Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, September 22, 2014
One Giant Cluster Ponzi / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
“The whole aim of practical politics is to keep the populace alarmed (and hence clamorous to be led to safety) by menacing it with an endless series of hobgoblins, all of them imaginary.”
-H. L. Mencken
Recently, The U.S. Treasury ramped up war games via financial sanctions aimed at Russia. The EU is part and parcel to the operation. These interventions are a continuation of the age old warfare referred to as the “currency wars”. Jim Rickards’ recent book on the topic chronicles the use of this tactic.
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Friday, September 19, 2014
Bitcoin Price Charts In-Depth Analysis / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Bitcoin, the new digital currency, remains a mystery to many. There is no better way to lift the fog surrounding bitcoin than to let the data speak. And data speaks loudest through charts. Yes, topological analysis is often the best route to comprehension.
I have constructed -- with my assistant, Mazin Al-Rayes -- a series of charts that contain illuminating data about bitcoins and brief directions for use following each chart.
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Thursday, September 18, 2014
Global Currencies Analysis...The World According to Chartology / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Rambus_Chartology
We've been looking at massive H&S patterns in the last two reports I've posted so you can get a feel for the bigger picture which is so important to grasp. It's always much easier to make money trading within the big trend. For instance if you've been trading the precious metals stocks over the last 3 years or so you have had a strong headwind blowing against your trades making it very difficult to make a decent profit and then hold on to those profits. If you're a short term trader and can catch the little swings up and down you at least have a chance but that to is very hard to do constantly. Knowing the direction of the big trend can bail an investor out if his timing is off but if you trade against the trend and your timing is off then you will pay dearly as the markets can be unforgiving.
Tuesday, September 16, 2014
U.S. Dollar’s Turn to Cause a Recession / Currencies / US Dollar
By: John_Rubino
Europe is an economic basket case while the US is kind-of sort-of recovering. Why? Several reasons, but the only one that really matters these days is that in 2012 and 2013 the eurozone operated with tight monetary policy and an appreciating currency while the US created new money with abandon and let the dollar fall. So US products got cheaper on global markets and US companies and consumers were able to borrow at more favorable rates. The result: relatively fast growth in the US and a descent into deflationary depression for the eurozone. Here’s the euro vs the dollar between early 2012 and early 2014:
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Tuesday, September 16, 2014
The Emergence of the US Petro-Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Dorsch
Trying to pick a profitable trade in the foreign exchange market is similar to judging a “reverse beauty” contest, that is to say, the winner is the least ugly currency at any given moment in time. All paper currencies are ugly, because central bankers print vast quantities of fiat currency, to varying degrees, at the behest of the ruling political elite that appointed them to run the printing presses. “By this means, government may secretly and unobserved, confiscate the wealth of the people, and not one man in a million will detect the theft,” –the late British economist John Maynard Keynes, used to say. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 15, 2014
A Closer Look at the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Tanashian
Using the standard weekly currency chart we followed along for months as the Euro found resistance at the long-term downtrend line as expected, the commodity currencies long ago lost major support and non-confirmed the commodity complex and the US dollar moved from a hold of critical support, to a trend line breakout, to its current impulsive and over bought status. It is time now for a closer look at Uncle Buck since this reserve currency is key to so many asset markets the world over.
Monday, September 15, 2014
US Dollar Forecast to Go Much Higher / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Petch
The US Dollar has gone gang busters after breaking above 81.7 and clearly has broken out. This has implications for everything else. As the US Dollar is a Reserve Currency, everything that has an inverse relationship to it will fall, such as gold. As I mentioned, I got out of all of my core precious metal positions a few weeks ago after the drop and bounce, as there is no indication that they will participate to the upside with a rising US Dollar under the current global environment. Most commodities are experiencing weakness and this will continue into next year until the US Dollar initially tops out. When the global economy after August 2015 hits, then commodities could get whacked even more. They might not get clipped as bad as per 2008 off the record highs, but there still will be a correction to follow. How long the rally in the US Dollar lasts is really anyone's guess. Analysis will show a high expected in the range of 93-95 by August 2015, but it could still have strength as deflation overtakes the global economies.
Friday, September 12, 2014
Currency Market Mayhem / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Alasdair_Macleod
You’d think that the US dollar has suddenly become strong, and the chart below of the other three major currencies confirms it.
The US dollar is the risk-free currency for international accounting, because it is the currency on which all the others are based. And it is clear that three months ago dollar exchange rates against the three currencies shown began to strengthen notably.
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Wednesday, September 10, 2014
AUD USD Beware The Fake Out / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Austin_Galt
The AUDUSD has been smashed the last couple of days. It has even busted through a well known support level. Many bulls would have stopped out of long positions on this move down while many bears would have shorted the break. I believe this to be a classic market deception. Let’s investigate starting with the daily chart.
Tuesday, September 09, 2014
AUDNZD Another Pullback Forex Trading Opportunity? / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Austin_Galt
Since my last report on the AUDNZD, price has embarked on a nice uptrend hitting a high last week just shy of $1.13. It really has been one way traffic. Northbound that is. However, last Friday saw the first sign that the next decent pullback opportunity may be upon us. Let''s investigate.
Tuesday, September 09, 2014
What's With the Japanese Yen? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The Yen has morphed into a different pattern than I had originally portrayed. Not that there weren’t clues already there, but the first Triangle formation threw me off, thinking that the decline in the Yen was complete on January 10, 2014. Usually Triangles occur in fourth waves. However, they also occur in B waves.
Sunday, September 07, 2014
So, What's up with Bitcoin's Price? / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Submissions
Mark Blair writes: Short answer: too little data to know -- but this article will give you some food for thought.
# The five months of The China Thing ended on April 10. Merchant adoption etc. progressed solidly during that time. A year ago, adoption was going business by business. Five months ago, it was going company by company. At this point, it is going nation by nation.
Saturday, September 06, 2014
Bitcoin Price More Weakness Than You Might Think / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
In short: we don’t support any speculative positions in the market.
Charlie Shrem, the founder of BitInstant, a New York based Bitcoin exchange, has pleaded guilty to aiding an unlicensed money-transmitting operation, we read on the Reuters website:
A man who helped to promote bitcoin wants to remain in the business despite pleading guilty Thursday to indirectly helping send more than $1 million in the digital currency to users of the illicit online marketplace Silk Road, his lawyer said.
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Friday, September 05, 2014
Blockchain Promises To Be As Disruptive A Technology As The Internet / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: GoldCore
Every once in a while a new idea blasts onto the scene out of nowhere -- typically it is at first met with suspicion and distrust. If it has merit, it can start to become disruptive and awkward for incumbents, let's call them the “Safe Guys”. Safety and security are heralded as reasons why the new idea should be ignored.
New ideas only really take off when someone somewhere, lets call him the “New Guy”, figures out how to monetise the hell out of the idea -- then New Guy types start to get wealthy. Then and only then do Safe Guys start to take notice and that brings a whole new level of scrutiny.
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Friday, September 05, 2014
US Dollar and British Pound Update / Currencies / British Pound
By: Jonathan_Davis
First, a recap of what I said a month ago. Full post here.
4 August 2014:
“So, the US $ is to collapse, so say the inflationistas, the gold bugs, the Anderson shelter types etc.
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Friday, September 05, 2014
US Dollar and Yen Trend Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight is a good time to look at some long term charts for the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen. I've been waiting for this day for more than a year now when I first created this long term US dollar chart. Some of our long term members will recall this monthly fractal chart that I labeled as having a Big Base #1 and Big Base #2 which are fractals as shown by the numbers on each base. At the time I thought we were ready to breakout above the almost 14 year S&R rail but as you can see the US dollar needed one more small move lower to finish off the big base #2. The breakout doesn't look very impressive on this bar chart but it is happening.
Friday, September 05, 2014
British Pound Slides on Scottish Independence YES Vote Risks, What Happens Next? / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The British Pound has virtually nose dived after spending the whole of the year in an uptrend to recent multi-year highs of £/$1.72 of mid July on the back of a strong UK economy when compared to the Euro-zone catastrophe that continues to unfold across the English Channel, which had prompted much flight of the capital to the relative safety of the British currency.
Thursday, September 04, 2014
What's Next for The U.S. Dollar and Gold? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
One reason markets tend to get a little nervous in September is that it's time for investors to ponder about their asset allocation for the remainder of the year and beyond. With the markets at or near record highs and the US dollar on a roll, what could possibly go wrong? Let's look at what's next for the dollar, gold, and currencies.
Wednesday, September 03, 2014
Scotland Independence Risk Sees British Pound Dive / Currencies / British Pound
By: GoldCore
Sterling fell sharply yesterday as traders became nervous of a possible vote for Scottish independence. The referendum on Scottish independence from the United Kingdom takes place on Thursday 18th September.
While the referendum and the potential impact of an independent Scotland have been on the horizon for some time, the approaching vote in two weeks is causing upheaval for the British pound in currency markets, and also more general macro uncertainty in the regional economic and monetary system.
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Tuesday, September 02, 2014
Bitcoin Price Might Move Shortly / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Briefly: we don’t support any short-term positions in the Bitcoin market.
An increasing number of Canadian employees are choosing to get paid in Bitcoin, an article on CTV News reported:
A small but growing -- and surprising -- number of workers are rejecting Canadian dollar salaries for Bitcoin, according to a Waterloo, Ont., payroll firm.
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