Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, February 05, 2013
Euro Currency, Rock Star of 2013? / Currencies / Euro
After we referred to "Draghi's Genius" last August we received pity and ridicule as feedback. It is no longer taboo to be bullish on the euro, but in our 2013 outlook we took it a step further, predicting the euro will be a "rock star." Despite the recent run-up, we may not have seen anything yet. Let me explain.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 05, 2013
Value of the Iranian Rial Hits an All Time Low / Currencies / Iran
For months, I have kept careful tabs on the black-market exchange rate between the Iranian rial and the U.S. dollar. This is the metric I used to determine that Iran underwent a brief period of hyperinflation, in October 2012. And, using these data, I calculated that Iran ended 2012 with a year-end annual inflation rate of 110%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 04, 2013
Why Sterling Crisis May Be Looming In 2013: The Black Snake / Currencies / British Pound
It is now common knowledge that the global financial markets have begun betting against sterling in 2013, the Chinese year of the "Black Water Snake." The Black Snake is supposed to bring unexpected changes, instability and changeability. That is why it is so important in the year of the Snake to plan everything beforehand, and to evaluate adequately before taking any actions. One needs to be more careful and cautious than ever this year! It is in this spirit that the ATCA Research & Analysis Wing and the mi2g Intelligence Unit have been evaluating the situation in regard to the British pound in 2013.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 01, 2013
Wake-Up Call for America: China’s Currency Growing Worldwide / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
Sasha Cekerevac writes: While many people are aware that the Chinese economy is now the second-largest in the world, China’s currency, the yuan or renminbi, is also moving upward in the world rankings in terms of global transactions.
According to the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT), the world’s global payment system, the yuan has moved up from 20th in the rankings in January 2012 to 14th position in December 2012. The Chinese yuan is now above the Danish kroner in terms of global payments. (Source: “RMB Tracker: January 2013,” Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication web site, January 24, 2013.)
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 29, 2013
Is the Fed Doping the Greenback? / Currencies / US Dollar
For seven years Ben Bernanke has played Master of the Universe, that is, has been Chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed). Bernanke vehemently denies his actions put the US economy at risk. Au contraire, having prevented the US economy's collapse, the Fed's actions have yielded profits to taxpayers. Naysayers lament money doesn't grow on trees, value can't be created through the printing press.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 28, 2013
Surprising Winner of the Currency Wars / Currencies / Forex Trading
Martin Hutchinson writes: It's war by other means. With the Bank of Japan now buying government bonds and targeting an inflation rate of 2%, a global race to the bottom is on again.
Along with the Fed's commitment to "quantitative easing" and the ECB's promise to buy dodgy Mediterranean economies' bonds, Japan's latest move has sparked new fears of a currency war.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 28, 2013
Has 2013 Currency Crisis Begun? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
As many of you who have read my work in the past know, I expect the eventual endgame to this whole Keynesian monetary experiment that has been going on ever since World War II to finally terminate in a global currency crisis. I'm starting to wonder if we aren't seeing the first domino start to topple.
I'm talking about the Japanese Yen of course.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 26, 2013
Currency Wars and ECB's Shrinking Balance Sheet / Currencies / Forex Trading
Are the euro's gains just starting as the ECB balance sheet shrinks further from LTRO repayment?
278 European banks have repaid €137 bn in the first LTRO operation, which raised € 489 bn in December 2012. LTRO-2 from February 2012 now receive a repayment of about €250 bn.On today's announcement, Spanish 10-year yield saw its biggest decline of all Eurozone bonds, losing 15 bps versus a mere 3 bps for its Italian counterpart. This is partly explained by the fact that Spanish banks were the biggest borrowers in LTRO-1 lending, accounting for 41% of total take-up, compared to 25% from Italian banks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 25, 2013
The Best Currencies to Invest in for 2013 / Currencies / Forex Trading
Larry D. Spears writes: The best currencies to invest in for 2013 come from Asia, South America, Australia - but not the United States.
The Federal Reserve's misguided insistence on a loose monetary policy, ongoing resistance to government spending cuts, and another increase in the U.S. debt ceiling will all conspire to boost inflationary pressures and restrain the value of the U.S. dollar.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 22, 2013
Is the Japanese Yen FINALLY Ready for a Pullback? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
Many of us here on InformedTrades have been waiting for a pullback in the Yen, under the belief that the Yen is headed much lower. Our infographic on Japan as well as this video from ShortJapanDebt, explains all the rationale for the belief in a sustained devaluation of the yen; to summarize, here are the key reasons:
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 22, 2013
Is the Japanese Yen Heading for a Big Fall? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
Jeff Uscher writes: The Japanese yen has already fallen by more than 12% against the U.S. dollar since Nov. 1, 2012 - and it could still have further to fall.
That's mainly because the Bank of Japan appears likely to go along with the wishes of the Liberal Democratic Party, led by newly elected Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and step up its attempts to eliminate deflation by using "unlimited easing" and setting a 2% inflation target.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 13, 2013
The Japanese Yen Trade Is Exporting Inflation to China / Currencies / Japanese Yen
3-Month Depreciating Yen Trade
The 3 month Japanese Yen trade which every fund manager from San Diego to Hong Kong has taken part in will sure help Japanese exporters and help spur more economic activity in what has been a real laggard in both business competiveness, and the race to weaken their currency that has occurred during the last five years.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 10, 2013
The Real Idea Behind The U.S. Trillion Dollar Coin / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Paul Brodsky writes: Speaking of monetary abstractionism, there has been recent talk of a fiscal gimmick called “The Trillion Dollar Coin,” in which a platinum coin valued at $1 trillion would be created by the U.S. Mint for the Treasury Department. Treasury would then rid itself of its pesky fiscal deficit in one fell swoop by simply keeping the coin on deposit at the Fed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 07, 2013
British Pound Heading for Sterling Crisis 2015 / Currencies / British Pound
It may be only a matter of weeks before the Pound's next great decline begins...
Right at the top of the banking pyramid you have an institution called the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), writes Paul Tustain - founder and director of BullionVault. It acts like a central bank for central banks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 03, 2013
Forex Trading: Why You Need to Look Past "Fiscal Cliffs" / Currencies / Forex Trading
First, a word on how we all are conditioned to think that, "momentum will remain constant unless acted on by an outside force." Read this excerpt from Robert Prechter's May 2004 Elliott Wave Theorist:
Read full article... Read full article..."...'Momentum will remain constant unless acted on by an outside force.' This mode of thought is deeply embedded in our minds because it has tremendous evolutionary advantages. When Og threw a rock at Ugg back in the cave days, Ugg ducked. He ducked not necessarily because his mind had inherited and/or learned the consequences of the Law of Conservation of Momentum.
Friday, December 28, 2012
Don't Expect the News to Tell You Where EUR/USD Is Going Next / Currencies / Forex Trading
Retrospective explanations of market moves don't keep you ahead of the trend
On December 27, EUR/USD shot up as high as $1.3283. Forex news headlines were quick to comment:
Read full article... Read full article..."Dec 27 - The euro slightly extended gains against the dollar after strong U.S. new home sales data last month further lifted the market's appetite for riskier currencies."
Thursday, December 27, 2012
Comex Pressure Point, The Coming Isolation Of The US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
The typical human reaction to any infection, vermin, danger, or toxicity is to stand back, to isolate the agent, to trap it, to prevent its further spread or release, then to remove it in a safe secure way if possible using trained professionals. Eventually decisions must be made on the level of acceptable risk on the removal, like what is willing to be lost or damaged or killed in the process. Risk analysis, cost trade-offs, and minimization decisions must be evaluated and executed. The toxic agent in global trade, global banking, and global bond market is the USDollar. In 2009, the Jackass began making a certain firm point. Those nations that depart from the entire USDollar system early will be the leading nations in the next chapter, with stronger foundations, richer solvency, emerging economies, healthier financial markets, efficient credit engines, growing wealth, stronger political helm activity, and better functioning systems generally. Imagine a contaminated blood system that infects, corrupts, and destroys all interior organs from the spread of the toxin.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 26, 2012
Currency Market Trading Opportunities for 2013 / Currencies / Forex Trading
Dear Trader,
Today, you have a chance to see a unique new report on 5 hidden market opportunities that should be coming your way in 2013.
The report was put together by Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens. EWI prides itself on finding opportunities that others miss. This free report is no exception.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 24, 2012
EUR/USD Forex Analysis for Week Of December 24, 2012 / Currencies / Forex Trading
Euro-US Dollar (EUR/USD) had gone as high as 1.3308 after breaking over the May 1st, 2012's resistance of 1.3283. After this break the pair could not sustain over 1.3300 and the second attempt to break over this failed at 1.3295. After 8 day's price action over 5-day EMA, ER/USD managed to break below this support and went as low as 1.3158 before closing for the week at 1.3188 i.e. almost at the 5-day EMA.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 20, 2012
The Road to the Euro: Birth Pangs of Globalism / Currencies / Euro
From an historical context – it may be argued that global domination begins and ends – FIRST - with control of Europe. The unification of Europe, or global domination as a concept, is perhaps as old as war itself. Put simply, you cannot ‘rule the world’ unless you first ‘rule Europe’. History is littered with many examples of ‘would-be’ aggressors ***** oppressors who have set their sights on European conquest. While not exhaustive – here’s a list of a few:
Read full article... Read full article...