Tuesday, October 31, 2017
The Bubble Economy Is Set To Burst / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: John_Mauldin
My friend Andy Xie, based in Shanghai, is a very independent-minded investment analyst and economist. With a PhD from MIT, he has been at the IMF and was a star economist for the Morgan Stanley Asia-Pacific group.
His often bearish calls on various parts of the Chinese economy have elicited a lot of criticism from Chinese officials and retail investors. I have been on the stage with him several times, both on the same side of debates and on opposite sides—he is a formidable opponent!
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Tuesday, October 31, 2017
All the Reasons Cryptocurrencies Will Never Replace Gold as Your Financial Hedge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: HAA
Olivier Garret : The cryptocurrency craze continues.
Having seen the astounding rise in Bitcoin’s value, those who remained on the sidelines are now kicking themselves for not buying it when it was first released. Surely, they’d be millionaires by now.
But is the meteoric rise of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies really an indication of true value?
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Tuesday, October 31, 2017
US Debt Revelation Numbers / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Michael_Pento
The federal budget deficit widened in the fiscal year 2017 to the sixth highest on record, creating a budget shortfall of $666 billion. That is up $80 billion, or 14%, from the fiscal year 2016. The overspend resulted primarily from an increase in spending for Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid, as well as higher interest payments on the debt due to rising rates that drove up outlays to $4 trillion, which was 3% higher than the previous fiscal year.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Is Trump’s Tax Reform Bullish for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
EWFHendra : The tax reform is perhaps the single most important agenda for Republicans. The consequence for falling short of the tax overhaul is dire. Should Republicans fail to deliver the tax reform, they could face rout in the mid-term elections next year. This means losing control of the Senate and possibly also the House of Representatives where they have a majority now. Recently, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has suggested that stock market could give back much of the gain if tax reform fails. Mnuchin said during a recent interview with Politico: “There is no question that the rally in the stock market has baked into it reasonably high expectations of us getting tax cuts and tax reform done”. Given the high stake, the market seems to believe that some version of tax reform is likely to come out of Washington.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Gold Price Moved In Price Channel On 4-hour Chart / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Franco_Shao
XAUUSD moved within a bearish price channel on its 4-hour chart, indicating that the price remains in the downtrend from 1305.98. Near term resistance is at the top of the channel now at around 1278.50. As long as the channel resistance holds, the downside movement could be expected to continue and next target would be at 1260.55. A breakdown below this level could trigger further decline to 1250 area.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Should an Essay Paper Make Use of Common Language? Papers in Rough Draft / Personal_Finance / Education
By: Submissions
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Tuesday, October 31, 2017
US Dollar Breaks Out / Currencies / US Dollar
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses the outlook for the dollar, euro and precious metals sector after the predicted major dollar breakout occurs. Yesterday saw one of our most important predictions become reality—the dollar broke decisively out of its Head-and-Shoulders bottom. We can clearly see this breakout on the latest 6-month chart for the U.S. dollar index shown below. Fundamental reasons for this are believed to include the current (weak) trend to higher rates in the U.S., and perhaps more importantly, the euro starting to unravel if Catalonia succeeds in its push for independence from Spain. Whatever, this chart says the dollar index is going to advance to our target in the 97 area.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies Rocket To New All-Time Highs as Peter Thiel Warns Not To Underestimate Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Jeff_Berwick
Cryptocurrencies as a sector surpassed their all-time high hitting a high of $180.6 billion.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
British Pound Could See Declines / Currencies / British Pound
By: Richard_Cox
Market activity in the GBP/USD has shown some interesting trends over the last several quarters and now that the Bank of England has delivered on its expected rate increase it remains to be seen if these moves can still continue. In most cases, when a central bank decides to raise their lending rates markets will experience an upward surge in the trading value of that currency. But while we have seen some bullish activity in the British Pound, there is scope for further downside if broader financial volatility increases next week.
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Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Fragmenting Countries, Part 1: Catalonia Is Just The Beginning / Politics / European Union
By: John_Rubino
Picture a life where you do most of your shopping through Amazon.com and the local farmers’ market, most of your communicating through Facebook and Instagram, much of your travel via Uber, and much of your saving and transacting with bitcoin, gold and silver.
Do you really need an immense, distant, and rapacious central government? Maybe not. Perhaps your region or ethnic group would be better off forming its own independent country.
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Tuesday, October 31, 2017
It’s Time To Challenge What You Think You “Know” About The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
I know I am not the traditional author you come across on most financial sites. Most others will provide you with traditional notions of the stock market based upon rationalities. So, many authors will suggest that we “cannot separate public policy and geopolitics from the markets,” they will focus on “market valuations,” they will claim that “fundamentals do not support this rally,” and will provide you with many, many other reasons as to why they have continually believed that this rally would never happen.
Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Fragile Stock Market Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: James_Quinn
“So the modern world may be increasing in technological knowledge, but, paradoxically, it is making things a lot more unpredictable.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder
“Success brings an asymmetry: you now have a lot more to lose than to gain. You are hence fragile.” – Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder
I had read Nassim Taleb’s other best-selling tomes about risk, randomness and black swans – Fooled by Randomness & The Black Swan. They were not easy reads, but they were must reads. He is clearly a brilliant thinker, but I like him more because he is a prickly skeptic who scorns and ridicules academics, politicians, and Wall Street scumbags with gusto. There were many passages which baffled me, but so many nuggets of wisdom throughout each book, you couldn’t put them down.
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Tuesday, October 31, 2017
Stock Market Bullish Trend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, October 29, 2017
Sheffield Leafy Suburbs Tree Felling's Triggering House Prices CRASH! / Housing-Market / Sheffield
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Sheffield City Council's 'Streets Ahead' PFI Contract with the Spanish Ferrovial owned Amey has been busing ripping the green out of England's greenest city England during 2017. As Sheffield's tree lined leafy suburbs that the estate agents so welcoming advertise are increasingly becoming no more. Trees that have taken more than a 100 years to reach their adult splendour have been felled in there thousands leaving behind either voids or a £20 sapling that rarely survives or is prone to falling prey to vandalism, all in exchange for large trees with capital values of between £50k and £150k now permanently gone!
Sunday, October 29, 2017
Uranium URA Intermediate Cycle Update / Commodities / Uranium
By: SurfCity
Friday sure looked like a capitulation day for the Uranium sector and possibly a cycle low is forming but is it just a Trading Cycle Low (TCL/DCL) or perhaps also an Intermediate or Yearly Cycle Low (ICL/YCL) or as well? First, you may wish to review my last update on the sector.
https://surfcity.co/2017/09/21/uranium-ura-energy-cycle/
Six charts below on URA, CCJ and NXE each with two charts. The first for each is a 3 year Weekly showing Intermediate and Yearly Cycle Lows (ICLs & YCLs). These charts make a somewhat compelling case that Friday’s low may well be a longer ICL/YCL but we may also see an undercut low.
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Sunday, October 29, 2017
Learn Why Axel Merk Sees Problems Ahead for the US Dollar… / Currencies / US Dollar
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Axel Merk, president and chief investment officer of Mark Investments, and author of the book Sustainable Wealth. Axel is a highly sought-after guest at financial conferences and on new outlets throughout the world, and it's great to have him on with us again. Axel, thanks for joining us today.
Axel Merk: Good to be with you.
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Sunday, October 29, 2017
Basics about forex trade and the foreign exchange market / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Kavinesh_A
What is Forex Market?
The foreign exchange market is a vast marketplace where currencies are traded. Currencies and exchanging them with another currency hold prime importance around the world. Be it for travel, education, business or any other purpose, we need to relocate to a different country and need to exchange our currencies to the equivalent amount of local currency. As for example, if you are French on a tour to India, you can’t pay for food or conveyance in euros as they are not accepted. You need to seek help from a broker or an agent who exchanges your euros to the equivalent amount of Indian rupee that you can spend. The same theory is applicable all across the world. So, there are firms who provide a platform to the traders to buy or sell foreign currencies at the current exchange rates. This is where Forex tirdzniecība comes into existence.
Saturday, October 28, 2017
Markets Big Macro Play Ahead / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Gary_Tanashian
At NFTRH, we are about major macro turning points above all else. Of course, it is often years between these turning points or points of significant change so we are also about the here and now, and managing the trends, Old Turkey style.*
Since we are all learning all the time, I have no problem admitting to you that while right and bullish on commodities and stocks in 2009, after becoming bullish on the precious metals in Q4 2008, I completely ignored Old Turkey due to my inner biases. The result has been that after taking excellent profits from the precious metals bull, personally, I have greatly under performed the stock market bull despite holding a bullish analytical view for the majority of the post-2012 period.
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Saturday, October 28, 2017
Trading Forex with Elliott Doesn't Have to be Complicated / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
By: EWI
Watch a simple lesson on Elliott waves from Chief Currency Strategist Jim Martens
Understanding the Wave principle doesn't have to be hard. In fact, as you'll see in this 5-minute clip, learning from EWI's Chief Currency Strategist Jim Martens can be downright entertaining.
Watch as the 30-year veteran analyst explains how learning to use Elliott waves can be as simple as counting to 5 and knowing your A-B-Cs!
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Saturday, October 28, 2017
Fed/ECB Strangle Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Zeal_LLC
This epic central-bank-easing-driven global stock bull is starting to be strangled by the very central banks that fueled it. This week the European Central Bank made a landmark decision to drastically slash its quantitative easing next year. That follows the Fed’s new quantitative-tightening campaign just getting underway this month. With CBs aggressively curtailing easy-money liquidity, this stock bull is in serious trouble.
The US flagship S&P 500 broad-market stock index (SPX) has powered an incredible 280.6% higher over the past 8.6 years, making for the third-largest and second-longest bull market in US history! The resulting popular euphoria, a strong feeling of happiness and confidence, is extraordinary. So investors brazenly shrugged off the Fed’s September 20th QT and the ECB’s October 26th QE-tapering announcements.
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