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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Eye Opening Currency Charts – Why Precious Metals Are Falling / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The incredible strength of the US Dollar over the past 12+ months has put downward pricing pressure on Gold and Silver.  I believe this downward pricing pressure could be muting any upside price advanced in Gold and Silver by as much as 20% to 30% or more.

The US Dollar has turned into the global “safe-haven” for international investors and foreign governments.  Over the past 6 to 12 months, or more, the US Dollar has been the only fiat currency to see any strength and upward trend.  All the other major global currency levels have fallen – some dramatically lower.

The EUR, GBP, AUD, CAD, and CHF have all fallen sharply over the past 6 to 12 months as the strength of the US Dollar and US Economy continued to surprise many.  We’ve been calling this a “capital shift” that started back in 2015~2016 – when the 2016 US Election cycle began and China began to implement capital controls.  At the same time, foreign nations such as Brazil and Venezuela began to shift into an economic abyss while the UK dealt with BREXIT negotiations.  All of these external factors created an environment where the US Dollar became a global safe-haven for global investors – all of which were seeking US equities and US Dollars to hedge weakening foreign currencies and weak foreign stock market performance.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Elliott Wave Analysis of GBPUSD / Currencies / British Pound

By: WavePatternTraders

I suspect a relief bounce is close at hand for some of the GBP pairs, when we look at the decline from the May 2019 high, the new low on pairs such as GBPCHF and GBPCAD are supportive that the new low on GBPUSD is most likely the 5th wave of an impulse wave (5 wave decline) from 13176.

A partial rally in 3 waves is favored soon, that can offer an opportunity for traders that are looking to sell GBPUSD, stops need to be placed at 13176. That is likely to align with a bounce on pairs like GBPCHF and GBPCAD etc.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Bitcoin's Strong Extensions Warn The Bear May Try To Come Back / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Avi_Gilburt

In our last update, we stated that Bitcoin was providing us the minimum price patterns to suggest that a bull market was under way. Moreover, we were looking for a standard corrective pullback to solidify the bull market case.

But when the price action is too strong, it can flash warnings signals. This is clearly what we have seen over the last week or two. Price is always king, and we must not act emotionally as price barrels upward. We must continue to put price action to the test, as it is the only truth in the market.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 23, 2019

The Euro Is Bidding Its Time: A Reversal at Hand? / Currencies / Euro

By: Nadia_Simmons

Relentlessly, the USD Index keeps pushing higher. The euro has come under pressure earlier today though it looks to have stabilized. How close are we to the euro flashing a buy signal and how strong would that have to be to make us act? Is it time to change sides and make another quick buck or two this way? And what about the rest of our profitable positions?

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Currencies

Friday, May 17, 2019

The Use of Technical Analysis for Forex Traders / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

In forex trading, a trader should always carry out analysis to determine the ideal time to enter or exit from trade through the identification of price targets and price trends that depend on historical price movements. All these are summed up to two words which are technical analysis (TA). The analysis functions by analyzing statistical trends based on trading activity such as volume and price movement. Most people tend to mix up this analysis with the fundamental analysis. Just to clarify, fundamental analysis primarily deals with evaluating security’s intrinsic value while technical analysis focuses on trading signals, patterns of price movements, and analytical charting tools for evaluation of security’s strength or weakness.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 16, 2019

Learn to Protect your Forex Trading Capital / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

It is good to think about some proper safety precaution for the trading money. That will help the traders in the best possible ways. With the most proper performance, there will also be good thinking of the trades. We are talking about the traders being worried about the right kind of management of the positions. There are ways of getting some good performance out of any of the traders. However, all of them will need to get some good concentration from the traders. Most concerns will have to be on the safety of the trading money. With some proper thinking, there will be the best possible management of the trades. It is possible for the traders to get some good income in the system, and when we all are going to be with the most right setups, there will not have to be any turning back. We can deal with the most proper business with some good income.

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Currencies

Tuesday, May 14, 2019

As cryptocurrency wallets become more popular, will cryptocurrencies replace traditional payments? / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Umer_Mahmood

Across the globe, the number of people who hold cryptocurrency wallets is increasing exponentially. In fact, so far, around 36 million crypto wallets have been created, many for free using a simple download process. Of course, as increasing numbers of people look to buy BCH and other cryptocurrencies, the number of wallets is bound to rise. However, this rise has been very fast. Since early 2016 the number has gone from fewer than 6.7 million to 34.6 million, rising steadily during that time with no real peaks or troughs. Simultaneously, of course, the number of cryptocurrencies available has also increased. In fact, it’s thought that there were around 1,658 cryptocurrencies in existence in 2018, and new ones are being created all the time.

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Currencies

Friday, May 10, 2019

Bitcoin Bull Market Is Back / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Avi_Gilburt

I am hoping that the title to this article will mark the local top to the rally off the December 2018 lows in Bitcoin. (smile) But, that does not change our perspective that it is likely that Bitcoin has resumed its bull market run.

As we came into 2019, Ryan Wilday and I have been publishing articles about Bitcoin, with our ideal targets for the initial rally off its December 2018 lows pointing to the $6000-7000 region before a top forms. And, as we now find ourselves in our target region, we now can count the minimum number of waves in Bitcoin to mark a near term top. Therefore, as I write this article while Bitcoin is hovering around $6,050, we are still looking a bit higher in the near term, but with more caution than prior articles.

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Currencies

Thursday, May 09, 2019

Bitcoin Setting Up For Another Drop / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last year just days before the big Bitcoin breakdown we notified everyone publicly to get ready for a swift drop from $6000 to $4000 which played out perfectly within a few days. Our cycle system and technical analysis skills combined can pack a powerful punch and this one of those incredible moves where the stars aligned for us as traders.

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Currencies

Friday, April 26, 2019

The Euro Is Down. But Is It Really Out? / Currencies / Euro

By: Nadia_Simmons

We’ve seen quite decent currency moves in recent days. And the market ain’t exactly sleepy today, either. Let’s put these moves into the picture. The implications lead us to make serious decisions. Is there a more pleasant sound than ringing a cashier’s bell? Ringing YOUR cashier’s bell, that is. Just see what we’ve exactly decided to do right now.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 17, 2019

How Central Bank Gold Buying is Undermining the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Richard_Mills

Ahead of the Herd has been digging into why central banks are buying a lot of gold recently . What we’ve found is eyebrow-raising, to say the least. It may be the best reason you’ve ever read for wanting to buy gold.

Take this headline from the Northern Miner: “Editorial: Central banks are major gold buyers in 2019”. Citing statistics from the World Gold Council, the Northern Miner reports that central banks netted 51 tonnes in gold purchases, the most since October 2018, when they increased gold held in central bank vaults by 105 tonnes. Switching to ounces, the Miner states that gold holdings grew by a startling 2.9 million ounces in January and February 2019, versus 1.9 Moz during the same period of 2018. This is the highest level of gold buying by central banks since the first two months of 2008 - during the financial crisis.

Central banks backed up the truck for gold in 2018, buying 651.5 tonnes versus 375 tonnes in 2017. That’s the largest net purchase of gold since 1967.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 09, 2019

What Does Bitcoin’s Surge Reveal? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Rodney_Johnson

If you went to the store two days in a row and all the prices had gone down by 20% on the second day, would you wonder what was going on?

What if prices jumped 10% one day, then fell 7% the next?

What if, over the course of a year, prices skyrocketed by 400%?

This is what the world is like for those who view Bitcoin as currency.
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Currencies

Monday, April 08, 2019

What’s Next for the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

People don’t understand gold. They don’t understand the U.S. dollar either.

Mostly, it’s the same people.

Gold bugs thought we were debasing the dollar by printing our way out of the 2008/9 financial crisis. Ha! Actually, the dollar has been rising since the start of that recession. The dollar, not gold, is actually the safe haven for the markets.

Right now, it’s range bound, but the dollar strengthened as much as 47%, at its best, during the last 11 years.

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Currencies

Monday, April 08, 2019

US Dollar Key Fundamentals / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

A reminder that we are not using the standard gold bug method of evaluating the USD (perma “death to the dollar!!”). We are using fundamentals in evaluating its potential to correct (and launch a global macro trade). The blue shaded boxes on this weekly chart tell the story of Fed policy (Fed Funds/3 mo. T-Bill) that significantly lagged the upturn in the 2yr yield into late 2015. But USD turned up much earlier (in 2014) to follow the 2yr.

Today we have an opposite situation. The 2yr has turned down (putting the Fed in dove mode) but Fed policy is going sideways. We are relatively early in a new blue box and if the correlation between USD and the 2yr holds (in reverse) either USD will correct soon or the 2yr will rise again (and whipsaw an increasingly clownish looking Fed).

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Currencies

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Litecoin – Love It Or Hate It / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Sumeet_Manhas

As the cryptocurrency revolution shows no sign of slowing down, we spoke to a couple of people who have been caught up in the emergence of one particular brand of a coin, Litecoin, all of whom share a few similar experiences, whilst bearing a few contradictions to each other too. We talked to them about everything from usability to litecoin price, to see what conclusions we could draw.

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Currencies

Friday, April 05, 2019

Canadian Dollar May Be Setting Up For An Upside Breakout / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers, at Technical Traders Ltd., believe a current pennant/flag formation in the Canadian Dollar is suggesting an upside breakout move may be setting up over the next 5~7+ days.  Recently, the Canadian Dollar has weakened from 0.76875 to lows near 0.74375.  Current price rotation is almost perfectly aligned with Fibonacci Price theory suggesting that the recent failure to establish any new lower price level (highlighted on this chart in MAGENTA), suggests a tightening price range as the current pennant/flag formation completes over the next 5~7+ days.  It is our belief that as long as the current price level stays above the 0.74375 level throughout the completed pennant apex, an upside price break is very likely.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Euro Dollar Price Bottoming Setup / Currencies / Euro

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The Euro Futures chart is highlighting recent support and our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling systems are suggesting that a current support zone may be setting up for a decent upside move to near 1.15.  Momentum has stalled to the downside after the Brexit kerfuffle.  It is our opinion that this move to near 1.125 will likely hold as support and prompt an upside price move towards the 1.15 price level.

Volatility within the ZE is normal and this type of price rotation appears to continue.  An upside bottom/base near 1.125 may prompt a larger upside price swing in the Euro Futures because it relates a “higher low” price formation following Fibonacci Price Theory.  This set would indicate that a “lower low” attempt has failed and would suggest that the Euro Futures price would now attempt a new Higher High (above 1.155).

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Currencies

Saturday, March 23, 2019

US Dollar Breakdown on Fed Was Much Worse Than It Looks / Currencies / US Dollar

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund explains why the dollar breakdown after the Fed's rate announcement is good news for precious metals.

The Fed statement that it won't be raising rates again this year had a dramatic effect on both the dollar and the precious metals sector. The dollar had been struggling to make further progress for some time and the Fed statement kicked the crutches out from under it, and it broke sharply lower, as we can see on its latest 1-year chart below. It broke below its 200-day moving average, the 1st time it has been below it for almost a year, and it also broke it down below its uptrend. This was a development made all the more serious and decisive by the fact that it is currently tightly bunched with its moving averages, which means that it is at a key inflexion point—it could have broken either way, but the Fed has decided its direction with its stated policy not to raise rates this year.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 23, 2019

Which Currency Pairs Stand to Benefit from Prevailing Risk Aversion? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: P_Radomski_CFA

After the Fed’s surprise move, the dust is getting settled. We are seeing serious reprising across many currency pairs. Sharp movements practically anywhere you look today. Where to start? With the euro, the yen or the Canadian dollar? It’s hard to choose the winner among all the moves in our favor. Let’s shine more light into every pair covered so that you are as prepared for what lies ahead as we are. Our subscribers already are.

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Currencies

Friday, March 22, 2019

March 2019 Cryptocurrency Technical Analysis / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Umer_Mahmood

Although cryptocurrencies lost significant value during 2018, most of the major tokens had a decent performance so far in 2019. Today we’ll look at Bitcoin, Ether, and Litecoin, in order to help you understand the price action context and potentially find some good trading opportunities.

BTCUSD (Coinbase chart)

Those of you familiar with online trading on cryptocurrencies, already know that Bitcoin started to edge higher since December 15th. Widely known as the “Santa rally”, this seasonal occurrence proved to be right for the major cryptocurrency.
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