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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, April 05, 2017

US Debt Ceiling Shutdown: What Would Happen if the Government Shut Down For Good? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jeff_Berwick

It’s that time of year again where the US government acts like it will “shut down” and argues about nonsensical things to try to make people believe they are somehow necessary.

In 2015, Congress suspended the ceiling, which let the government borrow as much as it wanted through March 15, 2017. On that date, the total national debt was $19.846 trillion, and the government can't exceed that limit without approval from Congress.

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Politics

Wednesday, April 05, 2017

What Happens to Britain’s Borders After the Brexit? Potential to Fracture the U.K. / Politics / BrExit

By: STRATFOR

Splitting from the European Union will inevitably strain the United Kingdom's territorial integrity. Those pushing for Scotland and Northern Ireland to secede from the United Kingdom are using Brexit to justify their agendas. Brexit will also open a debate between the central government in London and the country's devolved governments about who will control the powers that will be repatriated from Brussels. With authority over policy areas such as agriculture, fisheries, industry and the environment returning to the United Kingdom after Brexit, the administrations of Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland will push London to transfer many of those attributions to them.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 05, 2017

Stock Market Finished Positive Just Under Key Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market had somewhat of a turnaround Tuesday today, but the indices suffered some early losses, held support, and rallied back in a choppy, but in a steady up-channel. Although key overhead resistance at 5440 Nasdaq 100 and 2360 S&P 500 were repeatedly tested, they were not taken out. They did close near there those numbers, so we’ll have to see what happens tomorrow.

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Companies

Wednesday, April 05, 2017

Tesco Dodges a Bullet Customers to Pay £220m for SFO Fraud Fine and Investors Compensation / Companies / Tesco

By: Nadeem_Walayat

So Tesco managed to dodge a bullet and avoid a criminal prosecution by agreeing to pay a fine of £129m as part of a Deferred Prosecution Agreement with the Serious Fraud Office for its 2014 false accounting scandal as well as to compensate investors by an estimated £90m (including interest) for those who bought Tesco shares on the basis of false accounting in 2014.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, April 05, 2017

SPX Under Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is right back where it was on March 23, having challenged the Lip of the Cup with Handle for the first time and bringing up the notion of a potential flash crash. Funny thing is, the potential has not changed, it just got delayed. Could something big happen tomorrow? At this point it is anyone’s guess. Many bears have turned neutral, simply because the pattern looks more bullish than bearish. As long as SPX remains under Short-term resistance at 2360.67, the pattern remains bearish. Above that, it turns neutral, while above 2370.42 it may be bullish.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Stock Market Trends; Is the Stock Market Heading for a Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Sol_Palha

"A moment's insight is sometimes worth a life's experience." ~ Oliver Wendell Holmes

This Bull started off as the most hated bull market in History, and it is now metamorphosing into the most insane of all Bull Markets. By any measure, this Market needs to let out some steam as it is trading in the extreme of the extremely overbought ranges. Historically, the crowd is almost always in the bullish camp at this stage of the game, but that does not appear to be the case. In fact, what stands out is that the masses are as anxious as ever, and yet the markets are trading close to their highs.

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Currencies

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

EUR/USD - Another Invalidation of Breakout / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

On Friday, the euro extended losses against the greenback and closed the week under the previously broken long-term support/resistance line, invalidating the earlier breakout. Will this negative development encourage currency bears to act in the coming week?

In our opinion, the following forex trading positions are justified - summary:

EUR/USD: short (a stop-loss order at 1.0967; the initial downside target at 1.0521)
GBP/USD: short (a stop-loss order at 1.2738; the downside target at 1.2157)
USD/JPY: none
USD/CAD: none

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Negative Real Interest Rates to Drive Gold Price Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Mauldin

At its March meeting, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 0.25%. In doing so, it hiked rates for only the third time since 2006. However, in a strange turn of events, the Fed’s move was perceived as a dovish one by the markets.

That’s because even with inflation at its highest level since 2012, the Fed said monetary policy will remain accommodative “for some time.” As has been the case in the past, the Fed is willing to let inflation consolidate above its 2% target before embarking on a more aggressive tightening path.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

What's Next for Crude Oil Stocks? / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Nadia_Simmons

Without a doubt, the previous week was the best week of 2017 for oil bulls. In that time, the black gold gained 5.48% and invalidated the earlier breakdown under the psychologically important barrier of $50. What happened at the same time with oil stocks? What's next for the XOI? Let's jump right into charts (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com) and find out what can we infer from them about future moves.

Let's start today's article with the long-term chart of oil stocks.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

All Eyes on US Bond Market Yields / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

After the first day of trading of April, a relatively uneventful one for the equity markets in general, the most consequential market for me is 10-year yield!

Yield continues to exhibit weakness, and is bearing down on a critical 5-month support level at 2.30%, which if violated and sustained, will trigger downside continuation signals that project to 2.10% optimally, and possibly to 2.00% prior to the next upmove (in yield).

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Gold Price 2017 - Jim Rickards and I Are on the Same Page / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Risks to the global economy was the main topic of the conversation between precious metals expert Jim Rickards and Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group.

On the 28th of March, I sat down for an interview with New York Times Best-Selling Author James Rickards, and we mainly discussed risks to the global economy.

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Politics

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Revolutionize School Education Globally with ‘Dynamic School Knowledge Banks’ / Politics / Education

By: Dr_R_M_Mathew

Out of millions of students enrolled in thousands of schools every year globally, a few thousand students alone are lucky to have the best schools and best teachers and the others are spoiled without the required Skills, Expertise, Knowledge and Motivation though spend a lot of money, efforts and time . No school is rich enough to engage the Master Teachers and Great Scholars for each and every lesson taught in the classrooms. Half of the children do not have any access to schools and teachers worldwide.  If we follow the conventional mode of education, it may take at least one hundred years to establish schools for all children in the world.
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Commodities

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Watch Gold And Silver Prices In April 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: InvestingHaven

Gold and silver prices were neutral last month. During the first two weeks of March, gold and silver retraced only to recover in the last two weeks of the month. Right now, both gold and silver are trading at the same levels as a month ago.

In February and March, particularly gold went through a very important series of tests.  Gold prices stood strong last month when the $1200 area was tested. That is when we came out and adviced to closely what gold’s major bear market test. The price of gold was only 8 pct away from a bull market.

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Companies

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Amazon is a Destroyer of Jobs and the Merchant Economy / Companies / Amazon

By: BATR

If this is progress, just how much more can our economy afford? The myth of cheap prices, conveniently seldom factors in the structural costs to society. Building an all inclusive monopoly based upon minimal employees and predatory prices ignores the long anti-trust history that helped create the middle class. The last fifty years has demonstrated the systemic retreat from family prosperity, which has produced a vast disproportionate of wealth among the fewer haves and the growing have-nots. The enormous accumulation of market share that Amazon has steamrolled under the hypnosis of ease in selection of products, placing orders, timely deliveries, and most of all; cheapest pricing has caused the demise of much of traditional retail commerce.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Stock Market High 3rd April 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

The Hybrid Lindsay model is forecasting a high on or near today, 4/3/17. Traditional cycle analysis is also pointing to a high today and no low until the second half of the month.

Point E on 4/5/06 of a descending middle section counts 2,008 days to the low of the basic cycle on 10/4/11. 2,008 days later is 4/3/17.

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Commodities

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Gold Danger Zone – Price Decline / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Bob_Loukas

As the days and weeks continue to pass, gold is struggling to show us anything close to the strength seen during the 2016 rally.  And the more gold continues to perform in a lackluster manner, the more I begin to consider that 2016 strength as a bear market counter-rally.  If that were true, it would mean the action since the 2016 top is a continuation of the bear market that started in 2011!

Of course, gold has yet to fail in such a fashion, so there is still enough evidence to support the bear market ended over a year ago.  And if the equity markets are near the top of an eight year bull market, then we could expect gold to outperform (inversely correlated) in the coming years.  With the equity markets at fairly extreme levels, forecasting longer term, across varying asset classes, is difficult to do.  Therefore, for the time being it is best we appreciate just how difficult and extreme the current landscape, rather than trying to force any one specific viewpoint dogmatically.

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Companies

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

The US Auto Industry is About to Drive Off a Cliff - Again! / Companies / US Auto's

By: Gordon_T_Long

In the fall of 2015 we released a video study entitled: "The Coming Global Auto Abyss - Too Much Supply, Too Many Brands; Combine with Too Much Credit!". We concluded that low interest rate monetary policy for the auto industry was like handing crack cocaine to a drug addict. The auto industry would rapidly and irresponsibly abuse it, to such an extent that it would once again 'spin out' and careen back to what can only be termed the Washington 'substance abuse center'. Whether mis-management or clever strategy we are unfortunately being proven right and are now witnessing the reality.

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Economics

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

The Fake US Economic Recovery May Be Ending / Economics / US Economy

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The “real”  Atlanta Fed’s reading of Q1 GDP   went off a cliff to less than 1%:

No one has the slightest idea of what is happening as insane levels of debt distort the model’s which economists use to forecast the future economic trends. From here on out, there will be unpleasant surprises all the way around. According to shadow stats, the GDP is in contraction at the rate of -2%.

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Economics

Monday, April 03, 2017

Trump's Reflation Trade is Deflating / Economics / US Economy

By: Michael_Pento

The election of the 45th President brought with it great enthusiasm for the U.S. economy to break out of its eight-year growth malaise and to provide it with a huge adrenaline shot of inflation. But the optimism behind Trump's economic agenda took a serious blow with the inability of House Republicans to even get a vote on repealing and replacing Obamacare.

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Housing-Market

Monday, April 03, 2017

How to Beat Inflation by Fixing your Mortgage for Five Years / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

With inflation starting to bite and the cost of everyday goods rising, now may be the time to think about fixing bills so they do not increase for the foreseeable future. Fixing your mortgage now, particularly for five years’ time, can inflation-proof at least part of your monthly outgoings. And with Moneyfacts.co.uk research showing that the average five-year fixed rate mortgage at 75% loan-to-value (LTV) has fallen by 0.32% in just one year, now might be the perfect time to grab a long-term fixed rate deal.

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