Friday, July 05, 2019

Modern Monetary Theory – Applications in the 21st Century / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Andy_Sutton

Perhaps one of the biggest frauds perpetrated on the citizens of the world in the 20th century was Keynesianism. For those of you who are new to the discourse, Keynesianism was essentially the ramblings of a well-respected (at the time) economist named John Maynard Keynes and it dealt with deficit spending at the level of the federal government. It was a justification for something governments around the world were beginning to do anyway. The point of Keynes’ work was to give this very dangerous and ill-advised practice legitimacy. Sadly, it worked, and 85 years later, the developed nations of the world are mired in debt the likes of which the world has never before seen and may well never see again.

Before we get to the true purpose of this paper: an analysis of MMT, we must lay some foundational work. Please bear with us. If you have been an active reader of our previous articles and research, feel free to proceed directly to the portion where MMT is addressed.

Interestingly enough, the topic of this paper; (another consequence of treating economics as a debating society instead of a science) the foundations of modern monetary theory (hereafter MMT) actually originated long before Keynes wrote his seminal work in 1936. MMT as it is being rehashed today was actually first described by a German economist name Georg Friedrich Knapp in 1905. Originally coined ‘chartalism’ by Knapp, this perversion of economics was pushed in Knapp’s 1905 ‘State Theory of Money’. The term comes from the Latin root charta, which means ‘token’ or ‘ticket’.

Friday, July 05, 2019

Palladium Sets Up Another Double Top Pattern / Commodities / Palladium

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Is this Double-Top setup in Palladium another warning of a potential downside price move?  Back in April 2018, we issued a Double-Top pattern warning in Palladium which preceded a downside price move of nearly 28%.  We believe this new Double-Top pattern may prompt a downside price move of nearly 20% – targeting the $1240 level.

April 18, 2018:PALLADIUM RALLY DRIVING OTHER METALS TO MOVE?

Friday, July 05, 2019

US Monetary Growth Slows. Will Gold Price Accelerate Now? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The growth of the US money supply has slowed down! We invite you to read our today’s article about the sluggish American monetary inflation, and find out whether it signal the upcoming recession and good times for gold.

We have long been warning our Readers about doomsayers who spread excessively pessimistic viewpoint and scare investors with the monster of recession. Our thorough analysis suggests – the gold bulls could not like this conclusion – that we have a Goldilocks economy and the current expansion still has room to run.        

However, we do not downplay the risk of recession. We are not like many market pundits who express naive optimism that this time is different (we are neither the eternal doomsayers who see writings on the wall everywhere). Instead, we are constantly monitoring economy closely to provide you with the in-depth and data-based analysis.

Friday, July 05, 2019

Investing Today Is All About Predicting What Trump Wants / Stock-Markets / Investing 2019

By: Jared_Dillian

Trump is the most polarizing figure of all time.

If you say something good about him, half of people will hate you. If you say something bad about him, the other half will hate you.

It is a no-win situation. So financial writers, myself included, never write about him.

But that’s dumb! Donald J. Trump is the biggest driver of financial markets in the world. Hands down. How can you not write about him?

So here is what we are going to do.

Thursday, July 04, 2019

How to Extend Your Telomeres to Slow down and Reverse Human Ageing - Life Extension / Personal_Finance / Life Extension

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.

My latest analysis in this series focuses on how to profit and capitalise on the unfolding machine intelligence driven mega-trend through investing in leveraged to AI Human Life Extension stocks.

• Intro & Humanities Quest for Immortality
• Extending Telomeres
• Slowing Down the Ageing Process - Strength Training
• Slowing Down the Ageing Process - Metformin
• LIMITLESS - Improving Cognitive Function and Fighting Brain Ageing Right Now!
• Investing in Life Extending Pharma Stocks
• Stock 1 - Primary
• Stock 2 - Tertiary
• Stock 3 - Tertiary
• Stock 4 - ETF
• AI Stocks Investing Portfolio Update

Thursday, July 04, 2019

Stocks vs. Gold: Some Little-Known Facts / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

The gold and silver markets rarely get much love on Wall Street and from the average investors who only listen attentively to what CNBC and stock brokers have to say.

Nearly a decade of underperformance in the metals markets certainly isn’t helping draw attention. Recently, the gold market started to move, and the rising price has thus far gone mostly unnoticed.

Everyone is watching the equity markets continue the surge higher that began the day after Christmas.

Thursday, July 04, 2019

The Three Metallic Amigos Gold, Silver and Copper / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Gary_Tanashian

When last we left the 3 Metallic Amigos… I can’t remember the detailed individual statuses and am too busy to go read the post. They were something like borderline hysterical gold, attractive silver and bouncing (but not yet bullish) copper. So here’s today’s update on these Amigos.

Gold is testing the high today after not even pulling a 38% Fib retrace. A real bull market launch may not pull back to a nice neat support/retrace level (38%, 50%) but that does qualify as a test of the big picture breakout at 1378, which has for years now been our (NFTRH) Bull/Bear line of demarcation. As long as that holds up, gold is in a bull market. Can it be making a very short-term double top? Ah, sure. But it can also be ready to rip higher. Point is, gold is not yet beyond a pullback potential to the 1350-1375 area but man, it’s bullish.

Thursday, July 04, 2019

TiedCoin – Safe Haven amid a Cryptocurrency Storm / Currencies / BlockChain

By: Submissions

Thursday, July 04, 2019

Crude Oil Price Pummeled, Where Is It Going Next? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

On Tuesday, July 2, 2019, the price of Crude Oil fell over -4.5% on continued expectations of global economic weakness and supply gluts.  We found this interview rather interesting because it attempts to suggest a narrative that ignores Iranian issues while pushing the supply side fundamental for the current price decline (Source: CNBC).

Back on May 21, 2019, we shared a post that is still very relevant today.  The same price pattern is still in place and the same type of price action is working through the completion of an extended Pennant/Flag formation. We suggest all our follower read this May 21 post to catch up to current market levels.

Thursday, July 04, 2019

Gold and Silver Precious Metals Breaking Out / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Rambus_Chartology

I would like to start out this Report by looking at a long term monthly chart for the GDX. The multi year bear market actually began in September of 2011 at the head portion of the 3 1/2 year H&S top. The H&S top actually began to form in September of 2009 and ended in February of 2013 when the price action broke below the neckline. From that point the GDX declined for the next three years in its bear market so from a technical perspective the GDX ended its bear market in January of 2016 which marked its all time low.

The rally out of the 2016 low lasted seven months and ended in September of the same year. After a strong impulse move like that one looks for the price action to consolidate its gains before moving higher. There was no way to know at the time what trading range would develop and how long it will take to complete. Now in hindsight we can see the GDX built out the 2016 bullish falling wedge, that we’ve been following for well over a year, which took two years to complete from the August 2016 high to the September 2018 low. It wasn’t until the breakout above the top rail of the 2016 bullish falling wedge and the completion of the backtest two months ago in May that we had significant confirmation that the bear market that began in September of 2011 was officially over.

Thursday, July 04, 2019

Gold Price Epochal Breakout Will Not Be Negated by a Correction / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund charts the reasons why the recent gold breakout is genuine. It has been a truly glorious month for gold, and the purpose of this update is to point out firstly that the gold breakout of the past week was genuine and secondly that any short-term reaction back as far as $1,380 or even $1,370 will not negate the breakout—instead it should be seized upon as an opportunity to build positions across the sector, especially in trampled down undervalued silver stocks. Silver broke higher last week on its strongest upside volume since its frothy top in 2011 and on its second highest upside volume ever.

On the six-month gold chart we can see the impressive breakout run-up of recent days, which has taken gold to a flag target that it has reached in an extremely overbought state. This means it is entitled to take a rest here, and that is what it is doing.

Thursday, July 04, 2019

Silver Priced Poised for a Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Clive_Maund

Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses why he believes silver is amazingly cheap and a sure sign that a major precious metals sector bull market is starting.

We have already been over the reasons why a major precious metals (PM) sector bull market is starting, and remarked on how undervalued silver is compared to gold, and how this is typical at the start of a major sector bull market. But it is worth "thumping the table" over this, because silver and silver investments may well be the best place of all to put your money at this time.

Many silver investors are manic-depressive and fanatical, which is a reality that we can turn to our advantage, for if we can figure when they are just starting to emerge from the depths of despair, it is the time to move into the sector in a big way.

They are just starting to emerge from the depths of despair right now as it happens, which is shown graphically by the silver-to-gold ratio, the basis of which is that when investors in the sector are at their most risk-averse, they tend to favor gold over silver. This is hardly surprising, as gold conjures up images of solidity and security to a much greater extent than silver, which is also known as "poor man's gold."

Thursday, July 04, 2019

Gold Plunges Below $1,400 On the News of Trade War Truce / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Donald and Xi have confirmed their true and everlasting friendship now. Trade wars are over, it’s all rainbows and unicorns - and investors do not need safe havens anymore. Right? The celebratory mood feels great but let’s find out what the trade truce really means for the gold market.

Ufff, They Announce Trade Truce

The G20 meeting in Osaka, Japan, is behind us. Did I write “G20”? It should be “G2”, as the world’s focus was on the meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.

Thursday, July 04, 2019

US Housing Market Is Booming, but Investors Are Still Too Scared to Invest in It / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Stephen_McBride

The US housing market is booming.

This past month the number of Americans looking to buy a new house spiked to a three-year high. Mortgage applications jumped 40%.

And Quicken Loans, the US’s largest mortgage lender, had its best month in 30 years.

“The phone is ringing off the hook” CEO Jay Farner said in a recent interview.

Thursday, July 04, 2019

Stocks Can’t Even Rally on a Trade War “Cease Fire” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

Yesterday’s market action was a MAJOR wake up call.

Stocks erupted 1.5% higher on announcements that the US/ China reached some form of a trade deal…

However, the rally barely lasted, giving up most of its gains by mid-day. It was only through a desperate end of the session manipulation (red box in the chart below) that stocks didn’t end the day flat.

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Investing to Profit and Benefit from Human Life Extension AI Stocks and Technologies / Companies / Healthcare Sector

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.

This my latest analysis on how to capitalise on the unfolding machine intelligence mega-trend through investing in leveraged to AI stocks, though artificial intelligence should more accurately be termed as Super Intelligence for AI will only be comparable to human intelligence for a brief period of time, perhaps no more than a few short months before AI starts leaving us behind, as we will largely remain stuck in that which our 1300cc or so of grey matter can process, where even the likes of today's Einstein's in comparison will have mice like cognition within a decade or so of the machine intelligence first surpassing humans that will likely prompt many to seek to merge with the machine intelligence to go beyond biological constraints to enhance cognitive abilities such as in memory storage and access.

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Transportation Index Warns Of Stock Market Trouble Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Any weakness in the Transportation Index near current levels would indicate investors and traders believe the global economy may continue to contract going forward and may be an ominous sign for the global stock markets.

The Transportation Index is a measure of the current expectations related to shipping, trucking, trains and all measure of forward expectations for goods, products and raw materials to be moved across nations, seas, states, and locations.  When the economy is gaining strength, we typically expect to see the Transportation Index moving higher.  When the economy is weakening, we typically expect to see the Transportation Index moving lower.

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Stock Market Final S/T Push? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.

Intermediate trend –  The intermediate-term correction continues  to unfold.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Bitcoin or Gold: Which Is More Bigly Yuge To Own? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Avi_Gilburt

Recently, the Winklevoss twins (who founded the Gemini crypto exchange) coined Bitcoin as ‘Gold 2.0.’ To support their perspective, they cited Bitcoin’s scarcity, its fungibility and its portability as meeting or exceeding that of the yellow metal.

Greyscale Investments, the company that has brought crypto based trusts to the US OTC market, recently ran ads urging investors to drop gold as a relic of the past in favor of cryptocurrency, which is ‘secure’, borderless, and in their direct words, ‘actually has utility’.

It seems that there are more and more comparisons between Bitcoin and gold, but is one better to hold more so than the other? Well, to be honest, each has a different ultimate purpose for which each is better suited.

Wednesday, July 03, 2019

Forex Market Charts and Setups: GOLD follows our Path Down / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

Global equities rose on Monday as the G20 summit in Osaka fuelled optimism that trade tensions will ease, while havens fell out of favour and oil rallied on an extension of production cuts by Opec+ countries. The agreement between the US and China to resume trade talks and halt the imposition of further tariffs, fed hopes that the trade war may be easing up. European stock indices followed their Asian peers higher, with the international Stoxx 600 up 0.9 per cent, led by sectors sensitive to the outlook for trade relations. The Stoxx index tracking carmakers rose 2.1 per cent and Frankfurt’s Xetra Dax 30, home to a range of exporters, was up 1.8 per cent. London’s FTSE 100 rose 0.9 per cent. S&P 500 futures tipped US stocks to open up by over 1 per cent.

The move out of havens was brisk and set gold on course for its biggest single fall in a calendar year, down 1.7 per cent to $1,385.70. Japan’s yen weakened by 0.5 per cent to ¥108.38 per dollar. The yield on 10-year US Treasuries rose by 4.5 basis points as investors move out of the debt gathered pace, taking it to 2.0447 per cent. We had suggested the short gold trade here: GOLD TO FALL 10%. Currently Gold has cracked 1385.