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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Companies

Tuesday, April 09, 2019

LYFT Stock IPO Mania is Wall Street’s Dead Canary / Companies / IPOs

By: Michael_Pento

Recently, Wall Street has been myopically focused on the IPO of a ride-sharing company called Lyft, which by the way, is hemorrhaging money. Since investors have become much less concerned about profits and valuations, this offering was an incredible 20 times oversubscribed. Meaning, the underwriters received $47 billion of orders for Lyft shares but raised $2.3 billion. The company generated $2 billion in revenue last year and lost an incredible $911 billion! Investors rewarded this profligate business model with a market cap of $27 billion.

This is a great example that Wall Street has gone nuts. The Lyft IPO price was $72 per share and shot up to $88.60 on its first day of trading. But the following trading day those shares were down 24% from the high. Indeed, this is emblematic of the dead canary in Wall Street’s coal mine.
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Companies

Tuesday, April 09, 2019

Why Stock Buybacks Are Such a Mistake / Companies / Corporate News

By: Harry_Dent

A lot’s driving this bubble we’ve been in since 2009, but good fundamental trends and things like demographics and technology are not among them.

The biggest inflator has been the $13 trillion worth of quantitative easing (QE) courtesy of central banks. Thanks to their significant gift to all but retail investors like you and me, speculation has become the norm.

With higher cash flow and cheaper borrowing rates – all in a slow growth economy – companies quickly learned that the best way to increase their earnings per share (EPS) was to shrink the number of shares available.
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Economics

Tuesday, April 09, 2019

A Recession is Coming… But Not Just Yet / Economics / Recession 2019

By: Harry_Dent

In the last week, there have been a slew of articles warning that we’re on the verge of a recession.

The most prominent is talk about the yield curve – the 10-year versus the three-month Treasurys – finally inverting. That has led every recession since 1955, and only gave one false signal in the 1960s.

I agree. This is something to worry about. But, this signal typically appears about a year before any recession hits. That means stocks could run up another six to nine months before they react. That’s all we need for my Dark Window blow-off rally scenario.

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ConsumerWatch

Tuesday, April 09, 2019

Are Fake Electronics Goods Worth Buying? Turkey Fethiye Market / ConsumerWatch / Shopping

By: Anika_Walayat

If your going to be holidaying in Turkey this year and are anywhere near the Dalaman / Fethiye area then you MUST visit the Fethiye Tuesday market! It is huge! Vibrant, bustling with variety, Turkish culture in action with plenty of bargains to be had if your upto the haggling challenge. It's a experience in its out right and its FREE, apart from the shopping. You get to see a side of the world that you don't usually see, full of tourists from all over the world of all types and ages, a true melting pot.

The market sells virtually everything under the sun, food, fruit, sweets, electronics, bags, all sorts of bags, trinkets, shoes, jewellery and clothes, tons of clothes, from the mainstay for tourists t-shirt's tons and tons of t-shirts to the local traditional garments.

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Currencies

Monday, April 08, 2019

What’s Next for the U.S. Dollar? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

People don’t understand gold. They don’t understand the U.S. dollar either.

Mostly, it’s the same people.

Gold bugs thought we were debasing the dollar by printing our way out of the 2008/9 financial crisis. Ha! Actually, the dollar has been rising since the start of that recession. The dollar, not gold, is actually the safe haven for the markets.

Right now, it’s range bound, but the dollar strengthened as much as 47%, at its best, during the last 11 years.

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Currencies

Monday, April 08, 2019

US Dollar Key Fundamentals / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gary_Tanashian

A reminder that we are not using the standard gold bug method of evaluating the USD (perma “death to the dollar!!”). We are using fundamentals in evaluating its potential to correct (and launch a global macro trade). The blue shaded boxes on this weekly chart tell the story of Fed policy (Fed Funds/3 mo. T-Bill) that significantly lagged the upturn in the 2yr yield into late 2015. But USD turned up much earlier (in 2014) to follow the 2yr.

Today we have an opposite situation. The 2yr has turned down (putting the Fed in dove mode) but Fed policy is going sideways. We are relatively early in a new blue box and if the correlation between USD and the 2yr holds (in reverse) either USD will correct soon or the 2yr will rise again (and whipsaw an increasingly clownish looking Fed).

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Companies

Monday, April 08, 2019

Are Traditional Business Models Going the Way of the Dinosaur / Companies / SME

By: Submissions

The term "business as usual" has always represented a slight misnomer, as the concept itself is dictated by economic, social and political conditions. So, success within this community will often depend upon one's ability to see what might be waiting around the corner. While all eyes are focused upon the Brexit and its potential long-term ramifications, not all freelancers and entrepreneurs have taken a dim view on the eventual outcome. Why is this the case? Should they not be more concerned about the fiscal ramifications of such an unprecedented move? One of the main reasons why astute professionals will likely be able to weather the storm involves the growing presence of the online business community. What changes might this phenomenon have in store? Are traditional models no longer viable? How can freelancers take full advantage of the opportunities at their disposal? 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 08, 2019

Watch For +15% Move In Chinese Stocks / Stock-Markets / China Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last week we had strong numbers out of China and our research continues to suggest the Chinese stock market could be poised for an upside price rally of at least 15% over the next 30+ days before possibly reaching a peak in June or July 2019.  Our Fibonacci predictive modeling system is suggesting a target level of $30.50 to $31.50 (in YINN) as an immediate upside profit range.

We believe the continued pricing pressures of 2018 are easing as continued negotiations with US trade officials have everyone in high hopes for a suitable and equitable outcome.  Our researchers believe the upside in the Chinese stock market could be as high as $32 to $36 in YINN before the June/July peak is reached.  This would represent a +25% to +40% upside price objective from recent highs.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, April 08, 2019

Stock Market Ending Diagonal Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Is the long-term trend resuming? Is this a B-wave?  Too early to tell!

Intermediate trend –  The trend which started at 2346 appears to be decelerating and forming a top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Commodities

Monday, April 08, 2019

The Biggest Gold Story Of 2019 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: OilPrice_Com

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Companies

Monday, April 08, 2019

5 Biotech Stocks That You Should Be Watching Right Now! / Companies / BioTech

By: Submissions

The world of biotechnology is changing rapidly. Today, there are more answers for medical questions than ever before. However, that doesn’t mean that innovation is coming to an end. Several companies dedicate their efforts to finding solutions for some of the world’s most debilitating conditions.

This medical innovation has led to droves of investor interest. As more and more companies find solutions, more and more investors are finding profits. However, as with any investment, investing in the biotechnology space can come with risk.

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Currencies

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Litecoin – Love It Or Hate It / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Sumeet_Manhas

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 07, 2019

What US Economic Fundamentals Say For Stock Market Trend 2019 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the ninth analysis in a series of videos that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Stock Market Dow Stocks Index covering to September 2019.

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Politics

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Fake News War After Mueller / Politics / Mainstream Media

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Allow me to start with a question: Has anyone seen any of the main newspapers and networks who went after Donald Trump for 3 years accusing him of colluding with “the Russians”, apologize to either Trump, or to their readers and viewers, for spreading all that fake news now that Robert Mueller said none of that stuff was real, that they all just made it up?

I’ve seen only one such apology, albeit a very good and thorough one, from Sharyl Attkisson for The Hill. But one is a very meager harvest of course. With over 500,000 articles on collusion published on the topic, as Axios said -leading to 245 million social media ‘interactions’, shouldn’t there be more apologies, if only so people can hold on to their faith in US media for a while longer?

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Falling Trade Deficit is Good for Stocks: True or False? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: EWI

A common claim from economic and stock market observers is that a rising trade deficit is injurious to the economy -- hence, bearish for stocks. On the other hand, a falling trade deficit is commonly believed to be bullish for stocks.

Sounds like common sense, but the price action of the main stock indexes often defy reason.

For example, on March 27, CNBC reported, "The U.S. trade deficit fell much more than expected in January to $51.15 billion, from a forecast $57 billion. The decline of 14.6 percent represented the sharpest drop since March 2018... ." Yet on the day the news was released, the main U.S. stock indexes closed lower.

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Commodities

Sunday, April 07, 2019

Goldcorp: 'Anything but my Payment' / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

Money manager Adrian Day looks at recent results from several royalty companies in his portfolio, as well as recent developments in the ongoing Goldcorp saga, and provides updates on a couple of favorite exploration companies.Goldcorp Inc. (G:TSX; GG:NYSE, US$11.52) looks set to be acquired by Newmont, but not without continuing controversy, particularly over chairman Ian Telfer's egregious "retirement allowance" payment, almost tripled after the acquisition announcement. After my comments last bulletin, I was invited onto BNN/Bloomberg to discuss the merger. See TV interview here. The response was overwhelming, and positive.

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Commodities

Saturday, April 06, 2019

Gold Stocks Still Marching / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks are still marching, grinding higher on balance in a solid upleg.  While interest in this sector has faded since late February, it is nicely set up for a strong rally.  After consolidating high and establishing a sturdy base, the gold miners are likely to soon report greatly-improved first-quarter results.  Couple that with gold itself powering higher, and the slumbering gold stocks should surge substantially.

The gold stocks are mired in something of a psychological limbo these days.  They aren’t exactly out of favor, but there’s little enthusiasm for this sector.  Investors and speculators have largely lost interest for technical, sentimental, and fundamental reasons.  It’s been 6 weeks since this gold-stock upleg surged to material new highs.  The major gold miners have been mostly grinding sideways since, consolidating and basing.

Contributing heavily to traders’ apathy is gold’s own price action in that recent span.  Gold overwhelmingly drives gold-mining profits, making these stocks leveraged plays on gold.  Gold’s own latest upleg high of $1341 came back in mid-February right before gold stocks topped.  Over the next 12 trading days gold fell 4.1% to $1285 during its usual pre-spring-rally-pullback period.  Slumps invariably sap traders’ enthusiasm.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, April 06, 2019

How to Make Tax Day Less Painful / Personal_Finance / Taxes

By: MoneyMetals

As Tax Day approaches, millions of Americans are becoming increasingly filled with panic and dread.

The Trump tax cuts may offer some relief. But not everyone will benefit greatly from them. A few could even see a higher tax bill for 2018 thanks to newly imposed limits on certain deductions.

The tax code itself remains absurdly complicated, needlessly invasive, and patently unfair. Some of that unfairness targets precious metals investors in particular.

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InvestorEducation

Saturday, April 06, 2019

My Personal Experience with Trade.com / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Submissions

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, April 06, 2019

Stock Market DOW Seasonal Trend Analysis - Video / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the eigth analysis in a series of videos that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Stock Market Dow Stocks Index covering to September 2019.

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