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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Friday, October 10, 2014

US Dollar Super Overbought / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

The US dollar has relentlessly blasted higher in recent months, achieving its longest consecutive-week rally in history.  Speculators have flooded into the world’s reserve currency for a variety of reasons, ranging from Federal Reserve rate-hike hopes to festering Eurozone worries.  But the resulting massive dollar surge has left it super-overbought while breeding universal bullishness, the precursors to a sharp selloff.

While only a small fraction of traders speculate in currencies, the foreign-exchange market is the largest in the world by far.  Trillions of dollars change hands in currency trades every day, dwarfing all the other markets!  And currency prices, particularly the fortunes of the dominant US dollar, can greatly affect everything else in the financial-market and economic realms.  No one can afford to ignore the US dollar.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Bitcoin Price Short-term Bottom Not Far Away? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In not too many words: no speculative positions.

"Buy when there's blood in the streets," or so the saying goes. And we're starting to catch first whiffs of "blood," if not streaks of it in the media coverage. There's been a marked increase in articles that focus on "Bitcoin going under $300" or ones exploring the idea that it might be all over for the currency. We read on Quartz:

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Bitcoin Price Swoon Illustrates Volatile, Illiquid Nature of Trading Market / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Submissions

Steven Lord writes: The recent drop in the price of bitcoin has remindedkeepcalm many industry participants, particularly those that arrived within the last year, of the inherent volatility associated with new, immature and illiquid markets. While a clutch of bitcoin skeptics, including such luminaries as economist Paul Krugman, have touted bitcoin’s drop from the $600 range on August 1st to intra-day lows near $280 on October 6th as proof of some sort of inherent flaw, the truth is that such volatility is neither new for bitcoin nor terribly germane to its continued adoption.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

US Dollar is Extreme / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

Using Tom McCellan’s article discussing a “blow off” move in the US dollar and its very bearish net short position by commercial traders as a starting point, I would like to talk about the USD and gold and how they each fit in to the global macro backdrop.  We could add silver into the mix as well because its failure in relation to gold (ref. the gold-silver ratio’s breakout last week) is the other horseman (joining Uncle Buck) that would indicate a changing macro.  Here’s the McClellan piece:

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

U.S. Dollar's Ride is About to End / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

Under the stewardship of Shinzo Abe, the nation of Japan has become a global leader in debt, currency devaluation and inflation. Unfortunately for the Japanese, Abenomics is also leading Japan into a hyperinflationary depression, as the first of his three arrows has shot right through the yen and put a gaping hole in the wallets of every Japanese citizen.

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

GBP Still Trading Under Pressure: Can This Continue? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Richard_Cox

Dollar strength continues to dominate, so if there is any way to characterize the overall behavior in forex markets for the final portion of the summer, it would be done using the pronounced bullish moves that have been see against the Euro and Pound.  Most of this positive activity in the greenback has been supported by risk aversion and geopolitical tensions (which were present in several major economic regions around the world).  This sent the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish ETF (NYSE: UUP) to new highs, and this strength came at the expense of both the Euro and British Pound (GBP), which are both trading at some of their lowest levels of the year. 

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

GBPUSD and EURAUD Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

No change on GBPUSD; the pair is still showing a very interesting and clear bearish pattern that is pointing lower, into wave v) of (iii). On the upside price meets resistance at 1.6000 and 1.6030/50.

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

Cerulean Dollars - Go Deep or Go Home / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“We have deep depth.”-Yoga Berra

The dollar institution is much larger than the Fed, the Treasury or the entire basket of FOREX that derives relative values of backless currencies.

Market action makes market commentary. Few question price discovery -- instead they spend precious time trying to make the fundamentals fit the price. A backwards endeavour. We need to go deeper.

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

Bitcoin Ebola GFC ISIS: Phase Two is Begun / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mark_Blair

The cryptographic-currency phenomenon is characterised by a binary that is little mentioned beyond the crypto-sphere. The binary is 'libertarian-commercial.'

Thesis:

if, as seems increasingly likely, the world economy becomes significantly destabilised, the balance between libertarian and commercial crypto-use will shift significantly towards the libertarian.
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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

The Soaring U.S. Dollar Debate: Good, Bad, Ugly / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Rubino

The dollar is on a tear. And the world is scrambling to figure out what it means.

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Currencies

Friday, October 03, 2014

The Velocity of Money Myth… / Currencies / Money Supply

By: Alasdair_Macleod

If there is one concept that illustrates the difference between a top-down macro-economic approach and the reality of everyday life it is the velocity of circulation of money. Compare the following statements:

“The collapse in velocity is testament to the substantial misallocation of capital brought about by the easy money regimes of the past 20 years.” Broker’s research note issued September 2014; and

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 01, 2014

It’s Déjà Vu All Over Again as the Russian Ruble Crashes / Currencies / Russia

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Battered by sanctions, the Russian ruble has fallen to historic lows against the U.S. dollar.

The last time the ruble slid this far was in the late 1990′s when I was still writing for an inside market publication called Russia Crisis Watch during theRussian financial crisis.

Three times a week Crisis would document the “real” condition of the Russian economy, while providing market intelligence from a network inside and outside the country.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 30, 2014

US Dollar Cycle Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ed_Carlson

It seems nothing can stop the US Dollar. Since its low in April it has closed higher in four out of five months and is up almost 8.00% since then. While a run like that is in need of a rest there are some big issues that need to be considered now.

DXY broke out of a six-year triangle this month. Breaking to the upside from a triangle is bullish. That triangle is essentially a six-year base and should give DXY some serious "legs" for the future.

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Currencies

Sunday, September 28, 2014

Currency Wars and the Death of the Euro - Audio / Currencies / Euro

By: Videos

Jeff Deist and Patrick Barron discuss what's going on in the EU, how Germany in particular suffers from being yoked to the other Eurozone nations, and what the comeback of the Deutsche Mark might mean for Europe—and for America.

Patrick Barron is a private consultant in the banking industry. He teaches in the Graduate School of Banking at the University of Wisconsin, Madison, and teaches Austrian economics at the University of Iowa,

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Currencies

Saturday, September 27, 2014

Bitcoin's Present Low Price? It's The Mining Thing / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mark_Blair

Forgive any repitition, readers. The situation has become much clearer.

Brief background:

The China Thing ended on April 10 ($380). Bitcoin lifted by about 65% over the following weeks. Then it dropped a little. Then more. Then, a fortnight ago, it slipped back to $380, and has been puddling about at just over $400.

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Currencies

Thursday, September 25, 2014

Potential Bounce in the Japanese Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: DailyWealth

Brett Eversole writes: When the Prime Minister of Japan says he's going to debase the yen, it's hard to be on the opposite side of the trade...

Governments aren't good at a lot of things. But they are good at creating inflation and pummeling their currencies. And that's exactly what we're seeing in Japan today.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

A Post-Petrodollar Play for Triple-Digit Gains / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: It's now clear as day that both Russia and China are making concerted efforts to move off the petrodollar system.

I've previously written about this petrodollar phenomenon as a developing trend.....

Well now it's no longer developing, it's in active mode.

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Currencies

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

Destroying the U.S. Dollar a Penny at a Time / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

Mike Finger writes: A recent article on the Wall Street Journal's blog draws attention to the high cost of producing a single penny - 1.6 cents each, to be exact. They blame this unsustainable price on the high cost of zinc, which makes up 97.5% of every American penny. The online publication Quartz ran with this story, giving it a new headline: "It costs 1.6 cents to make one penny because of the rising price of zinc". Time for a short economics lesson.

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Currencies

Monday, September 22, 2014

U.S. Dollar: The Last Hurrah? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

End of empire is a difficult time for two groups, investors and patriots. A hundred years ago the U.S. took the economic baton from England to become the most important economy in the world. No doubt some loyalists refused to recognize the shift that was taking place. From then on the world began to denominate economic activity in U.S. dollars. Holding British pounds might have been the loyal thing to do, but it was not a wise investment decision. Today, a similar situation exists for the dollar. Dollar-based investors may now be facing the "last hurrah" for the dollar, and should not ignore that possibility.

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Currencies

Monday, September 22, 2014

One Giant Cluster Ponzi / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”
-H. L. Mencken

Recently, The U.S. Treasury ramped up war games via financial sanctions aimed at Russia. The EU is part and parcel to the operation. These interventions are a continuation of the age old warfare referred to as the “currency wars”.  Jim Rickards’ recent book on the topic chronicles the use of this tactic. 

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