Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
EuroDollar Testing Key Near Term Support / Currencies / Euro
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The euro continues to press lower, but let’s notice that the price structure is nearing a test of important support along the March-October up trendline, now at 1.4680, which must contain the weakness to avert a press to test the rising 50 DMA, now at 1.4625. If dollar strength, commodity weakness, bond strength and equity weakness remain connected at the hip, then the results of the test of major trendline could have extremely significant near- and possibly intermediate-term consequences. The ETF for the dollar is the PowerShares DB Dollar Index Bullish (NYSE: UUP) and for gold is the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD).
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Wednesday, October 28, 2009
U.S. Dollar Future and a World Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Thomas_R_Eddlem
Some very big questions
With the USD fluttering around 76 on the US Dollar currency basket index, the USDX it’s a good time to pontificate on its near term future, and longer term future. Gold’s big rally since 2002 begs a lot of major questions.
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Wednesday, October 28, 2009
U.S. Dollar Trend Awaits Labor Initial Jobless Claims / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The U.S. Department of Labor will publish the weekly Initial Jobless Claims report tomorrow (Oct 29).
The report is a measure of the number of people who file for unemployment benefits for the first time during the given week. This data is collected by the Department of Labor, and published as a weekly report.
Wednesday, October 28, 2009
Will the U.S. Dollar Still be Worlds Reserve Currency in Five Years Time? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Whitney
Interview with Menzie Chinn
Mike Whitney: What is the present composition of reserve holdings in central banks--and has there been a substantial falloff in US dollar reserves in recent years? (Are central banks ditching the dollar?)
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Tuesday, October 27, 2009
U.S. Dollar Index Elliott Wave Analysis Update / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Alistair_Gilbert
One of the wonderful things about watching and trading currencies is the frequency with which they comply to Fibonacci retracements. Part of the reason is that the foreign exchange market is the most liquid and the most widely traded on a global basis, so Elliott Wave analysis, which is based on mass crowd psychology, works best.
Tuesday, October 27, 2009
U.S. Dollar Further Positive Developments on the Forex Markets / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The U.S. Census Bureau will publish the Monthly Core Durable Goods Orders report tomorrow (Oct 27th ). The report measures the change in the total value of new orders for durable goods, excluding transportation. Because aircraft orders are very volatile, the core number gives a better gauge of orders trends. Higher reading indicates activity increase by manufacturers.
Monday, October 26, 2009
The War on the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Martin_D_Weiss
Last week, I showed you the most shocking numbers I’ve seen in my lifetime:
Up until the day Lehman Brothers collapsed in September of last year, it took the Fed 5,012 days — 13 years and 8 months — to double the cash currency and reserves in the coffers of U.S. banks.
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Monday, October 26, 2009
The War Over the U.S. Dollar Versus Gold / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Clif_Droke
A fierce war of words has erupted in recent weeks between the two major camps in monetary circles. The first camp – the gold bulls/dollar bears – have been loudly voicing their twin belief that the gold price is poised to skyrocket while the dollar price is perched for a collapse. The other side – the gold bears/dollar bulls – are making the counter claim the gold price is setting up for a crash.
Monday, October 26, 2009
U.S. Dollar Alert, Revenge of the Greenback? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Clive_Maund
The dollar is at a crossroads and there are two probable scenarios. One is a final plunge following the recent grinding decline to an intermediate low that is followed by an intermediate reversal. The other is that it suddenly breaks out upside from the severe downtrend it has been stuck in since early March and rallies strongly, strongly because it is likely to be juiced by a sudden wave of panic short-covering.
Monday, October 26, 2009
Please Mr. Geithner, Don't Pass the Buck on the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Michael_Pento
It seems nobody in this country wants to take responsibility for the secular decline in the value of the U.S. dollar. When Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is asked about the currency's decline, he refers the query to the Treasury Department. When the president is asked about the dollar, he often gives the tired old platitude that the U.S. has a strong dollar policy, but his vacuous words seem more like perfunctory utterances than a bona fide dollar-boosting strategy.
Monday, October 26, 2009
U.S. Dollar Slowly Firming Against Japanese Yen and Euro / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
The National Australia Bank (NAB) will publish its Quarterly Business Confidence report tomorrow (OCT 27).
The report measures the current business conditions in Australia by analyzing the economic situation in the short term.
Sunday, October 25, 2009
The Vague Future of the Russian Ruble / Currencies / Russia
By: Pravda
The "profitable" Russian ruble is trying to strengthen its position against the US dollar. The situation in the internal currency market in Russia is still affected by the external environment and speculative intentions of investors. Although the prospects of further strengthening of the Russian currency are increasingly obscure, analysts believe that the price of 29 rubles per US dollar is unattainable in the near future.
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Sunday, October 25, 2009
U.S. Dollar Collapse Update, Obama Demanding Payment in Euros! / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Whitney
The "dollar debate" on the Internet has been ferocious and emotionally-charged, but sadly lacking in logic. To oppose the "dollar will crash" theorists is like arguing a woman's right to choose with the fist-waving throng assembled outside an abortion clinic. The results are equally disappointing. To say that "minds are already made up and the issue is settled", is an understatement. For many, the dollar's transition from the world's reserve currency to a Wiemar era Deutschemark is not a question "if" but only of "when". One reader summed up the distrust that's felt for anyone who dares to challenge the prevailing dogma like this:
Friday, October 23, 2009
King Dollar Forced to Abdicate / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Peter_Schiff
For the most part, the value of the dollar is given cursory attention by the financial media. Typically, its movements are assigned an importance on par with much less determinative metrics such as natural gas futures and construction permits. It's only when major milestones are reached that anyone really takes notice of the dollar. We are living through one of those times.
Thursday, October 22, 2009
The Next Currency to Crash / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "What's your slam-dunk currency trade right now?"
I asked my friend Jack that question earlier this week...
Thursday, October 22, 2009
Key Reversal Week in GBP/CHF Lures Bulls / Currencies / Futures Trading
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
After nearing an interesting Fibo projection earlier this year the GBP/CHF cross rate recovery came to a halt. Subsequent weakness has been quite deep but we have just seen a potentially bullish Key Reversal Week, marking at least a temporary turning point. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2009
U.S. Dollar Crash is Not Going to Happen / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Mike_Whitney
The dollar is not going to crash. In fact, many economists believe that the dollar will rally when the Fed ends its quantitative easing program (QE) sometime in early 2010. The Fed is on track to buy nearly $2 trillion dollars of mortgage-backed securities, US Treasuries and agency debt. In other words, the Fed is printing money and pumping it into the housing market to keep the market from collapsing. This keeps interest rates low, but it also weakens the dollar. When the program ends, long-term interest rates will rise and the dollar will strengthen.
Wednesday, October 21, 2009
U.S. Dollar Attacked by Central Bank Lilliputians Profting From the Carry Trade / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The US Federal Reserve continues to talk about their urgent Exit Strategy. My theory is they will be doing mostly talking and almost no doing. The nations that talk the least will be hiking interest rates the most, like Australia. The United States might be dead last in hiking interest rates. The credibility of the USFed will in the process continue to be harmed much more than already, which is rock bottom. The Dollar Carry Trade and the lost Petro-Dollar advantage will work to destroy the USDollar as the global reserve currency. The USFed will have to resort to unusual means to keep the world ‘interested’ and ‘involved’ in the USDollar at all. When they lose interest and involvement, the US$ will descend into the Third World. The USDollar will then be forced to find its true value, based on its own merit.
Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Currency Market Sees No Motive in Buying U.S. Dollars as Risk Appetite Increases / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Ashraf_Laidi
G7 finance ministers and central bankers ought to realize that their USD-supporting rhetoric (Bernanke, Lagarde and Trichet) will be devalued by a currency market that sees no motive in buying the greenback as long as improved risk appetite continues to shore up a USD-driven global liquidity. With US earnings beating estimates and the "commodity central banks" not mincing their words about tightening liquidity, the only viable way for US policy makers to stabilize the USD is to start withdrawing liquidity...rather than talk about when is a good time to do it.
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Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Zero Discount Value of Gold and Dethroning the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Michael_S_Rozeff
A truly major change in the global monetary system is beginning to materialize. The dollar is starting to be dethroned. Foreign governments and central banks are going to do the dethroning.
I have no prediction as to how slowly or quickly this process will take. The major dethroners, the Chinese, are on record as favoring a slow process. The transition is already occurring, however. Now that attitudes have shifted among the dethroners, they are likely to keep at it.
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