Sunday, January 15, 2017
Cycles Call for Stock Market High this Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
A Middle Section forecast from the Basic Cycle (chart) points to a high on Monday and Lindsay’s 222-day interval points to a change in trend this week – but no confirming Middle Section forecast is found from the Multiple Cycle. This is not expected to be a significant high.
Cycles, however, may be the missing link. A two month cycle high is due near 1/20/17. A monthly cycle high is due this Tuesday and a six month cycle high is due in late January.
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Sunday, January 15, 2017
One China Policy Nonnegotiable, Says Beijing / Politics / GeoPolitics
By: Stephen_Lendman
The one China policy was first mentioned in the Shanghai Communique on February 28, 1972 during Nixon’s visit to China - stressing the importance for both countries to normalize relations.
On January 1, 1979, the Joint Communique on the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations agreed to by Jimmy Carter and Deng Xiaoping formally established bilateral relations, ending official recognition of Taiwan, announced by Carter in December 1978.
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Sunday, January 15, 2017
Is A Stock Market Correction Looming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: InvestingHaven
All stock market indexes in the U.S. reached all-time highs in the last couple of weeks. It is interesting to observe how diverse opinions have become. Stock forecasters are now even more bullish, while bears are more convinced that a stock market crash is around the corner.
According to MarketWatch, Brian Belski, chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets, confirmed the above viewpoint. He says his clients believe”the stock market is set for a meaningful correction.” CNBC mentioned a leading market strategist who suggests a stock market correction is near because the Trump rally is fading.
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Sunday, January 15, 2017
UK House Prices Forecast 2017 - Crash or Bull Market? - Video / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK house prices ended 2016 up 7.2% despite London house prices weakness that according to the Nationwide increased by an average of just 3.7%, near half the UK rate. This illustrates why so many housing market analyst / journalists got UK house prices so badly wrong for 2016 as they mistakenly latched onto London weakness as a sign for a imminent UK house prices bear market or worse a BrExit CRASH. After all the consensus view was that if London was weak then the rest of the UK would be suffer far worse.
Saturday, January 14, 2017
Ushering In a Totalitarian Police State in Cashless “Smart Cities” / Politics / War on Cash
By: Jeff_Berwick
From Scandinavia to Amsterdam to India and elsewhere, the trend of going “cashless” is gaining traction.
We have been covering the shortcomings of what is rightly called the War On Cash here at TDV for a while now and have shown just how negative the effects can be on an unsuspecting nation’s people.
Chandigarh, India, which is the capital of the northern Indian states of Punjab and Haryana, is like one of India’s labrats. Indian officials are working hard toward making it into India’s first cashless city.
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Saturday, January 14, 2017
Why the State Needs to Increase Taxes / Politics / Taxes
By: Walter_Brasch
Pennsylvanians are justifiably angry at paying the highest gas prices in the nation. The average price per gallon is $2.65, 27 cents higher than the highest price in the other 49 states. An additional eight cent tax was added this month. Until 2019, Pennsylvanians will be paying an additional $2.3 billion a year in taxes and fees—$11.5 billion total—to improve the state’s infrastructure. In addition to the increased tax on gas at the pumps, Pennsylvania motorists will also be spending more for license registrations, renewals, and title certificates.
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Saturday, January 14, 2017
Stock Market Patterns & Cycles Pointing to SPX 2300 by Month End / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Jack_Steiman
Since I am a "pattern geek," what is the Emini S&P 500 pattern whispering to us now? That all of the action off of the new all-time high at 2278.25 established on December 13 -- exactly one month ago -- is taking the form of a Bullish Coil Formation, which the vast majority of the time represents a digestion period prior to continuation in the direction of the underlying trend (up).
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Saturday, January 14, 2017
SPX Stocks Bull Market Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2177. After a quiet session Monday the market inched up to SPX 2279 by Tuesday. Then Wednesday and Thursday the SPX declined to 2254. After that low the market rallied back to SPX 2279 on Friday and ended the week at 2275. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.0%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the downtick: import prices, consumer sentiment, Q4 GDP est., plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: consumer credit, business/wholesale inventories, export prices, the PPI, retail sales, and the WLEI. Next week’s economic highlights include: industrial production, the FED’s beige book, and the NY/Philly FED.
Saturday, January 14, 2017
President Trump vs the Deep State that Hides in Plain Sight / Politics / US Politics
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The "Deep State" best describes the invisible labyrinth of power which truly controls the United States no matter which party is in power against which a President Donald Trump will find himself doing battle against as the following video illustrates by Mike Lofgren, a congressional staff member for 28 years, who talks with Bill Moyers about what he calls Washington's "Deep State," in which elected and unelected figures collude to protect and serve powerful vested interests. "It is how we had deregulation, financialization of the economy, the Wall Street bust, the erosion or our civil liberties and perpetual war."
Saturday, January 14, 2017
It’s Confirmed, the US is Officially in Recession / Economics / Recession 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The US is officially in a recession.
This won’t show up in the “official” data… because the official data is fiction. GDP numbers might as well be in a Harry Potter novel, they’re that inaccurate and ridiculous.
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Saturday, January 14, 2017
The Impact of Sir Alex Ferguson's Retirement on Man United's Share Price / Companies / Corporate News
By: Submissions
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Friday, January 13, 2017
What Can Stock Market Tell You About Politics? / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: EWI
Dear reader,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have just posted a new article, "What Can Stock Market Tell You About Politics?"
The stock market and politics are indeed connected -- but probably not in the way you think.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
SPX May Have Completed Wave 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears as if the SPX has made an impulse from its top. This is very tight, but a decline beneath 2270 would give us some comfort with that call. This appears to be a repeat of where we were last Friday with a potential aggressive short entry. Some Elliotticians look for this type of entry, since it also puts a limit on losses when wrong.
Friday, January 13, 2017
Big Gold Buying Coming 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold has hit the ground running in this young new year, a stark contrast to its brutal post-election selloff. Rather remarkably, these strong recent gains accrued despite literally zero buying from one of gold’s most-important constituencies. The American stock investors who almost single-handedly fueled gold’s strong bull market last year are still missing in action since the election. That means big gold buying is still coming.
All free-market prices, including gold’s, ultimately result from the balance between popular supply and demand. When supply outweighs demand as evidenced by investment-capital outflows, gold is forced lower. That’s exactly what happened after Trump’s surprise win in early November. When investors flee gold for any reason, including chasing record-high stock markets, the resulting oversupply really hits prices.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
2017: Change Can Be A Bitc h / Politics / US Politics
By: Raul_I_Meijer
2016 brought a lot of changes, or rather, brought them to light. In reality, the world has been changing for many years, but many prominent actors benefitted from the changes remaining hidden. Simply because their wealth and power and worldviews are better served that way.
It’s entirely unclear whether we will ever get a chance to see to what extent the efforts to hide developments have been successful, or even been perpetrated at all, because we don’t know to what extent truth and reality will be accessible in the future.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
A Bullish Case for Gold 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: David_Galland
Dear Parader,
This week, I am happy to present an article by dear friend and business partner Olivier Garret, who makes the case for gold under President Trump.
While Olivier is biased, given he founded the Hard Assets Alliance, I think you’ll find his logic is sound.
My personal concern remains the strength of the US dollar. “The Super-Dollar” is the lead story in the current edition of Compelling Investments Quantified, our premium—and very profitable—monthly investment letter.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Will Stocks Bull Market Continue to Charge or is it Time to Sell the News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
For a long time, our theme was to view all sharp pullbacks through a bullish lens as the trend based on our trend indicator was trading firmly in bullish territory. Secondly, one critical psychological component was in our favour too - the masses were either bearish or they cursed this market from the sidelines (neutral camp); hence the slogan the most hated bull market in history. We must deter for a second by stating that a mild or brutal correction comes down to what level you embraced this market. If you embraced this Stock Market Bull in the early stages from 2009-2011, then a mild correction would seem brutal or back breaking in comparison to someone who just jumped into the market. A 15-20% correction would knock the socks out of them, but for you, it would appear to be nothing but a blip; this is why we have consistently stated that the best time to open long positions when the masses are in a state of despair.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Gold and Silver Off To Shining Start to 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Jeff_Berwick
Bitcoin stole the headlines in the first week of 2017, rising nearly $200 in the first two days of the year before swiftly giving back those gains and more since.
Quietly, however, gold and silver have gotten off to an excellent start to the year.
Gold began the year at $1,154 and has rarely looked back, rising to over $1,200 on Thursday.
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Friday, January 13, 2017
Gold Current Wave [B] – Long to 1550 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Submissions
Enda Glynn writes: My Bias: Long towards 1550
Wave Structure: ZigZag correction to the upside.
Short term wave count: Upside from 1120~, target 1500
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (B) at 1500
Important risk events: USD: Core Retail Sales m/m, PPI m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Core PPI m/m, FOMC Member Harker Speaks, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment.
Friday, January 13, 2017
Gold’s Fundamental Outlook for 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Predicting, especially the future, is very difficult. Still, let’s try to figure out what investors should expect from the gold market next year. For sure, in the long run, the price of gold will mainly depend on the U.S. dollar, the real interest rates, and the market uncertainty. How will these factors develop and affect the gold market?