Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, August 11, 2014
AUDUSD Setting Up For Big Reversal / Currencies / Forex Trading
The AUDUSD has lost a couple of cents over the last few weeks. So is this the beginning of the next leg down? I doubt it. On the contrary, I believe a big reversal higher is just around the corner. Let’s investigate.First, let’s refresh ourselves of the big picture to help put it all in perspective.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 09, 2014
EURUSD Time For A Bear Rally / Currencies / Euro
Recently I've been a bit out of whack on this pair, the EURUSD. I feel confident in the longer term projections. It's the daily machinations that I'm still trying to get in-synch with. Sometimes you just need to step back and let the market do its thing, not forcing the issue. And then out of the blue, that desired clarity appears. And that just may be happening now.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 09, 2014
Bitcoin Price at Beginning of a Move up? / Currencies / Bitcoin
In not too many words: we support long speculative positions in the market, stop-loss at $550, take-profit at $880.
Coinbase, a San Francisco based Bitcoin exchange, announced yesterday that the Wikipedia Foundation had received over $140,ooo in Bitcoin donations during the first week this option was available to donors:
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 08, 2014
Forex Dark Clouds Hang Over AUD/USD / Currencies / Forex Trading
The Australian dollar declined to a two-month low against its U.S. counterpart after official data showed that the number of employed people in Australia fell by 300 in the previous month, missing expectations for an increase of 12,000. Additionally, Australia's unemployment rate rose to 6.4% last month, from 6.0% in June. Later in the day, AUD/USD extended losses after the Labor Department said in its report that initial claims for jobless benefits in the week ending Aug. 2 fell by 14,000, beating analysts’ expectations for a 2,000 increase. Because of these numbers, the pair declined to the long-term support line. Will it be strong enough to stop currency bears’ charge?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 07, 2014
U.S. Dollar Index Looks For Correction Within The Uptrend / Currencies / US Dollar
The US Dollar Index found 81.70 which has been expected as the rally from around 79.90 has unfolded in five waves. We know that after every five waves trend will reverse, either into a new trend or just into a correction. In our case we believe that market is now falling in another fourth wave, but of a higher degree that may find a base around 81.20, but after a three wave fall.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 06, 2014
Bitcoin Price Strong Move Possible / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: we still support long speculative positions, stop-loss at $550, take-profit at $880.
The Bitcoin market is changing every day. We’ve read an article on CoinDesk about yet another exchange expanding its services to offer Bitcoin derivatives. OKCoin, a Chinese exchange, made an announcement today on the subject:
Chinese exchange OKCoin announced today it will add futures trading to its platform, saying it is one of the first major exchanges in the world to offer users the chance to trade futures denominated in bitcoin.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 05, 2014
Commodity Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading
Keeping an eye on the currencies of big commodity producing nations not only provides us insight into demand for commodities but the health of emerging markets as well.
Canadian Dollar (CAD) was turned back at the 38.2% retracement of the 2012 decline (part of the 2011 bear market). With the break of the bear flag last week it appears the bear market rally is over.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 05, 2014
British Pound GBP/USD Impulse Wave Weakness / Currencies / British Pound
GBPUSD accelerated down to 1.6800 at the end of last week, so we suspect that pair is falling within an extended impulse. Ideally price is now recovering in wave (iv) that is part of an extended and ongoing wave 3 that may reach levels around 1.6700 by the end of the week. Only rally back above 1.6955 will invalidate the current count; so until then trend is down.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 05, 2014
EUR/USD - Time for Rebound? / Currencies / Euro
On Friday, the common currency rebounded sharply after disappointing U.S. employment data, which showed that the U.S. economy added 209,000 jobs in July, missing expectations for an increase of 233,000. As a result, EUR/USD erased over 20% of recent declines and came back above 1.3400. Will currency bulls manage to push the pair higher?
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, August 02, 2014
Significant Day in the Bitcoin Market / Currencies / Bitcoin
In short: we still support long speculative positions, stop-loss at $550.
We read a piece on Businessweek on the Bitcoin Foundation’s recent foray into politics:
The Bitcoin Foundation’s executive director, Jon Matonis, travels the world to promote the virtual currency as a replacement for traditional money. Some of his members want him to focus on a less lofty goal: helping them make lots of old-fashioned cash.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 01, 2014
USD Topping Out – Nikkei Weekly Pin Bar / Currencies / US Dollar
Forex Kong writes: The other day’s 100 pip ramp up in USD/JPY has stuck – so far.
Sitting up here at the top end of the range it’s obvious that The BOJ did everything it could “pre U.S GDP debacle” to keep the status quo and defend the line at 101.20.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 31, 2014
The Cleanest Dirty Shirt / Currencies / Fiat Currency
All modern currencies are fiat. The numeraire of the moment floats in a cesspool of policy designed for management and intervention.Money and value become hollowed out concepts.
The eventual return to a sound relationship between human productivity and the value of money will be unloved, to say the least.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 31, 2014
USDJPY Big Bear Market / Currencies / Forex Trading
The USDJPY has jumped higher recently so I decided to investigate and the findings are quite interesting. An opportunity may well be approaching. Let's take a look at the charts to find out more about it.
First, let's begin by looking at the big picture. The yearly chart no less.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 30, 2014
AUD-NZD Pullback Opportunity / Currencies / Forex Trading
Well, the AUDNZD absolutely exploded out of that false break low pattern identified a few weeks ago. I was hoping to add more long positions at the start of last week but wasn't nimble enough. I may just get another opportunity shortly albeit at higher prices but sometimes you just gotta roll with the punches. The market is the big boss and I am but its mere minion. Let's take a look at what's currently being offered up with the daily chart.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 28, 2014
AUD-JPY - Watching Commodity Currencies – What Can Be Learned / Currencies / Forex Trading
ForexKong: It’s pretty common knowledge that the currencies of countries with “commodity related economies” such as Australia, New Zealand and Canada are seen as the “darlings of the currency markets” during times when investors feel safe.
Simply put, large institutional investors are able to borrow money such as U.S Dollars or Japanese Yen at extremely low rates of interest, then use these funds to invest in currencies / countries where higher yields and greater opportunities can be found. Australia with its mining / gold related businesses, as well Canada with its oil as a couple of good examples.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 24, 2014
EUR-AUD Heads Into The Danger Zone / Currencies / Euro
I’ve been watching the EURAUD for quite a while and finally its next big play opportunity looks about to present itself. Let’s take a look at the charts to see what exactly that is. We’ll go with my top down approach beginning with the yearly chart.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Forex Multi-week Consolidation in EUR/USD Ended / Currencies / Forex Trading
Earlier today, official data showed that the annual rate of U.S. inflation was at 1.2% in the previous month, while core inflation (without food and energy costs) increased by just 0.1% month-on-month and U.S. consumer prices were up 0.3%. On top of that, U.S. existing home sales increased 2.6%, while analysts had expected an increase of 2%. Thanks to these bullish numbers, the common currency declined against the U.S dollar to a 8-month low. What are the implications of this event?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 21, 2014
How to Find Trading Opportunities in the Currency Markets / Currencies / Forex Trading
Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist Jim Martens recorded this 18-minute interview on July 18. Jim, a conservative trader, likes to trade in the direction of the trend. In the interview, he uses an example in the Euro to explain how a trader can join the trend once a move has begun.
Join us July 23-30 as we "open the doors" to our entire line of Pro Services -- FREE. Our Pro Services offer intraday and daily coverage of 48 world markets, including currencies, stocks, metals, energy and interest rates.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 21, 2014
GBP/USD Elliott Wave Analysis: Reversal To Come!? / Currencies / British Pound
GBP/USD hit a new highs of the year last week week at 1.7190, but then turned back down through 1.7057. Notice that this was fourth wave low, so if this swing is broken, then we can assume that pair accomplished a five wave rise. As such, we expected weaker pound now, but from minimum point of view that would be with three legs down, so more weakness to come after a wave 2/B rally that may look for a resistance this week around 1.7140.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 21, 2014
EURUSD To Rally Or Not To Rally? / Currencies / Euro
The EURUSD has recently come down to test major support. So now it has to decide whether to bust on through that support or rally from here. Let's take a closer look to see what its decision will be.
Read full article... Read full article...