Best of the Week
Most Popular
1. Climate Change Mass Extinction - Birds, Bees and Bugs: Going Going Gone - Richard_Mills
2.A Purrrfect Gold Price Setup! - Peter_Degraaf
3.Who Finances America's Borrowing? Recession Indicator for Independent Thinkers Part 2 - F_F_Wiley
4.America’s One-sided Domestic Financial War - Raymond_Matison
5.Gold Price Summer Doldrums - Zeal_LLC
6.Two Key Events Will Unleash Gold - Jim_Willie_CB
7.Billionaire Schools Teacher in NAFTA Trade Talks - Richard_Mills
8.Get Out Of Crypto Cannabis Bubble Before It Pops and Move Into Bargain Basement Miners - Jeb_Handwerger
9.Stock Market Could Pullback for 1-2 weeks, But Medium Term Bullish - Troy_Bombardia
10.G7 Chaos, Central Banks and US Fed Will Drive Stock Prices This Week - Chris_Vermeulen
Last 7 days
Trump Fee-Fi-Foe-Fum Declares European Union America's Enemy! - 16th Jul 18
US Stocks Set For Further Advances As Q2 Earnings Start - 15th Jul 18
Stock Market vs. Gold, Long-term Treasury Yields, 10yr-2yr Yield Curve 3 Amigo's Update - 15th Jul 18
China vs the US - The Road to War - 14th Jul 18
Uncle Sam’s Debt-Money System Is Immoral, Tantamount to Theft - 14th Jul 18
Staying in a Caravan - UK Summer Holidays 2018 - Cayton Bay Hoseasons Holiday Park - 14th Jul 18
Gold Stocks Summer Lows - 14th Jul 18
Trump US Trade War With China, Europe Consequences, Implications and Forecasts - 13th Jul 18
Gold Standard Requirements & Currency Crisis - 13th Jul 18
Focus on the Greenback, Will USD Fall Below Euro 1.6? - 13th Jul 18
Stock Market Outlook 2018 - Bullish or Bearish - 13th Jul 18
Rising Inflation is Not Bearish for Stocks - 13th Jul 18
Bitcoin Picture Less Than Pretty - 13th Jul 18
How International Observers Undervalue the Chinese Bond Market - 13th Jul 18
Stocks Trying to Break Higher Again, Will They? - 12th Jul 18
The Rise and Fall of Global Trade – Redux - 12th Jul 18
Corporate Earnings Q2 2018 Will Probably be Strong. What This Means for Stocks - 12th Jul 18
Is the Relative Strength in Gold Miners to Gold Price Significant? - 12th Jul 18
Live Cattle Commodity Trading Analysis - 12th Jul 18
Gold’s & Silver’s Reversals’ Reversal - 12th Jul 18
The Value of Bitcoin - 11th Jul 18
America a Nation Built on Lies - 11th Jul 18
China, Asia and Emerging Markets Could Result In Chaos - 11th Jul 18
Bullish Gold Markets in the Big Picture? - 11th Jul 18
A Public Bank for Los Angeles? City Council Puts It to the Voters - 11th Jul 18
Yield Curve Inversion a Remarkably Accurate Warning Indicator For Economic & Market Peril - 11th Jul 18
Argentina Should Scrap the Peso and Dollarize - 11th Jul 18
Can the Stock Market Close Higher For a Record 10th Year in a Row? - 11th Jul 18
Why Life Insurance Is A Must In Financial Planning - 9th Jul 18
Crude Oil Possibly Setting Up For A Big Downside Move - 9th Jul 18
BREAKING: New Tech Just Unlocked A Trillion Barrels Of Oil - 9th Jul 18
How Trade Wars Penalize Asian Currencies - 9th Jul 18
Another Stock Market Drop Next Week? - 9th Jul 18
Are the Stock Market Bulls Starting to Run? - 9th Jul 18

Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Tuesday, May 22, 2007

The Decoy of the Falling US Dollar Revisited / Currencies / US Interest Rates

By: Professor_Emeritus

I have received the following letter from a reader of my column:

Mr. Fekete:

I have been reading your work for a number of years and always look forward to your thoughts, particularly when they run counter to conventional wisdom. In your latest piece you suggest that the falling dollar (or rising yen) actually strengthens the yen carry trade. My chartwork argues otherwise, and your logic escapes me. I would welcome clarification of one particular paragraph of yours, especially on the last sentence that, I believe, is central to your analysis. You wrote:

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, May 17, 2007

Strong US Dollar is in US Interest / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

It seems that in order to qualify for the job, U.S. Treasury Secretaries must be able to recite ‘A strong dollar is in the interest of the United States' anytime and anywhere. Robert Rubin, Treasury Secretary during the second half of the 1990s, was highly credible when he said it.

However, when Secretary John Snow uttered the same words, the ritual had been diluted to providing the appropriate sound bite to the media. Hank Paulson, successor to Snow and current Treasury Secretary, is a straight talker, but knows that his job comes with what amounts to a marketing responsibility. In the meantime, investors are at a loss what the U.S. policy towards a dollar truly is; there seems to be a disconnect between what ought to be in U.S. interest, and what current policies promote.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Wednesday, May 16, 2007

Euro Currency Toast and The Race to Debase, Part II / Currencies / Euro

By: Adrian_Ash

"...The €500 note is more bling than a gold-plated Uzi. No wonder it's become so popular with gangsters in Moscow ..."

FOREIGN AFFAIRS magazine just called for the "end of national currency". Maybe it matters.

After all, " Foreign Affairs is the most important and influential journal of international relations in the world," as Cryptogon.com points out.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, May 11, 2007

US Dollar Bear Market 5 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

Adam Hamilton writes : With the headline US stock indexes doing so well this year, they are understandably absorbing trader attention and news coverage like a black hole. It is always exciting to see major new round numbers achieved and new highs carved. But other markets outside of this limelight are not frozen in stasis.

In particular the US dollar, seemingly totally forgotten in the dark shadow the stock markets are casting, has been exceedingly interesting. While you wouldn't know it from the mainstream financial media thanks to very little commentary on it, the US dollar's secular bear market is very much alive and well. In fact today it is on the verge of testing major major new lows.

If the dollar indeed continues on its stealthy downward trajectory and hits these new lows, the implications will probably be profound. Especially for American investors and speculators, the dollar is the linchpin of everything financial. When foreign investors see new dollar lows, will the massive inflows of capital they pump into our financial markets waver? What would this mean for US stocks, bonds, and interest rates?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Update of the US Dollar Index Forecast / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

I thought it would be good to post the USD action of late and why it is affecting other markets. I will not be posting any other technical analysis reports for sometime. Instead they will be research-related topics over the course of the next 4-6 months. An article I plan on releasing 3-4 weeks from now is titled “Busy Bee Bugaboo and Another Unsuspecting Agent of Doom”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, May 10, 2007

The Russian Bear, Chinease Dragon, and US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Russia and China have become a major problem. Everywhere one turns, there is Russia & China at odds with the United States . We have the Great Bear in a conflict over energy, Iran , military installations, and central bank policy. We have the Great Dragon in a conflict over currency reform, banking reform, copyright enforcement, trade matters, human rights, and central bank policy.

Armed with a combined account of almost $1600 billion, these two giants are in a Battle of Titans with the United States for geopolitical control. With the financial shift to developing nations comes a natural push toward geopolitical control. The USEconomy and USDollar have never been in a weaker position. The bear and dragon know it well, and have taken steps to wrest more power and influence.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, May 10, 2007

Euro Currency toast & the race to debase, Part I / Currencies / Euro

By: Adrian_Ash

"...If you think the Dollar looks weak on the charts, wait 'til you see what's wrong with the Euro..."

SERIOUS ECONOMISTS never much liked the Euro. Then again, serious economists never much bothered to make money from trading. John Maynard Keynes just goes to prove it.

World-famous scourge of both gold and "the long run", Keynes averaged nearly 13% per year trading the funds of Kings College , Cambridge , during the Depression. London 's stock market, meantime, ticked lower by half-a-per cent per annum.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, May 08, 2007

Brazilian Real The Strongest Currency in the World Today / Currencies / Brazil

By: Money_and_Markets

When I first went to Brazil, I was six years old.

A new Chevy cost $1,300.

Gasoline was going for 27 cents a gallon.

Harry Truman was still in the White House.

And my father wanted a second home in the tropics.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, May 04, 2007

US Dollars Supplied at Will, Courage Hard to Find / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Doug_Wakefield

Doug Wakefield with Ben Hill write: Last weekend, my wife and I went over to a friend's home to watch “The Pursuit of Happyness,” starring Will Smith. During the opening scenes of the movie, Smith's character sits in despair thinking about his own struggles in medical sales, during the recession of 1981, while the television blares in the background with the voice of President Reagan discussing the financial plight of our nation. In this snippet, we hear Reagan talk about the urgent need for our national leaders to face the $50 billion deficit.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, May 04, 2007

Watch the French Elections and Neutral US Payrolls to Target Euro 1.3470 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

We mentioned in Thursday morning's note that: "a strong services ISM from the US including a favorable employment index is expected to trigger renewed euro selling towards 1.3570, a break of which could extend to 1.3545-50". Indeed, EURUSD fell from 1.36 to 1.3570 and is now trading at 1.3548, with the low being 1.3547.

This point represents the 38% retracement of the $1.3339-1.3680 move. But we do expect the pair to stabilize back towards the 1.3580s by Friday European trade ahead of US payrolls.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, May 01, 2007

Can the “Axis of Crude Oil” Topple the US Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Dorsch

Were it not for its “reserve currency” status, slowly turning into a post-World War II relic, the US dollar would have already collapsed by now. A string of $4.4 trillion of US trade deficits since 1996, and a heavy reliance on foreign money to fund its external imbalance, has severely weakened America's global economic leadership over the past five years.

The US dollar survives, due to America's political stability, its military might in the Persian Gulf, its large $12.5 trillion economy (28% of global GDP), and deep and liquid financial markets for bonds and stocks. 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Monday, April 30, 2007

Forgive me for being blunt, but the U.S. dollar is sinking into the toilet / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss writes : Yesterday, we enjoyed the gala finale of the ballroom dance competition here in Venice and we finally had some quality time off.

But this morning, we'll soon be on our way to the Venice airport for our flight back to the U.S. So forgive me if my message to you is both brief and blunt:

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, April 27, 2007

How Far Can The US Dollar Index Go? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mario_Innecco

The dollar index measures the dollar's performance against the world's other major currencies. According to Bloomberg the index is weighted as follows: 57.6% euro, 13.6% Japanese yen, 11.9% British pound, 9.1% Canadian dollar, 4.2% swedish krona and 3.6% Swiss franc.

The chart below shows how the index has formed a massive head and shoulder formation over the last fifteen years. The neckline of this formation is formed by connecting the low of 80.05 in April 1995 and the low of 80.39 in December 2004.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, April 26, 2007

Investment Flash: Is the US Dollar Going To Fall Off The Cliff? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Paul_Lamont

Financial markets trade on future expectations. At turning points, the majority of investors position themselves on the wrong side of the trade. Simply put, on each side of the trade it's either money or numbers.

We position ourselves with money and against numbers. For example, days after Hurricane Katrina had hit the U.S., the belief that crude oil could only go higher was widespread. In fact, on Sept 7 th , 2005 96 % of advisors and analysts surveyed by CONSENSUS, Inc. were bullish on oil (chart below). Or simply put, big numbers were betting against big money. And what happened? The crude price subsequently fell 20%. Big money won.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, April 26, 2007

US Dollar Myths / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Without shying away from controversy, we do away with a number of myths of why the dollar ought to move up or down.

Myth I: The dollar is safe because the U.S. has ample assets
Some say the current account deficit that requires foreigners to arrange for over $3 billion of capital inflows every business day just to keep the dollar from falling does not matter. These pundits say a deficit of 6.5% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is sustainable because the deficit is only about 1% of all private assets held in the U.S.; as a result, deficits could be carried a long, long time.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Tuesday, April 24, 2007

Currencies, They Are All Sinking! Part II / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mario_Innecco

Last December we wrote in “They Are All Sinking” about how our present monetary system is a dollar based system and how it has evolved. We also noted how all the major so called hard currencies, along with the dollar, had been losing value against gold since 2001. In part II we will be giving an update on how the major fiat currencies are faring against gold at the present time.

We recommend readers go over to part I in order to get a better idea of how our fiat monetary system has evolved.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Wednesday, April 18, 2007

China's GDP May Threaten Yen Carry Trades / Currencies / Yen Carry Trade

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Going into Thursday's trading, FX traders will watch the return of major economic data from the US and Canada. But before previewing these events and their FX implications, it's worth giving synopsis on what happened in the NY session. There are some doubts about the durability of the carry trade (selling yen across the board simultaneous with rising gold and equities).

We have seen in early morning NY (around 8-9 am EST) how the yen rallied across the board, dragging the dollar, pound and euro. Rumors of a hedge fund caught in the wrong side of the rising pound and as well as rumblings of renewed reports of sub-prime defaults also led to some unwinding, which caused US stocks to open lower. With US equities struggling into record territory, a loss of momentum could easily turn into sharp selling in the event of a weak reading in the leading indicators and Philly Fed index.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Sunday, April 15, 2007

What Does a Dollar of Debt Buy You? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Mauldin

This weekend I am in La Jolla at good friend Rob Arnott's conference. Princeton Professor Burton Malkiel, of Random Walk fame, will be one of the luminaries at the annual Research Affiliates Advisory Panel. So, with that thought in mind, this week we take a seemingly random walk through the data to see if we can discern a trend.

How much debt does it take to grow GDP? You probably missed it, but the Bureau of Labor Statistics gives us data that contradicts the recent labor numbers. Why is consumer sentiment so moribund? And that recession I predicted for 2007? I have a few thoughts on that as well. It should make for an interesting letter with a lot of great charts and graphs.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Friday, April 13, 2007

US Dollar Perched Precariously on a Precipice / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

The dollar is no longer responding to traditional stimulants. This week, despite the apparently "hawkish" tone in the recently released Fed minutes, and trade deficit figures that were slightly less horrific than expected, the dollar nevertheless declined against just about every currency on the planet. As a result, it now teeters dangerously close to the edge of a very large precipice. Looming large is the 80 level of the U.S. Dollar Index which has stood as long term support for almost thirty years.

This week, the Index broke below 82, and is sinking fast. When this critical level is breached, look out below. Without any support beneath it, the dollar could literally fall off a cliff.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Thursday, April 12, 2007

Unsustainable Trade Deficit Means Doomsday for the Greenback / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Whitney

The American people are in La-la land. If they had any idea of what the Federal Reserve was up to they'd be out on the streets waving fists and pitchforks. Instead, we go our business like nothing is wrong.

Are we really that stupid?

What is it that people don't understand about the trade deficit? It's not rocket science. The Current Account Deficit is over $800 billion a year. That means that we are spending more than we are making and savaging the dollar in the process. Presently, we need more than $2 billion of foreign investment per day just to keep the wheels from coming off the cart.

Everyone agrees that the current trade imbalances are unsustainable and will probably trigger major economic disruptions that will thrust us towards a global recession. Still, Washington and the Fed stubbornly resist any change in policy that might reduce over-consumption or reverse present trends.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Page << | 1 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 50 | 60 | 70 | 80 | 90 | 100 | 110 | 120 | 130 | 140 | 147 | 148 | 149 | 150 | 151 | 152 | >>