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Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Thursday, January 15, 2015

What About the Russian Ruble? / Currencies / Russia

By: Steve_H_Hanke

The Russian ruble ended 2014 in bad shape. Not as bad as the Ukrainian hryvnia or the Venezuelan bolivar, but bad, nevertheless. For most of 2014, Russia faced an ever-increasing ratcheting up of economic sanctions. These set the stage for what was to come late in the year: the collapse of oil prices and the announcement on November 10th that the ruble would be allowed to float. When combined, these three ingredients created a perfect storm.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

Bitcoin Price Pause in the Decline Might Be Close / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

Another slide in the price of Bitcoin, another day of more negative news on the cryptocurrency. Quite interestingly, we saw the "Bitcoin crash" news on the main page of the New York Times' Dealbook. The article "As Bitcoin's Price Slides, Signs of a Squeeze" also made it into the "Most Viewed" section of the website. In the piece, we read:

The price of Bitcoin slid further on Tuesday, dipping to its lowest level since the spring of 2013. The downward spiral, which began early last year, suggests that confidence in the virtual currency may be dwindling.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 14, 2015

EURUSD and GBPUSD Intraday Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

EURUSD is higher after worse than expected Retail Sales data in the US. USD sold-off across the board, in-line with US stocks in pre-market trading while metals found a support. Well, EURUSD turned up from a new low, that could be treated as a low of a fifth wave. But we always have to try to label the wave count so that we stay with a trend, which is still down. Also, another thing is that red wave 5) would be very small which would not be so typical if we consider that red impulsive red waves 1) and 3) were much larger. With hat said, I suspect that EURUSD is still making either a flat correction in red wave 4) or a triangle if price will stay sideways.

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Currencies

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Bitcoin Price in Tense Territory / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

We read on Reuters that BitStamp had confirmed their exchange would go online during the day today:

Bitstamp, one of the largest exchanges for the digital bitcoin currency, said it would resume trading later on Friday after suspending operations because of a security breach on Sunday.

Bitstamp had suspended its service after the breach resulted in the loss of around 19,000 bitcoins with a value of some $5 million.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Behold the US Dollar Bull Market / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

The purpose of this article is to illustrate the continuous strength of the US Dollar from back in September 2014 and how we are not even at the half way point yet for this current move. The US Dollar Index is thought to be in a bull market for another 5-7 years, so as analysis will show today, the top in the US Dollar appears to be setting up for mid-term top this coming September, rather than November as previously reported.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Euro is in Free Fall / Currencies / Euro

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Euro appears to be in free-fall as Greece threatens to exit the Euro (GREXIT). The question is, who has the most leverage and who will be hurt the most if a default on Greek bonds is made?.

There are 20 days left until the Greek general election, which corresponds nicely to a Primary (panic) Cycle coming to a close at the end of January. A Master Cycle low is also due then, possibly Intermediate Wave (3).

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Bitcoin Price Down 12 Percent Already 2015 – Cyber Attack On Major Exchange / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: GoldCore

2015 has not started well for bitcoin with prices having fallen 12%, from $320 to $288. The cyber attack on a leading bitcoin exchange is the latest challenge for the fledgling digital currency.

Bitstamp, Europe’s leading bitcoin exchange – and third largest globally – has been off-line following a breach in their system by hackers on Sunday night. The UK based company has suspended lodgements and withdrawals and reported that roughly $5.1 million, around 19,000 BTC, had been ‘lost.’  The revelation follows the disclosure that Bitstamp’s wallet system has been compromised, prompting it to halt deposits and later shut down its platform entirely according to Coin Desk.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Bitcoin Price Stands Still but the Outlook Might Have Changed / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Briefly: short speculative positions, stop-loss at $312, take-profit at $203.

BitStamp, one of the popular Bitcoin exchanges, posted an update on its website, giving customers more information on the recent security breach and its consequences:

We have temporarily suspended Bitstamp services. Bitstamp customers can rest assured that their bitcoins held with us prior to temporary suspension of services on January 5th (at 9am UTC) are completely safe and will be honored in full.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Are Central Banks Dumping Euros? / Currencies / Euro

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The euro began the first full trading week of 2015 by breaking below the $1.20 level for the first time in four years to end up hitting a nine-year low of $1.1864. The latest reasons of the renewed slump are rising probability that the Greek anti-bailout left alliance will win the Jan 25 elections, a combination of apparent tolerance from German Chancellor Merkel over the possibility of a Greek exit and emerging consensus that even if outright QE of euro sovereign bonds were agreed upon by the European Central Bank, the plan would fail to ridding the Eurozone from deflation.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

2015 – Is the Aussie Dollar Going Down ? / Currencies / Austrailia

By: Submissions

Badre Bouarich writes: At a time where oil prices are hitting the ground driven by a high supply - low demand environment, several market actors are getting to expect a depreciation of the so called commodity currencies. As defined by the financial dictionary ( ) and studied by IMF Senior Economists ( ), commodity currencies are currencies whose exchange rate is highly correlated to the price of a commodity.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Currency Wars / Currencies / Currency War

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

The current Japanese monetary printing orgy and European Central Bank threats of massive QE are both aimed at primarily boosting exports to kick start their moribund economies. The yen has dropped nearly 12% against the dollar since the Japanese announcement in October and the Euro has dropped over 10% against the dollar in the last six months.

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Currencies

Saturday, January 03, 2015

The Great Fallacy at the Heart of Modern Monetary Theory / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Jesse

As with all theories that miss the mark, Modern Monetary Theory presents some insights into the matter of course, but seems to hinge on one or two key assumptions that are more matters of assertion than historical or even practical experience. It is founded not so much an economic theory, but on a belief without a firm foundation.

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Currencies

Friday, January 02, 2015

Will New Year Bring New Bitcoin Developments? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

BitMEX, a Bitcoin derivatives exchange will post a Bitcoin volatility index, which will be a measure of the magnitude of change in the price of the cryptocurrency, we read on CoinDesk:

Derivatives exchange BitMEX will publish an index on 5th January that it hopes will become the bitcoin world's version of the VIX– the so-called 'fear index' that is used to gauge uncertainty in the wider financial markets.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Bitcoin Price Could Move Down / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In short: no speculative positions.

Looking back at Bitcoin in 2014, we see that this was not a kind year for the currency, at least not in terms of the price. Bitcoin has gone down some 50% (!) since the beginning of the year or some 70% (!) since December 2013. Not particularly encouraging results, and even Bitcoin-focused websites make mention of them. On CoinDesk, we read:

If the story of bitcoin in 2013 was its meteoric rise in price, which saw it hit a peak of over $1,100 in November, then the tale of bitcoin's price this year is one of plummeting from those heights.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

The 5 Phases of Bitcoin Adoption / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: John_Mauldin

What will it take for Bitcoin to gain broad adoption and become the foundation of a new global financial system?

Worth Wray sat down with Barry Silbert, founder of the Bitcoin Investment Trust, to discuss. As one the most active venture capitalists in the industry (with investments in over 30 Bitcoin-related portfolio companies through the Bitcoin Opportunity Corp.), Barry has gone all-in on Bitcoin and Bitcoin-related businesses.

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Currencies

Sunday, December 28, 2014

Crude Oil and U.S. Dollar Index Technical Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

Oil
Oil has continued to crash throughout December but I suspect there is now only marginally lower to go with the final low imminent.
Let’s investigate using the monthly and daily charts.

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Currencies

Friday, December 26, 2014

2015 Could Be Ford's Best Year Ever / Currencies / US Auto's

By: Money_Morning

William Patalon writes: I've always been a "car guy."

Back in my high-school, college, and twentysomething years, the term was "motorhead."

I liked to soup up cars, did a bit of drag racing, and restored several antiques and classics with my Dad.

So I know cars.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 23, 2014

Divergence and Deflation Dminated Forex Markets in 2014 / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: MahiFX

For the forex markets 2014 can be largely summed up in just two words: Divergence and Deflation. It was also the year of the USD, which enjoyed a spectacular rally.

The USD index was around 80 at the end of December 2014 and by the end of December 2015 it was 89.60 with it really finding its momentum from June onwards.

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Currencies

Sunday, December 21, 2014

BItcoin and Altcoins in 2015 / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mark_Blair

One: Bitcoin has been stuck for a while in a sort of ‘deflationary spiral.’ This means that commercial adoption by companies like Microsoft and Time has kept Btc’s price DOWN: no one wants to sell at this price coin that they (a) paid more for, and (b) can clearly see will rise greatly in value.

The Mining Thing – whereby miners tend to sell now rather than later (to pay for electricity) – remains an aspect.

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Currencies

Saturday, December 20, 2014

The Link between the Ruble and Keynes / Currencies / Russia

By: Steve_H_Hanke

On March 3, 2014, the United States went to war with Russia. That’s when the U.S. first imposed sanctions. And, yes, sanctions are nothing more than war by non-military means. Then, on November 11 Russia committed a major misstep. It floated the ruble. Since then, the ruble hasn’t floated on a sea of tranquility. It has plunged in lockstep with oil — by about 25% and its volatility has soared to around 65%.

The ruble’s plunge means that Russian imports will be more expensive and exports more competitive. This combination will help keep Russia’s current account positive, which will offset some of Russia’s massive capital flight.

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