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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

Gold Highs, US Dollar Lows Not for Long / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is a fascinating technical situation in the euro-$ vs. the pattern exhibited by spot gold prices. All of the action in the euro from March 17 has carved out a "wedge" type of formation, with flag tops and rising lows, which should resolve itself in one pop to the upside into new high territory above 1.5915 prior to a powerful and nasty downside reversal.

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Currencies

Monday, April 14, 2008

Currency Snapshot- Tough Luck for the Canadian Buck… / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Black_Swan

This time last year we were talking about the brilliant run the Canadian dollar was making towards dollar‐parity. Sure enough, in dramatic fashion, the Loonie crossed the $1 mark.

But for much of that historic run, the Canadian dollar traded in a tight negative correlation to the U.S. dollar – the dollar went down as the Loonie went up, or vice versa. It was in August of last year that the correlation began to fall apart. The red vertical line in the following chart marks the spot ...

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Currencies

Saturday, April 12, 2008

Is a Mexican Peso Currency Correction Overdue? / Currencies / Mexico

By: Black_Swan

While perusing the latest Commitment of Traders Report, published on April 1st, we noticed that among the punters, like us, there was a 95% bullish reading i.e. 95% long open interest says players are positioned for the peso to move higher against the US dollar. This seems a fairly concentrated one-way bet. Often one-way bets lead to corrections, or intermediate-term trend changes.

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Currencies

Thursday, April 10, 2008

US Dollar Crunch Time / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Black_Swan

‘Dollar’ and ‘Troubles’: two words that seem to go hand‐in‐hand these days. Well, if you’re disturbed about how poorly the dollar stacks up against major world currencies, I have bad news. Things could get much worse.

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Currencies

Wednesday, April 09, 2008

Has the US Dollar Bottomed? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: "A bottom in the dollar? Are you kidding me?" are just two of the incredulous questions you might be asking after reading this title. All snickering aside, I do think it's time to start considering something as outlandish as that.

Despite still strong evidence to the contrary, there is compelling logic to suggest that, yes, the buck has bottomed. And if that is in fact the case, a sustained rally in the greenback would certainly present a rather lucrative proposition. Today, we'll delve into that very scenario.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 08, 2008

Jim Rogers: More Pain for the Greenback, and the Failure of the Federal Reserve / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Keith_Fitz-Gerald

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSINGAPORE - By bailing out Wall Street and applying "band-aids" to the economy, the U.S. Federal Reserve may well be causing its own downfall - even as it hastens the demise of the greenback as a viable global currency, investment guru Jim Rogers told Money Morning during an exclusive interview.

Because of such strategic missteps, U.S. consumers could be facing a long and painful economic malaise, similar to the "lost decade" of 1990s Japan, or the stagflation-riddled 1970s in the United States, Rogers said.

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Currencies

Saturday, April 05, 2008

US Dollar Major Bottom Forecast Within Next Two Weeks / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Marty_Chenard

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis morning's update will look at two U.S. Dollar charts ... short term and long term.

The first is the weekly chart of U.S. Dollar going back to 2005.  Very clearly, you can see that it has been in a  down trend since 2005.  Its descending channel has held steadily all the way down.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

What's Up with Asian Currencies? / Currencies / Asian Economies

By: Axel_Merk

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWith the U.S. dollar reaching new lows versus hard currencies, many are waiting for Asian currencies to catch up. Why hasn't this happened, and will it happen? The short answer is: it might, but be patient and don't bet your farm on it.

To understand Asian dynamics, let's first look at Europe. Remember how many ridiculed European growth earlier this decade? A key factor was the European Central Bank's (ECB's) refusal to jump on the growth bandwagon. As a result, consumer savings went up in Europe, while it headed down in the U.S. While the U.S. economy became increasingly dependent on credit expansion, consumer spending and inflows of money from abroad to support its current account deficit , the euro-zone was far more balanced.

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Currencies

Tuesday, March 25, 2008

The Collection Agency Weekly Report- Yen Carry Trade / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mick_Phoenix

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWelcome to the Weekly Report. Firstly a big thank you for the interest in this article . From the reaction I have seen, it looks like I put into print what many were thinking. Enough hindsight, let us see what opportunities and risks face us in the coming week, or longer. We take a look at the Financials, looking for weakness and strength, wonder what the Dow has to say and have a look at gold and a few other commodities. We finish with an example of current living standards in the US , thanks to an email sent to me a couple of weeks ago. Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Sunday, March 16, 2008

US Dollar Continues to Get Clobbered by Negative Fundamentals / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Jack Crooks writes: There appears to be no end in sight for the sliding greenback. This dollar of ours is rapidly falling to depths where no dollar has gone before. In fact, to say that it's unclear when we can expect a recovery would be a gross understatement.

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Currencies

Thursday, March 13, 2008

Gold $1000 Sees Right Through Fed's 'Strong US Dollar Policy' / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Chris_Galakoutis

Imagine that, an entire economy built around the ability of the American consumer to borrow and spend money he can never conceivably pay back. A consumer so gorged in debt that he eventually stops making payments on his mortgage, credit cards and others debts, putting an end to the gravy train ride of the financial institutions that facilitated the funneling of credit to the now beleaguered spender.

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Currencies

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Central Banks Liquidity Boost Gives Temporary Lift to the US Dollar and Stocks / Currencies / Financial Markets

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFederal Reserve inaugurated its Term Auction Facility (TAF), the central bank invents a new liquidity driving mechanism calling it Term Securities Lending Facility (TSLF) through which it lends $200 billion to its primary dealers. Recall, the Fed had just extended its lending facilities to 28 days after Friday's dismal labor report.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 08, 2008

Three Strikes Against the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOutside of my family, the two great loves of my life are currencies and baseball. And there are so many parallels between the two it's not even funny. Take the notion of a "rebuilding season" ...

Here in Florida, I get a chance to closely follow Major League Baseball's spring training — that magical time once a year when fans get an up-close sneak peek into the season ahead.

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Currencies

Friday, March 07, 2008

Real US Interest Rates and US Dollar Index (USDX) / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAfter sliding to its lowest levels in history this week, the flagging US dollar has captured the limelight. And it certainly should. The dollar is like nothing else, a critical linchpin that links every market and asset of global importance. The implications of the dollar's fall from grace are profound and universal.

It's funny, as a surprising number of mainstream analysts on CNBC in recent weeks are talking as if this dollar weakness is new. Apparently they have no historical charts. The dollar, as measured by the flagship US Dollar Index (USDX), has been in a secular bear market since July 2001 . It has lost 39.2% of its value since then.

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Currencies

Sunday, March 02, 2008

US Dollar Plunges! Inflation Surges! Crunch Time for the Money Supply Pumpers! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: While nearly all eyes on Wall Street were riveted to the Dow's 315-point decline yesterday, the action in the U.S. dollar was even more dramatic, plunging to new all-time record lows!

But I still don't believe we've reached panic time just yet. In other words, you should be open to the dollar going even lower.

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Currencies

Saturday, March 01, 2008

Like Beauty, the Value of Gold and the US Dollar Are in the Eye of the Beholder / Currencies / US Dollar

By: John_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLike beauty, the value of gold and the dollar are in the eye of the beholder, which at times can be entirely subjective, arbitrary, and irrational. This is much akin to financial speculations throughout history from stamps to sea shells.

Everyone has their theory on why the US dollar is sagging – huge deficits, slowing economy, high inflation, artificially low interest rates, subprime issues etc.

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Currencies

Friday, February 29, 2008

Currencies Crises- Two Days in September / Currencies / Global Financial System

By: Adrian_Ash

"...The US Dollar's hoped-for decline had now become a rout, driving the greenback down to new all-time lows on its trade-weighted index..."

Saturday, 19th Sept. 1931 - Montagu Norman – governor of the Bank of England – is sailing back to London from a vacation in Canada . He'd felt "under the harrow" since February, and one day in late July had gone home early "feeling queer".

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Currencies

Thursday, February 28, 2008

Forex Currency Market Strategy EURNZD, AUDCAD, EURCAD, CADJPY, USDJPY / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe surging euro hasn't only been a case of broad dollar weakness but also of improving confidence in the Euro zone's biggest economy as the currency posted broad gains even versus the soaring Aussie, Kiwi and loonie.

Our FX Charts strategy yesterday was bullish EURGBP, EURCAD and bearish USDJPY. EURGBP pushed up from 0.7545 to 0.7616, surpassing our 0.7575 objective. EURCAD bounced off its 1.4684 low to 1.4849, exceeding our 1.4780 objective. USDJPY dropped from 107.77 to 106, reaching towards 105.98 and overshooting our 106.80 target.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 19, 2008

AUD/GBP Favourite Currency Play for 2008 Continues to Profit / Currencies / British Pound

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile central banks in most industrialized economies are either reducing interest rates or expected to do so thus year, the Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to further raise its rates to fresh 12-year highs. Overnight, the RBA revealed in the minutes of its policy meeting this month a debate whether to raise rates by 50-bps. The central bank ended up raising rates by 25-bps to 7.25% to counter rising wage and price inflation. Last week, the Aussie hit multi-month highs after Australia 's unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to a 34-year low of 4.1% last month from 4.3% in Dec. Interest rate futures are now pricing an 80% probability of a 25 bps rate hike next month. Diverging interest and GDP growth rates were the backbone of our December calls for broad Aussie gains versus GBP, EUR and USD.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 19, 2008

US Dollar at Major Turning Point? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: No matter how much money you've made betting against it, there comes a point when you've got to start feeling sorry for the U.S. dollar. In recent years it's become more hated than even the New York Yankees. And that's saying something!

You already know why the dollar has been suffering. Enormous trade deficits, a deteriorating real estate market, rising consumer debt, etc. All of these are contributing to the dollar's demise.

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