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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Economics

Sunday, April 01, 2012

Higher U.S. Gas Prices and the Illusion of Economic Recovery / Economics / US Economy

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe housing recovery seems to have been a temporary affair. Preliminary data frames March as weak as last October. It looks like lower interest rates boasted sales. Those rates are up from 4.72% to 5.02%.

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Economics

Sunday, April 01, 2012

U.S. Unemployment to Rise Amidst New Round of Mass layoffs / Economics / Unemployment

By: Barry_Grey

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe US electronics retail chain Best Buy on Thursday announced it would close 50 stores this year and lay off 400 corporate and support workers as part of a plan to cut $800 million in costs and restructure its business. The Minnesota-based firm was one of a series of American and Canadian companies that announced major layoffs this week.

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Economics

Saturday, March 31, 2012

Money Is Starting to Burn a Hole in Households’ Pockets / Economics / US Economy

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFebruary personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased 0.8% month-to-month in nominal terms and 0.5% in real terms. In real terms, the February PCE increase was the strongest since last September. From some of the naysayers out there (David), we keep hearing that the economic “green shoots” that have emerged this past winter were due to the unusually mild temperatures. Really? One area of consumer expenditures that has not been boosted by the mild temperatures is electricity and natural gas.

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Economics

Friday, March 30, 2012

U.S. Debt, Deficit, Economy and Financial NO SPIN Zone / Economics / US Debt

By: Ty_Andros

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs leviathan government, Central Bankers and the welfare states battle Mother Nature and Darwin, the stakes for the global banksters and elites could not be higher. Governments in the US and Europe are striving to place debt and legal shackles on those they pretend to serve and working for the interests of banksters, power-hungry public servants and entrenched government bureaucrats against that of their own constituents.

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Economics

Monday, March 26, 2012

Economic Forecasting: The Model Solution / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Shostak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn their economic analyses economists utilize a range of statistical methods that vary from highly complex models to a simple display of historical data. It is generally held that by means of statistical correlations one can organize historical data into a useful body of information, which in turn can serve as the basis for assessments of the state of the economy. In short, it is held that through the application of statistical methods on historical data, one can extract the facts of reality regarding the state of the economy.

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Economics

Sunday, March 25, 2012

Saving India from the Keynesian Economists / Economics / India

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShanmuganathan "Shan" Nagasundaram writes: In the murder mystery The Da Vinci Code, Silas the albino is in search of the keystone and, on confession by the four sénéchaux about the location, he visits the Saint Sulpice church in Paris to retrieve the same. However, upon digging at the specified spot, all that he finds is a stone with the inscription "Job 38:11." A nun explains the symbolism: "Hitherto shalt thou come, but no further," indicating that Silas has reached the end of the road in his attempts to find the keystone.

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Economics

Saturday, March 24, 2012

A Random Walk Through the Economic Data Minefields / Economics / Economic Statistics

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis Friday finds me sleeping later than I planned … in the lounge at the airport in Stockholm, on my way to Paris. To the great applause of readers all over the world this may be the shortest letter in 12 years. I will write here and on the plane and quit when I land so I can be with friends this evening. No time for exhaustive research, so we will march through random topics that caught my attention this week until it is time to hit the send button. In no particular order, let's jump in.

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Economics

Saturday, March 24, 2012

What All Major Economic Depressions Have in Common / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDeflation requires a precondition: a major societal buildup in the extension of credit (and its flip side, the assumption of debt). -- Conquer the Crash, 2nd edition (p. 88)

Has the United States met that precondition?

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Economics

Friday, March 23, 2012

U.S. Economy Dead Man Walking, The Crash of 2012 / Economics / US Economy

By: Casey_Research

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDoug Casey, Casey Research writes: In an interview with Louis James, the inimitable Doug Casey throws cold water on those celebrating the economic recovery.

[Skype rings: It's Doug Casey, calling from Cafayate, Argentina. He sounds tired, but pleased with himself.]

Doug: Lobo, get out your mower; it's time to cut down some green shoots again, and debunk a bit of the so-called recovery.

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Economics

Thursday, March 22, 2012

China Shops While American Investors Drop / Economics / China Economy

By: Neeraj_Chaudhary

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleUnquestionably there has been a significant change in investor sentiment since the crash of 2008. The 50% decline in stock prices in 2008-2009 combined with the financial sector bailouts, the "Flash Crash" of 2010, and the continued demonization of our leading financial institutions, has helped shatter the public's faith in Wall Street. With U.S. stock markets essentially flat over the past 13 years (despite occasional heart-stopping volatility), many investors may have decided that long term equity investments are just no longer worth the risk.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Is the U.S. Economy Really Healing? / Economics / US Economy

By: Michael_Pento

Please don’t believe the hype that the American economy is healing. While it is true that some data is showing improvement, the true fundamentals of the economy continue to erode.

America’s trade deficit hit $52.6 billion in January. That’s the highest level since October of 2008 and is clear evidence that we have fully reverted back to our under production, under saving and overconsumption habits with alacrity.

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Economics

Monday, March 19, 2012

How Can U.S. Economy Be Recovering When Cities Are Going Bankrupt? / Economics / US Debt

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs pundits chatter about an economic recovery, 80 miles east of San Francisco you'll find a city (pop. 292,000) facing bankruptcy:

Stockton is on the verge of becoming the largest city in the United States to declare bankruptcy...

San Francisco Chronicle (3/4)

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Economics

Monday, March 19, 2012

Is Fiat Money Inflation a Fraud? / Economics / Inflation

By: Mario_Innecco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe classical definition of inflation is an increase in the amount of money in circulation leading to a rise in prices of goods and services. In a fiat money system money and credit are imposed by statute on the public and controlled by the central banking cartel and not a free market for money and credit. As Felix Somary once said: “the state alone is responsible for inflation: inflation without government, or indeed against government, is impossible.”(1)

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Economics

Sunday, March 18, 2012

Getting Back to Full Employment, Where Will the Jobs Come From? / Economics / Employment

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"Six years into our global data collection effort, we may have already found the single most searing, clarifying, helpful, world-altering fact.

"What the whole world wants is a good job.

"This is one of the most important dsicoveries Gallup has ever made. At the very least, it needs to be considered in every policy, every law, every social initiative. All leaders – policy makers and lawmakers, presidents and prime ministers, parents, judges, priests, pastors, imams, teachers, managers and CEOs – need to consider it every day in everything they do.

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Economics

Sunday, March 18, 2012

Euro Crisis: Plight of the Netherlands, Staggering Unemployment in Spain and Greece / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA report by the London-based Lombard Street Research, which says the Netherlands is badly handicapped by euro membership, and as a result the Dutch Freedom Party has called for a return to the Guilder. Leader Geert Wilders has become the first political movement in the euro zone with a large popular base to opt for withdrawal from the single currency. The Freedom Party is a conservative populist party. We do not read Dutch, but the very fact that this information was only picked up by a few sources outside of the Netherlands shows you what managed news is all about.

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Economics

Saturday, March 17, 2012

Gas Prices Lift Overall U.S. Consumers Price Inflation in February / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in February after a 0.2% increase in the prior month. According to the BLS, about 80% of the increase was from higher prices for gasoline. Gasoline prices shot up 6.0% in February to result in a 3.2% increase of the energy price index, despite a 3.4% drop in natural gas prices and a steady reading for electricity. From a year ago, the CPI rose 2.87%, following gains of 2.93% in January and 3.9% in September.

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Economics

Friday, March 16, 2012

Higher Energy Prices Lift U.S. Producer Price Index / Economics / Inflation

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 0.4% in February after a 0.1% increase in the prior month. The 1.3% gain in the energy price index was led by a 4.3% jump in gasoline prices. The food price index slipped 0.1%, marking the third consecutive monthly decline. Excluding food and energy, the core PPI advanced 0.2% during February vs. a 0.4% increase in January.

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Economics

Friday, March 16, 2012

U.S. Jobless Claims – Labor Market Improvement Continues / Economics / Unemployment

By: Asha_Bangalore

Initial jobless claims fell 14,000 to 351,000 during the week ended March 10. The four-week moving average at 355,750 is the lowest in nearly four years. Continuing claims, which lag initial jobless claims by one week, declined 81,000 to 3.343 million, the lowest since August 2008. The main message is the labor market conditions are improving at an impressive pace.

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Economics

Thursday, March 15, 2012

Europe's Economic Crisis: Portugal, Ireland, Spain, Italy and Belgium Following Greece / Economics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt isn’t over until it is over. Of course, we are referring to Europe and its version of 1984. We find it profound that the bankers, politicians and bureaucrats of Europe can do what they have done with a straight face. Investor had a haircut shoved down their throats and the ECB, the European Central Bank and the IMF were exempt.

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Economics

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Making 9 Million Jobless 'Vanish': How The U.S. Government Manipulates Unemployment Statistics / Economics / Unemployment

By: Dan_Amerman


Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen we look at broad measures of jobs and population, then the beginning of 2012 was one of the worst months in US history, with a total of 2.3 million people losing jobs or leaving the workforce in a single month. Yet, the official unemployment rate showed a decline from 8.5% to 8.3% in January - and was such cheering news that it set off a stock rally.

How can there be such a stark contrast between the cheerful surface and an underlying reality that is getting worse?

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