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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Wednesday, January 16, 2008

Fed Plays Russian Roulette with US Dollar - Stoking the Fires of Stagflation / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Dorsch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn an age where governments of every political stripe distort data to promote their own self interests, it's hardly surprising that they present inflation data in a manner that is best suited to their particular needs. By the same token, it's entirely natural for official inflation data to be wildly at odds with the reality that is faced by consumers and businesses, and to be regarded with utter disbelief.

So it wasn't shocking to hear Federal Reserve officials insist last week, that inflation in the United States is under control, before telegraphing another tidal wave of liquidity injections into the US economy in the months ahead. “Stable inflation expectations give the Fed a lot of room for maneuver. If the evidence suggests that substantial policy easing is appropriate, I don't think we're going to face a risk of adverse inflation consequences,” said St Louis Fed chief William Poole on Jan 9th.

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Currencies

Sunday, January 13, 2008

US Dollar and British Pound Both Heading Down! / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe housing market in the United States is collapsing. It's no longer a secret. Nor do you have to be an economist to see how the real estate contagion is taking its toll on the broader American economy.

Heck, the evidence of an economic slowdown was already piled high, and last Friday's jobs report was the cherry on top of the whipped cream!

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Currencies

Friday, January 11, 2008

Israeli Shekel Currency Forecast 2008 / Currencies / Israel

By: Boris_Chikvashvili

Dear Readers ( especially Israeli Readers ), Since Dec 2006? our target for SHEKEL was 3.78 Dollars Per Shekel . Congrats, we have arrived. As I write this post Shekel Stands Exactly at 3.78! Now, we expect the SHEKEL to have some more strength and TOP at 3.50 - 370 area within two weeks of JEWISH PASSOVER April 21 2008 . This was the time aimed initially as well. Shekel will decline for 2-3 years thereafter with inital target 4.50(2009) and 4.80(2012) . TA-100 will suffer considerably as foreigners start taking their money home, but could be helped later by weak SHEKEL.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 10, 2008

Currency Forecasts 2008 - Protracted Selling of the British Pound / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA likely major FX theme of 2008 is already being playing out; Protracted selling in the British Pound, broad strength in the Australian dollar and continued rally in gold. We had described the British pound as the likely "dollar of 2008" and so far it hasn't disappointed. GBP drops to new all time lows against the euro, 8-month lows against the dollar, and 10-year lows against the Australian dollar. The latest catalyst to sterling's gloom is a decline in consumer confidence a 13-month low, decline in job placements to a 54-month low, and 2.2% decline in like for like Christmas sales from major retailer Marks & Spencer.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 10, 2008

Impact of US Dollar Inflation and Devaluation - ILLUSION, MYTH AND MAGIC / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Mark_B_Rasmussen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTHE DOLLAR HAS LOST OVER 97% OF ITS PURCHASING POWER SINCE 1913 (THE FOUNDING OF THE FEDERAL RESERVE 94 YRS. AGO).

What does it look like when we convert U.S. benchmarks of value to other THINGS over the past 8 years?

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Currencies

Sunday, January 06, 2008

US Dollar Stealth Devaluation Leading to Hyper Inflation / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Robert_McHugh_PhD

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWow, what a start to 2008! So far in 2008, both the Wilshire 5000 (which is essentially the entire U.S. stock market) and the S&P 500 have lost all their gains from the entire year of 2007 in just the first three trading days of 2008. Gold set a new record high , Thursday intraday and closing, at 872.90 and 869.10 respectively. Oil hit $100 a barrel for a moment intraday Wednesday, for the first time ever . The HUI Amex Gold Bugs Index enjoyed an 11.83 percent pop the first three trading days of 2008. Sweet. Treasury Bonds rose 2 points , closing inches from 118.00. The Dollar got carved up , falling into the 75's.

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Currencies

Sunday, January 06, 2008

US Recession - Friday Unemployment Bombshell and How to Trade The Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Jack Crooks writes: Recession is the operative word for the U.S. economy right now. The housing market is already there. And various other economic indicators are pointing straight down. Just look at the latest data that came out this week ...

The ISM Manufacturing Index report showed that 10 straight months of expansion came to a screeching halt in December. The measure contracted the most since 2003, and was much weaker than everyone expected.

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Currencies

Monday, December 31, 2007

British Pound Currency Forecast 2008 - GBP Headed Sharply Lower Against Strong Japanese Yen / Currencies / British Pound

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJack Crooks writes: First, and most importantly, I hope you're closing out a happy, healthy and prosperous year. And I wish you the best in everything that 2008 brings.

When the markets are as exciting and nerve-racking as they've been this past year, it becomes increasingly difficult for us to look beyond the headlines. But if we are to profit, we must persist.

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Currencies

Friday, December 28, 2007

US Dollar Forecast 2008 - Determines Trend for Stocks, Bonds and Commodities / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Greg_Silberman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's all about the Dollar (again)
Even to the casual observer it's now apparent that the financial world is one giant see-saw. On the one side of swing is the once Almighty Dollar and on the other side is every other investable asset class.

Wherever the Dollar goes in 08, stocks, bonds and commodities will head the other way.

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Currencies

Sunday, December 23, 2007

British Currency Ready for a Pounding! / Currencies / British Pound

By: Money_and_Markets

Throughout the year, we've told you why the U.S. dollar was weakening. The reasons are many, and most of them are still relevant.

But as 2007 winds down, I want to tell you what could be next year's biggest trend: Some other currencies feeling similar pressures. You see, the credit crunch is expanding, and so is the list of vulnerable parties.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 20, 2007

British Pound Plunges on Record Trade Deficit / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Sterling already reeling from the credit crunch hitting the financial sector hard, tumbled again today on news of the biggest trade deficit since the aftermath of Nigel Lawson's late 1980's boom which was followed by early 1990's bust. The trade deficit soared to £20billions for the third quarter, in large part the credit crunch is to blame as investment income flows out of the worlds financial centre in London, whereas usually the case is for a healthy surplus. The deficit as a proportion of GDP amounts to 5.7%, and is way ahead of city estimates of 3%.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 19, 2007

US Dollar Rally to Terminate Under Weight of Inflation / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOld man winter definitely arrived last night (for the second time this year, dumping around 6 inches of snow on the Peg. Each snowflake by itself is nothing in weight, but collectively represent a significant amount of weight that can pack down and form glaciers that may not move mountains, but definitely carve a path. Think of each USD as a snowflake, which by itself is nothing. Collectively though, the trillions of USD similar to the snowflakes blanketing a city are instead blanketing the globe. This creates a real slippery situation that causes accidents left and right, even for those that are conservative drivers. Snowploughs (AKA Central Bankers) can clean up and move the snow, but it merely is removed. Allow for a strong wind and the snowflakes are blown all over the place, creating huge drifts in areas where there once was nothing.

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Currencies

Monday, December 17, 2007

2008: Penance for 2007 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Paul_Petillo

Should auld acquaintance be forgot,
and never brought to mind ?
Should auld acquaintance be forgot,
and auld lang syne ?

The timing of these year-end prediction columns is often of little importance. Believe it or not, what happens in December tends to meld into January. This blurring of the lines between one year and the next will not be your usual holiday hangover.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

US Dollar Bounce May be Temporary as Global Credit Markets Remain Frozen / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

As pundits on Wall Street want to hop on the next trade, they pronounce the U.S. dollar is due for a bounce. In favor of a bounce speaks that popular media cover the dollar's demise; and the Economist shows a burning dollar bill on its cover page while discussing the “panic” out of the dollar. While short-term currency moves are notoriously difficult to predict, it is rather worrisome that contrarian indicators pose the best arguments for better fortunes for the greenback. We also beg to differ with the Economist: there is no panic out of the dollar, at least not yet.

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Currencies

Thursday, December 06, 2007

U.S. Assets Getting Devalued as US Dollar Falls! What to do... / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: The subprime mortgage crisis and real estate implosion in America have created a debt debacle. Consumers and corporations are in debt up to their eyeballs. And the national debt is increasing at a rate of more than $7.4 billion per day !

As a result, the Fed has been forced to crank up the printing presses to flood the economy with paper money in an attempt to inflate away the debt and keep it from crushing the economy.

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 04, 2007

Unwinding of Carry Trade Sees Rising Yen and Falling Stock Markets / Currencies / Yen Carry Trade

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Yen rises across the board as risk appetite takes a fresh hit following the latest evidence of the sub-prime mortgage spillover on the market and broader economy. JP Morgan Chase's downgraded the earnings of four of its competitors on the basis of lower higher write downs and lower M&A revenue. Meanwhile, downgraded and defaulted debt has reached towards state-run pension pools in Connecticut , Montana and Florida , with the latter owning more than $1 billion of downgraded paper.

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Currencies

Sunday, December 02, 2007

Japanese Yen Will Surge Higher Than Most Think Possible! / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Money_and_Markets

The Japanese yen is like a global risk thermometer. When it's going up, investors are nervous.

And now, not only has the yen been going up ... but I think the mercury will soon break through the top of the glass.

Reason: The yen carry trade is reversing.

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Currencies

Saturday, December 01, 2007

World Abandoning the US Dollar as International Currency For Trade / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

The foreign exchange markets are not solely about exchange rates. They are about values, smooth flowing of international trade, about trust and reliability. The sight of the $ falling over a long period of time, with bounces and recoveries that don't change the downward trend is far more than simply a drop in value!

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Currencies

Sunday, November 25, 2007

Falling US Dollar to Boost US Stock Markets and Consumer Spending / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleImagine that you have $2.8 trillion sitting around. And for kicks, let's assume that most of that money, about two-thirds, is invested in U.S. dollars and other dollar-denominated assets like U.S. Treasury bonds.

And let's assume that your currency was linked to the U.S. dollar, too. In other words, you often buy dollars to maintain a stable value relative to the buck.

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Currencies

Friday, November 23, 2007

Weak US Dollar Looks Set to Lose Role as the Worlds Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Adrian_Ash

Goldfinger? Bofinger! "...Once the Dollar loses its role as the supreme reserve currency, just what other uses might it be put to exactly – wall-papering the inside of central bank vaults? Rolled up for use in the People's Bank restrooms...?"

YOU THINK you've heard it all before. But then some idiot comes along and stops your heart.

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