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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Friday, June 23, 2017

EUR/JPY Exchange Rate and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

We argued many times that the yellow metal behaves as a currency rather than as a commodity. Hence, macroeconomic factors and currency exchange rates affect the price of gold. In previous editions of the Market Overview, we analyzed the impact of the U.S. dollar and its exchange rate with the Euro and the Yen on the gold market. We pointed out that gold is negatively correlated with the greenback, so it moves in tandem with the Japanese or European common currency, as they are the major rivals of the U.S. dollar.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 23, 2017

Risk measurement? Volatility doesn’t cut it / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Submissions

Henrique Schneider writes: Almost every investor and almost every portfolio use volatility as an indication of risk. There’s nothing awfully wrong with that. But some investors and some portfolios reduce risk to volatility. And this is a serious error, since gauging on volatility is myopic, misinformed and revenue-averse. Why?

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 23, 2017

Hedgers Net Short the Euro, US Market Rotates; 2 Horsemen Set to Ride? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Gary_Tanashian

In line with our bullish forward view on USD, behold the very bearish state of the Commercial Hedger positions in the Euro (courtesy of Sentimentrader). Recent historical data speaks for itself. It appears a decline in the Euro is imminent (which, in market terms means ‘relax, it could be a while yet’ ).

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Commodities

Friday, June 23, 2017

Crude Oil, Fresh Lows and Support Zone / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Wednesday, the black gold moved lower once again after government data showed an increase in crude oil production, which offset a decline in crude oil and gasoline inventories. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude hit a fresh 2017 low. What’s next for the commodity?

Let’s take a closer look at the charts and find out (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 23, 2017

Warning: Oil Crash Is Just Days Away From Triggering a Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

The Oil collapse is about to trigger a crisis in junk bonds.

Oil has been going straight down for weeks now. As we write this, black gold is below $43 a barrel, down 16% from its levels a month ago.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 23, 2017

Did Central Banks Just Pull the Plug On Another Credit Bubble? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Graham_Summers

Last week the NY Fed downgraded its economic forecast for 2Q17 to just 1.9%. Even worse, it is now forecasting 2017 total growth to be a measly 1.5%.

Yes, 1.5%.

There is a clear trend to this chart… and it’s NOT up.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 23, 2017

SPX and NDX meet Fib and Cycle Requirements / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

You may be interested to know that the current (or should I say past) Cycle took exactly 17.2 hours of elapsed time from top to top. It also made a mere 47% Fibonacci retracement.

The next move is a break of the Broadening Wedge trendline that, when triggered, forecasts a decline beneath the Brexit low at 1991.00.

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Commodities

Friday, June 23, 2017

Gold and Silver Are "Asymmetric" Trades / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

By David Smith: An asymmetric trade is a situation where investing a relatively small amount of money holds the potential of yielding a profit many times the amount of the original sum at risk. In other words, where the risk to reward is skewed massively in the direction of reward.

This took place recently with Bitcoin (BTC). Is this conceptually different from bets made years ago on Microsoft, Cisco, Amazon, or Facebook, which yielded hundreds of percent profit to intrepid investors? Does it have relevance to the possible returns during the next few years for those who hold physical gold and silver?

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ElectionOracle

Friday, June 23, 2017

Nether Edge By Election Result: Labour Win Sheffield City Council Seat by 132 Votes / ElectionOracle / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

The Labour party managed to cling on to their Nether Edge and Sharrow Sheffield city council seat on a reduced majority as the Lib Dems split the opposition vote thus depriving the Green party of their 5th city councillor as the results illustrate:

STEINKE Jim - Labour Party 2641
UNWIN Rob - Green Party 2509
ALI Shahid - Liberal Democrats 722

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Politics

Thursday, June 22, 2017

Here’s Why China’s Supposed Influence Over North Korea Is A Bluff / Politics / North Korea

By: John_Mauldin

By Xander Snyder : The US is pushing China deeper into a corner over the crisis with North Korea. It wants the Chinese to persuade the North Koreans to give up their nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs.

The popular perception is that Beijing has substantial leverage over Pyongyang, partly because China is North Korea’s largest trading partner. This impression also stems from China’s proposals to mediate trade concessions between North Korea and the United States.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 22, 2017

FAANG Is Now a Textbook Example of an Overheated, Unsustainable Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Technology stocks suffered from a little anxiety attack in the markets last week.

It didn’t last long and really wasn’t all that serious. (Yet.) It was nothing worse than what everyone called “normal volatility” 10 years ago.

But the lack of concern it generated this time is not bullish. More than a few investors seem to think that “nowhere but up” is somehow normal.

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Economics

Thursday, June 22, 2017

The Deflation Application / Economics / Deflation

By: Charles_Sizemore

Once in a while I see a financial news headline so obviously ridiculous, I feel I should look at the writer with pity in my eyes and pat them on the head, the way you might comfort a child that just dropped his ice cream cone on the floor.

“Inflation is Right Around the Corner, Yellen Insists.”

Of course it is…

In defense of the columnist who wrote the story, these weren’t necessarily his views. He was simply relaying the Fed Chair’s comments from Wednesday.
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Housing-Market

Thursday, June 22, 2017

Grenfell Fire: 600 of 4000 Tower Blocks Ticking Time Bomb Death Traps! / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As suspected the use of combustible cladding that the residents of Grenfell Tower paid a heavy price for is widespread across Britain's social housings sector, not a dozen suspected tower blocks, or even 100, but as many as 600 of Britain's 4000 Tower blocks could be primed to first gas (cyanide) and then incinerate their residents.

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Companies

Thursday, June 22, 2017

Car Sales About To Go Over The Cliff / Companies / Auto Sector

By: Harry_Dent

The Retail Apocalypse.

Carmageddon.


Same story.

Different industry.

And we called both decades ago!

Autos are the last splurge for aging Baby Boomers. Their kids leave the nest and finally the parents can buy the car they wanted, not that damned minivan to taxi kids around.
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Commodities

Thursday, June 22, 2017

LOG 0.786 support in CRUDE OIL and COCOA / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Stephen_Cox

Originally written in the Wednesday JUN 21 MRI 3D Report,

CRUDE OIL GROUP- CLQ 17 (4253):  (W.D. GANN): Today is 19 trading days down from 52.00. 52×19= 988  Subtract 988 from 52.00 = 42.12 = the square of TIME and PRICE.  Today’s low = 42.05.

TIME: Today is 33a/May04 LOW, 7×7(G)d/APR12 TOP and 120(G)d/55.24 Jan03 TOP

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 22, 2017

More Stock Market Fluctuations Along New Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Currencies

Thursday, June 22, 2017

NZDUSD Is Testing Trend Line Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Franco_Shao

The NZDUSD pair is facing the resistance of the descending trend line from the September 2016 high of 0.7484 to the February 7 high of 0.7374, now at around 0.7275 on its daily chart. After touching the trend line resistance, the pair pulled back from 0.7319 and formed a sideways movement. All we can do now is to wait for the breakout to occur.

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Currencies

Thursday, June 22, 2017

Understanding true money, Pound Sterling must make another historic low, Euro and Gold outlook! / Currencies / British Pound

By: Marc_Horn

Our future is endless possibility only limited by our imagination.... our future reality depends on our choices and actions of today!

In December of 2012 MAP Wave Analysis confirmed a long term bull market which is not yet over!

In February 2016 MAP Wave Analysis projected the low in gold is not yet in.

In April 2016 MAP Wave Analysis projected BREXIT will not be achieved and Pound Sterling must make a new historic low. The BREXIT vote narrowly won, but as most are beginning to realise just over a year later that it was a scam and there will never be a break from Europe. Just the rate and commitments of the UK with the EU army are evidence that any "exit agreement" will not return sovereignty to the UK.

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Local

Thursday, June 22, 2017

Green Party Could Control Sheffield City Council Balance of Power Local Election 2018 / Local / UK Local Elections

By: N_Walayat

The Green party with 4 Sheffield Council seats could see their numbers rise to 5 tonight at the Nether Edge by election that could set the scene for a shock Labour loss of control of the city council at the May 2018 local elections, by handing the Green's the balance of power so that a minority Labour could continue in power.

The key driver in the surge in the Green vote is Sheffield City Council's £2 billion PFI contract with Spanish owned firm Amey, effectively outsourcing local democracy to a multinational that over the past 2 years has gone out of its way to anger and outrage Sheffield's residents most notably in its wholesale felling of thousands of Sheffield's biggest and most beautiful trees, likely for profit such as for use as bio fuel as the following video illustrates.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 22, 2017

Ratio Combo Charts : Hidden Clues to the Gold Market Puzzle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today I would like to update a few ratio combo charts as several are at a crossroad, which may shed some light on where the PM complex may be headed next. A couple of the ratio combo charts worked out extremely well in calling a bottom in January of 2016.

Lets start with the TLT:TIP ratio combo chart we looked at recently which shows if we’re experiencing inflation or deflation. When the ratio in black is falling it’s showing deflation and when it’s rising it’s showing inflation. From the 2011 high the general trend has been for deflation. About a year ago you can see the black ratio was rising in a pretty strong move up, but late last year and the first part of this year the ratio topped out and has begun to fall. The red arrows shows how the ratio is reversing symmetry down over the same area on the way up. For the time being there isn’t much in the way of support.

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