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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

InvestorEducation

Friday, September 11, 2015

Decision Theory - The Certainty Equivalent / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: John_Mauldin

By Jared Dillian

One of my students met me in my office the other day. He is a ROTC cadet; that’s Reserve Officer Training Corps, in case you don’t know.

He knows I have military experience, and he wanted to pick my brain about how he could use his MBA while working for the government.

“Uh, you can’t, really,” I said.

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Commodities

Friday, September 11, 2015

Gold Price Slides Again as Expected / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion, short (full) speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward point of view.

Gold, silver and mining stocks declined once again yesterday, but this was not surprising to those who followed our analysis. We moved to the short side many days ago and the profits have just increased. Will they increase even more?

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Politics

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Jeremy Corbyn Wins Labour Leadership Election 2015, Labour Out of Power for 15 Years! / Politics / UK Politics

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Voting for the the next Labour leader closed at 12pm today. The election followed the disastrous reign of Ed Milliband who not only failed to beat the Conservatives at the May general election but took Labour back towards the 1980's level of number of MP' after haemorrhaging virtually every Labour MP in Scotland to the Scottish Independence fanatics.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Buy Gold, Sell the S&P / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Buy low, sell high!  As of today, September 3, 2015, the better choices are buying gold and selling the S&P 500 Index and relevant stocks.

Why?

Examine the graph of the ratio of Gold to S&P 500 Index for the past 25 years.  The ratio is low now and likely will correct higher.  I think gold will move higher and the S&P will move lower.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Stock Market Sentiment Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Gary_Tanashian

In the last 2 NFTRH editions, we noted extremely over bearish market sentiment conditions in Rydex bull/bear fund allocations and in Small Speculators’ net short positions. These sentiment indicators have been reset to traditional correction-ending, even bear market-ending levels.  That’s the reality.

The latter especially, has been a reliable contrary indicator.  Basically, the Small Specs have never been right at important market turns.  For instance, they were heavily net short in the late 1990’s but by the time the market topped in 2000, they had covered and become net long.  They have reliably been a contrary indicator all along the current bull market as well, going net short at each correction bottom, post 2009.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Confusions About Interest Rates Part 2 / Interest-Rates / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

Following the 2001 dot-com crisis, interest rates were lowered to 1% and then slowly raised to 5% over a 4-year period. This timid policy still created a massive bubble in housing that finally bust in 2008. Instead of learning from the past, we doubled down on this same failed policy. Interest rates were then lowered to 0% and have been held there with little political will to raise them one iota.

We are now on the eve of another major financial crisis, yet economists (except Austrians) still don’t really understand the role played by interest rates in a capitalist economy. To avoid repeating economic mistakes of the past, we must understand the faulty logic that led us to these errors.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Confusion About Interest Rates Part 1 / Interest-Rates / Economic Theory

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

Since 2008, central banks have rushed to lower interest rates to spur growth. This has induced mal-investments in almost all asset classes. For example, with oil prices below $50 a barrel and trending lower, the shale oil industry is in serious trouble as is the banking industry that lent it over $1 trillion.

Of course, economists and faulty economic theory are 100% responsible for what is to come. The professional economist today is like the doctor of the past whose prescription to bleed the patient was considered state-of-the-art medicine; the cure, of course, being much worse than the disease. 

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Personal_Finance

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Virgin Money’s Record Beating 37-month 0% balance Transfer Credit Card / Personal_Finance / Credit Cards & Scoring

By: MoneyFacts

Virgin Money has improved the terms of its Balance Transfer Credit Card MasterCard, increasing the 0% balance transfer term from 36 months to 37, the longest currently available. The card has therefore been awarded the highest Moneyfacts product rating of ‘outstanding’.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Stock Market Something Happened This Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

Prior to 6:00 am, the SPX futures were up to 1960.00, a near-50% retracement of yesterday’s decline. Then something happened. “S&P 500 e-mini futures have been halted twice (0551ET and 0612ET) in what one market observer exclaimed "looks like manipulation to me." So what exactly happened at 6:12am?”

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Politics

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Refugees and Migrants in a World of Government Meddling / Politics / Immigration

By: MISES

Per Bylund writes: [Updated Author’s Note: The issue of immigration has only become more pressing over the ten years that have passed since this article’s original publication. And, unfortunately, the libertarian movement has not reached a consensus on this issue. But it should be easy, considering how government is at both ends of the problem: government is the number one reason people choose to escape their countries, whether because of governments’ war or devastating poverty due to the lack of opportunities in regulated markets; and government is the reason ordinary people, in a desperate state because their lives have been forcefully uprooted, have a hard time choosing where to lead their lives in peace. The desperation is due to the so-called “failings” of their own governments, and augmented by ours.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 10, 2015

China Allows Gold Bullion as Collateral / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

China’s Shanghai Gold Exchange said it will allow physical gold to be used as collateral on futures contracts from September 29, according to a statement posted on its website this morning as reported by Reuters.

Physical gold will be permitted to be used for up to 80 percent of margin value, according to the statement.

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Politics

Thursday, September 10, 2015

The EU Uses Every Crisis To Grab More Power / Politics / European Union

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Jean Claude Juncker held a speech yesterday that had, oh irony, been labeled a State of the Union. A perfect way of showing how pompous Juncker and his surroundings have become. A perfect way, too, to point out how much the European Union differs from the United States. The gap is so wide it doesn’t need any explaining.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Why Central Banks Are Pressing Investors To Hold Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Claudio Grass writes: It has been nearly three years since we published our first Outlook Report in December 2012. Since the beginning of our publication, we have focused on different aspects of the gold market and have analyzed what moves the gold market. In this article, we would like to re-examine some of the topics that we had previously discussed and analyze whether any of our assumptions have changed.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Gold’s Fate in the Hands of The Janet Yellen / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Kirtley

US Monetary policy has played its part and had an impact on many aspects of the financial markets including the precious metals sector. We have been through a period of Quantitative Easing whereby trillions of dollars were printed in an attempt to boost the economy after the great financial crash of 2008. The markets were then weaned off the money supply through a strategy known as tapering which gently brought about the end of money printing. Over this period gold prices have had a roller coaster ride reaching a new all-time high of around $1900/oz before falling back to the current level of around $1106/oz.

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Commodities

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Retail Silver Market Has Seized Up - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: David_Morgan

Silver expert David Morgan says prices of the white metal may be low, but demand is huge. Morgan explains, “I did a survey of many of the top wholesalers and retailers in the country and came to the conclusion that the retail side of the market has basically seized up. One of the biggest mints in the U.S. is backlogged about 4 million ounces. You have two other main government mints that are basically on halt and not producing, or trying to catch up. You have huge premiums in the silver bar market and extremely high premiums in the silver bag market, or what is referred to in the industry as junk silver. Dealers are paying $5 above spot to source silver bags. What that equates to for the cost of silver is about $19.25 an ounce, and we are in the mid-$14 range for an ounce of silver. So, obviously, there is a huge demand that cannot be met with the current supply in the retail market.”

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Stock Market Daily Charts Show A Strong Reversal Lower.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Last night there was some actions taken by the heads in Japan. Their stock market rocked higher, which naturally caused Europe's futures to rock higher, and finally gave our futures a massive life higher. The intervention has to limit, it seems. One leader after another from all over the world are coming out with drastic actions to ensure good times for their economies. Every time the market tries to fall for a week, or so, we get the Government's kicking in to save mode. They won't allow those bears any love. No wonder markets usually go higher. It's just not an even playing field, but we have known that for more years than we can count, unfortunately. Regardless of how much the intervention may be inappropriate for the long term, action will be taken. They'll deal with the consequences later. Let someone else deal with it.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Amid Stock Market Turmoil, Investors Cling to Hope. Why? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: EWI

History shows that many investors will hold stocks all the way down

I was watching financial television as the Dow Industrials fell 400-plus points on Sept. 1.

Two market professionals were interviewed: Both said the big decline in recent weeks represented a buying opportunity.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 10, 2015

Following Pandemonium in the Stock Market, What You Should Know Now ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

With the chaotic market action that began in August, a lot of advice and theories about its "cause" have been floating around the financial media:

"Buy the dip!"

"Sell and fold!"

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Commodities

Thursday, September 10, 2015

How Politics Make for Strange “Oil Fellows” / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: I have decided to write a long prelude today to a discussion that will conclude in the next edition of Oil & Energy Investor. There is something quite significant afoot. But in the process of describing what is happening now, I need to travel back, first personally some several decades, and then over a century earlier in literature.

When you read this I happen to be in Europe on one of those new high-speed trains. The conveyance may be a recent change, but the terrain whisking by my window is only too well remembered from an earlier life. This had at one time been a quite personal stage for some very high-risk objectives.

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Companies

Thursday, September 10, 2015

A "Stealth" Play on Cybersecurity with this National Security Investment / Companies / Cyber War

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes: In fiscal year 2015, the federal budget is $3.8 trillion.

When you look at a number like that, a $133 million award sounds insignificant.

But the focus of that spending – on advanced cybersecurity – that very meaningful to tech investors like you.

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