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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Tuesday, May 15, 2018

The Missing Link for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we discussed the fundamentals of Gold, which do not appear bullish at the moment. Real rates (and yields) are rising and investment demand for Gold is flat. That in itself is a temporary but big missing link. However, we are referring to the missing link in the context of intermarket analysis. Gold is an asset that performs best when its outperforming its competitors. That’s true of any asset but especially Gold because it traditionally has been a counter-investment or an anti-investment. While Gold is firmly outperforming Bonds and showing strength against global currencies, it remains neutral to weak against global equities.  

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, May 15, 2018

Fibonacci Price Ladder Points to Higher Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We continue to appreciate the positive and supportive comments we are receiving from our followers and members.  We can’t tell you how pleased we are that all of you are enjoying our efforts to provide you with the best market research and analysis we can offer.  Today, we are highlighting some important Fibonacci price levels and how they should continue to drive price action over the next 3~10 days or so. Let’s get started.

This first Daily ES chart shows a pretty big picture of the Fibonacci price legs (the Fibonacci price “ladder” as we will refer to it in this article) and how these legs work in tandem with other types of support and resistance channels/level as price expands or contracts within new trends.  As you probably remember, one of the key factors to understanding Fibonacci price theory is that “price MUST attempt to establish new highs or lows at all times”.  Therefore, as we can see by recent price action, new price highs have been reached.  This is a clear indication that a new bullish trend is in place and we should now be searching to key levels to enter new trades.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, May 15, 2018

Traders and Investors Stop Blaming Everyone Else / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Avi_Gilburt

While most of the articles I write are focused towards the Elliott Wave analysis we practice, there are times that something comes to my attention which almost begs me to write publicly about it. This article is one of those that beg to be written.

I have written many articles in the past which provide general advice to traders and investors. Some of the articles I have written warn investors of the evils of using leveraged ETF’s inappropriately, or entering a trade or investment without a plan, or not using stops, etc. As I have said before, after running a trading room with over 3500 members for 6 years, I have certainly seen it all by now.

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Politics

Tuesday, May 15, 2018

DARPA's XAI Explainable Artificial Intelligence Future / Politics / AI

By: BATR

The popular scenario has AI deploying autonomous killer military robots as storm troopers. The mission of DARPA is to create the cutting edge of weaponized technology. So when a report contends that the Pentagon now using Jade Helm exercises to teach Skynet how to kill humans, it is not simply a screenplay for a Hollywood blockbuster.

"Simply AI quantum computing technology that can produce the holographic battle simulations and, in addition, "has the ability to use vast amounts of data being collected on the human domain to generate human terrain systems in geographic population centric locations" as a means of identifying and eliminating targets - insurgents, rebels or "whatever labels that can be flagged as targets in a Global Information Grid for Network Centric Warfare environments."

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Currencies

Monday, May 14, 2018

U.S. Dollar Rally Is Doomed / Currencies / US Dollar

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses movements in the U.S. dollar. There was an article written a few days back where the author vehemently denied that the U.S. dollar could go any lower and where the phrases "face-ripping," "face ripper," and "rip your face off" (as well as derivatives thereof) were mentioned no fewer than nine times in a fifteen-paragraph article. The reasons given were all highly subjective and based in Modern Portfolio Theory, but what was concluded is that, once again, the U.S. dollar remains the "least smelly shirt in the laundry hamper" with aromas emitted by the euro, yen, pound and yuan all significantly more pungent than the Yankee greenback. I whole-heartedly disagree and it has nothing to do with anything taught in the CFA course or at the Rotman School of Business but rather in The Academy of Common Sense and The Ballanger Institute for Non-BS Learning.

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Commodities

Monday, May 14, 2018

Gloomy Scenarios for the Fed That Should Boost Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report. Craig runs one of the most highly respected and well-known websites in the entire industry and has been covering the precious metals for a decade now, and he puts out some of the best analysis on banking schemes, the flaws of Keynesian economics, and evidence of manipulation in the gold and silver markets.

Craig, it's been entirely too long. Thanks for joining us again, and how are you my friend?

Craig Hemke: Oh, Mike, it's always a pleasure. Thank you for having me back on. I'm a little more grayer, more wrinkles, all that kind of stuff in the last time since we've spoken, but that's what these markets will do to you, that's for sure.

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Currencies

Monday, May 14, 2018

US Dollar One Reversal Too Many / Currencies / US Dollar

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Friday was the day when silver and mining stocks were likely to reverse based on their triangle-apex-based turning points and today is the day of gold’s apex-based reversal. Therefore, it seems likely that gold, silver and mining stocks are forming the final top for this short-term upswing, or that it is already in place. The problem with the reversal scenario is that the previous week was one big bearish reversal in the USD Index. Weekly reversals are significant and thus odds of a move lower in the USD increased substantially. This means more upside in metals and miners. What should one do with the profits from the current long position?

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 14, 2018

SPX futures are higher, but so is VIX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are marginally higher. It’s hard to say whether the trendline gives way or not this morning.

ZeroHedge reports, “S&P futures are higher, maintaining overnight gains as most Asian markets advance with the MSCI Asia Pacific index 0.5% higher, as sentiment was boosted by President Trump unexpected reversal on China telecom giant ZTE over the weekend when in a Sunday morning tweet, Trump vowed to get the Chinese telco back to business in a surprising policy U-turn after the company announced a halt to major operating activities following a US 7-year supply ban order.

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Commodities

Monday, May 14, 2018

Precious Metals and Miners NUGT – The Sleeping Giant Trade / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Throughout this year, many analysts have focused on the price of Gold, Platinum & Silver markets for insight to the fear levels that exist in the global markets.  Demand for Gold and Silver have been near historically high levels for the past 12+ months and the ratio of Gold to Silver has continued to show that Silver is extremely undervalued in relative value to Gold.  We’ve highlighted these facts in previous articles to our readers.

The recent news regarding economic and political concerns regarding a wide range of Emerging Markets and established economies, we believe, has continued to drive upward price pressures in the precious metals markets.  We feel the Metals & Miners are setting up a unique opportunity for patient and skilled traders/investors.  Possibly, the opportunity of a lifetime if our analysis is correct.

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Companies

Monday, May 14, 2018

Is This The Netflix Of Cannabis? / Companies / Cannabis

By: OilPrice_Com

...

 


Politics

Monday, May 14, 2018

US Quest for Iran Regime Change: Will EU Sustain the Nuclear Deal / Politics / Iran

By: Dan_Steinbock

Trump's withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal was the wrong decision in the wrong time. It is likely to compound global political, economic and security risks. Now EU must sustain the nuclear deal, along with Russia and China.

For three years, the comprehensive nuclear accord (JCPOA) has offered Iran relief from US, UN and multilateral sanctions on energy, financial, shipping, automotive and other sectors.

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Companies

Monday, May 14, 2018

Energy Sector Congestion Basing Can Present Incredible Opportunities / Companies / Sector Analysis

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team wanted to alert our followers to the incredible opportunities that continue to present themselves in the current market.  While many people have been overly concerned about a market top and price rotation in the US majors, the Energy sector and many others have seen incredible price moves.

Take a look at this XLE chart as an example.  Yes, we know that Oil has rallied from about $60 to closer to $70 recently, yet we want you to focus on the price pattern that setup this move in XLE.  Specifically, we want you to focus on the Multi-Month Base pattern in price between early February and early April of 2018 as well as the upside breakout that followed.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 14, 2018

Has The Stock Market Crash Been Put On Hold Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Last weekend, I wrote an article entitled "The Market Is Going To Crash." The response to that article garnered over 55,000 hits on Seeking Alpha, which is about 4-5 times the reads that I normally get on a stock market update.

This gives me anecdotal insight into where the overall sentiment is in the market today. It seems most investors are leaning quite bearish, and are looking for articles that support their own bearish bias.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, May 14, 2018

Stocks Bears Last Stand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should continue until about early June.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Commodities

Sunday, May 13, 2018

The Truth About Gold That Neither Bugs Nor Bulls Want to Admit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Graham_Summers

Let’s talk about Gold as an investment.

Gold is one of the most divisive asset classes on the planet. Stock-centric investors such as Warren Buffett think it’s a worthless “pet rock” that fails to appreciate in value. Gold bugs, on the other hand, revere the precious metal with an almost religious-like ferocity.

Both of these views are misguided particularly when you apply them to a framework that involves TIME.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Stocks Bear Markets Don’t Start when Real Interest Rates are this Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Troy_Bombardia

The biggest fear among bearish investors is that “the Fed hiking interest rates will kill the economy and stock market”. But here’s the mistake they’re making.

Interest rates don’t matter. REAL (inflation-adjusted) interest rates are what matters. Real interest rates are still low right now.

This chart demonstrates the real, inflation-adjusted 10 year yield. It subtracts year-over-year Core CPI growth from the 10 year Treasury yield.

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Politics

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Trump Crossed the Rubicon in Pull Out From Iran Nuclear Deal / Politics / Middle East

By: Michael_T_Bucci

Trump crossed the Rubicon and the world is reacting. He decided to pull out of the Iran nuclear agreement (JCPOA) signed in 2015 by Iran, the United States, Germany and all permanent members of the Security Council (P5+1), the fruit of more than a decade of planning. He then lit another match handed him by John Bolton and the “war parties” in Washington, Tel Aviv and Riyadh to widen sanctions by including any nation doing business with Iran (“secondary sanctions”).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Stocks and Bonds Still Only 1 of 3 Macro Amigos to Destination / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018

By: Gary_Tanashian

It’s the happy-go-lucky 3 Amigos (in play since we began this goofy metaphor last fall), which would signal macro changes to come. When you are talking about the macro however, things move slowly and to date, only one of our riders has made it to his destination.

To review, they are Amigos 1-3, Chevy, Steve and Martin.

  1. Stocks vs. Gold
  2. 10yr & 30yr Yields
  3. The 10yr-2yr Yield Curve
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Commodities

Sunday, May 13, 2018

Silver Forecast 2018 and Beyond, Investing for the $35+ Price Spike! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Silver the poor mans gold has so far failed to show any spark of life this year, opening the 2018 at $17.20, and then briefly rallying to a February peak of $17.60 before turning and remaining negative for the year, under performing Gold which has managed to remain positive for the year as both precious metals have effectively flat lined since their February highs, with Silver remaining stuck within a tight trading range of between $16.90 and $16.10 which is a far cry from the bullish expectations of many Silver bugs at the start of the year.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Study: Breadth is Leading the Stock Market Higher. A Bullish Sign / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

In today’s daily post we stated that the NYSE’s Advance-Decline cumulative line (breadth indicator) has made a new high even though the S&P 500 hasn’t.

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