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Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Crude Oil Price Blues (Read: Dangers) for Some / Currencies / Crude Oil

By: Steve_H_Hanke

As the price of crude oil continues its downward tumble towards $80 per barrel, I am reminded of a similar scenario from near the end of the Cold War in the 1980s. When Saudi Arabia announced in 1985 that protecting oil prices was no longer its main priority, oil production surged and prices fell off a cliff, briefly plunging below $10 per barrel, as I had correctly predicted.

Lower prices delivered a fatal blow to the Soviet economy, which ended up seeing $20 billion per year in oil revenues evaporate. The resulting fiscal shortfalls proved to be a dagger in the heart of the U.S.S.R.

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Currencies

Saturday, October 18, 2014

Bitcoin Price Fall to $350? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Briefly: no speculative positions.

Marc Andreessen, founder of Netscape and, currently, founder and partner at Andreessen Horowitz, a venture capital firm invested in Bitcoin startups, expressed his views on Bitcoin and Apple Pay, we read on CoinDesk:

Apple Pay is the next big thing that's "freaking out" financial services companies right now, but, in the long term, bitcoin will prove to be the real innovation, Marc Andreessen has said.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

We Can Police the Dark Web / Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Bloomberg

Ben Lawsky, Superintendent of the New York State Department of Financial Services, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Trish Regan today on the future of Bitcoin and virtual currencies on the internet and the ability of law enforcement to police their use as they become more anonymous.

When asked whether the dark web can really be policed, Lawsky said: "Yeah, I think so...I think prosecutors will eventually bring the hammer down if these sites are being abused and people are dealing in illicit drugs, just like they would do if it was happening in the real world, not the virtual world."

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 14, 2014

U.S. Dollar Sea Change / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Mauldin

You don’t need a weatherman
To know which way the wind blows.

– Bob Dylan, “Subterranean Homesick Blues,” 1965

Full fathom five thy father lies.
Of his bones are coral made.
Those are pearls that were his eyes.
Nothing of him that doth fade,
But doth suffer a sea-change
Into something rich and strange.

– William Shakespeare, The Tempest

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Currencies

Sunday, October 12, 2014

Mr Osborne’s Bew Pound Design Challenge / Currencies / British Pound

By: Submissions

Tom Naysburn writes: I was excited to read about Mr Osborne’s new design competition, so I decided to submit my suggestion. I am conservative by nature, I dislike waste and excess, and see untapped potential everywhere, but I don’t expect that to sway his decision.

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Currencies

Friday, October 10, 2014

Bitcoin Price Bumpy Ride / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is playing-catch up with Bitcoin. The CFTC held a meeting in Washington yesterday, to learn more about the cryptocurrency, we read on CoinDesk:

Panelists for the CFTC event included Coin Center executive director Jerry Brito; New York Law School professor Houman Shadab; BitPay chief compliance officer Tim Byun; and TeraExchange president and co-founder Leonard Nuara.

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Currencies

Friday, October 10, 2014

US Dollar Super Overbought / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

The US dollar has relentlessly blasted higher in recent months, achieving its longest consecutive-week rally in history.  Speculators have flooded into the world’s reserve currency for a variety of reasons, ranging from Federal Reserve rate-hike hopes to festering Eurozone worries.  But the resulting massive dollar surge has left it super-overbought while breeding universal bullishness, the precursors to a sharp selloff.

While only a small fraction of traders speculate in currencies, the foreign-exchange market is the largest in the world by far.  Trillions of dollars change hands in currency trades every day, dwarfing all the other markets!  And currency prices, particularly the fortunes of the dominant US dollar, can greatly affect everything else in the financial-market and economic realms.  No one can afford to ignore the US dollar.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Bitcoin Price Short-term Bottom Not Far Away? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

In not too many words: no speculative positions.

"Buy when there's blood in the streets," or so the saying goes. And we're starting to catch first whiffs of "blood," if not streaks of it in the media coverage. There's been a marked increase in articles that focus on "Bitcoin going under $300" or ones exploring the idea that it might be all over for the currency. We read on Quartz:

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Bitcoin Price Swoon Illustrates Volatile, Illiquid Nature of Trading Market / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Submissions

Steven Lord writes: The recent drop in the price of bitcoin has remindedkeepcalm many industry participants, particularly those that arrived within the last year, of the inherent volatility associated with new, immature and illiquid markets. While a clutch of bitcoin skeptics, including such luminaries as economist Paul Krugman, have touted bitcoin’s drop from the $600 range on August 1st to intra-day lows near $280 on October 6th as proof of some sort of inherent flaw, the truth is that such volatility is neither new for bitcoin nor terribly germane to its continued adoption.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

US Dollar is Extreme / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

Using Tom McCellan’s article discussing a “blow off” move in the US dollar and its very bearish net short position by commercial traders as a starting point, I would like to talk about the USD and gold and how they each fit in to the global macro backdrop.  We could add silver into the mix as well because its failure in relation to gold (ref. the gold-silver ratio’s breakout last week) is the other horseman (joining Uncle Buck) that would indicate a changing macro.  Here’s the McClellan piece:

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

U.S. Dollar's Ride is About to End / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Michael_Pento

Under the stewardship of Shinzo Abe, the nation of Japan has become a global leader in debt, currency devaluation and inflation. Unfortunately for the Japanese, Abenomics is also leading Japan into a hyperinflationary depression, as the first of his three arrows has shot right through the yen and put a gaping hole in the wallets of every Japanese citizen.

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

GBP Still Trading Under Pressure: Can This Continue? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Richard_Cox

Dollar strength continues to dominate, so if there is any way to characterize the overall behavior in forex markets for the final portion of the summer, it would be done using the pronounced bullish moves that have been see against the Euro and Pound.  Most of this positive activity in the greenback has been supported by risk aversion and geopolitical tensions (which were present in several major economic regions around the world).  This sent the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish ETF (NYSE: UUP) to new highs, and this strength came at the expense of both the Euro and British Pound (GBP), which are both trading at some of their lowest levels of the year. 

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

GBPUSD and EURAUD Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Gregor_Horvat

No change on GBPUSD; the pair is still showing a very interesting and clear bearish pattern that is pointing lower, into wave v) of (iii). On the upside price meets resistance at 1.6000 and 1.6030/50.

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

Cerulean Dollars - Go Deep or Go Home / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

“We have deep depth.”-Yoga Berra

The dollar institution is much larger than the Fed, the Treasury or the entire basket of FOREX that derives relative values of backless currencies.

Market action makes market commentary. Few question price discovery -- instead they spend precious time trying to make the fundamentals fit the price. A backwards endeavour. We need to go deeper.

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Currencies

Monday, October 06, 2014

Bitcoin Ebola GFC ISIS: Phase Two is Begun / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mark_Blair

The cryptographic-currency phenomenon is characterised by a binary that is little mentioned beyond the crypto-sphere. The binary is 'libertarian-commercial.'

Thesis:

if, as seems increasingly likely, the world economy becomes significantly destabilised, the balance between libertarian and commercial crypto-use will shift significantly towards the libertarian.
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