Monday, March 06, 2023
Silver’s Subtle Indication / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Namely, while the GDXJ (upper part of the chart) moved only a little above its recent high, silver has pretty much doubled its previous short-term upswing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 06, 2023
Using Forex Trading Charts for Trend Analysis & Predictive Trading / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
The foreign exchange, or forex, market is the largest financial market in the world. Traders in the forex market use various tools to analyse trends and make informed trading decisions. One of the most valuable tools for forex traders is the trading chart, which enables traders to track market movements and identify potential trading opportunities.
This article will explore how forex trading charts can be used for trend analysis and predictive trading. If you’re looking for a way to level up your forex trading game, why not use the tradingview platform?
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 28, 2023
Current State of the Stocks Stealth Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Dow closed Monday at 33,629 vs the trend forecast road map of 32,750, so the Dow continues to show a positive deviation against the forecast of +2.7%, up from the +2.2% deviation as of 9th of Jan.
- Stocks Bear Market Max PAIN - Trend Forecast Analysis to Dec 2023 - Part1
- Stock Market Analysis and Trend Forecast Oct 2022 to Dec 2023
Tuesday, February 28, 2023
Warning: Dark Days are Closing in on Apple / Companies / Apple
By: Stephen_McBride
iPhone sales are in trouble… Apple’s “dirty” growth tactic can no longer mask its disappointing results… Could this “mystery” project save Apple from doom?…
- I’ve got some bad news… Dark days are closing in on Apple.
I understand this may come as a shock.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 27, 2023
US Housing Market House Prices Current State / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The only way I am going to be able to get the US housing market mega analysis done and dusted is if I break it up into digestible chunks, hence it will be delivered in 3 parts -
1. US Housing Stocks and Implications for House Prices
2. US Economy Implications for House Prices.
3. US House Prices Analysis and concluding 3 year trend forecast.
Why housing stocks first and not last?
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 26, 2023
The META METAVERSE MEGA-TREND - AI VR Tech Stocks Investing 2023 / Companies / Metaverse
By: Nadeem_Walayat
After descending into the depths of hell the META Stock price is coming alive as that which the herd pundits dismiss as a gimmick is starting to gain traction, the METAVERSE, they will only get it when they see META trade to new all time highs, gaming is where it is right now and what most focus on but that is a mere pinprick of what the Metaverse will herald, realistic computer generated worlds in real time. One aspect of the Metaverse that most completely miss is GAME PLAYING! Not playing games but GAME PLAYING where one plays out scenarios in the metaverse...
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 26, 2023
Gold Price Is ALMOST Ready to Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Enough is enough. No market can decline without correcting every now and then. And both gold and the USDX point to an upcoming reversal.
Let’s start with gold.
Is It Over?
Looking at its price from a short-term point of view, we see that it paused for a brief moment at its 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 26, 2023
Stock Market Every thing Every Where All At Once! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Virtually everyone was open jawed last week as to why the hell are stock prices soaring on BAD EARNINGS reports and yes regardless of how the headless chickens on the cartoon network (CNBC) were reacting in trying to explain the price action they were BAD EARNINGS reports as flagged by the EGF's which had zero impact on stock prices that instead of plunging soared into the stratosphere, why? It's because earnings reports are looking in the rear view mirror at what has already happened which is why one needs to be aware of current EGF and future EGF as well as current P/E relative to the high-low P/E range for each stock as shown in my AI stocks table. Our perception of time is not linear as we flit from the past (memories) into the future (forecasts, hopes and dreams) and back into the present, in a constant state of flux and so it is for all market participants which is the true nature of the markets, everything, everywhere all at once.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 26, 2023
Fed President Worried the Fed Risks a Repeat of the 1970s / Interest-Rates / Inflation
By: MoneyMetals
Gold and silver markets drifted lower again this week as investors braced for additional Fed rate hikes to come.
On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve released the minutes from its latest policy meeting. Policymakers agreed on the need for additional increases in interest rates. They settled on just a 0.25% bump up at their last meeting. But some dissenters called for a larger 0.5% hike.
Sunday, February 26, 2023
Oil Price Rises Despite Larger US Crude Stocks. Russian Production Worries / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Submissions
The two global crude benchmarks are still enjoying momentum that began on Thursday – despite larger-than-expected US crude inventories – following reports from the financial press that Russia will cut oil exports from its western ports by 25% per month in March compared to February in response to Western sanctions.These claims, however, have not yet been confirmed by the Russian Ministry of Energy.
The western ports of Primorsk, Ust-Luga, and Novorossiysk export around 2.5 million barrels of crude a day. Therefore, a 25% reduction would imply a reduction in exports of 625,000 barrels per day, or about 0.6% of the world oil supply.
This contraction would thus exceed that announced by the Russian Deputy Prime Minister in charge of Energy, Alexander Novak, earlier in February by 500,000 barrels per day.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 26, 2023
UK Tomatoes, Cucumbers and Eggs Panic Buying - Food Crisis 2023 / Politics / Food Crisis
By: N_Walayat
Mover over bog roll the new panic buying is for Tomatoes and Cucumbers due to shortage of produce as the European Union limits supplies to Britain as another punishment for voting for Brexit. The UK should do similar by refusing to sell British Gas to the EU but weak and feeble Rishi Sunak won't do that! So here we are once more panic buying perishable foods as supermarkets limit sale of Eggs, Cucumbers and Tomatoes. However there are solutions - Grow Your Own!
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 23, 2023
Gold: What "Colossal" Central Bank Buying May Mean / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2023
By: EWI
"Central banks are so confident that gold prices will continue rising that they are..."
Central banks have been scooping up gold with a vengeance.
Here's a Jan. 31 Financial Times headline:
'Colossal' central bank buying drives gold demand to decade high
Interestingly, just a few days later on Feb. 3, the precious metal dropped by more than 2%. But setting aside near-term price moves in gold, what you need to know is that government is nearly always the last to act on a financial trend. In other words, when government acts, a financial trend is either nearly or already over.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 23, 2023
When to use a Life Insurance Broker / Personal_Finance / Insurance
By: Submissions
Life insurance is a crucial way to protect yourself and your family’s financial future. As such, you must understand the different life insurance policies available and choose the right one for your needs. A life insurance broker can help simplify this process, offering expert guidance and advice on the best options to suit your situation. But when should you use a life insurance broker?
This article provides scenarios where using a life insurance broker could be beneficial.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 23, 2023
What to Do When Making an Initial Investment / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest
By: Sumeet_Manhas
When you have decided to make an initial investment, there are many steps that you need to take beforehand to ensure that you are able to do this without a hitch. As such, here is what you should do when making a financial investment in 2023.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 20, 2023
Stock Market US Presidential Election Cycle and Recessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2023
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
Did you catch the Pump into last weeks US CP LIE data followed by the Dump? What happen's next - Stock Market Counting Down to Pump and Dump US CPI LIE Inflation Data Release
The Santa rally that runs for 7 trading days into the start of each new year expired on the 4th of January and believe it or not technically we actually got a Santa rally, the 7th straight Santa rally in a row.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 20, 2023
Inflation & Commodities / Commodities / CRB Index
By: Gary_Tanashian
The news is full of articles now discussing how food (Staples) producer prices are going to continue rising, how warehouse and distribution channels are pushing “inflation” higher, how charges to use cargo containers and transportation are all pushing “inflation” higher.
The inflationary acts were committed in 2020 and 2021. The inflation was inflicted then and is now history. What is happening now is a plethora of knock-on effects from the inflation. It’s lagging, sticky and in some cases opportunistic and greedy stuff that is not inflation but instead, the predictable after-effects of it.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 20, 2023
More Headwinds for Commodity Market Bulls / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Donald_W_Dony
Commodity bulls are facing a challenging year ahead.
Some natural resources were benefiting and riding on the coattails of mounting inflationary pressure in 2020 through to mid-2022, such as oil and Natural gas, while others (gold and silver) were still prospering from the low US dollar and near zero Fed interest rates in 2019.
However, conditions started to change for most commodities in mid-2022 (Chart 1).
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 20, 2023
Silent Killers of Stock and Bond Investors 50+ / Stock-Markets / Investing 2023
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently I was shocked after speaking with five different investors on the phone. These investors have been involved in the markets for many years, and they trade their accounts. Surprisingly, not a single one of them knew what drawdowns were, as there are two types. In short, it is how we gauge an overall investment strategy’s risk level so you know if a given approach fits within your risk tolerance.
I did a survey several years ago that still blows my mind because the results were so backwards and frustrating. To this day, I’m experiencing the same thing with traders and investors, so I want to talk about it here – drawdowns and what you may not know about them.
A drawdown measures how much an investment or trading account is down from its highest point. It is used to quantify the extent of loss suffered by an investor or trader during a period of market decline. A drawdown is expressed as a percentage. Also, the maximum drawdown (MaxDD) is the largest percentage drop from the account’s highest point to its lowest point over the life of the strategy, which in laymen’s terms, is the largest loss.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 19, 2023
The Truth No One Wants to Hear about Stocks / Stock-Markets / Investing 2023
By: Submissions
By Justin Spittler : I’ve been getting under some people’s skin.And it’s because I’ve been unapologetically bullish for the last couple months.
I get it. No one wants to hear the bull argument after the horrible year we just had in stocks.
But things have changed.
Many investors haven’t entertained the possibility that last year’s bear market is over.
They’re certain the stock market will head much lower.
Their arguments sound something like: “Inflation is still too high; the economy is speeding toward a recession; the Fed isn’t done raising rates.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 19, 2023
Get Ready for the GREAT DISINFLATION / DEFLATION CON of 2023 / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
US CPILIE smoke and mirrors inflation rate has peaked and will head sharply lower during 2023 that will sow the seeds for the next spike higher to 10% during 2025.
Read full article... Read full article...