Tuesday, August 20, 2019
The Tip of the Debt-Bomb Iceberg / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Harry_Dent
This week I wanted to bring your attention to a key development. And while overlooked by many, is part of the trigger that will set off the next financial crisis.All eyes were focused intently this week on US Treasury yields. And a lot of people might have missed what I believe will prove to be a very big event – after the dust from the next big implosion finally settles.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
Top 6 Tips to Attract Followers On SoundCloud / Personal_Finance / Social Media
By: Submissions
Are you an aspiring artist looking to get more exposure? Then SoundCloud is the place to go. SoundCloud boasts of millions of users, with tens of thousands of new users joining every month. But one thing to note is that getting a good following on this platform is not as easy as many would want to make it look.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
WAYS TO SECURE YOUR FINANCIAL FUTURE / Personal_Finance / Financial Education
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
What most people do not realize is that the investments and small financial steps they make at earlier stages in their life will greatly determine the kind of financial future they have in the next few years. Being prepared for some unprecedented situations can make you feel optimistic about the future.
So, how do you ensure your financial future is both stable and secure? Below are a few life-defining steps for you to take.
Tuesday, August 20, 2019
Holiday Nightmares - Your Caravan is Missing! / Personal_Finance / Holidays
By: Anika_Walayat
The nightmare scenerio for every caravan park holidayer is after along journey to arrive at your destination and find that you can't find your booked caravan! Here's what happened when after a 6.5 hour long drive to a caravan park on the coast of Cornwall. We get your key to our caravan so as to have a restful evening, to recuperate from the long journey for the next days activities.
But what happens if caravan No 95 doesn't exist? It's not where it was supposed to be. And not wanting to look a fool we scoured the caravan park for the elusive No 95. There's 94, 96,97, 98 and 99 but no No 95!
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
UK House Building and House Prices Trend Forecast / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK House Building 20 Years Shortfall
The Tory government has once more pledged to build 300,000 homes per year to address Britain's chronic housing crisis which is set against the current pace of construction of about 200,000 homes per year. However, every government of the past 20 years has made similar promises to increase house building to targets of anywhere between 250,000 to 400,000 homes per year and ALL have FAILED to deliver! Every house building manifesto promise BROKEN! That's by Labour, Coalition, Tories, and our current DUP/Remain barely able to open a tin of beans government. So the first message is to take government house building targets with a giant pinch of salt!
However, against this consistent mantra of increasing house building is the reality of the real agenda which is actually not to increase house building to meet demand but rather one of leveraging house prices as being one of the primary drivers of the UK economy and thus the chances for electoral success, so forget opinions polls it is house prices that are one of the most accurate predictors for the outcome of UK general elections.
UK House Prices the Most Accurate General Election Forecast Predictor
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
The Next Stock Market Breakdown And The Setup / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If you’ve been following our research long enough, you’ll remember that we often discuss Fibonacci Price Theory and how we use it to try to identify opportunities and trends in the markets. The basic premise of Fibonacci Price Theory is that price is always seeking to establish newer highs or newer lows with every rotation on the charts. The theory is rather simple to understand and learn and it helps easily identify where support, resistance, and the trend is established. Let’s take a minute to go over the basics of Fibonacci Price Theory before we continue.
This first example of Fibonacci Price Theory trend is a simple example that highlights the basic premise of the theory – price move always attempts to establish new price highs or new price lows in a trend. Therefore, in a downtrend, we would attempt to observe price in a simple structure as you see on the left side of this example – establishing new lower lows and new lower highs in a series of waves. In an uptrend, we would attempt to observe price in an opposite structure where new higher highs and new higher lows are set up. Fairly simple so far – right?
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
The Case for Gold Keeps Getting Stronger As Negative Interest Rates Spread / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
The world has truly entered uncharted waters with negative interest rates spreading so far and wide.
Frank Holmes, CEO of US Global Investors, recently noted that a whopping 25% of all bonds sold globally now carry a negative yield. “Investors” are even buying some “junk” rated bonds which will repay the bearer less than purchase price upon maturity.
Now European banks, who have been absorbing the European Central Bank’s 0.4% charge to hold deposits, are throwing in the towel and getting ready to pass those charges on to clients.
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Tuesday, August 20, 2019
5 Ways to Save by Using a Mortgage Broker / Personal_Finance / Mortgages
By: Submissions
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Monday, August 19, 2019
The Google Globalism Gulag / Politics / Google
By: BATR
The puzzling switch in the corporate motivation of Google seems confusing on the surface. But if you dig deeper into the manure of globalism, the notion that Google is primarily a business for profit is exposed as a distraction of what it really is and how it operates. It is entirely understandable that free internet services, especially when they usually work well and use superior features will attract the public in droves. However, the filtration of search results that only provide a biased outcome can no longer be denied. Notwithstanding, who benefits the most from the abandonment of the old motto, "Don't be evil"?
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Monday, August 19, 2019
Stock Market One Step Closer to Confirming That August Low Is In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Ricky_Wen
The second week of August was pretty simple as the market followed our expectations from the previous weekend report. If you recall, the market chose to follow scenario 1 on the daily chart timeframe by backtesting into the 2858-2836 zone on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). This was the 50%-61.8% Fib retracement zone of the 2775 to 2940 V-shape recovery, creating a higher-lows setup. In addition, our must-hold level at 2823 held last Wednesday and Thursday as price stick-saved against this key level precisely and the bulls did their job in terms of the two massive feedback loop squeeze setups.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
The Geopolitical Consequences of a Coming Recession / Politics / Recession 2020
By: Antonius_Aquinas
With the recent ominous inversion of the 2-10 year yield curve and its near infallible predictive recessionary power, the consequences for the economy are plain to see, however, what has not been spoken of by pundits will be the effect of a recession on US foreign policy. If a recession comes about prior to November 2020, or if economic indicators such as GDP plummet even further, the chances of a Trump re-election is extremely problematic even if the Democrats nominate a socialist nut case such as Bernie Sanders or Pocahontas.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
Is This Time Different? Predictive Power of the Yield Curve and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
This time is different. This is what the experts say. The inversion of the yield curve did a great job in predicting recessions in the past, but the current inversion is not like the previous. The predictive power of the yield curve has weakened, so it does not signal the recession. This is what the pundits claim. We invite you to read our today’s article and find out whether the experts are right and what does it mean for the gold market.
This time is different. This is what the experts say. The inversion of the yield curve did a great job in predicting recessions in the past, but the current inversion is not like the previous. The predictive power of the yield curve has weakened, so it does not signal the recession. This is what the pundits claim. Are they right?
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Monday, August 19, 2019
New Dawn for the iGaming Industry in the United States / Personal_Finance / Gambling
By: Submissions
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Monday, August 19, 2019
Gold Set to Correct but Internals Remain Bullish / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Last week we wrote that near-term risk in precious metals (Gold and GDX especially) was rising and a correction could begin soon.
As Gold nearly reached major resistance at $1550/oz, the miners already began to correct. That negative divergence is an ominous signal for the sector in the short term.
However, the good news is, at least at present, Gold remains very strong in real and intermarket terms.
The first example of that is Gold’s strength against foreign currencies (Gold/FC). Gold/FC made a new all time high a few weeks ago and is now 4% above the previous all time high.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
The Stock Market Has Gone Nowhere In The Last Twelve Months / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
So, as the bulls pat themselves on the back for holding all the way down last year for a 20% draw down so that they can “enjoy” the rally we got in 2019, I hope they don’t hurt their arms and shoulders from all their back-patting. But, they may be in for a dose of realism when they realize that the market has now been completely flat for the last twelve months.
Allow me to show you a simple fact that should make bulls feel like they have exerted a lot of energy and worry, only to be completely flat over the last year. (And, yes, I am going to use a date from the middle of this past week for a reason). On August 14th of 2018, the SPX closed at 2839.96. And, now, one year later, on August 14th, 2019, the SPX closed at 2840.60.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
Stock Market Correction Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way? How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend – We have started a correction of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, August 19, 2019
The Number One Gold Stock Of 2019 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: OilPrice_Com
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Sunday, August 18, 2019
The State of the Financial Union / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: The_Gold_Report
Bob Moriarty of 321 Gold makes available the first two chapters of his most recent book that delve into the current state of the economy. After being bugged unmercifully by a couple of my so-called friends, I finally sat down in early January to write a tome about investing in resource stocks. It took me sixteen days to write. And another four weeks to get the cover and layout right. I had some important charts in it that couldn't be shrunk and still understood.
A couple of days ago I was reaching for a quote that I thought I remembered from the book so I picked up one of my test copies.
I read through the first two chapters and thought to myself, "Damn, this guy got it exactly right." That was before I realized I was the person who wrote it eight months ago.
One of the great advantages of getting old, other than just getting old, after all the alternative is far worse… One of the benefits of getting old is that you get to hide your own Easter eggs. That is if you can still remember when Easter is.
I never did find the quote. But I did realize that what I wrote in January could have been written twenty minutes ago and not be more timely. So I thought it would be a nice idea to share it with you. This isn't a sale pitch. If you have read the book you, too, will have already read it but have forgotten. If you haven't and think it might be worth finishing, you are just going to have to figure out how to buy it by yourself.
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Sunday, August 18, 2019
The Nuts and Bolts: Yield Inversion Says Recession is Coming But it May take 24 months / Economics / Recession
By: QUANTO
Consumers continue to power economic growth, as retail sales rose 0.7% in July, after a 0.3% increase in June, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Excluding autos, sales soared 1.0%, after a 0.7% climb in June. Economists polled by IFR Markets expected a 0.3% rise in the headline number and 0.4% excluding autos. Auto sales were down 0.6% in July, after 0.3% growth the prior month.
Preliminary second quarter productivity figures also were positive news for the economy, as non-farm productivity grew a healthy 2.3% on an annualized basis in the second quarter, albeit down from the first quarter’s 3.5% growth, the Labor Department reported. Unit labor costs grew 2.4% in the period, after a revised 5.5% jump in the first quarter, previously reported as a 1.6% decline.
Economists projected a 1.5% gain in productivity and a 1.8% rise in labor costs.
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Sunday, August 18, 2019
Markets August 19 Turn Date is Tomorrow – Are You Ready? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our August 19 breakdown prediction from months ago has really taken root with many of our followers and readers. We’ve been getting emails and messages from hundreds of our followers asking for updates regarding this prediction. Well, here is the last update before the August 19th date (tomorrow) and we hope you have been taking our research to heart.
First, we believe the August 19 breakdown date will be the start of something that could last for more than 5 to 12+ months. So, please understand that our predicted date is not a make-or-break type of scenario for traders. It means that we believe this date, based on our cycle research, will become a critical inflection point in price that may lead to bigger price swings, more volatility and some type of market breakdown event. Thus, if you have already prepared for this event – perfect. If this is the first time you are reading about our August 19 breakdown prediction, then we suggest you take a bit of time to review the following research posts.
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