Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Stock Market Seasonality Is Out of Season / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A “rally” attempt is underway. Stocks are continuing to rebound and all is well with the World? Or is it? With each passing day, the United States plummets deeper and deeper into a “black hole” of debt, of which it will be almost impossible to repay. At the time, of this writing the national debt is $18,939,663,109,937!
To put this into perspective, the national debt is so bad that if every citizen (including children) were to help pay it off, each one of us would have to contribute $58,652.00.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Silver Price Fix – “Future Of The Fix Is Fraught” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
The silver price fix debacle from last week and the new London silver price fix has received a litany of severe criticism in recent days.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
David Chamberlain Cameron, Britain's Last Chance for Freedom From Emerging European Super State / Politics / UK EU Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Britain's Prime Minister, David Cameron emerged Tuesday waving a piece of paper Chamberlain style of a 'draft' agreement that follows several months of negotiations that had the PM running around europe begging the likes of Donald Tusk (a former Polish Prime Minister) and former eastern block nations for some return of sovereignty. A piece of paper that is heavy on printed pages but light on anything that even comes close to matching the Conservative Manifesto pledges of a series of red lines ahead of Britain's EU In / Out referendum.
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Ugly Day on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a turnaround Tuesday as they rolled over and took a big loss off of clear, overhead resistance, which they failed to get through at Nasdaq 100 4300 area. The S&P 500 had a big problem at the 1950 area, and as a result, they tanked today, coming down on really hard, and declining channels all day. There was a bounce in the last hour but it was a little anemic.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 295.64 at 16,153.54, 45 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 36.35 to 1903.03, 6 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 93.46 to 4193.10, 13 points off its low.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Stock Market Retesting of the January Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Donald_W_Dony
North American markets found support in mid-January after three weeks of sharp declines. However, after a brief rebound, those key support levels are expected to be retested again in February.
The S&P 500 has bounced off of the 1860-1875 range three times in the last 6 months.
Now that the rebound rally has stalled and rolled-over, the index is expected to retest the support range again over the next week or two.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Keeping an Eye on Gold Bullion Supply and Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
Clint Siegner writes: A lot is riding on the demand side of the equation when it comes to metals' price performance this year. Demand is the bigger wildcard with signals thus far being mixed in gold and silver bullion markets. The outlook for supply is more certain, and it isn't pretty.
Endeavor Silver, one of the largest primary silver mining companies, announced last week that it expects to reduce production of the white metal by roughly 30%. The company's El Cubo mine is not profitable despite efforts to reduce costs. Endeavor plans to halt development and exploration at the mine and process accessible ore only. By year end, the mine will be placed on “care and maintenance.”
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
What's Up with Goldman Sachs? / Companies / Banking Stocks
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript Excerpt: Tuesday February 2nd 2016 short video on Goldman Sachs the investment bank that
was saved by the Federal Reserve in 2008 September 2008 overnight federal reserve
on a Sunday you know gave Goldman Sachs bank holding company status
overnight just like that in order to save Goldman Sachs that they could
borrow money from the Fed
their investment investment bank so you could argue that their actual investment
bank with government guarantee now you know from 2008
Tuesday, February 02, 2016
EU UK Draft or Daft Agreement By Donald Tusk to Members of the European Council in Full / Politics / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
David Cameron's The long awaited agreement with Donald Tusk that was said would settle the UK's place in the European Union for once and for all ahead of an EU in out referendum. On first glance the lengthy 150 page+ proposal looks confusing and contradictory in places whilst weak on actual substance of what David Cameron had set out as his red lines on benefits and controlling unlimited EU migration. I am going to have to spend several hours trying to understand this MESS, but it does appear to be complete and utter slap in the face for Britain, which itself will be heavily watered down by predominantly eastern european states that are on the receiving end of £15 billion per annum in transfer payments from UK tax payers such as benefits claimed sent home to support eastern european economies.
Tuesday, February 02, 2016
How the Blockchain and Gold Can Work Together / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Thorsten_Polleit
A look into monetary history shows that people, when given freedom of choice, opted for precious metals as money. This doesn’t come as a surprise. Precious metals have the physical properties a medium must have to serve as legal tender: They are scarce, homogenous, durable, divisible, mintable, and transportable. They are held in high esteem and represent considerable value per unit of weight. Gold fulfills these requirements par excellence, and this is why it has always been peoples’ first choice in terms of money. Gold has proven its merits as money for millennia; it is the ultimate means of payment.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Were Iowa Caucuses Rigged? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Stephen_Lendman
America is notorious for electoral rigging, fraud commonplace since at least the 1824 presidential race, the outcome called the “Corrupt Bargain.”
No winner emerged. Under 12th Amendment rules, House members decided, choosing John Quincy Adams after weeks of hard bargaining over Andrew Jackson, a future US president.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Stock Market Eighth Year Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
As explained in last week's article, my Hybrid Lindsay model is pointing to a high in the Dow today, February 1st. Whether it is today, tomorrow, last Friday, or some other day very close to today, I have every reason to believe equities will begin a decline now that will likely continue for the remainder of the month.
And it is more than just the Lindsay model that has me convinced markets will decline into the first of March. Seasonally, during election years, equities decline for the first two months followed by a rally into April.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Epic Currency War Battle: Hedge Funds Versus China / Currencies / Currency War
By: John_Rubino
George Soros’ successful bet against the British pound back in 1992 remains one of financial history’s epic tales.
The short version of the story begins with Britain linking its currency, the pound, to the German deutschmark via the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM). But Britain’s inflation rate was higher than Germany’s, which created a growing mismatch between the currencies’ real value.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
GBPUSD And USDCAD Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Gregor_Horvat
GBPUSD
GBPUSD bounced nicely to the highs earlier which we thought its going to be wave 5 of C), but a quick reversal down from 1.4443 high suggests that wave 4 can still be unfolding as a triangle. That said, upside may not be done yet for cable, so be aware of 1.4500 before market turns down with new impulse. Leg down from here and daily close beneath 1.4317 will indicate that wave C) is done anyway. Generally speaking, new reversal can be in the cards soon, but latest price move suggests that we are not there yet.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Europe: Why It's Going to Get a Lot Worse Before It Gets Better / Economics / European Union
By: EWI
New interview with our European markets expert
Brian Whitmer, the editor of our monthly European Financial Forecast, explains what indicators helped him anticipate market volatility.
You'll also learn what he's expecting for the year ahead in European stocks.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
The Next Generational Bust Is Coming, Stock Market 70% Collapse / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Harry_Dent
Oil can’t seem to get a break. After falling just below $27 last week, oil finally rallied back to $32 before falling back to just under $31 on Tuesday. An oversold bounce was naturally due, with perhaps a bit more to come. But the oil market’s doing exactly what I said it would – cratering!Meanwhile, in la-la land, stocks have been so focused on the decline in oil prices that they just ignored the other big trigger for a stock decline.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Rodney Johnson: Time For Retailers to Panic? / Companies / Retail Sector
By: Rodney_Johnson
By most accounts, holiday retail sales were a letdown. While retail sales climbed 3.3% over November and December, stores reported a 6.4% drop in foot traffic. So even though people might have spent a bit more, they were choosy in where they spent.When customers spend less, companies earn less, affecting the bottom line. This relationship is on display at companies like Macy’s, which warned that sales were off 4.7% in November and December. The company plans to close stores and lay off thousands of workers. The same story is unfolding at Gap.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
The Coming Stock Market Decline May be a Monster / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket appears to be challenging yesterday’s low at 1920.30.
ZeroHedge reports, “It certainly does feel like groundhog day today because while last week's near record oil surge is long forgotten, and one can debate the impact the result of last night's Iowa primary which saw Trump disappoint to an ascendant Ted Cruz while Hillary and Bernie were practically tied, one thing is certain: today's continued decline in crude, which has seen Brent and WTI both tumble by over 3% has once again pushed global stocks and US equity futures lower, offsetting the euphoria from last night's earnings beat by Google which made Alphabet the largest company in the world by market cap.”
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
UK Buy-to-let Market Unfazed by Stamp Duty Changes / Housing-Market / Buy to Let
By: MoneyFacts
Yesterday saw the close of the Treasury’s consultation on higher rates of Stamp Duty on additional properties. However, data from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that, despite all the talk surrounding the sector, buy-to-let (BTL) mortgage rates are continuing to drop.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
S&P 500 Has Likely Entered a New Bear Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Submissions
Ken Ticehurst writes: The S&P 500 has now more than likely entered a new bear phase which could well last for most of 2017 the monthly close signalled the probability that a multi month decline is underway. Since 2008 the S & P 500 has enjoyed one of its largest and longest and rises in modern times, our long term chart below shows this Bull Run in context. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Bad GDP...Bad ISM....Bad AMZN.....Good Japan....Japan Wins.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has had a lot of bad news to deal with as of late. Two of the worst are the GDP, and the awful news out of the ISM Manufacturing Report this morning. The number 48.2 is showing contraction for our economy and further contraction from the prior month. Things are going the wrong way for our economy. The market should have gotten annihilated today. It decided not to because it can. The market seemingly wants to retrace higher for reasons that make literally no sense to me. We should have stopped before this level, but the MACD's are crossed, and, thus, the market tries.
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