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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Sunday, March 02, 2014

Bitcoin the Perfect Scam, Price Does Not Reflect True Dangers of Holding Bitcoins / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Bitcoin USD price has recovered strongly by more than doubling from the crash low of $240 of 16th February in the wake of the collapse of the worlds largest Bitcoin exchange MTGox (Magic the Gathering) that declared bankruptcy a couple of days ago, though the current Bitcoin market price of $560 is still half the $1250 high of less than 3 months ago.

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Currencies

Friday, February 28, 2014

Legal Tender, Gold, Silver and Alternative Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

History does not repeat; it rhymes.

Current stability comes from confidence and force. We've all heard that cliché over and over. But to rhyme is to the use any words you choose. We can rhyme in paper or digits, but it is all backed by nothing.

There is a not-so-subtle difference between currency and legal tender. Legal tender implies both force and control. And it's worthwhile to explore how far history can be re-expressed through technology.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 27, 2014

Bulgaria’s Currency Board versus Ukraine’s Chaos / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Steve_H_Hanke

When Communism inevitably and finally collapsed, Bulgaria’s economy was a basket case – behind almost all other communist basket cases, including Ukraine’s. Indeed, Bulgaria defaulted on its debt in 1990. By February 1991, Bulgaria had broken out in a bout of hyperinflation, with the inflation rate at 123% per month. And in February 1997, Bulgaria experienced the agonies of hyperinflation again, with the inflation rate reaching 242% per month. 

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 26, 2014

U.S. Dollar Gains - Forex Trading Alerts / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

The U.S. dollar extended gains after stronger-than-expected U.S. home sales data. Earlier today, the Commerce Department showed that new home sales rose 9.6% to 468,000 units in January, while analysts had expected a 1% drop to 400,000. What impact did this largest increase in five-and-a-half years has on major currency pairs? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Stay Ahead of This (Massive) Currency Shift / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: China's political and economic presence surges daily. Lockstep with that surge is the growing significance of its currency.

Along with China's emergence as the world's second-largest economy, its yuan recently displaced the euro and became the second-most used currency for international trade.

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Currencies

Friday, February 21, 2014

All Currencies Are an Inverse Pyramid Based on The Dollar / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Alasdair_Macleod

When US money supply measured by M2 stood at $11 trillion in December 2013, I calculate that total broad money of the next largest 50 countries ranked by GDP amounted to the equivalent of a further US$67 trillion at current exchange rates. And that's only on-balance sheet: we must add in global shadow banking, estimated by the Financial Stability Board to have been an extra $67 trillion in 2011, probably about $75 trillion today, given its recent rapid growth in China. So when we look at US broad money supply, we should be aware there is a further mountain of money thirteen times as big ultimately based on the dollar.

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Currencies

Friday, February 21, 2014

Currency Wars the Great Destabilizer / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Steve_H_Hanke

             Dr. Karl Schiller, West Germany’s Economics Minister between 1966 and 1972, pithily pronounced that: “Stability is not everything, but without stability, everything is nothing.” I agree. In the economic sphere, instability is usually a “bad”, not a “good”.

             The world’s great destabilizer is the United States. How could this be? In the post-World War II era, the world has been on a U.S. dollar standard. Accordingly, the U.S. Federal Reserve is the de facto central banker for the world.

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Currencies

Friday, February 21, 2014

How China Fooled the World with Fiat / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

The Chinese financial system, along with the rest of the emerging market, exist as an extension of "the world is flat monetary policy" on a scale never seen before. It is equally a giant leverage play on the last remaining resources for a population that has overproduced its stay.

The financial blog Zerohedge.com recently presented a summary of a BBC program featuring a report from Robert Peston, who traveled to China to investigate how the mighty economic giant could actually be in serious trouble. 

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Currencies

Friday, February 21, 2014

Friedman and Hanke on Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Steve_H_Hanke

In 2008, Bitcoin was mysteriously introduced to the world in an obscure, technical paper written under the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. By late 2013, the financial press was filled with reportage on Bitcoin and its dramatic price increase.

Well ahead of Satoshi Nakamoto, Nobelist Milton Friedman, champion of free market economics and noted expert on money and banking, anticipated the coming of digital currencies, and foresaw the potential impacts that they would have on finance and economics.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 20, 2014

Return of Goldilocks Economy Means a Weaker USD, but Beware the 3 Bears / Currencies / US Dollar

By: MahiFX

Central banks are shifting their policies in response to signs that economies are returning to growth. In many ways it looks like a comforting return to the 'old normal' when a broad range of indicators influenced currencies. If so that suggests USD weakness, but beware the three bears.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 18, 2014

U.S. Dollar, Major Forex Market Forecasts for 2014 and 2015 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: David_Petch

It has been awhile since I have posted on the web and thought this was an appropriate article to share. This article focuses on technical analysis of 3 currencies and the US Dollar Index. A lot of the technical indicators I follow are universal, but the way in which they are modified and put together will not be found anywhere else. Developing the Contracting Fibonacci Spiral and the inverse chiral inversion that happened last summer have played a role in the forecast of this article. As unbelievable as the forecast may seem by time the end of this article, there is a significant amount of logic that went into this and may even defy logic. There is a mathematical basis to this pattern and hopefully it will be understood somewhat by the end of this article...

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Currencies

Monday, February 17, 2014

U.S. Dollar Remains Mixed / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

The U.S. currency was little changed near recent lows against major currencies as U.S. markets are shut for the President’s Day holiday and trade volumes remain thin. Nevertheless, it’s worth noting that the greenback declined to a four-year low against the British pound earlier today. What is the current outlook for major currency pairs? We invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.

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Currencies

Monday, February 17, 2014

AUDUSD Forecast - Resistance Around 0.9080 - 0.9170 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

AUDUSD has found a support in the past two weeks and rallied more than 300 pips from 0.8650 which can be wave C as part of a flat correction in wave B). The reason is a three wave decline from above 0.9080 that we think it's corrective wave B as a part of a bigger complex correction. If we are on the right track then pair will rise up to 0.9080 - 0.9170 resistance zone in the next few trading days where a completion of a contra-trend pattern may occur.

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Currencies

Sunday, February 16, 2014

Bitcoin Craptocurrency Ponzi Crash Grinds Towards ZERO, Where's Max Keiser Hiding? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Bitcoin Craptocurrency has plunged to USD $230, down 81.6% from its USD $1250 high - Unfortunately for bitcoin holders the ponzi scam crash continues to play out as holders of bitcoins find out that as is the case with all scams that when they want to sell their holdings they CAN'T. Instead they are locked into holdings that continue collapse in value all the way towards a pittance of the price that hooked them into buying of just a few months ago.

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Currencies

Saturday, February 15, 2014

Fiat Money - A House Built On Sand / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Richard_Mills

Warning, I'm not a licensed financial planner, a broker, an analyst, a geologist nor an economist. And I'm also not, as you so often tell me in your e-mails regarding my articles, an English professor. I'm also not a doom and gloomer nor am I a gold bug.

I'm just an investor who believes precious metals are the only financial safety net worth owning and need to be the cornerstone of any generational wealth building program.

Everyone should own gold and silver bullion in the form of coins and bars.

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Currencies

Saturday, February 15, 2014

Bitcoin Panic - Bloodbath on Mt. Gox / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Very briefly: it is our opinion than not having any short-term positions is the way to go.

Panic. This one word sticks in the back of everybody’s mind when assessing what’s been going on in the Bitcoin market for the past couple of days. It might be hard to get one’s head around the fact that the currency was at $900 on Feb. 5, only to almost reach $300 today. The sell-off continues, today coinciding with news of another hacker attack.

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Currencies

Friday, February 14, 2014

British Pound GBP Trend Forecast 2014 / Currencies / British Pound

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is a summary extract of my latest in-depth analysis concerning the Scottish Independence referendum and its implications for the UK economy, and concluding in a trend forecast for the British Pound GBP into the end of 2014.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 13, 2014

Myths and Lessons of the Argentine “Currency Crisis” / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Joseph_T_Salerno

The crash of the Argentine peso last month brings to a close yet another foredoomed experiment in South American left-wing populism. The precipitous “devaluation” of the peso by 15 percent against the U.S. dollar in January represents its steepest decline since the devaluation of 2001 when Argentina defaulted on its foreign debt. From January 21 to the close of trading on January 23 the peso dropped from 6.88 per dollar to 8.00 on the official market. On the black market the peso fell by 6 percent on January 23 to 13 to the dollar. Over the past year the peso has declined by 35 percent.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 13, 2014

EUR/JPY Bounces From 138.00/50 / Currencies / Euro

By: Gregor_Horvat

Yen crosses are rallying nicely for the last few days since the S&P500 has turned up last week. We can see very tight correlation between these two markets where structures on both suggests more upside. For FX traders, EURJPY will definitely be interesting for longs as pair rallied in five waves from the lows. However, patient traders will wait on pullbacks before they may look to get involved on the bullish side. Ideal scenario would be a three wave set-back to 138.10-138.90 area before market turns up for wave C.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 13, 2014

USDCAD Targets New High Above 1.0700 / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDCAD turned south two weeks back from above 1.1200 resistance region where we called end of a wave 3 that is part of an impulsive price action from 1.0170. We know that impulses are five wave pattern, and if we consider that larger trend on this pair is up, then we may suspect that retracement from the highs is probably just another correction within ongoing uptrend. With that said, we labeled a pullback as wave 4 that may send prices up in wave 5 in the next week or two. We expect new high as long as pair trades above 1.0700 invalidation level.

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