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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Gold Could Lose Safe-Haven Bid as Equities Rebound / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and Silver have held up well during the recent selloff in equities. From December 28 through Wednesday the broad NYSE lost 10.4% while the S&P 500 lost 9.6%. Precious Metals gained strength during that period. Gold advanced 3.0% while Silver gained 1.7%. Gold relative to the NYSE broke its downtrend and touched an 11-month high. Gold relative to global equities (excluding the US market) reached a 2-year high. Precious metals have clearly benefitted from the equity selloff but therefore figure to lose strength as the equity market begins a relief rally.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Gold Will Go to $5,000 In Next Cycle... Best Time in History to Buy Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

Ed Bugos is one of the most renowned gold mining analysts in the world, with billionaires often consulting with him on prospective mines.

He’s also one of the most reclusive.  While he has been writing online since the early 2000s, he has never been recorded in an interview.  Until now!

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Economics

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Emerging Markets Running Scared with Capital Controls / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: EconMatters

This has not been a good year for emerging markets. Since many of the emerging economies are commodity-reliant (mainly crude oil), the oil price plunge has also crashed their currencies, which prompted money fear and flight.

WSJ quoted the Institute of International Finance that emerging markets suffered record net outflows of $732 billion in 2015, with China accounting for the bulk of that. The Russian ruble, Mexican peso and Colombian peso all hit record lows against the dollar. Overall, emerging-market currencies fell 3% in the first two weeks of 2016.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Yield Curve, 2016 Predictions - “There is No Wizard Behind the Curtain!” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long discusses with Global Macro CME Floor Trader Yra Harris, the difficulties of investing in the currently suppressed global market. Yra has been a member of the CME since 1977 and is a well-known global macro trader. Yra currently works with Vine Street trading.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 23, 2016

What is Happening to Stock Market Inflowing Liquidity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Marty_Chenard

The old saying is that "Money makes the world go round." It doesn't stop there ... money also makes the stock market go up or down.

As Jesse Livermore said in the 20's ... "The stock market is all about money. If money goes in, the stock market goes up. If money goes out, the stock market goes down."

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 22, 2016

Square Holes and Currency Pegs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Raul_I_Meijer

When David Bowie died, everybody, in what they wrote and said, seemed to feel they owned him, and owned his death, even if they hadn’t thought about him, or listened to him, for years. In the same vein, though the Automatic Earth has been talking about deflation (for 8 years, it’s our anniversary today) and the looming China Ponzi disaster for a long time, now that these things actually play out, everybody talks as if they own the story, and present it as new (because, for one thing, well, after all for them it is new…).

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 22, 2016

Japanese Nikkei Stocks Bear Market is Over / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Austin_Galt

The Japanese stock market, the Nikkei, looks like it may have completed its bear market yesterday at the 16017 quote which was just over 23% down from the previous high. Let’s take a bottom up approach to the analysis beginning with the daily chart.

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Commodities

Friday, January 22, 2016

Gold Stocks Absurd Price Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks remain the pariah of the investment world.  Despite gold’s strong early-year gains, the stocks of its miners have slumped to new secular lows.  This whole forsaken sector continues to languish at fundamentally-absurd price levels, an extreme anomaly that is long overdue to start unwinding.  The gold miners will be bid massively higher to reflect their impressive profitability even at today’s dismal gold prices.

Just this week, the flagship HUI gold-stock index plunged to a major new secular low.  On Tuesday as gold merely slid 0.3%, the HUI plunged 5.6% to 100.7.  This was an astounding new 13.5-year secular low, reeking of capitulation since gold’s price action certainly didn’t justify such a disastrous reaction in its miners’ stocks.  That left already epically-bearish gold-stock sentiment even worse, which is hard to believe.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 22, 2016

Stock Market Short-Term Bottom in place: You will lose money if you Short Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The whole world is in disbelief that the stock markets are not collapsing, right now. It is going to be a slow bear market decline. I had written an article called “The Power Of Seven”; many were skeptical of my suggestion warning investors for move to cash. I was right on target. Now, the markets are tanking and experts are calling for all sorts of levels, I believe I am correct again, by calling for an intermediate bottom in the markets that may last much longer than traders expect.

Many believe that catching the top and bottom, is not only difficult, but impossible. With my predictive trend analytics models, I constantly identify both bottoms and tops on varous timeframes rom intraday to monthly charts, which if you have been following me for some time very well know.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 22, 2016

Is Stock Market SPX Topping? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX jumped in the overnight markets and it appears that Wave (i) of [c] may be complete. Thus far it has retraced 35% of the decline. Should SPX reach 1914.75 (the 38.2% retracement) in only one continuous impulse from [b], I suggest your longs be taken off the table.

Should SPX retrace modestly, then go higher, I suggest that it may reach its 50% Fib level at 1946.50 yet today. That would be the second level at which to take profits, since things may become dicey over the weekend.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 22, 2016

Stock Market Swing Baby, Swing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

This article assumes one is trading the up and down swings in the stock market.  Swing traders are just one segment of a market population that includes those sitting in cash (and/or risk ‘off’ vehicles like Treasury Bonds), maintaining longer-term short positions, our always bullish friends, the “stocks for the long-term” contingent and of course, the indomitable Gold Bug “community”, focusing as ever on one asset class while a world full of other assets is in motion.

“Let’s go let’s go, he’s no batter, he’s no batter… (pitch comes to the plate) SWING BATTER!!!”

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Currencies

Friday, January 22, 2016

Ron Paul Says to Watch the Petrodollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

The chaos that one day will ensue from our 35-year experiment with worldwide fiat money will require a return to money of real value. We will know that day is approaching when oil-producing countries demand gold, or its equivalent, for their oil rather than dollars or euros. The sooner the better. - Ron Paul

Ron Paul is calling for the end of the petrodollar system. This system is one of the main reasons the U.S. dollar is the world’s premier reserve currency.

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Commodities

Friday, January 22, 2016

Silver Undervalued Versus Stocks, Bonds, Property and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Precious metals continue to look  very undervalued vis a vis most asset classes – particularly stocks and bonds.

This is especially the case with silver which has fallen by more than 70% from what we believe was an intermediate price high of $49 in 2011 – despite surging demand for silver bullion coins and bars from canny buyers investing in silver.

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Commodities

Friday, January 22, 2016

Peak Gold and Silver - It’s Here! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Have we reached peak precious metals? Many analysts think so.

Just to be clear, however, the idea of peak gold and peak silver doesn’t refer to a peak prices. The precious metals put in a cyclical price high in 2011. But annual mining production levels may have peaked in 2014-2015. This is what is meant by “peak precious metals.”

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Commodities

Friday, January 22, 2016

Gold Resists a Raid, Silver Holds Place, Northeast Prepares For Snow / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

Gold was hit early on in a general 'stocks are good, gold is bad' move that fizzled into the late afternoon. Despite all the misinformation to the contrary, gold is still a safe haven asset.

Silver held its ground.

There was intraday commentary on the increasingly 'insubstantial' nature of the NY gold trade, and the relative robust purchasing of physical gold in Asia. You may scroll down to see it.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 22, 2016

Stock Markets Waiting on U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the outcome of the world markets may depend on the behavior of the USD. The pattern is now clear, after a long consolidation. The rising domestic markets have been dependent on the rising dollar. This has made especially so by the emerging markets as they have to buy back dollars to repay dollar-denominated debts which they so eagerly took over the past several years. This has caused a terrible squeeze on their economies and the Emerging Markets stocks and bonds.

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Commodities

Friday, January 22, 2016

Gold Maintains Value Despite Oil and Stock Market Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jeb_Handwerger

Investors should analyze 2016 year to date action as it is generally a good predictor of how the year will look.

Major capitulation in oil and global market rout sends investors to the sidelines seeking out capital preservation.

Volatility is soaring and precious metals are holding their values in January.

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Commodities

Friday, January 22, 2016

Crude Oil Price Bear Market Bottom? As WTIC Pops Back Over $30 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The crude oil price hit a new low on Wednesday of just under $27, prompting many doom merchants to emerge to proclaim / reaffirm that $20 and even $10 is on the horizon. However, on following day the oil price rallied strongly to just shy of $30 to end Thursday at $29.85 and this morning has popped just above $30 to currently stand at $30.20. With the key question being asked is are we witnessing the early stages of an oil price bottom (WTIC) or is this just a few days of calm before the next oil price crash storm?

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 21, 2016

The Fed’s Role in the Stock Market Slide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Mike_Whitney

When the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P peaked in May 2015, investors were still confident that the Fed “had their back” and that any steep or prolonged downturn in stocks would be met with additional liquidity and a firm commitment to maintain zero rates as long as necessary. But now that the Fed has started its long-awaited rate-hike cycle, investors aren’t sure what to expect.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 21, 2016

Gold Stock Set Up In 1 Chart Cartel~Buster® !, For You / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Denali_Guide


LAST time we got a very nice signal, say Nov 5-9th, we spent about 5 or 6 market sessions in limbo before the GDX (dashed gold line) price responded fully, although individual stocks responded, some faster (AEM), some slower (AUY).

         Today provisional signal is not really any different.   Each panel on this chart of my proprietary measure “CARTEL~BUSTER® !, contains its own Tripwire Zones, for buying and selling.  Either or both works well.   Thus the bottom panel is a bit faster for shorter trades.

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