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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Gold Price Reaches $2,000 Amid Dollar Depreciation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

$2,000. Think about this number. Theoretically, it’s just a number, one of many. But… somehow we feel that jumping above this level was a big event in the gold market. After all, gold surpassed this psychologically important point for the first time in history, reaching record high, as the chart below shows.

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Commodities

Monday, September 14, 2020

GLD, IAU Big Gold ETF Buying MIA / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

The big gold-ETF buying that catapulted gold higher into early August has gone missing in action.  That’s why gold stalled out since, drifting sideways flirting with a correction.  To continue powering higher, gold needs these major stock-market-capital inflows via exchange-traded funds to resume.  The near-term fortunes for the precious-metals complex are heavily dependent on how American traders position in gold ETFs.

For better or worse, exchange-traded funds are increasingly dominating gold’s price trends.  Their relative importance has been mounting for years, and cannot be overstated.  Major gold ETFs are becoming the global gold market.  Despite lingering concerns about gold ETFs’ physical bullion holdings, speculators and investors keep flocking to them.  They are the easiest way to get gold portfolio exposure, quick and cheap.

The World Gold Council’s latest quarterly fundamental data on global gold supply and demand yet again revealed gold ETFs’ dominance.  The WGC’s Q2’20 Gold Demand Trends report showed global demand being gobbled up by gold ETFs like Pac-Man!  Gold surged 12.9% in Q2, which enjoyed one of the most-bullish psychological backdrops ever.  A worldwide pandemic raged, which had just spawned a stock panic.

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Companies

Monday, September 14, 2020

Why Bill Gates Is Betting Millions on Synthetic Biology / Companies / BioTech

By: John_Mauldin

By Justin Spittler: Beyond Meat (BYND) was one of last year’s hottest stocks. Shares of the plant-based meat company exploded 859% during its first three months out of the gate.

“Fake meat” was all the rage: an instant favorite with Millennials (I personally prefer the real thing). And the industry’s still booming today. It’s already worth $12 billion. By 2025, it’s projected to double again!

But here’s the thing: While most people have heard of Beyond Meat and the plant-based meat mania by now, they don’t realize that this is all part of a much bigger opportunity. In fact, many of the wealthiest investors on the planet have been going “all in” on this obscure megatrend.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 14, 2020

Stock Market SPY Expectations For The Rest Of September / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • Over the past 28 years, the SPY has gained an average of 3.45% in 15 of those years; it has fallen by 6.42% in the other 13 years.
  • The critical support level for SPY is 332.85. If the SPY finds support at this level then you can expect continued, moderate price increases.
  • Prepare for a moderate increase in volatility for the rest of September – watch the VIX.

My research team and I have been pouring over the charts in an effort to attempt to identify any support or weakness related to the increase in volatility over the past 7+ trading days.  The VIX is currently at 29.71 after reaching a high of 38.28.  We believe the increased price volatility is here to stay – at least through the end of 2020.  This means skilled technical traders should prepare for some potentially large and aggressive price swings over the next few weeks and months.

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Commodities

Monday, September 14, 2020

Gold Price Gann Angle Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: readtheticker

Golds bullish trend has worked well in 2020, so what is next over the immediate 3 to 6 months? Will we continue to see a golden future.

The US dollar had been strong into COVID 19, since then the FED has printing a lot of money, and they are also considering YCC (Yield Curve Control), last seen during WW2. [Note YCC lasted 9 years over WW2. WOW, that is a lot of money printing.]

The FED is now forecast to over take competing central banks balance sheets in size, and the release valve will be a falling US dollar. Therefore we should continue to see the US dollar maintain is slow leak down over the next 3 to 6 month, say on the DXY 82 to 88.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 14, 2020

Stock Market Recovery from the Sharp Correction Goes On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Paul_Rejczak

The bulls responded with an upswing, which I saw as probable to happen. Is the sharp correction over now? Thus far, my answer remains the same as yesterday – in terms of prices, the worst is likely behind us, in terms of time, we have a way to go still.

So, what about the key juncture stocks are at? Let's get and feel the pulse via a few selected charts.

As for narratives, the tensions around China are back in the spotlight. Otherwise, my yesterday's comments still apply:

(…) Unless the Democrats raise up a notch their existing calls for Biden not to concede defeat under any circumstances, unless rioting ramps up, unless the Fed takes away the punch bowl, and finally unless Americans happily march into another lockdown that who knows when it would really end and on what terms (Cuomo's conditions serve as a great, sorry, terrible example), the stock bull run can go on in September before meeting the October headwinds.

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Economics

Sunday, September 13, 2020

Is this the End of Capitalism? / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Nadeem_Walayat

If one looks at the facts of rampant government money printing to monetize government debt, permanent deficit spending on an epic scale, debt to GDP north of 100% all to finance social projects such as the UK government paying 80% of furloughed employee salaries, with similar or even greater government interventions in nations such as Germany. We'll this begs the question, how can our economies still be labeled as capitalist?

We are not living in capitalist nations, the slogans might be all about free market economies, capitalism, and theories preached of the boom bust cycle in the financial press and taught at universities, instead we tend to have the booms without the busts! Because we are NOT really living in capitalist economies!

Then what are we living in?

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Commodities

Sunday, September 13, 2020

The Silver Big Prize / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Hubert_Moolman

We have to keep our eyes on the bigger economic cycle. It helps in maintaining a proper perspective, and putting more emphasis on the bigger prize rather than the day to day movements.

The historical relationship between silver and the stock market provides great insight as to where we are currently in this cycle. Traditionally, the best part of silver rallies come after a significant Dow peak.

From previous work I have shared, it is clear that silver is still extremely cheap, and should be accumulated at these prices. The following comparison of silver and the Dow supports this, and gives us the proper perspective regarding the bigger economic cycle.

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Commodities

Sunday, September 13, 2020

U.S. Shares Plunged. Is Gold Next? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The U.S. stock market plunged last week. Will gold follow suit?

Last week, the U.S. stock market has seen strong selling activity. The S&P 500 Index has declined about 7 percent from its peak, while the Nasdaq Composite Index plunged more than 10 percent (entering a correction territory), below 11,000, as the chart below shows. It was the tech sector’s worst drop since the end of March, if not the quickest correction ever.

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Personal_Finance

Sunday, September 13, 2020

Why Are 7,500 Oil Barrels Floating on this London Lake? / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

In a break from Covid mayhem, the last thing one is expecting to see floating in the middle of the lake in hyde park is a 7,506 painted oil barrels stacked some 20 metres high!

Why?

Find out in our latest video.

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Local

Sunday, September 13, 2020

Sheffield 432 Covid-19 Deaths, Last City Centre Shop Before Next Lockdown / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

The pandemic is on the rise once more with the number of UK cases per day now exceeding 3000! This video takes likely one of our last shopping trips of Sheffield city centre as we count down to Britain's next covid-19 lockdown's to culminate in a higher second peak than April 2020.

Thus shop whilst you can because lockdown's loom for all of Britians major cities largely due to relaxed behaviour of most people who can't even be bothered to wear their masks properly! It's supposed to cover your nose and mouth and not hang under your chin you damn fools! As this video illustrates!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 13, 2020

Biden or Trump Will Keep The Money Spigots Open / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Stephen_McBride

Trump or Biden: who will be our next president? That’s the most pressing question in America right now. And in less than nine weeks, we’ll get our answer.

As I type, Biden leads in most polls. But betting markets say it’s a coin flip. Polls tend to be wrong, and betting markets are usually right.

But I’m not writing you today to predict who’ll come out on top. Or guess at what might change depending on who wins. (I’ll leave that to the talking heads on TV.)

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Commodities

Sunday, September 13, 2020

Gold And Silver Up, Down, Sideways, Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

In mid-march, just as the coronavirus was gaining momentum, the price of gold began to rise.  After trading sideways from 2015 to 2019, gold rose from a low of $1,471 in mid-March to $2,069 on August 6th, a spectacular 40% rise in five months.

During that same period, silver rose from $11.94 to $29.14 on August 6th, an even more spectacular 114% increase.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 12, 2020

Does the Stock Market Really "See" the Future? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI

Addressing the notion that the market "discounts" future events

Let's start off with an August 26 quote from Marketwatch:

[F]rothy financial markets ... currently are discounting the nirvana of an uninterrupted V-shaped recovery. ...

Of course, that statement means that the reason investors have been bidding stock prices higher is that they collectively anticipate a strong economic recovery.

But is that the real reason that stock prices are in record-high territory again?

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Commodities

Saturday, September 12, 2020

Basel III and Gold, Silver and Platinum / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: The_Gold_Report

Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable talks with Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments about macroeconomic policy and its effect on precious metals prices.

Maurice Jackson: Joining us for a conversation is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments.

Let's begin today's discussion with gold, which has recently surpassed its all-time high since we last spoke, but this is no surprise. You forewarned us this would come to pass in our discussion back in December 2019, regarding the Bank of International Settlements and Basel III and its impact on gold. For those that missed that conversation, can you please shed some light on the importance of Basel III?

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Companies

Saturday, September 12, 2020

Tech Stocks FANG Index Nearing Critical Support – Could Breakout At Any Moment / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

RESEARCH HIGHLIGHTS:

  • The washout-low price move in FANG stocks may present a needed rotation in price before another upside move sets up.
  • Tweezer Bottoms pattern and RSI pennant formation suggest very clear support levels. 
  • Watch how Volume and the VIX pick up over the next few days, and how price reacts to this bounce at 945. 

Our Custom FANG Index (consisting of Facebook, Microsoft, Twitter, Amazon, Google, and Nvidia) shows the FANG Index, and technology sector, are trading just above critical support near 945.  The congestion area on this chart between July and August just below this 945 level highlights the key resistance/support level that we are currently watching as price support. 

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Companies

Saturday, September 12, 2020

The Tech Stocks Quantum AI EXPLOSION is Coming! / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

And it will be an EXPLOSION. Not a new exponential trend but an EXPLOSION! If you understand how quantum computers work then you should be able to make the leap to understand why there will likely be a Quantum AI explosion and it will likely be SILENT! After all a super human intelligence will be intelligent enough to know not to brag about it's existence, so likely the more intelligent computers become the less we are likely to hear about them in the mainstream press until they go completely SILENT.

This is the fourth video in my Quantum AI series that concludes in a 15 year trend forecast for the AI stocks sector. However the whole of this analysis has already first been made available to patrons who support my work.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, September 12, 2020

AMD Zen 3 Ryzen 4000 Questions Answered on Cores, Prices, Benchmarks and Threadripper Launch / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

We finally have a launch date for Zen 3 ! October the 8th 2020 when all will be revealed. The first question that will be answered is will Zen 3 by 4000 or 5000 series CPU's the reason being AMD has already released their 4000 series APU's which are based on Zen 2 and not Zen 3 i.e. last Gen so likely to sow confusion in the minds of prospective many buyers assuming that a 4700x and 4700G are of the same generation when they are not. Though it is likely AMD will keep the confusing naming scheme and thus Zen 3 will be 4000 series processors. Whilst the RDNA2 cards are going to launched 3 weeks later on the 28th of October, that I am sure will come close to the Nvidia's 3080 in terms of price vs performance.

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Economics

Friday, September 11, 2020

The Inflation Mega-trend is Going Hyper! / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

QE4EVER!

Virtually everything that cannot be easily printed is rocketing higher which includes GOLD! It's not hard to see why as a consequence of rampant money printing by governments across the world in the wake of the Coronavirus Pandemic economic depression. For instance the UK alone looks set to print about £550 billion this year most of which will be monetized by the Bank of England so that the government can pay the wages of about 1/3rd of Britains workforce for a good 6 months with likely many more economic stimulus measures to follow over the next 6 months towards fighting the Pandemics dire economic consequences.

Whilst the United States has printed $2.2 trillion of stimulus dollars to date with at least another $1.3 trillion to come, that's $3.5 trillion which dwarfs the 2008 financial crisis bailout of $720 billion. Funneling stimulus checks on an epic scale into the back pockets of every working age citizen. Printing money has REAL consequences which is REAL inflation hence what we have been witnessing in markets across the spectrum, and whist I have yet to take a peak at the housing markets, I would not be surprised if the UK housing market at least will start to experience a money printing inflationary boom over the coming year, this despite the fact that people have less disposable income to buy housing, but more on that in a future article.

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Commodities

Friday, September 11, 2020

Gold / Silver Ratio: Slowly I Toined… / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Gary_Tanashian

Toined the macro, that is (in Moe’s Brooklyn accent). Step by step…

A rising Gold/Silver ratio preceded the March disaster, made an ill-fated bounce pattern in May-June and then got hammered by the 24/7 liquidity spigots opened up by a desperate Federal Reserve and Trump admin. They are desperate because the inflation MUST take hold in order to keep the system from unwinding to its fundamentals, which of course are nothing but robo-printed (funny) munny (political commentary withheld from this post, but insert what we all know here if you’d like…).

[edit] And while we’re at it, let’s insert here the republic for which it stands…

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