Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, February 02, 2015
Gold Consolidating Gains / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Alasdair_Macleod
Gold and silver prices consolidated recent gains this week, both having become overbought short-term, and they now appear to be building a base before an attempt to convincingly attack higher ground, though yesterday’s price reaction was quite sharp. The recent slightly overbought situation for gold is shown in the chart below, which is of the Comex Managed Money category net position:
Monday, February 02, 2015
Gold & US Banks; a Critical Juncture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
It’s all about confidence, right? Right.
In 2011, when the commodity and ‘inflation’ trades blew out, the Federal Reserve was completely discredited, with gold bugs out front poking them in the eye with taunts of “Helicopter Ben”. Markets rebelled against the Fed by sending silver to $50 and commodities in general to an all-time high.
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Monday, February 02, 2015
Gold Surges 8 Per Cent In January On Reignited Global Risks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
In January, gold surged 8 per cent in dollar terms, 11 per cent in pound terms and a very large 16 per cent in euro terms. January’s 8.4% gain for gold in dollar terms was the best month in terms of price gains in three years.
Thus once again, gold bullion performed its role as a hedging instrument and a safe haven asset in January as the outlook became decidedly more uncertain – particularly in the Eurozone.
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Monday, February 02, 2015
Gold and Silver Price Forecasting Problem / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
“The problem is not that there are problems. The problem is expecting otherwise and thinking that having problems is a problem.”- Theodore RubinThe media sensation surrounding various storms of the century has been astounding. Meteorological prediction is complex science to say the least. The fact that 24 hour forecasts have become almost 87% accurate over the years is a testament to modern science – and, in particular, chaos theory.
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Monday, February 02, 2015
Gold Gets Safe Haven Bids But COMEX Has Stopping Power / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldSilverWorlds
This article is part of a series of in-depth market analyses for gold investors. Our aim is to publish this type of analysis on a weekly basis. It is not meant to be investment advice, but it should provide precious metals investors key insights about the ongoing and expected gold price trend(s).
Our focus is on chart analysis. With an average of 10 to 15 charts per article, we will cover not only the gold market but also intermarket analysis. It is our core belief that all financial assets, including gold and silver, attract bids relative to the (perceived) value of other financial assets. In other words, the attractiveness of gold is not only influenced by “internal” factors within the gold market but also by “external factors” like stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies. Makes sense probably, but a thorough and objective analysis is mandatory to identify intermarket influences.
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Saturday, January 31, 2015
Gold And Silver Price Probability for A Lower Low Has Increased / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
Mention is often made that one should wait for confirmation of a particular move in
futures before making a commitment, either way. Last week, it appeared evidence was
mounting that November could be a possible low for the correction since late 2011.
Then, we run across this graph from goldchartsrus.com which shows an inordinate
build-up of short positions in silver by what we would call “smart money,” “insiders.”
These large traders do not make such overtly strong commitments to the short side without expectations that things will go their way. If anything can be said about the market manipulators, mostly the elite’s central bankers/Wall Street/Fed, it does not really matter as to accurate identity, for they hide their source[s] very well. What matters is the outcome from the effort, and to date, there has been a lot of “smashing” success in taking both silver and gold lower, at will, and with no opposition.
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Saturday, January 31, 2015
199 Days of Hell - Unintended consequences: Oil and the Worst Battle in History / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Marin_Katusa
Just after I signed the publishing agreement for my first book, The Colder War, I realized how much research I was going to end up doing, specifically in areas that I never thought would be so integral to my subject area: energy and mining. Along the way, I came across some fascinating events that were completely out of my area of expertise but gave me a better sense for the unintended consequences in an historical perspective of the events that led to where we are today.
Friday, January 30, 2015
Kaminak Yukon Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
It was in 1896 when prospectors stumbled across large quantities of gold in one of the tributaries of the Yukon’s Klondike River. Word of this discovery spread like wildfire. And in no time at all prospectors from far and wide set course to get a piece of the action. The aptly named Klondike Gold Rush ended up being one of legend!
Provocatively this legend was not entirely one of smashing success and untold riches though. Yes, there were some who cashed in, but it was ultimately one of endless frustration and failure. Gold fever ended up blinding folks to the reality of the Yukon’s harsh climate and challenging geography. And most of those who journeyed there were ill-equipped to deal with it.
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Friday, January 30, 2015
Greeks Turn to Gold on Bank Bail-in and Drachma Risk / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
The Greek stock market is down 36% year to date; the risk of global contagion in the event of a Greek exit is very real. Ordinarily such a crisis would require a massive coordinated effort from global stakeholders, perhaps directed by the IMF or some other pan-national financial body. But not in this case; the rhetoric is nationally-based and biased without unity of purpose across finance ministries. Recent official soundings from the UK and German governments saying that exposure to Greece is limited only underscores the depth of denial, ignorance and lack of consensus that exists within the euro area. A Greek exit from the euro would profoundly weaken the euro experiment and create a dangerous precedent for all future crises in the region.
Friday, January 30, 2015
Gold Price Short-Term Bottom Due, Higher into February / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jim_Curry
With the sharp selling in recent days, there is now the potential that another larger-degree peak has been seen in the Gold market. Having said that, this is not set in stone at the present time, and the various time cycles that I track suggest that we should be at or nearing at least a short-term bottom, with the potential for one final slingshot higher into early-to-mid February.
Friday, January 30, 2015
Caught Inside the Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
“If a little is great, and a lot is better, then way too much is just about right!”-Mae West
A comment from my last essay, "Finding The Real Price Of Money", got me thinking about preparing for the eventual crisis.
That - and an experience I had in the ocean.
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Friday, January 30, 2015
Impending US Dollar Peak Should be Catalyst for Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Gold has performed very well under the circumstances of declining inflation and a surging US$ index. Since 2014 the US$ index is up nearly 18% while Gold is up 3%. Since Gold's November low the US$ index is up over 10%. Had we known that at the time, we'd have thought Gold would be headed for $1000 and not the $1300 it recently hit. At present, the US$ index appears ripe for a correction or major pause in its uptrend. Given that Gold is priced in US$ and that Gold has shown strength in real terms, sustained US$ weakness could be a major boon for Gold and precious metals as a whole.
Friday, January 30, 2015
Silver and Other Precious Metals To Manipulate / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Dan_Norcini
Here is a quick update for the silver surfers out there.
I mentioned today that the Australian Dollar was taken out to the woodshed and given a sound thrashing. Silver must have been dragged out there as well because it was beaten with the proverbial ugly stick.
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Friday, January 30, 2015
Silver Investor David Morgan: Industrial Demand, Looper (Film), Dividends & Oil / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: David_Morgan
How long have you been investing in silver?
Since my early 20’s, once I had a job and some sort of cash flow that was the real beginning. I did buy a few silver coins as a kid but nothing of significance.
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Friday, January 30, 2015
Seen the Energy Downturn Movie Before, and Not Worried / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: The_Energy_Report
With oil and gas prices down, it's time to cull the herd, sell marginal producers and double down on the strong ones in your portfolio, says Michael Waring, founder of Galileo Global Equity Advisors Inc. In this interview with The Energy Report, Waring explains that this kind of correction happens every 10 years in this space. It presents opportunities for companies to improve and investors to profit—and he names four companies he considers most likely to succeed.
The Energy Report: Michael, you said in November that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) expected the U.S. to share in reducing production growth to help stabilize the oil market. Have events justified that expectation?
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Thursday, January 29, 2015
Increasing Demand For Refined Products Will Increase Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Dan Steffens writes: In last week's article I posted a chart from the International Energy Agency'srecent Oil Market Report that shows global demand for refined products catching up to supply by the 3rd quarter of this year. My opinion is that all of the analysts who are now blaming the sharp drop in oil prices on a "glut" of supply could change their tune quickly as consumers adjust to lower fuel costs. Just as higher costs reduce demand for any commodity, lower costs will increase demand. This is especially true for a commodity that has a direct impact on standard of living, like oil does.
Thursday, January 29, 2015
Saudi Arabia Changes Kings, But Not its Oil Policy / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Dr. Kent Moors writes: Last Friday, I appeared on CNBC’s “Closing Bell” to discuss the new Saudi King Salman and his impact on oil prices.
The interview was set up on a flight back to Pittsburgh, and took place via satellite feed almost as soon as I landed.
Now, these hastily put together appearances can be somewhat trying if the anchors are not up to speed on the material.
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Wednesday, January 28, 2015
Crude Oil Price Bulls vs. Resistance Zone / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Tuesday, crude oil gained 1.55% after mixed U.S. data weakened the greenback. As a result, light crude climbed above $46, but the nearest resistance still keeps gains in check. Will we see higher values of the commodity in the coming days?
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Wednesday, January 28, 2015
The Great "inflated" Expectations for Gold, Oil, Commodities -- and Now Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: EWI
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Wednesday, January 28, 2015
There’s More to the Gold Price Rally Than European Market Fears / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Frank_Holmes
Gold was down 1.72 percent at the end of 2014, but things are looking up for the yellow metal. Last week I returned from presenting at the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference, where sentiment for gold was through the roof. And with good reason. Even though gold was down last year, it still ranked as the second-best-performing currency following the U.S. dollar. The metal has risen about 10 percent year-to-date, and last Tuesday, for the first time since mid-August, it broke through the $1,300 mark.
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