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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

What Bernanke's Economic Recovery Means for U.S. Jobs / Economics / Employment

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier today, At the Economic Club of New York, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke gave his Outlook for the Economy and Policy.

His speech contains much self-serving claptrap about how Federal Reserve policy save the day. Nowhere has the Fed admitted its role in creating the mess.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

GDP Forecasts Revised Higher and Gold Boosted by Negative Returns in All Currencies / Economics / Economic Recovery

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI travel for business purposes a lot these days. Moreover, the battery life on my laptop is limited. As a result, at least these are the excuses I am offering, I do not have as much time to write as I used to. Hence the dearth of Econtrarians. Once a month we must update our economic and interest rate forecasts. Given that I have little new to say about the forecast this month, as was the case last month, I am again using the update as an opportunity to communicate some thoughts I have had over the past month but have not had the opportunity until now to jot them down.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

Second U.S. Economic Stimulus Package Headed Our Way? / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: Is the recent market softness something to be worried about?

Not if U.S. President Barack Obama & Co. comes through with a second stimulus package – as I’m expecting.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

Which is the Strongest BRIC Country for Investing? / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have a trick question for you, especially if you’re interested in emerging markets:

Among the four BRIC countries — Brazil, Russia, India and China — which offers the best stock market performance for American investors?

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

Five Reasons China Is Not a Bubble / Economics / China Economy

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRomeo Dator writes: A year ago, nobody thought China could manage 8 percent GDP growth in 2009. With year-to-date growth coming in at 7.7 percent through the first three quarters and getting stronger, China is poised to break that 8 percent mark rather easily.

The success of the stimulus and the lofty economic numbers China has managed to produce amidst a global crisis has led many to claim China is the next great bubble.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

Only a New Credit Bubble (that isn’t coming) Staves Off Deflation / Economics / Liquidity Bubble

By: Chris_Galakoutis

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe next issue I wanted to write about in this post is this whole notion of ballooning reserves at the Fed, and how we get to hyperinflation if this money were to ever be lent out and multiplied across the economy.  Reserves might have gone from 10 Billion in August 2008, to about 1 Trillion today, but in fact, this money is not being lent out – it is simply sitting there at the Fed, earning interest.

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Economics

Monday, November 16, 2009

U.S. Unemployment Projected Scenarios For the Next 10 Years / Economics / UK Economy

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week in Mish Unemployment Projections Through 2020 I posted a chart and tables of what unemployment might look like in what is best described as an optimistic "muddle through" scenario with no recessions for another decade.

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Economics

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Deficit Doubles for Government's Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp / Economics / US Debt

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo many future bailouts to look forward to, so little time.  So many cans do kick down the road via accounting adjustments, so few feet do keep doing the kicking.  While I read this piece I was struck by my own reaction... not even $30 billion in deficit?  This is peanuts!  We've become so numb to bailouts that anything less than hundreds of billions seems like a normal part of Bailout Nation.  Yet just over a decade ago the world was in a panic over hedge fund Long Term Capital and its gaping hole of $3.6 billion. 

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Economics

Sunday, November 15, 2009

Not so fast Australia! / Economics / Austrailia

By: Kevin_George

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe “lucky country” managed to live up to its name in becoming the only industrialized country to escape recession.

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Economics

Sunday, November 15, 2009

What Is At Stake With Free Trade / Economics / Global Economy

By: Shamus_Cooke

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the ten years since the World Trade Organization (WTO) protests in Seattle, global opposition to free trade and “globalization” has exploded. The general public now has a basic understanding of how the world economy works … against them: companies scour the globe searching for slave wages, which help push down wages in “developed” countries; any regulation that reduces profits — environmental, financial, labor, etc. — is destroyed or ignored.

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Economics

Sunday, November 15, 2009

The New Command Economy Impact on Stocks and Crude Oil / Economics / Economic Stimulus

By: Christopher_Wood

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOne week on and sentiment, judging by meetings with US investors over the past week, has again shifted to the “melt up” into year end. If the failure of the stock market to respond more positively to the last two monthly ISM data points is a cautionary signal, the break out of the oil price in recent weeks after four months of sideways consolidation around the US$70/bbl level is the sort of market action likely to be associated with a “melt up” (see Figure 1). This is because oil is for now a proxy for risk.

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Economics

Saturday, November 14, 2009

China's Phony GDP Growth Data, Evidence Ordos the Empty City / Economics / China Economy

By: Trader_Mark

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJust a fascinating video below showing how China is achieving these "consistent" GDP growth numbers [Aug 5, 2009: China's Provincial Growth Figures Far Overstated versus National Figures].  Obviously on a relative basis the country is doing far better than many in the world but trying to figure out what is actually happening inside is guesswork. 

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Economics

Saturday, November 14, 2009

If This is Economic Recovery, Where Are the Increased Tax Revenues? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf This is Recovery, Where Are the Taxes?
Last Business Standing
Stimulus, What Stimulus?
The Reality of Unemployment
Let the Good Times Roll
The Quick Double-Dip Scenario

No one goes into Wal-Mart and asks to pay extra sales tax. Thus sales taxes are reasonable barometers for retail sales. This week we look at how taxes are doing in a period of economic recovery. Then we turn our eyes to a very interesting (and sobering) analysis of possible future unemployment rates. This is an anecdote to the happy-face analysis of employment numbers you get from establishment economists. There will be a lot of charts and tables, so this letter may print a little longer, but I think you will find it very interesting.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

America Follows Japan Over the Debt Fuelled Economic Cliff / Economics / US Debt

By: Bill_Bonner

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“It’s amazing; the US is doing everything that Japan did wrong,” said a friend yesterday.

Let’s see, in the 1980s Japan’s corporate leaders thought they were going to take over the world. Investors thought so too. They expanded. They wheeled. They dealed. Prices shot up and they all thought they were geniuses.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

U.S. Job Losses Demystified / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs the unemployment rate crossed the double digit barrier for the first time since Michael Jackson learned to moonwalk, President Obama announced that he will convene a “jobs summit” to finally bring the problem under control. Using all the analytic skill that his administration can muster, the President is determined to figure out why so many people are losing their jobs and then formulate a solution. That's a relief; for a while there, I thought we were in real trouble! In fact, the absolute last thing our economy needs is more federal government interference. If Obama really wants to know what's behind entrenched joblessness, he should start by looking at the man in the mirror.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

Krugman's Magic Solution to Budgetary Woes / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLong-time readers know that I am second only to Bill Anderson in my constant criticism of Paul Krugman. Indeed, I quite recently defended the gold standard from Krugman's ridicule.

Given this context, I am very surprised to confess that Krugman has convinced me of the virtues of currency debasement. As I was reading his blog post on the tragic fate of Ecuador, I applied Krugman's lessons to my personal life, and suddenly everything became clear. In a flash, all of my household's financial stresses were solved.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

Is Mexico the “New” China? / Economics / Mexico

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: When it comes to global manufacturing, Mexico is quickly emerging as the “new” China.

According to corporate consultant AlixPartners, Mexico has leapfrogged China to be ranked as the cheapest country in the world for companies looking to manufacture products for the U.S. market. India is now No. 2, followed by China and then Brazil.

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Economics

Friday, November 13, 2009

Winds of Economic and Geopolitical Change / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Puru_Saxena

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 19th century belonged to Britain, the 20th century belonged to America and in the 21st century, China will rule the business world.  Whether you like it or not, this transition is already underway and it will intensify over the coming decades.

It is our observation that throughout history, no empire has managed to rule forever.  If you look back in time, you will realise that various empires rose to power, they prospered and spread their influence.  Thereafter, they over-extended themselves and then decayed.  In fact, all the glorious empires had one thing in common – the spectacular collapse.

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Economics

Thursday, November 12, 2009

The State of the American Economy in One Chart / Economics / US Debt

By: Ceri_Shepherd

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThey say a picture paints a thousand words. Well this picture paints very clearly the American Economy for the last 30 years.

Ever decreasing Bond Yields which = EVER EXPANDING DEBT.

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Economics

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Securitization and Fractional Reserve Banking / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Nikolay_Gertchev

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor good economists, the link between the operation of a fractional-reserve banking system and the recurrence of boom-bust cycles is of little doubt. One of the paramount figures who has contributed to the intellectual elaboration of this relationship and to its transmission to young economists, among which the present writer has had the pleasure to count himself, is Professor Hans-Hermann Hoppe.

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