Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, April 08, 2014
Bitcoin Price - Are We About to See Another Move Down? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Briefly: we don’t support any short-term positions now.
New Bitcoin-related products seem to be hitting the market every day now. New types of altcoins, new kinds of wallets, new services. The currency is surrounded by a wide umbrella of solutions which might help bring it to the attention of the mainstream public. So, what’s stopping us from using bitcoin debit cards? Cryptex, a Hong-Kong-based company asked themselves the same question and couldn’t think of a good reason not to.
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Saturday, April 05, 2014
Bitcoin Trading Clues from Price and Volume / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In short: we don’t support any positions in the Bitcoin market at the moment.
The Financial Post reported that Bill Downe, CEO of the Bank of Montreal, expressed the view his company would consider dealing in Bitcoin was the currency a stable means of exchange:
If it was reliable and if it was regulated, “then there’s no reason why we couldn’t be an intermediary in bitcoin-related transactions,” Bill Downe said in an interview after the company’s annual general meeting in Toronto.
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Friday, April 04, 2014
Ukraine Preface, the Emerging Dynamics Of Petro-Yuan Standard / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The shocks will be many as the USDollar struggles and falls off the global financial stage in full view. The desperate maneuvers like in Syria and Ukraine should be seen as last ditch efforts to save a dying system. For two decades the USDollar has been defended by military means. Worse, for 50 years the USGovt has been a hidden nazi enclave of wicked fascists who have hidden behind their overt disdain for communism, with Kissinger the flag bearer, with Brzezinski the ideologue, with Papa Bush the executor, with narcotics and genetics and gold thefts their principal agenda. The official US support of fascist regimes includes a list of nations as long as your arm. Since 2008 when the Lehman kill was executed in order to rescue Goldman Sachs, when Fannie Mae was hidden under the USGovt roof to prevent its $trillion fraud from being exposed, and when AIG was tucked in the USFed basement closet for ample monetized rescues to patch the derivative black holes, the Anglo-American banking system has indeed been going through trials and tribulations, leading to its death throes. The climax of the banking system death process is upon us finally, the fibrillations of sudden illiquidity against the backdrop of relentless unforgiving insolvency so evident to those with eyes that function.
Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Bitcoin Price Moving up to $500 but Is This to Last? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In not too many words: we don’t support any short-term positions in the market now.
Mobile payments company Square announced yesterday it would accept Bitcoin on its online website Square Market, which enables retailers to feature their merchandise. Ajit Varma, Square Market Lead wrote:
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
The Clock Is Ticking on This Massive Currency Shift / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Last week I was asked by a Wall Street Insights & Indictments reader about a new challenge to the U.S. role in the global economy that few are considering.
It's a dominant role we've held since the latter part of World War II, and for 70 years it's gone largely unchallenged.
Until now.
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Monday, March 31, 2014
Bitcoins, Are Cryptocoins Money? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Michael_S_Rozeff
The bottom line is that cryptocoins are not money. The Austrian analysis rules.
Money’s key property is that it is a numeraire for goods. Wikipedia puts it this way:
“Numéraire is a basic standard by which value is computed. Acting as the numéraire is one of the functions of money, to serve as a unit of account: to measure the worth of different goods and services relative to one another, i.e. in same units.”
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Monday, March 31, 2014
How to Profit from ECB’s Attempts to End Economic Depression / Currencies / Euro
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Remember what happened in the U.S. economy when the financial system was about to collapse? The banks weren’t lending to each other, businesses, or even consumers. The U.S. economy was in a deep economic slowdown. Investment banks like the Lehman Brothers had already collapsed and more would follow. Something had to be done or else it would be a disaster situation.
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Sunday, March 30, 2014
Bitcoin Scam - MTGox Finds 200,000 Behind Sofa, How Many More Hidden in old Socks, Coat, Shoes? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Nadeem_Walayat
MtGox which stands for 'Magic the Gathering' and not 'Mount Gox' that the mainstream broadcast press still mistakenly reports it as, has apparently found 200,000 of the estimated 800,000 missing bitcoins behind what amounts to an electronic sofa, as MtGox reveals that 200,000 bitcoins worth approx $100 million were found in an old digital wallet kept off line (old hard drive) that effectively blows a hole in their whole story to date of being innocent victims of 'bitcoin transaction malleability' (causing transactions to be issued twice) as the means by which theft of the MTGox bitcoins took place that MtGox representatives have been spouting of since at least Mid Feb when the web site filed for bankruptcy.
Friday, March 28, 2014
Bitcoin Price Pause at $500. Is It Temporary? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
If you don’t have time: we think shorts could become more profitable.
We’ve long been discussing Mt. Gox’s fall and the credibility of Mt. Gox’s claims that their Bitcoins might have been stolen via transaction malleability exploits. It now turns out that Christian Decker and Roger Wattenhofer of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich came up with a paper in which they analyze Bitcoin transactions on Mt. Gox starting with data from January 2013.
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
USD/JPY Capped In A Triangle / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gregor_Horvat
Despite strong sell-off from 103.74 two weeks back {{3|USD/JPY}} is moving sideways for too long now, so we assume that market is trapped in some bigger corrective pattern. Because swing low since start of February are still in place we are observing a triangle idea with wave (c) underway now to 103.00 area, especially bounce bounce from 101.20 is already showing signs of a corrective move. Keep in mind that each leg within a triangle unfold in corrective manner, thus in three legs.
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Wednesday, March 26, 2014
U.S. Dollar Value Could Suffer Instant Change / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Morgan
span style="color:#000000; ">Silver expert David Morgan is warning of coming financial changes that may be forced on the U.S. during the next G20 meeting. Morgan says, “The impetus here is the U.S. has had too much financial power backed by the military for far too long, and they (G20) are going to implement change one way or the other. The IMF is basically an extension of the United States. Even though it’s called the International Monetary Fund, it is really U.S. based. With what’s been proposed here, the IMF is not going to have the clout that it once did because the G-20 is going to be able to overrule the IMF vote. This is a point in history, monetary history and global economic politics that could set a precedent . . . where it’s official that the U.S. dollar has lost its primary status as world reserve currency.”
Wednesday, March 26, 2014
Bitcoin Price False Turnaround? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Keeping it short: we don’t support any short-term positions at the moment.
There is a growing market of services around Bitcoin and the world of finance seems to recognize the opportunity this presents. The Wall Street Journal reported a new Bitcoin-related derivative instrument was being developed by Tera Group Inc. The aim of the company is to provide a first Bitcoin swap.
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Wednesday, March 26, 2014
U.S. Dollar Bottom - Third Time’s a Charm? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ed_Carlson
The US Dollar index bottomed on Monday’s 21-day cycle and then rallied over 1% last week (after the previous week’s big cycle convergence). In doing so it printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on the weekly chart (not shown).
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Saturday, March 22, 2014
The Euro Is Not Overvalued Nor Is Any Other Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: MISES
Frank Hollenbeck writes: A common argument for dumping the Euro is that it is overvalued, and that the ECB (European Central Bank) is unwilling to correct this so-called “problem.” This overvaluation is regularly cited as being over 10 percent against the dollar. The Swiss central bank surrendered control of its money supply by fixing its currency at 1.2 against the Euro essentially on the notion that its currency was “overvalued.” Advocates of a Euro breakup consider that a country with its own currency can then follow an independent monetary policy ensuring a competitive exchange rate. Never mind that neither the USA nor Great Britain have improved by following aggressive monetary policies that have depreciated their currencies. Such policies have also forced other countries, such as Brazil, to retaliate. As Mises foresaw,
Saturday, March 22, 2014
Bitcoin Price Move Below $600 Continues / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Cutting right to the chase: we don't think going short is a good idea yet.
Just when you would think the situation with Mt. Gox couldn't get any stranger, it has. Apparently, the exchange "found" almost BTC 200,000 in one of its old wallets this month. The coins would be currently worth approximately $115 million. A statement published yesterday on the exchanges website reads:
Read full article... Read full article...MtGox Co., Ltd. had certain old-format wallets which were used in the past and which, MtGox thought, no longer held any bitcoins. Following the application for commencement of a civil rehabilitation proceeding, these wallets were rescanned and their balance researched. On March 7, 2014, MtGox Co., Ltd. confirmed that an old-format wallet which was used prior to June 2011 held a balance of approximately 200,000 BTC (199,999.99 BTC). MtGox Co., Ltd. investigated the presence of these 200,000 BTC, immediately reported it to its counsels in the application for commencement of a civil rehabilitation proceedings ("counsels"). A hearing took place on March 8 where a detailed explanation of the situation was made to counsels. Immediately on Monday (March 10), counsels reported the existence of the 200,000 BTC to the Court and the Supervisor.
Friday, March 21, 2014
Cold War “Lite” - the Battle over the Russian Rouble / Currencies / Russia
By: Gary_Dorsch
The confrontation over Ukraine has the potential for spiraling out of control and could lead to "serious problems in the heart of Europe," warned former Secretary of State James Baker on March 9th. "It is clearly the most serious East-West confrontation since the end of the Cold War," Baker said on "Meet the Press." "For someone who was the last US-Secretary of State during the Cold War, it's very disappointing to me to see that we're moving now from cooperation with Russia to confrontation again. The risks are very substantial. I think we are pretty much in a "Cold War Lite," right now." Baker said he hopes a diplomatic solution can be reached because he thinks there's no good endgame for the Russian Federation.
Friday, March 21, 2014
U.S. Dollar Extends Gains After Jobless Claims Data, Trend Forecasts / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Nadia_Simmons
The U.S. dollar moved higher against major currency pairs after better-than-expected initial jobless claims data. Earlier today, the Department of Labor showed in its report that initial claims for jobless benefits in the week ending March 15 rose by 5,000 to 320,000 from the previous week's total of 315,000 000, while analysts had expected an increase of 10,000. What impact did it have on major currency pairs? What is their current outlook? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.
Wednesday, March 19, 2014
Bitcoin Market Tensions Building Up / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
To the point: we don’t support any positions in the market just now.
Mt. Gox has enabled users to log into their accounts and check their wallet balance. Before users get excited – this doesn’t mean that they will be able to access their money. For all we know, these balances are nothing more than numbers on a computer screen, or if you will in a database. Mt. Gox reminds of that using different wording:
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Friday, March 14, 2014
Bitcoin Trading Maybe Flat but Not Flatlined for Good / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
To the point: we don’t support having any short-term positions in the market now.
We wrote yesterday that Bitcoin’s future holds promise and that the system has the potential to revolutionize payments. In an article from its print edition, the Economist also comes to the conclusion that the characteristics of Bitcoin may as well outweigh the recent disastrous shutdown of Mt. Gox over the long term. What is more, the applications of Bitcoin or its underlying general ledger (blockchain) system might not be restricted to money transfers:
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Tuesday, March 11, 2014
USD Remains In Bearish Mode / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gregor_Horvat
Markets are still very slow and in tight ranges since start of the week. The USD however is showing some recovery now, but only on the intraday basis. Generally speaking USD remains in bearish mode, while stocks remain up.
On EUR/USD we can see wave c now moving south that we highlighted it yesterday. Fibonacci ratios shows a nice support around at 1.3830/40 where pair may find a new base again. Rally back above 1.3880 will open door for new highs.
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