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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Keeping The Faith - The Paradox of Silver Supply, Demand, and Sentiment – Interview with Andy Hoffman / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The state of PM markets..

Technical Analysis

The Ignorance of Mainstream Financial Professionals

Keeping the Faith in a bear market

What’s new with Miles Franklin

What does silver have to do with an old horse named Doxology?

You can connect with Andy by reaching out to him at MilesFranklin.com

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Banks Not Happy....Leaders Not Leading....Rates Falling...Late Day Hammer... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

When you take the time to study what's taking place at any given moment in time in this crazy game we call the stock market, you need to look no further than the behavior in the financial banks. They will happily tell you what's taking place if you allow yourself to listen. To understand the banks you need to look at the CBOE Interest Rate 10-Year T Note ($TNX). Rates are on a straight decline lower. The treasury yield is ignoring the latest rate hike by the Fed, which tells us the picture it's painting is one of deflation.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

A Bullish Gold Price Forecast For The Next 6 Months / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: InvestingHaven

Gold is on the move. As stocks are selling off big time, the gold market is the big beneficiary with a significant inflow of capital.

Is that any coincidence? No, it is not, because the gold market was deeply oversold. Next to that, and perhaps more importantly, sentiment hit rock bottom levels. When everybody and his uncle believes that stocks have only one way to go, i.e. up, the opposite usually happens. The same accounts to the precious metals market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Stock Market SPX Setting Up for its Largest Decline Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The retracement to 1860.69 tells us that the decline of sub-Minute Wave (i) is over. There may be a final probe above that level as the market attempts to close at the high.

Regardless of a higher or lower close, SPX is being set up for a massive Wave (iii) of [iii] of 3 likely to start tomorrow. Prepare for an even larger gap down than we experienced this morning.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Gold Stocks Picks for Patient Pickers / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Picking gold and silver equities in a stagnant price environment is a stock picker's game that requires a particular thesis—and a fair portion of patience, says Joe Reagor, an analyst with ROTH Capital Partners. In this interview with The Gold Report, Reagor outlines types of companies he prefers and pairs those with names that patient investors could parlay into promising profits.

The Gold Report: In a report from RBC Capital Markets in late January, the firm said gold could reach as high as $1,200/ounce ($1,200/oz) in the short term but remains in an overall downward trend. Does ROTH Capital Partners share that view?

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Crude Oil Price Continues to Drill Downward / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Ed_Carlson

Last week's forecast for a high in the Dow on February 1st was a perfect hit. As of last Friday, the Dow has fallen 438 points since last Monday's high.

Crude spent last week trying to breakout from the 34-dma but, in the end, fell $2.73/bbl. for the week closing at 30.89 and printed an engulfing bearish candlestick on the weekly chart.

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Economics

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Oil Price Collapse U.S. Recession Odds 2016 / Economics / Recession 2016

By: Mike_Shedlock

David Rosenberg, chief economist at money-management firm Gluskin Sheff & Associates, went way out on a limb today.

Even though oil broke $30 to the downside again today, bond yields have crashed, and the price of many commodities is below the cost of production, Rosenberg made this statement today as quoted by the Wall Street Journal :

"I put the odds of a U.S. recession in the next year as close to zero as anything could be close to zero."

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Financial Crisis 2007 All Over Again - Banks Starting To Implode / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

So far, each financial crisis in the series that began with the junk bond bubble of 1989 has been noticeably different from its predecessors. New instruments, new malefactors, new monetary policy experiments in response.

But the one that's now emerging feels strikingly similar to what just happened a few years ago: Banks overexposed to assets they thought were safe but turn out to be highly risky see their balance sheets deteriorate, their liquidity dry up and their stocks plunge.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, February 09, 2016

Preparing for Crisis - It's About Risk Mitigation and Capital Preservation / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

John Charalambakis is the Managing Director of Group, a boutique style asset and wealth management firm, which focuses on risk mitigation, capital preservation and growth through strategies that are rule based. Dr. Charalambakis has been teaching economics and finance in the US for the last twenty years. Currently he teaches economics at the Patterson School of Diplomacy & International Commerce at the University of Kentucky.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold vs Stocks Macro Changes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

A picture is worth 4-plus years and thousands of words, and the picture below has a lot to say. I'll say some words as well, since I have kept them bottled up for years in an effort to make sure we operate with discipline as opposed to gold bug style emotion.

The bear market and subsequent inflation-fueled credit bubble early last decade was when I first started paying close attention to macro markets (as opposed to stock trading, which I had done for a few years prior) and how they operate. Having seen well paid professionals lose half of my IRA in 2002, I took over all of our finances and never looked back. But I needed to understand how markets worked and that has been a challenging and rewarding endeavor, not to mention an ongoing learning experience.

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Top Silver Mining CEO: Don't Laugh, We Could See Silver $100+ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Exclusive Interview with First Majestic CEO Keith Neumeyer on Metals, Mining, and Manipulation

Mike Gleason, MoneyMetals.com: It is my privilege, now, to be joined by Keith Neumeyer, founder and CEO of First Majestic Silver Corp. One of the top Silver mining companies in the world.

Keith has an extensive background in the resource and finance sectors, and has been an outspoken voice about concerns that there is some level of price suppression going on in the silver futures market. It's a real privilege to have him on with us today.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 08, 2016

FTSE 100 Following Macro Trends in Peripheral Markets / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: MBM_Research

Stock market bulls have seen some discouraging activity in the equities space over the last few months, and many traders are looking for an indication that declines in the major stock benchmarks have reached an exhaustion point.  Those that have been caught long at the highs are likely showing even more concern, as positions based on the multi-year positive momentum have likely given back most of their gains. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 08, 2016

NDX, Banks and EuroStoxx All Tumble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

NDX gapped down 76.48 points, putting it well beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline and its prior low.

ZeroHedge comments, “Just over two weeks ago, JPM's Marko Kolanovic, whose unprecedented ability to predict short-term market moves is starting to seem a little bizarre, warned that the next "significant risk for the S&P500" was the bursting of the "macro momentum bubble." Specifically, he said that there is an emerging negative feedback loop that is "becoming a significant risk for the S&P 500" adding that "as some assets are near the top and others near the bottom of their historical ranges, we are obviously not experiencing an asset bubble of all risky assets, but rather a bubble in relative performance: we call it a Macro-Momentum bubble."

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold, Investment Leadership Changes Permanent? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

In the Summer of 2015 a major discontinuity occurred in financial markets. That which was, was no longer. That which had not been, suddenly was. Reasons for that abrupt shift in the character of financial markets are not entirely clear. Was it exhaustion of both bullish and bearish runs? Was the anticipation of an interest rate increased so certain that financial markets began to immediately incorporate such an event? Whatever, Gold related investments now clearly dominate returns and growth fantasies have collapsed. That shift may be more permanent than many acknowledge.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 08, 2016

Stock Market Panic Decline Begins... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX has plunged below 1860.00 this morning, challenging the Broadening trendline. Due to its position, the Broadening Flag appears to be a consolidation that allows the index to continue its former trend. I am not yet labeling the decline because the declining pattern may take several paths. Thus far, the pattern suggests that it may not stay at the trendline very long. Its next target appears to be at or below the Head & Shoulders neckline.

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Personal_Finance

Monday, February 08, 2016

How to Save Money By Growing Your Own Homegrown Tomatoes Indoors From Seeds / Personal_Finance / Money Saving

By: Sami_Walayat

February is the right time of year to get started growing your own vegetables of which given the high shop prices tomatoes should be at the top of ones list. In this comprehensive guide spanning a whole years worth of growing I will show how literally anyone, even a child can easily grow hundreds of tomatoes indoors in a small pot from seed germination, to planting, to hand pollination, to pruning and then enjoying the fruits for a whole years worth of money saving crops of healthy fresh organically home grown tomatoes, good for your financial and physical health as well as delivering a lot of self satisfaction.

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Gold and Silver Up 5% Last Week As Stocks Fall Sharply / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Gold and silver surged over 5% last week as concerns about the U.S. and global economy saw more sharp stock market falls and reduced expectations of the Fed increasing interest rates.

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Commodities

Monday, February 08, 2016

Crude Oil's True Message / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Michael_Pento

The pervasive narrative on Wall Street is that the collapse in oil prices will, any second now, restore consumers to their profligate spending ways. In fact, financial pundits have been calling for plunging energy prices to imminently rescue the economy for the past 18 months. Most importantly, these same gurus, who love to espouse the benefits of a collapse in oil prices, never connect the dots to what this collapse says about the state of global growth. Instead they argue it is solely a function of a supply glut that is the result of increased production.

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Housing-Market

Monday, February 08, 2016

UK Mortgage Fees Hit 21-month High / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

With over 4,500 mortgage products for borrowers to choose from it’s unsurprising that those seeking the most cost-effective deal can become confused by the array of choice available.

Assessing the overall value of a mortgage is becoming even more crucial as research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that borrowers are now stumping up more cash to arrange a mortgage, with the average mortgage fee today being a full £68 higher than in June 2014 - a 21-month high.

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Currencies

Monday, February 08, 2016

US Economy Slides One Step Further Towards A Recession / Currencies / Recession 2016

By: Dr_David_J_Harris

SUMMARY:

This article reviews whether the US is potentially sliding towards an economic recession, as defined by NBER.

  • The St. Louis FED publishes a monthly report that presents the output from its smoothed US recession probabilities model.
  • The model covers the period from June 1967 to the present day, and during this period there have been seven US recessions, as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER).
  • The FED model has three false positives and zero false negatives. All three false positives were within two years of a US recession starting, so they can be considered as early indicators of a recession rather than false positives.
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