, 2017

Lala Land FX Assumptions / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The notion that Trump's planned protectionist measures (tariffs and border adjustment tax) will be USD-positive is founded on an unrealistic world - where Mexico, China and other US trading partners would just sit back and watch without any retaliatory action. We're not in the 1980s or 1990s when US trading partners operated in a closed world, unaccountable to any world free trade bodies.

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Currencies

Friday, January 27, 2017

Going Long The Euro Could Be The Trade Of 2017 / Currencies / Euro

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : For a long time now I've held the theory that you have to be completely insane to be a successful investor. Like, right out of your tree.

Let me put it this way: Just a few weeks ago we were all sure, 100% positive that the US dollar would continue to appreciate against the euro, because the Fed was more hawkish, and the ECB was going to have negative rates and QE forever.

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Currencies

Friday, January 27, 2017

Bitcoin Price Above Resistance / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.
The recent drop in Bitcoin volatility is widely attributed to developments in China. On Bloomberg, we read:

Bitcoin's volatility has plunged since China banned leveraged trading and forced exchanges to charge fees.

Perhaps more meaningfully, trading volume has plunged 98 percent compared with the first days of 2017, according to data from bitcoinity.org. On Jan. 1, when bitcoin traded at $1,012.3, 4.8 million coins exchanged hands. On Wednesday, only 80,092 did. Sure, many Chinese investors, who still represent the lion's share of trading, are away from their desks because of the Lunar New Year. Still, the speed and pattern of the decline make it hard not to draw a line to the regulatory action.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

Blockchain – Central Banks Banking On It As Debase Currency / Currencies / BlockChain

By: GoldCore

Blockchain – Central Banks Banking On Blockchain

“The root problem with conventional currency is all the trust that’s required to make it work. The central bank must be trusted not to debase the currency, but the history of fiat currencies is full of breaches of that trust …”

Satoshi Nakamoto (Unknown person or persons who designed bitcoin and created its original reference implementation, Bitcoin Core)

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Will Trump Usher In an Era of Sound Money? / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MoneyMetals

Now that Donald Trump has been sworn in, Americans will start getting some glimpses of what his presidency actually means.

Here are some educated guesses of what to expect when it comes to the dollar and sound money issues, based on what we know before the kick-off of Trump's administration.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 24, 2017

EURO, GBP, AUD, JPY, CAD C.O.T Reports / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Enda_Glynn

The Commitments of Traders Report is issued by CFTC.
It reports all open positions in futures markets of three main groups of traders:
Commercial Traders – Hedgers
Non-Commercial Traders – Money Managers
Non-Reportable – Retail market
The report breaks down each Tuesday’s Open Interest and gives us a powerful view on what exactly the big guys have been doing in the marketplace and what their plans might be.
It is issued every Friday and includes data from Tuesday to Tuesday. The three days prior to the release date are not included.
This is an essential tool for gauging long term sentiment in futures markets.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 19, 2017

The Most Important Market Chart on the Planet / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to update you on the US dollar as it plays such an important role in so many different markets. Getting the big trend right on the US dollar can help you see what areas are affected by the dollar to invest in. There are alot of areas that have an inverse correlation to the dollar, such as commodities and the precious metals in particular.

Let start with just with just a simple daily line chart that shows the two year sideways trading range with the breakout and the backtest that is currently underway. As you can see this is actually the 2nd backtest to the top rail at the 100 area so there is no question the top rail is hot.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 19, 2017

USDJPY Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

Enda Glynn wries: My Bias: neutral- long
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Short term wave count: wave [iii] grey
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Gold, Silver and Bitcoin Soar As Trump’s Comments Cause US Dollar To Plummet / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jeff_Berwick

We have stated that Donald Trump would be the cause of a barrage of news and market movements.

He’s not even President yet and it has already begun.

In a Friday interview with The Wall Street Journal, Trump said the US dollar, which touched a more-than 14-year high about two weeks ago, has gotten “too strong,” against the Chinese yuan. He told the WSJ, “Our companies can’t compete with them now because our currency is too strong. And it’s killing us.”

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Long USD... Another Crowded Trade / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I just sent out a reference from ZeroHedge on the unusual number of VIX shorts there are. In other words, a very crowded trade.

That reminded me that an even more crowded trade is the USD longs.

ZeroHedge had this to say, “Until last night's Trump statement that the US dollar is overvalued, it was smooth sailing for Wall Street's momentum chasers, who happily piled into what until recently was Wall Street's most crowded trade. How crowded?

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 17, 2017

Chinese Currency Manipulation Could Become A Global Problem in 2017 / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: John_Mauldin

This is going to be a pivotal year for China. We will see if it can levitate another year or whether it falls back to Earth in 2017. My base case is that they continue the levitation act, but we are going to see an increase in volatility.

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Currencies

Monday, January 16, 2017

China RMB Currency Interventions Paving Way for Reforms / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Dan_Steinbock

Recently, Chinese renminbi has depreciated substantially. In the short-term, interventions will prevail; in the longer-term, the currency will stabilize.

In the past quarter, Chinese renminbi (RMB) decreased by 4%, which is significantly faster than anticipated, due to rising tensions in foreign-exchange markets over China’s rising debt and bubbling property markets. China has managed to stabilize growth, but not without capital controls, hefty lending and decisive interventions.
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Currencies

Saturday, January 07, 2017

Sell those Euros. Sell'em / Currencies / Euro

By: EWI

How do you know a real FX opportunity from a fake one?

Late last Thursday night (Dec. 29), I got an insistent email from a colleague.

Jim Martens, long-time editor of our forex-focused Currency Pro Service sent me this message with only a subject line:

-------- Original message --------
From: Jim Martens
Date: 12/29/16 9:16 PM (GMT-05:00)
To: Vadim Pokhlebkin
Subject: Sell those euros. Sell'em

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Currencies

Friday, January 06, 2017

Bitcoin Pulls Back After Massive Price Increase / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Jeff_Berwick

In the last month, bitcoin continued its rise, from $763 to a high of $1,153 yesterday.

Then it fell dramatically on Thursday to a low of $953 on Coindesk and has since been hovering in the $1,000 area.

All of this comes just days after the 8th anniversary of the first piece of the blockchain, known as bitcoin’s “Genesis Block” which was mined by the pseudonym known as Satoshi Nakamoto on the 3rd of January, 2009.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 05, 2017

China Attempts to Crush Yuan Shorts / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Yuan shorts suffered a bone crushing short squeeze over the course of this week after it hit an expected Master Cycle low on December 29. The retracement hit Intermediate-term resistance at 23.60 yesterday. Currently CYB is hovering in that zone.

CYB may go higher, but it cannot rally beyond the bottom of Wave 1 at 24.24. If it goes higher, the likely target appears to be the 50-day Moving Average at 23.74.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 05, 2017

Chinese Yuan: "Manipulated" Currency Does NOT Mean "Unpredictable" / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: EWI

"...markets are bigger than governments."

This year's U.S. presidential election brought into focus one market you don't hear about often: the Chinese yuan, or renminbi.

"Donald Trump has been telling us all for a long time now that China is a currency manipulator. It's part of his plan for his first 100 days in office to get on with making sure that China is legally declared to be such a currency manipulator and thus start the process of doing something about it.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

US Dollar – The Big Picture / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Submissions

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) continues to strengthen following very positive long-term bullish price behavior. Although retracements will be seen in the short-term, upward pressure should remain for some time.

Classic bullish trend continuation price behavior:

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