Wednesday, August 28, 2019
Heightened Risk, Easy Money and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
In recent months, the World Gold Council released a few interesting reports. What can we learn from the publications? We’ll then supplement it with the view of the Fed policies. Will gold like the message?
Gold Demand Trends Q2 2019
On August 1, the WGC published a new edition of its quarterly report on gold demand. According to the organization, the supply of gold grew 6 percent (recycling jumped 9 percent, while mine production increased 2 percent), while the demand for gold rose 8 percent year-over year to 1,123 tons in the second quarter of 2019.
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Wednesday, August 28, 2019
How Brexit Will Affect House Prices in 2019 / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Submissions
Three years ago, the UK public voted to exit the European Union. Since this was an outcome that only a few people expected, it had a dramatic outcome with David Cameron, the prime minister, resigning with immediate effect. The vote caused a stir in the financial markets.A few weeks after the results, the pound sterling was still weak, and the economy, in general, was on the verge of going from bad to worse. Many business leaders who were benefiting from the stable UK economy started to fear that they would soon encounter a critical financial crush. These were the very first indicators of the negative impact that Brexit had on the economy.
Now it’s been two years since Brexit, and the financial crisis that most sceptics used to talk about is yet to happen. Though there has been a long waited expectation of economic breakdown, the UK still seems to be a good place that investors can confidently park their money and yield impressive returns.
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Wednesday, August 28, 2019
U.S. Stocks: See What Can Happen After Volume Contracts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: EWI
Look at these "rare streaks" of contracting volume
Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter has noted that stock market volume is the most important indicator to watch besides price.
Market volume waxes and wanes. However, there are times when volume goes on mini-streaks, either expanding or contracting for four or five consecutive days.
Yet, six consecutive days is almost unheard of. But, it just happened, ending on Aug. 22. That's only the third time that volume has contracted six days in a row since 1987.
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Wednesday, August 28, 2019
New Gold & Silver Bull Analogs / Currencies / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Back during the bear market years (it’s nice to be able to write that now), I regularly would compare the declines in Gold, Silver and gold stocks to their past history. It gave us a visual representation of just how bad the forever bear market was and helped us decipher when it might end.
Thankfully that is all behind us.
Now it’s time to compare recent bullish moves to past iterations.
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Wednesday, August 28, 2019
Niche Gold Stocks Are the Best Way to Invest in Gold Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Robert_Ross
For your sake, I hope you already have some gold in your portfolio.
Gold is on an amazing run. It’s up over 21% since last August.
Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up a mere 0.7%, as you can see in the chart below.
Wednesday, August 28, 2019
Has the Basing Setup In Natural Gas Completed? / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Back in June 2019, we posted a research article suggesting that Natural Gas was setting up an extended basing pattern below $2.35 preparing for a seasonal rally that typically initiates in late August or early September. We believe the basing pattern has nearly completed and now is the time to begin positioning for the upside price rally that we believe will hit in Natural Gas as early a September 5th or so.
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Wednesday, August 28, 2019
Highly Undervalued Biotechnology Stocks To Watch / Companies / BioTech
By: Joshua_Rodriguez
The biotechnology industry is an exciting one. As continued innovation drives a better scientific understanding of the human body and the ailments that weigh on it, we are seeing better outcomes for patients who are living longer, more fulfilling lives.However, it’s not only the patients that are seeing tremendous benefit out of this innovation. Investors are benefiting greatly as well. After all, as new medications hit the market, tremendous revenue opportunities are being created for the companies creating these treatments.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Stock Market ES Must Hold Above 2800 Or The Selling Will Intensify / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
First off, we were so happy to hear from all of our followers over the weekend and early today regarding their support for our incredible market predictions – specifically the call about the August 19th breakdown prediction. We stuck to our guns believing in our predictive modeling systems and our research team. We knew it would be just a matter of time before the weakness our models were showing us to actualize in a real price breakdown. We want to thank all of you who wrote to us and thanked us and our team for their hard work and dedication.
Now, we’ll highlight some recent events in the ES chart (S&P500 E-Mini Futures) and how it related to the bigger picture in the markets.
Before we get into the details of the market recovery today, we want all of you to understand that is natural for the markets to move in rotational waves as price establishes new highs or lows. In fact, it is essential and healthy for the markets to do this. When the markets move in an unnatural way by trending excessively over short periods of time, it reflects an imbalance in the fundamentals of the markets or the core elements of supply/demand economics. When the bottom falls out of a market, for example, it is usually because of some type of external news item or some other type of external factor/event. The markets themselves naturally have a way of processing expectations and price value through the process of buying and selling in an open market.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Anybody's Game in Battle Over Stock Market Week/Month-End Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
Much of last week was spent completing the upside continuation pattern from the previous week's 2823 must-hold support level on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), and then bears finally fought back on Friday.
Essentially, the bulls did a great job as the 2900/2920 ‘easy money’ targets were hit, but they just could not nail in the coffin of the bears with a close above 2955 when it mattered the most. The bears fought back against the 2955 must-hold resistance, holding the ES to a top of 2939.75 on Friday before breaking it down below the 2892 intraweek must-hold level to slaughter the bulls on a lovely August Friday. The bears were fairly impressive because they were able to fulfill all extension targets by the end of the day.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
The British Betrayal of Hong Kong / Politics / GeoPolitics
By: BATR
What a long yesteryear between the British Empire and the Chinese Dynasty. The English Crown used the Opium Wars to subjugate the Red Dragon and keep it at bay. A brief summary of the East India Company and the HSBC Bank: Secret Origins To Laundering The World's Drug Money is crucial to understand the role of the City of London in establishing a global trading cartel.
"As the opium and other trade with China expanded, Britain’s new territory of Hong Kong became a major imperial commercial center. The opium dealers gathered together to form a bank, the Hongkong and Shanghai Bank, as the financial flagship of the British opium trade. Over time, the bank—now known as HSBC—would extend its reach into the drug fields of the Middle East and Ibero-America, as befitting its role as the financial kingpin of Dope, Inc."
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
FXA Bearish Cycle From The July 2011 Highs / Companies / Exchange Traded Funds
By: ElliottWaveForecast
Firstly the FXA ETF fund is the Australian dollar tracking fund that has an Inception Date of 06/21/2006. With that said the fund mainly reflects the currency spot price of the AUDUSD forex pair. The data available from the Reserve Bank of Australia at their website suggests the spot price was 1.4875 back in 1973 to 1974 that would translate into an FXA price of around 148.75. It should be obvious that is a long term downtrend. I believe the bearish cycle analysis suggests it can go lower to possibly retest those lows eventually.
Back before the FXA fund inception date, the AUDUSD spot currency price reached what is still the currency low in April 2001 at .4778. From there the currency pair went up in three swings until July 2011 at a high of 1.1080. That translated into the FXA ETF fund price high of 110.99 in July 2011. This is where the monthly Elliott wave analysis begins on the chart below.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Trade War Escalation Put Selling Pressure to S&P 500 (SPX) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: ElliottWaveForecast
Last week, there was anticipation of market volatility as the Fed’s Chairman Jerome Powell was scheduled to speak at Jackson Hole. President Trump and China however stole the show. China introduced fresh retaliatory tariffs on $75 billion of U.S. imports, targeting politically sensitive products. President Trump immediately responded. Trump announced in twitter the existing 25% tariffs on $250 billion Chinese goods will rise to 30% on October 1. In addition, the 10% tariffs on another $300 billion Chinese Goods will rise to 15% instead on September 1.
In a series of Tweet storm, Trump also accused Powell of a bigger enemy than China’s President Xi Jinping and issued an order to American companies to get out of China.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
S&P500 heads to 3020: Big Turn for Risk Markets as US-China Steadies to a Deal / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
A lot has changed over the weekend. - G7 has been positive for risk. Trump expressed regret over his latest escalation of trade war. - China on its part said will negotiate. - No news on Iran - No bad tweets on FED
US seems to be retreating from world stage on many accounts and this will mean big changes in world markets. Initially it will be positive as it will be led by a imminent trade deal with China which could rip the equity markets higher and go to all time highs. But reality will set in later. Either ways, it makes no difference to us as our automated system is tuned for all kinds of markets.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Dominoes Falling at Big Banks That Rigged Precious Metals Markets / Companies / Market Manipulation
By: MoneyMetals
The crooked precious metals trading department at JPMorgan Chase lost another man last week. Christian Trunz pleaded guilty to criminal “spoofing” of the markets and resigned from his position as an Executive Director with the bank.
The story mirrors that of John Edmonds, the Chase banker who pleaded guilty last October for rigging gold and silver prices.
Like Edmonds’ illicit trading activity, Trunz’s was pervasive. It spanned nearly a decade – from 2007 through 2016 – and involved many “thousands” of orders.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Stock Market Setting Up A Break Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
For the last 8 years, I have been publishing my analysis publicly. Yet, I am still amazed at how the market follows the patterns we track almost perfectly, and how news seems to fit in within those patterns.
This past week, as we were expecting a market top, Mr. Powel and President Trump certainly provided the catalysts for the decline for which the market was setting up.
Now, for those of you that believe that the tariff news was the “cause” the decline, I again want to remind you that the same tariff war escalation seemed to have “caused” a 9% rally in 2018. I remember how many of you who commented to my articles during that uptrend noted how it did not make sense to you.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
4 Measures of Market Risk to Keep an Eye on / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Submissions
It wasn't a big surprise that President Trump commented earlier today that trade negotiations with China have reopened. Had he not done so, it would have led to further losses in the equities markets and potentially a significant technical break in the S&P 500.
The appetite for risk is back, the question is whether it is here to stay. Based on charts of some of the commonly traded assets in times of risk aversion, I think a case can be made that a bottom is in for risk appetite, or at least, we might be close to one.
Starting with equities, the S&P 500 has traded in a range for most of the month. Friday's decline had momentum behind it. As mentioned, the absence of Trump's comment earlier today would have likely led to a downside continuation.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Is the Stock Market Bear Growling? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Tuesday, August 27, 2019
Gold and Silver ADL Predictions Getting Ready For A Big Move / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This weekend we thought we would share some really important data and charts with all of you precious metals bugs/traders (like us). You probably remember our October 5th, 2018 call in Gold that has set off an incredible series of events for all of us. We made a prediction that day that Gold would rotate higher from the $1200 level targeting the $1300 level, then stall and move lower to set up a “momentum base” near April 21~24 before accelerating much higher after June/July 2019. Our original research chart is shown below. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market forecast newsletter
Monday, August 26, 2019
S&P 500 Stock Market Index Must Bounce Here Or Hold On Tight! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The fragility of the markets can not be underestimated for investors at this time. Our research has continued to pick apart these price swings in the US stock markets and our July predictions regarding a market top and an August 19th (or near) breakdown price move have been SPOT ON. We’ve heard from hundreds of our members and followers regarding our research and predictive analysis work – many thanking us for our dedication to helping traders/investors. Some people, although, didn’t quite understand the message that we were trying to deliver.
So, in this message, we are going to try to make it very clear for everyone. But first, be sure to opt-in to our free market forecasts newsletter
First, we believe the US and Global markets are setting up for a broad price sell-off/reversion move. This means we believe the US and Global stock markets could move lower and contract by relatively large percent levels (15% to 25% or more) in the coming months.
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Monday, August 26, 2019
Gold In Pre-Recession World / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The yield curve has inverted. It suggests that we are about one year before the recession. How should the yellow metal behave in such a period? We invite you to read our today’s article and find out how gold is likely to behave in the pre-recession world.
The yield curve has inverted. If its strong predictive power of the recession remains intact – in the previous part of this report, we presented strong arguments that this is really the case (or, that there are no strong evidence for a weakened predictive power) – it means that we should expect an economic slump around May 2020.
But what about gold? How should the yellow metal behave in a pre-recession world? To answer this trillion question, we analyzed the historical yield curve inversions and examined their impact on gold prices. We put the results in the table below.
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