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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Sunday, January 10, 2016

This Is What Gold Does In A Currency Crisis, China Edition / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: John_Rubino

As China’s leaders figure out that pegging the yuan to the dollar while quintupling their debt in five years was a colossal mistake, they are, apparently, concluding that the only way out is a sudden, sharp currency devaluation. See Pressure on China central bank for bigger yuan depreciation.

Chinese citizens, meanwhile, are anxiously awaiting tomorrow’s market open while mentally repeating the same three lines:

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Currencies

Saturday, January 09, 2016

The Impact of a Strong U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Donald_W_Dony

Impressive drivers continue to surface for the U.S. dollar. And the impact lingers on many fronts.

One measure is the recent positive U.S. jobs report. This adds to the dollar's already bullish tone as it dials up pressure on the Fed to raise interest rates in the months ahead.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 07, 2016

Another China Yuan 2% Devaluation Coming Up? Explaining Chinese Capital Flight / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Mike_Shedlock

Another Yuan Devaluation Coming Up?

Currency trends suggest another yuan devaluation is coming up. Specifically, the gap between the mainland China yuan (renminbi) to the US dollar, vs. the offshore floating rate of the yuan to the US dollar is now at a record high.

The reason there are two rates is China has tight controls on the range the yuan trades in China, but the yuan floats outside China.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 06, 2016

GBPUSD And Natural Gas Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBPUSD

GBPUSD is at new low so obviously wave 4 is already completed at 1.4815 with another sharp correction. We see current price in wave 5, final leg within an extended wave 3) that can be underway towards 1.4550 area where we see some Fibonacci ratios that can act as a support. That said, traders must be aware of turn up into a new corrective rally as we approach end of the week.

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Currencies

Sunday, January 03, 2016

USDJPY Pullback Continues  / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

The 2015 high at 125.85 played out as expected we now have a bear trend playing out. Let’s review the daily and monthly charts.

USDJPY DAILY CHART

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

The War On Cash Is Now Being Rolled Out At An Incredible Speed / Currencies / War on Cash

By: Jeff_Berwick

In the old days there used to be bank robbers… old Westerns were full of the stories.  Now, the banks rob you.

It’s all part of a grand scheme to turn the entire world into indentured servants under total control.

Here is where the world is headed: Countries like India are already building corporately sponsored cities, municipal environments where people live in the same place they work.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

US Dollar Bull Market / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ed_Carlson

     DXY fell 0.72% last week and closed at 98.01 (below the 13-dma) after printing an engulfing bearish candlestick on Friday.  14-day RSI was unable to stay above its 20-dma during the previous week’s rally and 3-day RSI remains below 80; bearish. Not surprisingly, DXY looks similar to the pattern in TNX – the interest rate on the ten-year treasury.

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Currencies

Monday, December 28, 2015

This Is What Gold Does In A Currency Crisis, Canadian Dollar Edition / Currencies / Canadian $

By: John_Rubino

Along with the currencies of most other commodity-exporting countries, the Canadian dollar has been in near-freefall lately.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 24, 2015

U.S. Dollar Will be Biggest Casualty of Lower Oil Prices - Video / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mario_Innecco

Transcript Excerpt - hi it's Thursday December 24th Christmas Eve 2015 and can be speaking about the
USDollar and how it's gonna be the biggest casualty lower oil prices and
commodity prices that we've seen for the last over 12 months you know last 18
months that will lead you know to make him in other currencies because the
dollar is the global reserve currency so one of the major while the major reason
why I think the Dalby the biggest casualty is because back in the
seventies after 1971 when president nixon to the dollar off the Bretton
Woods system with which was a Gold Exchange System gold back system in
august of nineteen seventy-one then Secretary of State Henry Kissinger he
put it to you with the saudi government
Saudi Arabian royal family whatever you wanna call it they put a deal that Saudi
Arabia which was accumulating a lot of dollar reserves and a lot of foreign

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Currencies

Monday, December 21, 2015

Euro Rally Likely to Reverse / Currencies / Euro

By: Richard_Cox

As we move into the end of this year, we have seen some surprising moves in the currency markets that have likely taken many traders by surprise.  Perhaps the best example here is the shorter-term rally in the EUR/USD, which has quickly risen to near important psychological levels at 1.10.  This commonly traded pair has spent most of its recent activity roughly 5 big-figures below this area, so the it is difficult to argue against the fact that these moves have been substantial. 

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Currencies

Thursday, December 17, 2015

FOMC and Oil Double Whammy - Oh Oh Canadian Dollar! / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Dan_Norcini

FOMC and Oil. That double whammy was too much for the Cando in today's session as the currency broke down into a fresh ELEVEN YEAR LOW. Though it too did manage to bounce off the session lows as the US Dollar experienced a round of selling pressure, the Cando still ended the day lower. Currently in Asian trade, it is trading lower again.

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Currencies

Friday, December 11, 2015

SDR - China Takes a Big Step Forward / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: John_Browne

On November 30th the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced that it would admit China's Renminbi currency, commonly known as the Yuan, to the select basket of reserve currencies that make up its Special Drawing Rights (SDR's). Having been stalled by U.S. influence for many years, the long-awaited IMF decision acknowledges the massive transfer of financial power from the old West to the new East. The move heralds an era of potentially great change with global implications for politics, economics and investments.

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Currencies

Friday, December 11, 2015

Forex Trading Alert: EUR/USD - North or South? / Currencies / Euro

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Earlier today, the U.S. Department of Labor reported that the number of initial jobless claims in the week ending December 4 rose by 13,000 to 282,000, missing analysts' forecasts. As a result, the USD Index moved slightly lower, but did it change anything in the short-term picture of the euro?

In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:

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Currencies

Thursday, December 10, 2015

USDCZK Dips Worth Eyeing / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: AnyOption

With the end of the year rapidly approaching, traders and investors are busy squaring positions and taking profits in the lead up to the holidays.  One of the most notably impacts has been the sustained downward pressure on the US dollar after the currency proved amongst the best performers of 2015, with the dollar index up 8.00% year-to-date.  However, in the uncertainty leading up to the FOMC decision next week, the remains softer versus peers despite the potential for the unveiling of a new rate hike cycle.  However, by comparison, Europe looks no closer to exiting crisis-driven policies and seems intent on keeping policy accommodative over the medium-term.  The Czech Republic in particular has been mirroring the slowdown in Europe, marked by weak inflation and record low interest rates.  With a major policy divergence approaching, USDCZK losses might present an exceptional opportunity to gain greater exposure to dollar upside in 2016.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 10, 2015

EURUSD Final Bear Rally Leg Underway / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

Price recently traded down to support outlined in previous analysis before reversing and trading higher in impulsive style. While a turn back up was expected in order for the bear rally to embark on the final leg higher, this move was on the back of the ECB announcement.

There is always a reason for a move and the market does indeed work in mysterious ways. Some will say this was just a lucky coincidence and I must admit I don't truly understand it. However, what I do understand is that I have seen this type of stuff happen on too many occasions for it to be just a coincidence.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 08, 2015

Keynes on the Menace of Printing Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Michael_J_Kosares

How the celebrated economist might have structured his investment portfolio today

“I find myself more and more relying for a solution of our problems on the invisible hand which I tried to eject from economic thinking twenty years ago.” – John Maynard Keynes, 1946

John Maynard Keynes made that admission to Henry Clay, a member of the Bank of England's Advisory Committee, in 1946. Ten days later he passed away. Keynes had come full circle – from economic interventionist extraordinaire to proponent of Adam Smith's laissez faire. Twenty-five years after that, Richard Nixon would suspend dollar convertibility, scrap the Bretton Woods fixed exchange rate regime system of which Keynes was the principal architect and allow currencies and gold to float freely in international markets. The fiat money system of the late 20th and early 21st centuries was born. Though a radically different system from the one Keynes created in the aftermath of World War II, Richard Nixon declared upon its launch that "we are all Keynsians now."

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Currencies

Saturday, December 05, 2015

Euro, Dollar, Buy the Rumor and Sell the News Alive in Forex Markets / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: EconMatters

ECB Disappoints

All those who continue to forget this trading maxim were royally punished on Thursday morning as the ECB could not match the trading enthusiasm built into the move in shorting the Euro and thus going long the US Dollar for the prior 7 weeks lead up into the ECB Monetary Policy Decision.

This is such a strong trading maxim to buy the rumor, and sell the actual news that it is the exception rather than the rule where an event over delivers. The best move is to take profits the day before the event as opposed to getting crushed on the news which happened today in the Euro and US Dollar forex trades. Literally the amount of crushing that some traders took this morning regarding giving up a month`s worth of profits in an hour is stomach churning.

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Currencies

Friday, December 04, 2015

US Dollar Index Technical Outlook / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Austin_Galt

The US Dollar index has made marginal new highs which I believe will turn out to be a false break top. Let's take a top down approach beginning with the monthly chart.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 02, 2015

U.S. Treasury Secretary Makes Sad Admission about Coinage Devaluation / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MoneyMetals

Traders are bidding up the U.S. dollar and dumping metals as they become more convinced that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at its next meeting. Janet Yellen and company have been talking about raising rates for the better part of a year, though. All talk and no action so far.

Will they finally hike or keep crying wolf? We'll find out when the Fed meets on December 15-16.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 02, 2015

How Money Disappears in a Fractional-Reserve Money System / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Frank_Shostak

Most experts are of the view that the massive monetary pumping by the US central bank during the 2008 financial crisis saved the US and the world from another Great Depression. On this the Federal Reserve Chairman at the time Ben Bernanke is considered the man that saved the world. Bernanke in turn attributes his actions to the writings of Professor Milton Friedman who blamed the Federal Reserve for causing the Great Depression of 1930s by allowing the money supply to plunge by over 30 percent.

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