Friday, June 05, 2020

UK Coronavirus Catastrophe Trend Analysis Video / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britains half witted response to the coronavirus pandemic continues to unfold catastrophically, with bringing the pandemic under control virtually wholly left to the good sense of the general public to achieve as Government Ministers, MP's and Advisors fail to follow that which they have been preaching since the government ordered lockdown on the 23rd of March (a good 3 weeks too late).

Friday, June 05, 2020

Why Land Rover Discovery Sport SAT NAV is Crap, Use Google Maps Instead / Personal_Finance / Land Rover

By: HGR

Viewers requested a video on the Land Rover Discovery Sports Sat Nav, so heres what I shot a while ago but never got around to uploading, answers the question is the Disco sport Sat Nav any good?. Naah, it's crap. Watch the video and see for yourselves.

Thursday, June 04, 2020

Stock Market Election Year Cycles – What to Expect? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Every election year over the past five US Presidential election cycles has presented a unique set of price rotation events.  Particularly evident in strongly contested US Presidential candidate battles where the voters are consumed with pre-election rhetoric.  The 2007-08 election cycle was, in our opinion, very similar to the current market cycle in terms of consumer sentiment and economic function. The 2015-16 election cycle was less similar – yet still important for our researchers.

The economic conditions of the US economy and the global economy were vastly different prior to each US Presidential election cycle and continue to evolve throughout the current 2020 election cycle. Yet, our researchers believe the correlation of price volatility and rotation combined with the distraction for consumers as the election process occupies the hearts and minds of almost everyone across the globe takes a toll on the markets.  Prior to almost any US Presidential, price volatility and trends tend to become much more exaggerated and extended.

Thursday, June 04, 2020

Social Unrest Rises as Confidence Falls / Politics / Pandemic

By: MoneyMetals

Protests egged on by the legacy media quickly devolved into large-scale riots and looting over the weekend in more than a dozen U.S. cities.

Some important institutions have betrayed the public trust, and Americans facing quarantine and staggering unemployment have arrived at the boiling point.

Meanwhile, the ranks of people buying gold and silver as a hedge against economic chaos and financial malfeasance swelled again in recent months.

Thursday, June 04, 2020

Why Solar Stocks Are Rallying Against All Odds / Companies / Solar Energy

By: Submissions

Watching the news is one of the most dangerous things you can do as an investor. I know it’s counterintuitive. After all, most investors want to be as informed as possible. But watching CNBC or any other financial media outlet won’t give you an “edge.”

Most news is “priced in” long before the talking heads cover it. In other words, investors who act on news are usually late. The mainstream media also fixates on bad news. And it’s no secret why: fear sells. But it’s not just the talking heads on TV that you need to worry about.  

The news you read online can be just as destructive to your wealth. You probably would have sold all your stocks back in March if you listened to all the negative headlines! This is why I never watch the news.

Thursday, June 04, 2020

East Asia Will Be a Post-Pandemic Success / Economics / Asian Economies

By: The_Gold_Report

In conversation with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable, Jayant Bhandari of Capitalism and Morality offers his take on what the post-COVID-19 world will look like.

Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Jayant Bhandari, the founder of Capitalism & Morality, and a highly sought-out advisor to institutional investors.

Jayant, there are a lot of mixed, contentious emotions regarding COVID-19. Irrespective of one's position, it's incumbent for us all to prepare for how the world will function going forward. Let's discover which parts of the world, and how readers may thrive in a post coronavirus world.

Sir, you recently wrote a musing entitled "What the Post Coronavirus World Looks Like." In this piece, you outlined a number of distinctions that may create a great divide between East Asia, the West and Third World countries. From a 30,000-foot perspective, who do you see coming out as the winners, when and if the world returns to some aspect of normalcy, and why?

Thursday, June 04, 2020

Comparing Bitcoin to Other Market Sectors – Risk vs. Value / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Quite a few traders have been discussing the recent rally of Bitcoin to recently breach the $10,000 level on May 7, 2020.  This psychological price level is a major milestone for Bitcoin – even though the price has fallen into an extended Flag/Pennant formation since reaching the recent peak.  Many traders and speculators are expecting Bitcoin to rally alongside the precious metals sector as there appears to be a strong belief that Bitcoin aligns with precious metals well.  Our researchers attempted to put this assumption into a simple test and this is what we found.

Bitcoin appears to be similarly volatile in comparison to precious metals, although the overall trending of Bitcoin has been moderately lower since the peak levels in February 2020 whereas the Gold/Silver sectors have seen advancing price activity over the same span of time.  Precious metals rallied much quicker after the bottom near March 2020 whereas Bitcoin didn’t really begin to rally until late April 2020. Because of this disconnect in price association, we don’t believe Bitcoin is aligned with the precious metals segment. 

Wednesday, June 03, 2020

Covid, Debt and Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Richard_Mills

Precious metals are loving the uncertainty the coronavirus has created. 

Despite limited successes some countries have had with reopening, the virus is nowhere near contained. As of this writing, close to 6 million worldwide are infected and 365,328 have died. The important columns in the table below from the heavily visited Worldometer's coronavirus page, are the yellow and red. 

Wednesday, June 03, 2020

Gold-Silver Ratio And Correlation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Kelsey_Williams

From Investopedia:

“Correlation is a statistic that measures the degree to which two variables move in relation to each other. Correlation measures association, but doesn’t show if x causes y or vice versa, or if the association is caused by a third–perhaps unseen–factor.”

In order for correlation to exist, there must be fundamentals that directly connect the two items being compared.

For example, there is a possible correlation between localized, bad weather and crop failures. But how do you predict the timing and extent, or the effects, to a degree that can be profitable?

Wednesday, June 03, 2020

The Corona Riots Begin, US Covid-19 Catastrophe Trend Analysis / Politics / US Politics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

President Trump recently successfully bullshitted the gullible mainstream media into believing that he was self medicating on the anti malaria Hydrosychloroquine, that includes side effects such as paranoia, delirium and herat attacks, so unlike Vitamin D, definitely not to be taken on a whim, bur rather after considering the evidence in its favour of actually working to combat a coronavirus infection for which there is a building case against as previous tweets by nut jobs have been exposed as being BS.

Wednesday, June 03, 2020

Stock Market Short-term Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Long-term trend – We are in an official bear market

Intermediate trend – Concluding initial rally in a downtrend.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Wednesday, June 03, 2020

Deflation: Why the "Japanification" of the U.S. Looms Large / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

The U.S. faces the prospect of a Japan-like deflation.

Let's begin with a brief review of Japan.

Here's a chart and commentary from the 2020 edition of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash:

Wednesday, June 03, 2020

US Stock Market Sets Up Technical Patterns – Pay Attention / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The recent “melt-up” in the US stock market after a moderate downside price move in early May 2020 has set up a number of technical patterns that traders need to pay attention to.  This melt-up trend may continue for a bit longer, but price levels and actions are beginning to set up very clear patterns that warn of potential weakness in the future.

First, no matter how we attempt to spin the data, the US economy is very likely to fall into a moderate recession after the COVID-19 virus event has created a world-wide economic event and the recent riots and protests all across the US continue to disrupt and destroy property, businesses, and other assets.

It is almost like a one-two-three series of punches leading to a TKO.  We have the virus event, the stay-at-home orders, and now the riots and protests.  Recently, the National Guard has been called out to support local law enforcement and to protect people and properties. From our perspective, the situation is very far away from stable economic activity/growth supporting current stock price activity/levels.

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

UK Corona Catastrophe Trend Analysis / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The devastating consequences of the chinese Coronavirus catastrophe continues in terms of lives lost and severe economic contraction, which given who it's effecting and to what extent (the West) has all the hallmarks of being a bio-weapon that has in large part been engineered to target western population groups to a greater extent but which through negligence prematurely leaked out of the Wuhan bio lab and then proceeded to go on the rampage across world aided by infected Chinese travelers allowed to travel internationally whilst domestic flights out of Wuhan were suspended.

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

US Real Estate Stats Show Big Wave Of Refinancing Is Coming / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Current data released for the May Real Estate and Consumer Spending activity suggests a wave of refinancing is taking place – and not much else.  Pending home sales slipped to 69.  That level is 7.4 points below the lowest level in 2010 – at the height of the 2008-09 credit crisis that collapsed the global Real Estate values.  How big is this new low level in Pending home sales?  It’s HUGE.

It suggests the rate of sales in the US for Real Estate has collapsed beyond levels that were seen at the worst possible time in recent history (July 2010).  In fact, over the past 20 years, there has never been a time when the pending home sales index has collapsed below 74 to 75 – until today.

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

Let’s Make Sure This Crisis Doesn’t Go to Waste / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: John_Mauldin

A stock market crash wasn’t 1929’s only big event. Coca-Cola (KO) launched a new slogan: “The Pause That Refreshes.”

Coke’s marketers sensed the economy was headed down. How do you sell a completely unnecessary beverage to a struggling country? It’s simple, really: You remind consumers that treating themselves is important, too. 

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

Silver and Gold: Balancing More Than 100 Years Of Debt Abuse / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

Since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, the stock market has outperformed Gold and Silver significantly. Here is a great chart (from longtermtrends.net) that proves this:

Tuesday, June 02, 2020

The importance of effective website design in a business marketing strategy / Companies / SME

By: Submissions

If you are starting a new business, or managing an existing one, you have most likely thought about creating a website. Or, you may already have one for your business, and will also probably already be aware of the effects some simple website design can have on your business’ success.

Having an effective marketing strategy will obviously increase the chance of your business becoming successful. Effective marketing is what will lead to more sales and increased revenue, and thus the growth of your business. However, there is one key element that should be part of your marketing strategy, and that is effective website design.

Monday, June 01, 2020

AI Mega-trend Tech Stocks Buying Levels Q2 2020 / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Perceiving Coronavirus as a Disruptive Technology

The 'scientists' say that viruses are not alive. We'll for something that's 'technically' not alive it sure does behave like it is! Perhaps just as scientists will deem AI to be 'not alive' all the way until they take all of the jobs.

So lets leave the academic world behind, for their moronic obsession's has gotten us into this mess, certainties of solutions adopted by the likes of the UK and US to achieve 'herd immunity' when commonsense would have served our nations far better that of isolating and quarantining all those even suspected of being infected! Such as every flight entering the UK from virus infested China during January and February.

Monday, June 01, 2020

M2 Velocity Collapses – Could A Bottom In Capital Velocity Be Setting Up? / Interest-Rates / Money Supply

By: Chris_Vermeulen

M2 Velocity is the measurement of capital circulating within the economy.  The faster capital circulates within the economy, the more that capital is being deployed within the economy to create output and opportunities for economic growth.  When M2 Velocity contracts, capital is being deployed in investments or assets that prevent that capital from further circulation within the economy – thus preventing further output and opportunity growth features.

The decline in M2 Velocity over the past 10+ years has been dramatic and consistent with the dramatic new zero US Federal Reserve interest rates initiated since just after the 2008 credit crisis market collapse.  It appears to our researchers that these extended periods of zero interest rates deflate the capability of money circulating throughout the economy and engaging in real growth opportunities for investment and capital inflation.