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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 26, 2020

Fed Rules Out Yield Curve Control (for now) / Interest-Rates / Inverted Yield Curve

By: Gary_Tanashian

That we are even having this conversation is proof that we are and have been in…Wonderland for years now.

Since at least 2001, actually. Back then Alan the Wizard Greenspan (mixing classic fairy stories, I know) began pulling levers that could never be un-pulled. There were no breadcrumbs with which to find our way back. Off the charts is off the charts. Exponential is exponential. And that’s when funny munny out of thin air entered the realm of normalcy; new normalcy where the financial system is concerned.

I assume that the ‘tool’ known as yield curve control (per this article) is part of MMT (Modern Monetary Theory) TMM (Total Market Manipulation) that the eggheads promote with not an ounce of historical monetary grounding, caution or even human-like soul. They are monetary Humanoids, AKA bureaucrats, AKA economic Ph.Ds with more statistical and theoretical knowledge than common sense. They released the FOMC minutes and policy micro-managers offer their interpretations.

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Companies

Wednesday, August 26, 2020

MOGO Stock May Be The Most Undervalued Stock In Fintech / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Joshua_Rodriguez

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Fed Can Control Yield Curve. But It Can’t Control Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In a response to the coronavirus crisis, the Fed has already cut interest rates to zero and implemented quantitative easing. But that’s not enough and the U.S. central bankers are now talking about “yield curve control”. What is it and how it could affect the gold market?

Normally, the central banks lower the short-term interest rate to stimulate the economy. But the federal funds rate is already at zero, so the Fed now thinks about the yield curve control. It works basically like normal open-market operations – the only difference is that under the yield curve control, the Fed would target some longer-term interest rate. As the central bank would set the short-term rates at zero and it would target also longer-term rates, it would practically control the yield curve, which explains the name. Moreover, the Fed would also promise to buy enough bonds to keep the rate from moving above the target – this is why the yield curve control is also called “interest rate caps” or “interest rate pegs”.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Gold and Silver Precious Metals Cycles Demand Attention / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Research Highlights:

  • With Gold trading above $2,000 for the first time and Silver trading near $27.50, you need to understand the risks in the markets that precious metals are warning of.
  • If Gold breaks above $2,400, then there is a very real concern that the global markets could be close to some type of decline/collapse event.
  • We believe the upside potential in precious metals could drive a very wide sideways market rotation, similar to what happened between 1999 and 2011, over the next 3+ years that may catch many off-guard.

Over the past few weeks and months, my research team and I have been actively publishing this research to help you better understand what is really happening in the markets right now.  With Gold trading above $2,000 for the first time and Silver trading near $27.50, skilled traders need to understand the risks in the markets that precious metals are warning of.  Think of it like this, as long as Gold continues to trade near or above $1900, the risk levels in the global markets are at extreme levels for traders and investors.  If Gold breaks above $2,400, then there is a very real concern that the global markets could be close to some type of decline/collapse event.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Continued Stock Market Topping Behavior / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  For now, the best guesstimate is that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009.

SPX Intermediate trend:  We should be approaching an important high, with confirmation coming over the near term.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Companies

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

The Smart Way to Profit off the “Internet of Things” / Companies / Internet

By: John_Mauldin

By Justin Spittler : Google (GOOG) just made a statement. On August 3, Google announced that it’s investing $450 million in home security company ADT (ADT). The investment will give Google a 6.6% stake in the company.

You might be wondering why the tech giant wants anything to do with ADT. Simple. Google’s asserting its dominance in one of today’s biggest megatrends.

Investors who see where this is headed stand to make a fortune. But only if they know how to play it. And it’s not Google. The two stocks I’ll share with you today offer much more explosive upside. But let’s first look at why Google is investing hundreds of millions into ADT.

Google, as you know, operates the world’s most popular search engine, and the #1 most trafficked website. But it’s far from a one-trick pony.

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Commodities

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Warren Buffett: From Gold-Hater to Gold Bug / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth discusses Warren Buffett's big move into gold and discusses why the price of the metal is likely to climb much higher.

Warren Buffett has long been known as one of the biggest gold-haters around.

Yet in one move he's helped gold go mainstream.

The "Oracle of Omaha's" about face could be the ultimate Buy Signal.

For millions of investors, seeing Buffett dump banks while buying gold is likely to have a profound impact.

But as I'll show you, what's going on in the gold markets goes way beyond Buffett.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

AMD Ryzen Zen 3 CPUs Cinebench r20 Scores - 4300x, 4600x, 4900x, 4950x / 5300x, 5600x, 5900x, 5950x / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

Its not going to much longer before we get AMD's big reveal it's Intel crushing 7nm Zen 3 processors with my focus for the past year being on what to expect for the top 2 Ryzen processors, i.e. currently the 3900x and the 3950x. Back in May I speculated that Zen 3 should see a IPC gain of at least 15% and possibly as high as 22%, and from what I have seen to date we still appear to be on track to achieve those goals, typically ranging from 18% to 22% increases in performance given expected increases in clock speeds of 200mhz and better layout of the CCX's in 8 core chiplet packages resulting in better integration and use of L3 cache.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, August 25, 2020

Budgie Paradise! Ultimate Bird Play Room! How to do for FREE! / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets

By: N_Walayat

Try to imagine what the ultimate playroom for budgies / small parrots would look like. I bet you conjuring up a room full of lots of expensive toys and wood and plastic branches of varying lengths and sizes so as to allow your budgies plenty of scope for flee flight. But this video demonstrates a solution that beats ALL of that without spending a single extra penny! The ultimate Budgie playroom for FREE!

If we can do it then so can you!

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 24, 2020

Stock Market S&P 500 Downswing Staring Us in the Face? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Paul_Rejczak

After flirting with new all-time highs, stocks reversed on the Fed seeing slowing labor market and planning no yield control for now. Volume is slowly returning, prices aren't making material headway, which is lending the stock market a tired look.

Just as I wrote yesterday before being yet again profitably taken out of the earlier long position, it's one thing to be building a base, and lacking the strength to break higher with resounding force.

That's exactly the case with stocks, and the absence of bulls' strong conviction. Each passing day that lacks clues hinting at their return, is leaving the S&P 500 progressively more exposed and vulnerable to broad weakness or even a takedown without much in terms of an advance warning. That's certainly the case with no hints at a new punch bowl on the nearest horizon.

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Commodities

Monday, August 24, 2020

Powerful Deflationary Winds" Include a "Bust in Commodity Prices / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

"Powerful Deflationary Winds" Include a "Bust in Commodity Prices"

Elliott Wave International's analysts have posited that the next big global monetary event will be deflation, not inflation.

The writer of an August 18 Telegraph article also sees "powerful deflationary winds."

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 24, 2020

Record Low Volatility Why Stock Market Investors Need to Fasten Their Seatbelts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI


"Because financial markets are a fractal, present conditions never maintain"

Elliott Wave International's analysts have long noted that periods of low stock market volatility are almost always followed by periods of high volatility.

Granted, periods of low volatility can stretch for a while, yet a change occurs sooner or later -- and that shift is often dramatic.

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Companies

Monday, August 24, 2020

Why Owning Stocks Is the Single Best Way to Get Rich / Companies / Investing 2020

By: Stephen_McBride

The world’s richest man just made history. Amazon (AMZN) founder Jeff Bezos set a new record when his net worth jumped by $13 billion in one day.

Bloomberg now estimates Bezos is worth $185 billion. And get this: he’s now personally worth more than oil giant Exxon Mobil or Nike!

The secret behind Bezos’ financial triumph is simple. The billionaire CEO has made the same $81,840 salary for two decades. But the bulk of his vast fortune is tied to the 57 million shares of Amazon stock he owns—worth $180 billion.

So when Amazon’s stock jumped 10% on July 23, Bezos’ net worth spiked $13 billion in just a few hours. In fact, controlling vast sums of stock market wealth is a common thread among the world’s rich. Scroll through Bloomberg’s Billionaire Index and you’ll see they all vaulted to the top by owning their share of a successful business.

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Commodities

Monday, August 24, 2020

The 100% Gold Portfolio / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Nick_Barisheff

When I founded BMG Group Inc. (formerly Bullion Management Group Inc. – BMG) over 20 years ago, I thought that my main challenge would be to get approval for our first fund from the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC). My premise was that there was no approved way for retail investors to hold bullion in their RRSPs and other registered accounts. In addition, I wanted to structure the fund in a way that would not compromise the three fundamental attributes of bullion: liquidity, no counterparty risk and independent of management skills. Upon investigating closed-end funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and proxies, such as mining stocks and futures contracts, I found that all of these structures either compromised the liquidity of physical bullion or were not bullion at all, and were therefore dependent on counterparties for their performance. Other attributes compromised the direct ownership of bullion due to dependence on a portfolio manager to make trading decisions and to manage the asset. In addition, bullion leasing and leverage could distort the pure performance of bullion.

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Economics

Sunday, August 23, 2020

CPI Goes Up in July. Will Inflation Dragon Take to the Air with Gold? / Economics / Inflation

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

CPI rises again in July. But will the inflation dragon take to the air, taking gold with it?

The U.S. CPI inflation rate rose 0.6 percent in July, for the second month in a row. The move was driven to a large extent by higher energy prices (the energy index increased 5.1 percent in June as the gasoline index rose 12.3 percent). The core CPI rose also 0.6 percent, following a 0.1 percent drop in May. It was the biggest monthly increase in the core rate since 1991.

On an annual basis, the overall CPI increased 1 percent (seasonally adjusted), following 0.7 percent increase in June. Meanwhile, the core CPI rose 1.6 percent, which implies the acceleration from 1.2 percent recorded in the previous month. So, as the chart below shows, inflation remains low, but it is no longer very low.
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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 23, 2020

Stock Market Massive Dual Head-and-Shoulders Setup / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

  • Dual Head-and-Shoulders patterns warn of a potentially big downside move and new highs may be a trap for bulls
  • Valuation levels suggest the broader US stock market is lagging
  • Precious metals continue to warn of risks
  • The market “melt-up” may be nearing an end

My research team is issuing a Special Alert Warning after the NASDAQ and SPY reached new all-time highs.  Our research team identified a massive Head-and-Shoulders pattern (highlighted in BLUE) that originated in 2014, set up a “head” in 2018, and is now forming a “right shoulder” spanning 2019 and 2020.  Additionally, a minor Head-and-Shoulders pattern is setting up on the right side of the chart below (highlighted in MAGENTA) that peaks in early February 2020 – just before the COVID-19 price collapse.  Will this dual Head-and-Shoulders pattern prompt a massive downside price move over the next few weeks and months, or will the US stock market continue to rally higher – breaking the resistance level the shorter-term “head” (near $174) and keep going?

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Currencies

Sunday, August 23, 2020

Smart & Reliable Forex Trading Suitable for Beginners – ROFX Review / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Submissions

Forex trading has been historically very risky but can be profitable if one plays their cards right. However, for novice traders, forex trading poses a lot of risks and can lead to significant losses. With the ROFX approach, however, the process has become straightforward. ROFX is an international broker providing forex trading services flexibly and simply.

Created in 2009, a team of experts and developers created ROFX to cater to the novice trader mainly. It allows any trader with a minimum experience in forex to succeed. Here is an honest review of ROFX after taking a look at all its features and advantages.

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Commodities

Saturday, August 22, 2020

Was That the Top in Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

It could have been. But what is more likely, it could have been the final pre-plunge top in case of the mining stocks. Why? Because the history tends to rhyme, and the verses appear more similar to what we already “read” in the mining stocks than they what we can see on the gold market.

Before digging into details, we would like to quote what we wrote on mining stocks on Monday:

Back in March, gold moved back to its previous highs (in fact it moved slightly above it) before topping and right now, it’s consolidating lower. Still, we should keep in mind that there’s also the possibility that gold won’t repeat the March performance to the letter and history will rhyme instead.

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Politics

Saturday, August 22, 2020

Coronavirus The Worst Is Still Ahead - New COVID-19 Report  / Politics / Pandemic

By: Dan_Steinbock

The interview with Dr Steinbock, the author of the new report, suggests that the COVID-19 challenges are far from over. The pandemic is still spreading and could become more virulent. Several major economies face “lost years.”

Dr Dan Steinbock projected the internationalization of COVID-19 and China's rebound in the 2nd quarter already in early February. By mid-March, he predicted the great coronavirus contraction and 2nd quarter carnage in the US, Western Europe and major advanced economies.

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Companies

Saturday, August 22, 2020

A Triangle of Caring: CEO of Pinnacle Hotels USA Barry Lall on Developing a Highly Effective Work Culture / Companies / Travel & Holidays

By: Sumeet_Manhas

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