Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, November 09, 2007
Bernanke Squirms As the US Dollar Burns / Currencies / US Dollar
Bernanke's larger than expected 50 bps cut on September 18 helped spark a sell off in the U.S. dollar. A deteriorating outlook for the U.S. economy and another Fed rate cut on October 31 accelerated the dollar's decline. Fear has taken over in November…It is not surprising that against this backdrop talk about how wonderful a weaker dollar is for America has nearly vanished. As a quick example, head of currency research at Morgan Stanley, Stephen Jen, was claiming a few weeks ago that although the dollar may weaken further, “…investors should keep in mind that the dollar is undervalued and ready to appreciate as soon as the economy regains traction.” The most recent sell off in the dollar now has Mr. Jen rattled, not to mention many others:
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Friday, November 09, 2007
US Dollar - A Crisis to Shatter the Whole World / Currencies / US Dollar
THE FRENCH PRESIDENT was in Washington this week, speaking to Congress en Français and telling the United States to stop dumping Dollars and risking a global financial crisis.
Ooh la la! Sounds just like old times...
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Friday, November 09, 2007
China Slams US Dollar; Yen Looks Great! / Currencies / US Dollar
Jack Crooks writes:China is getting very good at controlling currency values, and not just their own. While it's no secret they've been artificially suppressing the value of the Chinese yuan, they're now pushing down the value of the U.S. dollar, too!
The implications for the currency markets are huge. Most importantly, this development propelled the yen much higher, and I expect the momentum to continue building. Here's the scoop ...
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Thursday, November 08, 2007
Deadly Dollar Downtrend States All Inflation Adjusted Statistics Are Wrong, True Inflation is Double CPI! / Currencies / US Dollar
The public and investment community continues to be bombarded with denials as to the importance of the seemingly endless slide in the US Dollar, along with curiously shallow commentary that the US $ slide seems overdone. The US$ exchange rates could justify a 50% decline from here, out of sheer principle, not based upon the relative price of milk cartons or taxi rides. The comprehension of the gold breakout signal seems equally misunderstood and minimized. To be clear, the people have begun to sense with alarm the nature of the energy cost problem, but do not detect its weak currency roots.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 08, 2007
US Dollar Devalution - When Cash Is Trash: What To Do ... / Currencies / US Dollar
Larry Edelson writes: Your cash — whether it's in money markets, bonds, or hidden under your mattress — is quickly becoming trash.
You see, just as I've been predicting all along, the Fed continues to flood the market with unbacked paper dollars. The latest: An injection of $41 billion, the day after the Fed cut interest rates last week.
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Wednesday, November 07, 2007
US Dollar Slumps to New Lows - British Pound (GBP) 2.10 - Commodities Soar - Dollar Rally Expected / Currencies / US Dollar
The US Dollar slumped sharply to new lows against major currencies which included falling to $2.10 to the British Pound. The latest sell off was attributed to comments by a chinease official who suggested that China should look to transfer its over $1.4 trillion of forex reserves to 'stronger' currencies. "We will favour stronger currencies over weaker ones, and will readjust accordingly," said Cheng Siwei, vice chairman of the National People's Congress.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 05, 2007
US Dollar in the Doldrums / Currencies / US Dollar
The Dollar again grabbed the headlines last week as it hit all time lows against the Euro and levels not seen in generations against the Pound & Canadian Dollar.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
US Dollar Haunted by the Ghosts of Halloween / Currencies / US Dollar
The story of Halloween goes back over 2000 years to the ancient Celts. Druidic priests regarded October 31st as the end of the year. Not only was it their day for celebrating the year's harvest, but also a festival for honoring the dead. In order to appease the wandering spirits that they believed roamed at night, the Celtic priests made fires in which they burned sacrifices, made charms, and cast spells.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
Is an International Currency Crisis on the Way? / Currencies / US Dollar
In trying to resolve the basic issue of where prices go from here, we have to balance short-term market momentum against the increasing drag of economic reality and we have to weigh the price enhancing effects of inflationary monetary policy and deliberate currency neglect against the price depressive ones of a meaningful frustration of current entrepreneurial assumptions. We then have to grope towards some tentative conclusions on the vexed issue of whether the cycle in Asia (and, indeed, in Continental Europe) has achieved sufficient automotive power for it to ride out any more serious abatement of Atlantic Rim over-demand.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 28, 2007
Dollar Devaluation Is Annihilating the Middle Class and Worse is Yet to Come! / Currencies / US Dollar
You Want to Know Why You Feel Like You are Struggling Financially?
Because the U.S. Dollar Has Just Been Devalued
by a Third Over the Past Five Years.
And more devaluation is coming. Perhaps another 50 percent. The markets are convinced that the Fed is going to drop rates again on Halloween by another half percentage point. This means hyperinflation, and all markets moved accordingly Friday. The Dollar hit a new low, at 77.00, and is worth 53 percent of what a Euro is worth.
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Friday, October 26, 2007
Sovereign Wealth Funds Are A Booster Shot for the Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen
Jack Crooks writes: It's often been said that when the U.S. sneezes, economies around the world catch a cold.
But even as health warnings of a 'superbug' staph infection spread across the U.S., our weakened economy appears much less contagious to the outside world than it has in years past.
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Sunday, October 21, 2007
America's Forgotten War Against the Central Banks / Currencies / US Dollar
Let me issue and control a nation's money supply, and I care not who makes its laws." (Mayer Amschel Rothschild, Founder of Rothschild Banking Dynasty)
Many prominent Americans such as Benjamin Franklin, Thomas Jefferson, and Andrew Jackson have argued and fought against the central banking polices used throughout Europe.
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Friday, October 19, 2007
The US Dollar Still Stuck In a Rut / Currencies / US Dollar
Jack Crooks writes: The finance ministers of six leading nations — Germany, France, Italy, Britain, Canada, and Japan — will meet with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson in Washington today. And you can bet there's one topic they'll definitely want to discuss — the falling dollar.
How could they not? The dollar is as distressed as ever … the Canadian loonie is trading at multi-decade highs … and the euro has hit levels never before seen.
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Thursday, October 18, 2007
US Dollar Continues to Give Way Against Japanese Yen / Currencies / Japanese Yen
The dollar is very weak in general today versus both the euro and even the yen, which could be a change of profile, as in a more generalized, global exodus out of the greenback that will get the attention of the G-7 monetary authorities. Be that as it may, today's up-gap in the CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (NYSE: FXY) reflects yen strength as the currency heads for a test of the 114 Aug-Oct support line. Right now the dollar is trading at 115.60/65, and my work argues for downside continuation against the yen, which will lift the FXY over the 86.70 level on the way to 88.00 immediately thereafter.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 14, 2007
US Dollar Bear Market Could Run for Many More Years / Currencies / US Dollar
Jack Crooks writes: A rip current can suck even experienced ocean-goers out to sea. So it's no surprise that a weaker swimmer doesn't stand a chance amid such a powerful force.
Right now, the U.S. dollar is in a similar situation. The greenback has been caught up in a sea of fierce selling pressure. All it can do is flail out in the open waters, growing tired and weak. And even news that would normally be positive for the buck doesn't seem able to save it.
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Friday, October 12, 2007
Why a Weak US Dollar Hurts U.S. Manufacturers / Currencies / US Economy
The vast majority of economists are currently hailing the freefall of the dollar as a windfall for American business. While some domestic manufacturers may enjoy some initial benefits from a weaker dollar, they will ultimately suffer many adverse consequences as well. More importantly, the dollar's demise is a disaster for American consumers.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 11, 2007
The Sinking US Dollar! / Currencies / US Dollar
Look at that graph. That's a bull market in action. It just can no longer be held back. I've watched gold shifting back and forth and there is clearly resistance above 700. Yes, there below is my baby. Struggling now to top out at 750 an ounce. Go for it little one.
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Wednesday, October 10, 2007
GOLD THOUGHTS - US Dollar Reaction to Employment Figures Manipulation - From -4000 to +89000 / Currencies / US Dollar
Economic collusion? Bailout Ben Bernanke needed some help before September meeting on U.S. interest rates. He needed economic numbers to justify an interest rate cut intended to bailout the banks. U.S. Department of Labor(DOL) apparently was quite willing to aid the FOMC. DOL reported, before FOMC meeting, that U.S. employment fell by 4000 jobs. With this report, the FOMC moved to lower U.S. interest rates.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 09, 2007
What is Happening to the US Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar
Reading about the US dollar has once again brought home to me just how little our economic commentariat understand about the links between exchange rates, money supply and the balance of payments. Even today misconceptions about the balance of payments are still deeply rooted in mercantilist thought. Mercantilists came to theorise that an increased volume of gold would have the effect of stimulating production and increasing national wealth. They therefore concluded that an export surplus would make a country prosperous. They further reasoned that a trade deficit would eventually drain the kingdom of precious metals and thereby impoverish it.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 05, 2007
Are There Too Many US Dollar Bears? / Currencies / US Dollar
As a contrarian, it is my nature to worry when too many people start agreeing with me. Currently, many of my most vocal critics, who had previously ridiculed my warnings about the dollar, now concede that it will continue to decline. With so many people now on the bandwagon, some currency watchers have asserted that sentiment now has nowhere to go but up, and that the stage is set for a dollar rally. Although I am unnerved by the company, I take solace in the fact that the conclusions that many of these nouveau-dollar bears draw are completely off the mark.Read full article... Read full article...