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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Stock Market US Election Day Follow-Through / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices on election day decided to follow through on yesterday’s rally. The day started out with a pullback, they tested support, and when they failed to take any action to the downside, they took off. The S&P 500 went from the 2123-4 zone all the way up to 2147. The Nasdaq 100 jumped from 4757 to 4825. In the afternoon the pulled back and formed wedges, but when they failed to take out secondary support, they headed back up again,tried to retest the highs, but fell short, and pulled back in the last ten minutes. Still, it was a positive session.

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Companies

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

The Cannabis Sector after the Vote – Boom or Bust?? / Companies / Healthcare Sector

By: TLSReport

Technical Analyst Clive Maund takes a look at the cannabis sector, and how the the election results for eight states, including California, might facilitate a massive boom.

Not only do we have the US elections today, we also have voting in eight states on the legalization of cannabis, including the all-important State of California, which just by itself is one of the biggest economies in the world. The outcome of this vote is of crucial importance to the future of this fledgling industry, although all the indications are that it will be favorable.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Uncertainty about OPEC and US Election Leads to Oil Price Drop / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Jason_Hamlin

During the third quarter of 2016, global gold production dropped by 0.5%. Miners brought 846.8t onto the market versus 851.2t during Q3 of 2015. While this isn’t a huge decline, it marks the second consecutive quarter that gold production was down versus the previous year. The overall trend of plateauing output remains in place and has increased the odds that we are approaching, or have already reached, peak gold. The chart of annual mine production is shown below.

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Politics

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

America is The Poisoned Chalice / Politics / US Debt

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Neither candidate in the US presidential election has had many specifics to offer on their economic ideas and projected policies, and that may be a smart move for both. If only because none of the two has indicated any real understanding of what awaits America as per November 9. And I don’t mean where the stock markets will be tomorrow morning, or the price of gold, though short term volatility is obviously certain.

The November 7 rally on Wall Street made plenty clear where everyone’s bets are placed -on Hillary-, so much so that there’s not much of a rally left if she wins. A Trump win could well see some panic, downward pressure for the dollar and stocks, upward pressure for gold, but there’s no telling how long that would last.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

BrExit Swing States Win Donald Trump the Presidential Election 2016 As Forecast / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

BREXIT! The pollsters, mainstream press pundits, analysts, markets and bookies ALL Got the US Presidential Election badly WRONG. This is the second time this year that they ALL got a major election badly wrong. Not even coming close to forecasting this election from the New York Times to Nate Silver downwards, thousands writing reams and reams of garbage presenting the view that Donald Trump cannot possibly win, right up to the close of the polls.

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

Betting Markets Confirm Donald Trump Has Won / Wins U.S. Presidential Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The betting markets that following the close of the polls leapt to discount a Hillary Clinton win who by 1am (UK) Polls+1hr, had Trump trading on an impossible to win 12 with Hillary Clinton on 1.09 as illustrated below, that had the mainstream media pundits, pollsters and other analysts on the likes of CNN slapping themselves on the back for having correctly called the election as the results appeared to be turning out as they expected would, well.....

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ElectionOracle

Wednesday, November 09, 2016

US Presidential Election Betting Markets Odds Now Forecast Trump Could WIN - BrExit Factor! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Observing extreme volatility on Election night as we countdown to the critical too close to call Florida result! For instance the betting markets an hour before the US polls closed had Trump trading at 6.6 - That's at about 11pm UK Time.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Hillary Clinton Wins US Election 2016 According to Pollsters, Bookies and Stock Market, BrExit? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As we count down the close of the polls virtually every opinion pollster analyst, book makers and the financial markets are strongly discounting a Hillary Clinton election win. So is America ripe for its very own BrExit moment? When the polls turn out to be WRONG as they were for Brexit.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

This Election Marks the Beginning of Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: John_Mauldin

BY JARED DILLIAN : Volatility is high going into this election (because nobody knows what will happen, and there is a lot at stake). People think that after the election, the uncertainty will be out of the way, and volatility will subside.

Will it?

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

US Election 2016 - Small-town America Will Decide the Fate of Everyone / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: John_Mauldin

One congressional district in a state that nobody pays attention to could find itself at the center of American politics. That district’s single electoral vote could spell the difference between a razor-thin win and a tie. Seriously.

Maine is one of just two states that apportion electoral votes by congressional district and not by the total state count. The state has four total votes. Two go to the statewide winner, and one each goes to the winners in the two congressional districts.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Neither Election Candidate Has the Character to Govern the US / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : This year’s campaign has got to be one of the strangest of all time. We have two major candidates running for president. One says strange things. One does strange things.

Donald Trump has been accused of collaborating with the Russian president and his intelligence service. He is on tape claiming that he can have sex with anyone he wants.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

The 2000 Election Sell-off Might Repeat—Here’s How to Profit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Mauldin

Perceptions about the US presidential election have a major impact on markets. The recent news about the FBI not probing Clinton’s emails any further drove US equity markets up by 1% to 2%. Over the last couple of months, stock markets have moved down when Trump is gaining in the polls and up when there’s good news for Clinton.

But what happens if there is no clear winner in the 2016 US presidential election? Jared Dillian, ex-head of ETF trading at Lehman Brothers, says a delayed outcome is the most likely result of the election. Beyond that, this delay will lead to volatility in the markets.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Trump's Top 5 Target States: Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, New Hampshire and Nevada in Rigged Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

There's about 5 hours to go until the polls start to close in the craziest, zaniest Presidential election in living memory, that which pitted reality TV star 'billionaire' Donald Trump against career Washington insider Hillary Clinton. With Hillary being the clear favourite to win, so here are what I deem to be Trumps Top 5 target swing states based on the last 72 hours of Trump campaigning, those states he has been targeting in an attempt to flip to red and win the US Presidential election.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Credibility – Confidence – Chaos and GOLD! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

The corrupted Republican and Democratic parties in the U.S. have put forth two of the most despised candidates – ever. One candidate is probably more corrupt than LBJ and both parties are rapidly losing credibility. Ask yourself, does either party speak for anyone but the political and financial elite?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

US Election Whatever the Outcome, all Stock Market Paths Appear to Lead Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is down this morning, having broken beneath Short-term support at 2129.10. Since it is election day, there is no telling what events or outcomes will affect the markets. There are a couple of alternate paths that SPX may take, but they all lead down at this time.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Uncertain US Election Outcome and Uncertainty After Bodes Well For Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

  • Polls suggest Clinton to win but as with Brexit is chance of surprise
  • PredictWise gives Clinton an 89% chance of becoming President-elect, giving just Trump just an 11% chance.
  • Gold price may move about 1.8% to 4% if result is uncertain
  • Demand for gold and silver is up this week by a factor of 25 percent
  • Sales of American Eagle gold coins have climbed 23%
  • Gold to benefit from ‘Punch and Judy’ election
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Economics

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

The Rise Of Eurasian Silk Road  / Economics / Asian Economies

By: Dan_Steinbock

Premier Li’s Eurasian tour heralds the new future of Eurasia that will be based on regional economic integration.

Last Wednesday, Premier Li Keqiang began a week-long trip in Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan, Russia and Latvia seeking to promote China’s relations with the four countries, and boosting regional development and cooperation.

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Politics

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Washington’s Post-Election Gridlock and Africa / Politics / US Politics

By: Dan_Steinbock

After the bizarre 2016 election, Washington faces a slate of legal investigations, a massive political gridlock, the threat of new Cold Wars and possibly a contested election. What does it mean to Africa?

Last July, FBI Director James Comey closed the probe of Hillary Clinton’s emails and decided not to pursue charges, which resulted in broad criticism. Recently, Comey re-opened the case following a discovery of new emails. In addition to the Benghazi and FBI debacles, these efforts are likely to include some 50,000 emails from Wikileaks, particularly those of John Podesta, Clinton campaign manager and chair of the Center of American Progress (CAP).

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Politics

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Paranoia Deepens in US as Cyber-attacks Prepare Post-Election Tumult / Politics / Cyber War

By: Jeff_Berwick

Paranoia makes whole populations manipulable. Over time, crisis after crisis, it builds globalism and creates cultural homogenization.

Just today, WikiLeaks claimed it had been hit with a Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) attack, supposedly to prevent it from distributing additional information that would prove negative to the Clinton camp.

This is part of a much larger paranoiac atmosphere. Paranoia is running rampant in US federal elections. We recognize the paranoia because we’ve covered the trends that cause it for years.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 08, 2016

Watch The EU Banks After The US Election Gyrations Are Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

We may not know for a fact who will win the US election, but what we do know is that the Credit Cycle has turned. This will turn out to be more important in the near term, once the expected US Election market gyrations have subsided!

Credit Cycle Has Turned

It's time for investors to refocus on the banks who live via the credit cycle, and specifically the troubled EU Banking sector.

When the Credit Cycle turns, those banks most over-extended always "pay the piper"!

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