Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, January 24, 2019
Currency War Combatant Capability Comparisons / Currencies / Currency War
College football teams are broadly ranked by their strength so that a contest between teams may be both interesting to watch and be seen as fair. Accordingly, teams ranked being in Division One, only play other teams in the same division. In the Olympics, where fairness and sportsmanship are elevated, boxers, wrestlers, and weightlifters compete in their own specific weight class. It is immediately obvious that members of a lighter weight class have little chance of winning against someone in a heavier class. No such fairness or “sportsmanship” is extended in the contest over currencies.
Currency wars usually are clandestine, and information regarding their operations are usually difficult or impossible to confirm. As a result, anyone trying analyze or get information on such activities will quickly be stymied. However, one can infer from important market price information evidence related to currency wars. For example, if a country’s currency declines 20% or more over a short period of time, it is reasonable that some currency manipulation has occurred, and that it is the likely cause of the decline. A currency war is an act of war.
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Monday, January 21, 2019
Bitcoin is entering the Dead Zone / Currencies / Bitcoin
Bitcoin and the technology boom of 1990's have so much in common, you would think they are twins!
Previous Post: Bitcoin is so like 1979 silver
The chart below shows how similar each story is.
Mr Market knows this, therefore the desire to enter this market is low, and lower prices will plaque Bitcoin for the next 18 months at least. The supply of coins into this market will continue, and prices will continue to fall, there may be bear market rallies along the way, and the good news is the patient (yip that word) long term investors will have the chance to accumulate coins at pre 2017 bubble launch zones (massive support zones).
Tuesday, January 15, 2019
Bitcoin Price Wavers / Currencies / Bitcoin
If Bitcoin bulls got excited about the recent move up, Thursday’s action extinguished some of this excitement. But it doesn’t come as a surprise to our readers. This one day of strong depreciation can be seen as an indication of things to come. But are these things bearish?
Bitcoin remains on the fringe of the financial system. The Bank of International Settlements (BIS) has recently issued a warning on Bitcoin. In an article on the Forbes website, we read:
In another blow to bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, BIS warned investors and traders that they could lose money on privately minted cryptocurrencies like bitcoin.
Friday, January 11, 2019
Japanese Yen Outlook In 2019 / Currencies / Japanese Yen
In this updated article and video below, we will follow up our view on Japanese Yen outlook in 2019.
We wrote an article in late December last year titled “Will Yen Continue to Outperform in 2019?” In the article, we said that Japanese Yen can continue to strengthen against other major currency pairs in 2019. In that article, we presented two daily technical charts below to backup our thesis: GBPJPY and CADJPY.
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Friday, January 04, 2019
Bitcoin: Another Bullish Attempt / Currencies / Bitcoin
Some time has passed since I wrote a more lengthy article, but not nearly as long a time as this gruelling bear market in cryptos - now 12 months long, and counting. So, in this article I’d like to rewind the clock a bit.
When we first saw our bull market top in cryptos, I did not fully expect a long bear market such as we’ve seen. While the March breakdown confirmed in my mind that the $3000 to $4700 zone would be visited again, I did not think it would take this long.
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Thursday, January 03, 2019
What are Stablecoins, Stable Coins or Stable Tokens about? / Currencies / BlockChain
It is no secret that the crypto market has taken a serious hit this year in terms of the decline of crypto prices across the board - although fundamentally the crypto market is stronger than ever before, measured by the number of crypto projects that have made great progress in terms of product development, etc. - regardless of the percentage of failures (real or perceived).
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Monday, December 31, 2018
The Bitcoin BTC Collapse of 2018, Trend Outlook 2019 / Currencies / Bitcoin
2018 was the year the bitcoin crypto bubble burst that witnessed the bitcoin price first collapse to a floor of $6000, from which each attempted bounce failed to generate any follow through, and the longer the failure for a breakout higher continued then the greater the probability that the price would eventually break lower, below the $6000 floor. Which is what transpired during November that saw Bitcoin plunge to a new low of $3,100 by Mid December, a far cry from the fantasy of first revisiting $20k and then $50k that a naive 'manipulated' Bitcoin community had pinned their hopes and dreams on whilst immersed in an endless feedback loop of perma bull bitcoin pump mania commentary, that was the mainstay of the internet during 2018, whilst the manipulators were dumping their holdings onto the naive players. Just like what the pump and dumpers have been doing with penny stocks for over 100 years!
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Monday, December 31, 2018
Crypto Fund / Currencies / Bitcoin
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Saturday, December 29, 2018
Will Japanese Yen Continue to Outperform in 2019? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
Care to guess what is the best performing major currency in 2018? Chances are you will say that it’s the US Dollar. Although US Dollar is doing pretty well this year, the best performing currency is in fact the Japanese Yen. You can see in the table below that despite the Dollar Index rallying 4.9% as of Dec 27th, the Yen has outperformed the U.S Dollar by 1.43%. We can also see the U.S. Dollar has rallied against all the other major currencies, but the Japanese Yen has rallied even at a greater percentage against the same currency. For example, EURUSD has dropped 5.08%, meaning that U.S Dollar has rallied 5.08% against European Dollar this year. However, EURJPY dropped 6.5%, which means that Japanese Yen has rallied at a greater percentage against the European dollar.
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Friday, December 28, 2018
GBP/USD - Has the Hope of the Bulls Gone? / Currencies / British Pound
Monday's session brought a breakout above the upper border of the consolidation and hope for higher values of GBP/USD. Unfortunately, none of these things lasted too long as the next days showed that the bears are not going to let their rivals through to the north without a fight. What are the implications of the recent price action?
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Friday, December 28, 2018
The Quintessential Guide to Starting a New Cryptocurrency / Currencies / BlockChain
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Friday, December 21, 2018
If You are Interested in Blockchain and Crypto; Here Are 4 Developing Trends to Watch in 2019 / Currencies / BlockChain
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Friday, December 21, 2018
UUP Update…The Dollar Channel / Currencies / US Dollar
Yesterday I posted this daily chart for the UUP suggesting that it could very well be building out a new uptrend channel with the current price action trading at the top rail where it has been chopping out the small blue rising wedge. Today we are getting some follow through to the downside.
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Thursday, December 20, 2018
Are Cryptocurrencies The Future of Online Casinos? / Currencies / Bitcoin
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Saturday, December 15, 2018
Bitcoin Important Levels Ahead / Currencies / Bitcoin
These are strange times. Bitcoin is a long way from its all-time high, the market situation resembles the dotcom bubble on steroids and yet there’s not that much information on Bitcoin and we are yet to see the sort of panic that accompanies major crashes. Yet, the sentiment is shifting.
As Bitcoin has been going down for a year now, the sentiment surrounding the currency is shifting, as evidenced by the fact that the media has picked up on the depreciation in the Bitcoin market. Some analysts go even further than that. In an article on the MarketWatch website, we read:
Stephen Innes, head of Asia Pacific trading at Oanda, is arguing that the bitcoin bear market is far from over because the No. 1 digital currency has yet provide a significant use case. “Bitcoins have gone well beyond the ridiculousness of tulip bulb mania,” he said on Monday.
Thursday, December 13, 2018
Dollar Index Trends, USDJPY Setting Up / Currencies / Forex Trading
Risks and markets events continue to aid trading. Volatility is helping our trading system make tremendous returns. FXCOT system is able to use high volatility and low volatility to its advantage. Returns are summed at the end of post.
U.S. stocks rebounded Wednesday, extending a recent stretch of volatility as signs of easing trade tensions boosted the outlook for global economic growth. Afternoon trading was again rocky for major indexes, which eased well off their intraday highs in the final 90 minutes of the session. Stocks have been hypersensitive to trade-related headlines in recent days, with the Dow swinging more than 550 points from its high to its low on both Monday and Tuesday.
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Tuesday, December 11, 2018
Brexit: What Will it Mean for Exchange Rates? / Currencies / Forex Trading
There’s a lot of confusion around exactly what’s happening with Brexit, which seems to be more and more complicated. Whatever you think is the best solution, if you’re in business you’re likely to be facing difficulties because of all the uncertainty. How can you make long-term predictions in this situation? How can you organise your overseas business, whether you’re trading with foreign partners or managing distant franchises, when you don’t know what the exchange rates are going to do? In fact, there are some predictions you can work with where that’s concerned. This isn’t the first such uncertainty the international markets have experienced, and models exist that can take it into account. This article explains what the experts think will happen and what we can learn from events so far.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 03, 2018
DXY: “The Reports Of My Death Are Greatly Exaggerated” / Currencies / US Dollar
For those literary enthusiasts amongst us, you would recognize the title as the line supposedly penned by Mark Twain when it was inquired of him while in London regarding a published obituary written in the United States.
However, more accurately, his response to the reporter’s inquiry was “The report of my death was an exaggeration.” But, I digress.
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Sunday, December 02, 2018
Elliott Wave Analysis: Suggest Supported NZDUSD / Currencies / Forex Trading
NZDUSD short-term Elliott wave analysis suggests that a decline to 0.6751 low ended primary wave ((2)) pullback. The internals of that pullback unfolded as double three structure where intermediate wave (W) ended at 0.6780 low in lesser degree zigzag structure. Up from there, a 3 wave bounce to 0.6852 high ended intermediate wave (X). Then finally a decline to 0.6751 low ended intermediate wave (Y) in lesser degree double three structure & finally completed primary wave ((2)).
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Sunday, December 02, 2018
Will AUDUSD Rally Higher? / Currencies / Austrailia
AUDUSD Technical Analysis
AUDUSD BUY/LONG Trade Setup: October 26/2018 AUDUSD found a bottom and bounced higher. The bounce higher has formed a bullish Elliott Wave Impulse Pattern. The current wave count higher can now be seen as a five wave move with red wave 1 terminating at the high of November 16/2018. The pair corrected lower and terminated wave red 2 at the November 27/2018 low which was then followed by a five wave move higher to terminate wave ((i)) at the November 29/2018 high. If looking to trade AUDUSD, traders will need to watch and wait for a pullback lower towards the blue BUY ZONE and watch for the possible termination of wave ((ii)) in that preferred area. Watch for buying signals and a reversal in the blue box BUY ZONE and expect a rally higher for the strong red wave 3.
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