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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

More Real Bill Fallacies / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the first article of my two-part series on the Real Bills Doctrine (RBD), in commenting on the Daily Bell's interview with Professor Lawrence H. White on October 10, 2010, I made the central point that the source of commercial credit is not saving but consumption. The following example will dramatize this point. Assume for the sake of argument that all banks in the whole wide world succumb to the sudden death syndrome simultaneously. What does this mean in terms of the production and distribution of consumer goods? Would we have to go back and start from scratch to save in order to replenish society's circulating capital? Saving is a time-consuming process and people have to get fed, clad, shod, and sheltered in the meantime. We could not restore circulating capital through saving for the simple reason that before we could we would die of starvation.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Gold and Real Bills / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Professor_Emeritus

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Daily Bell published an interview with Dr. Lawrence H. White, Professor of Economics, George Mason University, on October 24, 2010. One of the questions the interviewer asked was this: "Please comment on real bills and how they work."

In his answer Professor White gave the following example. Joe the Baker buys flour from Bob the Miller and gives him a bill promising to pay $1000 in 90 days.

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Currencies

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Explaining Japanese Yen Strength Despite Weak Economy / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Kieran_Osborne

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor many, the strength of the Japanese yen is a conundrum. How can the currency of a country with such a weak economy, such a high level of debt, weak leadership, poor demographics, combined with an ever deteriorating economic outlook be so strong? Many market participants did not anticipate that the yen would demonstrate such strength 24 months ago. Now, many commentators focus on Japan’s “safe haven” status as a key reason why the currency has appreciated.

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Currencies

Sunday, October 31, 2010

Currency War: “The Worst of Wars" / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week, here in Money and Markets, I suggested that the recent G-20 finance minister meetings could have a meaningful influence on the next trend in global currencies and other key markets. Therefore, we should pay very close attention to market activity.

I also suggested that this “influence” could be in the form of a coordinated intervention by G-4 economies (U.S., U.K., euro zone and Japan) to weaken the yen, a viable antidote to the bubbling and divisive currency tensions.

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Currencies

Friday, October 29, 2010

Keep Your Head Above the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Peter_Schiff

There has been so much discussion recently about "QE 2" that you would think the entire financial sector were about to embark on a transatlantic cruise. Unfortunately, they, and we, are not so lucky. In the year 2010, "QE 2" doesn't refer to a sumptuous ocean liner, but a second, more extravagant round of "quantitative easing" - stimulus. In the past, this technique was simply called "printing money." As if the nation has not already suffered enough from the first round, Captain Ben Bernanke and the Fed are determined to compound the damage by hitting us with another monetary juggernaut. Their stated goal is to boost the economy and create jobs. However, since economic growth cannot be achieved by printing money, their QE 2 will sink just as surely as the Titanic.

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Currencies

Friday, October 29, 2010

EUR/GBP Recovery Repelled by Key Resistance / Currencies / British Pound

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFollowing the earlier fall in the EUR/GBP cross a recovery phase has been in process since the June low. However, this has now seen a test of a key resistance area, with the market accordingly pulling back.

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Currencies

Friday, October 29, 2010

G20 Currency War One Sided Compromise / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Peter_Schiff

Last weekend, the G-20 finance ministers met in South Korea to find areas of agreement in preparation for the main G-20 gathering in November. The Chinese rebuffed renewed American pleas for them to revalue their yuan. They rejected Secretary Geithner's suggestion of a four percent cap on current account surpluses. However, in return for accepting America's continued dollar debasement, the Chinese did agree to "look into" a revaluation of the yuan and the management of trade surpluses. They also agreed to an international self-policing regime to curb currency manipulation. This 'one-sided' compromise was hailed in the Western media as a triumph for Mr. Geithner. The US stock markets and dollar rallied. All looked good for the election season in November.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 28, 2010

CURRENCY WARS, Debase, Debt Default and Deny! / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Gordon_T_Long

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn September 2008 the US came to a fork in the road. The Public Policy decision to not seize the banks, to not place them in bankruptcy court with the government acting as the Debtor-in-Possession (DIP), to not split them up by selling off the assets to successful and solvent entities, set the world on the path to global currency wars.

By lowering interest rates and effectively guaranteeing a weak dollar through undisciplined fiscal policy, the US ignited an almost riskless global US$ Carry Trade and triggered an uncontrolled Currency War with the mercantilist, export driven Asian economies. We are now debasing the US dollar with reckless spending and money printing with the policies of Quantitative Easing (QE) and the expectations of QE II. Both are nothing more than effectively defaulting on our obligations to sound money policy and a “strong US$”. Meanwhile with a straight face we deny that this is our intention. 

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

U.S. Dollar Index Impact on Precious Metals / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ronald_Rosen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSince there is so much concern and conviction that the U.S. Dollar is about to collapse and the precious metals complex is about to rise sharply, let’s take a close look at where the Dollar Index has been, what if anything in the precious metals complex it has influenced, and where it may be going.

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Currencies

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

U.S. Dollar USD Index Trend Forecast Update / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe present action of the USD is congruent with the various forms of quantitative easing at the moment. All forms of paper currency  are becoming weakened as all larger governments expand their fiat. If China and the US goverments add alot of paper, it can be converted into other currencies or assets. IF the funds are converted to say Canadian dollars, the Canadian currency was just indirectly debased. This is due to global conversion from one currency to another. Any country that produces anything in the coming years is going to see strength in their local currency, which in turn will increase with demand.

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Currencies

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

G20 Failure Means Currency War Continues / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Money_Morning

Don Miller writes: Despite securing an agreement from Group of 20 (G-20) officials to avoid weakening their currencies any further, the Obama administration failed to convince member countries to implement specific guidelines to measure compliance and monitor trade imbalances.

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Currencies

Monday, October 25, 2010

Currency Wars, Ficitious Deflation Propaganda and Gold / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Howard_Katz

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis past weekend the Group of 20 nations met to discuss the value of their currencies.  These discussions are being called “wars” in the general media because, although there is no actual shooting or dropping of bombs, each nation approached them with the attitude appropriate to a war.  “I’m going to get mine at the expense of my neighbor.”  To sum up the positions of all the nations at the talks:

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Currencies

Saturday, October 23, 2010

G20 Meetings Could Prove Very Important for Currencies / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Bryan_Rich

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile many investors have their eyes on the G-20 Summit in November, this weekend’s gathering of G-20 finance ministers could prove to be the more significant event for markets.

If you take a look at recent history, I think you would agree.

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Currencies

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Brazil Trys Some Old-Fashioned Capital Controls First / Currencies / Brazil

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRichard Thies writes: With the second round of the Brazilian presidential election set for October 31st, we thought it would be a good time to focus on the country and steps the next administration can take to limit growing imbalances in the economy as well as the strength of the real. The election has gone mostly unnoticed by markets, in sharp contrast to the 2002 contest, but one need only look to the last few weeks to understand the importance of the vote.

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Currencies

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Don't Fear the Euro Currency / Currencies / Euro

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the euro hit a low of $1.1917 against the US dollar on June 7th, 2010, the airwaves crackled with assertions that the European common currency, beset by Greek debt problems and intra-union discord, was destined to trade at parity with the greenback. They were wrong. Since then, the euro has risen over 17% against the dollar, hitting $1.3961 today. The current upswing, delivered courtesy of the Fed, has at least temporarily silenced the euro's critics. It should also serve to impugn the notion that the US dollar holds a permanent position as the world's reserve currency.

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Currencies

Friday, October 22, 2010

U.S. Dollar Current Account Woes / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAmid the recent rout of the USDollar, fears of an all-out trade war have been stoked globally. The G20 finance heads are currently struggling to find common ground on current account imbalances that will avert the inevitable. The point should not be lost on anyone that none of these leaders are really concerned about why these imbalances exist, but rather are only focusing on avoiding the negative consequences of poor fiscal behavior stacked up over the past several decades.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Will the U.S. Treasury Defend the Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“Everything depends on proper listening. Of ten people who listen to the same speech or story, each person may well understand it differently. Perhaps, only one of them will understand it correctly.” How should traders interpret the latest remarks by US Treasury chief Timothy Geithner, who shocked the currency markets on October 18th, citing his determination to defend the value of the US-dollar?

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Currencies

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Currency Wars, Gresham’s Law and Digital Gold Currency (DGC) / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: David_Knox_Barker

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIntroducing the Chronicles of Atticus McShrugg: Instead of typical article format, I've created a fictional character and will chronicle his interaction with the President of the United States during these trying times of global crisis. Atticus McShrugg, a staff member in the National Security Council (NSC), is making his debut in order to speak into the fast-paced developments in the international political economy and global financial markets.

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Currencies

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Geithner, China Currency War and Foreclosure-gate / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Dian_L_Chu

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGlobal markets freaked out on Tuesday primarily due to the following events:

  • U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner’s speech on Monday pledging “The United States and no country around the world can devalue its way to prosperity." 
  • Within hours after Geithner’s statement, China made a surprise interest rate hike—its first since 2007--raised fears that Chinese growth will slow with global implications. 
  • The unraveling of the “foreclosure-gate” could mean banking crisis 2.0
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Currencies

Wednesday, October 20, 2010

Currency Wars, Market Manipulation and Quantitative Easing / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs we write the US dollar is in the process of trying to find at least a temporary bottom at 76.50 and to launch a countertrend rally. We would think a rally back to 80 is achievable, but we do not believe it’s sustainable - only some stabilization through the election. Japan drew a line in the sand at 82 and finished last Friday trading at 81.37. That does not smack of success, but we see improvement over the next two weeks.

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