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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Friday, June 27, 2008

Sinking Fiat Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Mike_Hewitt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFiat money is not directly convertible into a physical commodity at a specified amount. It is a type of credit money through which a central bank issues notes in exchange for interest-paying bonds by the government. The interest on these bonds is paid by the government primarily through the process of taxation. That is to say, by you and me.

Since the interest plus the principle always exceeds the initial amount borrowed, the government must continually borrow more money, at additional interest, in order to repay the central bank, thus beginning an ever-increasing spiral of debt.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 26, 2008

The Norwegian Krone as the Next Reserve Currency? / Currencies / Euro-Zone

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Today, the Norges Bank, the Norwegian central bank, raised its policy interest rate 25 basis points to 5.75%. That puts the Norges Bank's policy rate 293 basis points over the May year-over-year CPI inflation rate on a harmonized basis (see Chart). Notice that the Norges Bank was raising its policy rate in the first half of 2007 as the inflation rate was falling. The Norges Bank is offering savers an "honest" return on their funds. Isn't this what you would look for in a reserve currency's central bank?

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Currencies

Friday, June 20, 2008

EUR USD: Pattern for Profits / Currencies / Euro

By: Black_Swan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLots of times trading will reward you if you find patterns in historical price data and bet on it occurring again. It’s kind of like the whole “History repeats itself!” motto. Of course, history doesn’t keep on repeating itself, especially in financial markets. But there is another motto to remember: “The trend is your friend!”

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Currencies

Friday, June 20, 2008

US Current Account Deficit is Still A Drag On the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Joseph_Brusuelas

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLost amidst recent data on inflation, the rise in oil prices, a deepening crisis in the housing market and the uncanny ability of Goldman-Sachs to outperform market expectations was the deterioration of the current account balance in Q1'08. The U.S. current-account deficit increased to $176.4 billion in the first quarter of 2008 vs. the $167.2 billion recorded in the fourth quarter of 2007. The primary catalyst for the increase was a decline in earnings from foreign investments and the sharp increase in the cost of imported oil. Should such an unsustainable and large deficit continue to persist, the value of the dollar over time could see another sharp adjustment due to the combination of global macroeconomic imbalance and the unwise economic domestic economic policies pursued in the US over the past few years.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

US Economic Disappointments Point to a Continuing Rebound in the Euro / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleActivity may be quiet in today's US data calendar so it is time to further shed light on next week's key events. Sunday's emergency meeting in Saudi Arabia between oil producers and consumers, combined with next Wednesday's FOMC decision may serve as a powerful recipe for a lasting dollar rebound and effective containment of oil price increases, especially for the US, Europe and Japan.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 18, 2008

US Dollar / Japanese Yen Low Risk Opportunity / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Black_Swan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWe’re wondering: How credible is the Japanese yen risk-aversion play? Stocks have been less than stellar lately yet the yen has pretty much been sliding against the buck. That’s not exactly how it worked when subprime, credit crunch and writedowns were the new buzz words on Wall Street.

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Currencies

Saturday, June 14, 2008

Truth of the US Dollar Devaluation Behind Bernanke's Words / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week we have seen a textbook verbal campaign touch off a long-awaited rally in the Dollar, firmly supported by data to suggest that the Federal Reserve should at least hold a hard line on rates. We have even heard some Federal Reserve governors, most notably Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser calling for an immediate increase in interest rates. It has been my opinion since we first heard this verbal campaign begin nearly two months ago that the Fed's goal was to do nothing but talk. So far, I have not been disappointed. Here are some notable quotes from this week:

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

Yen vs. SPU– Break down of Inverse Relationship / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Black_Swan

Give your risk thermometer a good shaking because mine are giving me conflicting readouts. Stocks, the primary measure of risk-taking levels in the financial system, are tumbling. The Japanese yen, now a secondary measure of risk-taking levels in the financial system, is also tumbling.

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 11, 2008

US Dollar Lifted by Talk of Intervention / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold closed at $867.80 in New York and was down $27 and silver closed at $16.57 down 58 cents. Gold has risen in Asia overnight and in early European trading this morning is up some 0.5%. Further consolidation between $850 and $950 is needed and the 200 day moving average at $855 is likely to provide good support (especially with oil up 2% today).

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 10, 2008

CPR for the Dieing US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Kurt_Kasun

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePerhaps we should institute DNR rather than CPR. Two days ago Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke shocked the world by commenting on his concerns regarding the fall of the US Dollar. In past policy, the Fed refrained from discussing the US currency; US dollar commentary was supposed to have been within the exclusive purview of the US Treasury. But it is now clear that the Fed is making up the rules as it goes. The remarks have had the intended result of resuscitating the buck, a welcomed response, according to today's Wall Street Journal editorial, "The Buck Stops Where," "because the price of gold and oil have fallen in each of the last two days." In this election year, there is a coordinated effort among the Treasury, the Fed, and regulatory agencies to beat down the price of commodities. If only it were that easy.

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Currencies

Saturday, June 07, 2008

Bernanke's Feeble Attempt to Boost the US Dollar Lasts for Just 24hours / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Galakoutis

It is becoming increasingly obvious to everyone that in the world of central bankers there is only one credibility champ.

Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke warned about the price pressures caused by a weak dollar and emphasized inflation concerns in a speech on Wednesday, sparking a dollar rally and many pats on the back.

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Currencies

Friday, June 06, 2008

The US Fed's Strong US Dollar Policy / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEver since Robert Rubin began the tradition in the mid-1990s, it has been a significant element of the Treasury Secretary's job description to continuously state that a strong dollar is in the national interest. It is widely regarded that such utterances, if repeated often enough, can constitute the sum total of what is still laughingly known as the nation's “strong dollar policy.”

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Currencies

Thursday, June 05, 2008

Climate Change Conundrum…Global Warming or Cooling? and US Dollar Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe effects of burning huge quantities of oil around the globe has been going on for over 100 years and now the bio-feedback mechanisms are just starting to be noticed. Trends such as this take hundreds or thousands of years to revert back to the mean. A present, oil shortages along with many other commodities are now in Contango, which is putting pressure on longer term pricing for those wishing to secure raw materials for production purposes (e.g. steel for cars, oats for cereal etc.).

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Currencies

Wednesday, June 04, 2008

Ben Bernanke Puts Markets on Notice that US Dollar Will Be Defended / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"...Ben Bernanke's speech in Barcelona this week hardly marks a new strong Dollar policy..."

BEN BERNANKE put the wind up Dollar bears, Gold bulls and just about everyone else in the currency markets for a whole hour on Tuesday.

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Currencies

Tuesday, June 03, 2008

Has the US Dollar Bottomed? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: It's my job to analyze the markets, turn them upside down, inside out, and always consider both sides of the story.

That's the only way to make informed trading decisions, and to make sure the odds are tipped in your favor as much as possible.

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Currencies

Monday, June 02, 2008

Go Away in May, Come Back and Sell Today … / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Black_Swan

We’re sure you’ve heard this before: “Sell in May and go away!” It’s the media’s cute way of explaining the relatively low interest and falling prices during the summertime. Mostly because they believe anybody who’s anybody is off sunning themselves on the beach or out at a ballgame somewhere.

Well, we’ve got a new little ditty for you: “Go Away in May, Come Back and Sell Today!”

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Currencies

Saturday, May 31, 2008

Debt and Demographics to Drive Euro Back to Parity Against the US Dollar / Currencies / Euro

By: John_Mauldin

  • Best Financial Markets Analysis Article The Problem with the Euro
  • Swapping out Commodities
  • The Euro at Par with the Dollar

Last week I wrote that we could see a drop in the price of oil as speculators seemed to be storing oil in very large tankers and "slow steaming" them to port in a bet that prices would rise. When everyone is on the same side of the trade, the time is right for a reversal. This is especially true when there is a large potential supply sitting on the sidelines.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

The Euro's Relentless Climb into Uncharted Territory / Currencies / Euro

By: Black_Swan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePinpointing support and resistance levels in price charts usually isn’t too difficult. It simply involves finding previous points where prices bottomed out or topped out. But the task becomes a bit more difficult when there are no historical prices to target.

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Currencies

Monday, May 26, 2008

Stocks and Oil Point to New US Dollar Low / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: Just when nibbling at a dollar rally started to look safe — bam! The real world of rising risk reared its ugly head again.

Two markets that reflect risk are the stock market and crude oil. The stock market because it's the quintessential risk asset class. And crude because higher prices threaten economic growth and add to inflation expectations.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Dow and the Dollar Tracking Tightly–Is US Dollar Test of Lows on the Cards? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Black_Swan

More evidence the dollar is not immune to risk. Stocks getting clobbered today for a host of reasons—choose your poison. Lately the dollar and the stock market have been moving closely together. Higher stocks equal higher dollar and vice versa. Is a test of the dollar lows in the cards? The run back into gold and continued move in commodities has the look of safe haven.

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