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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Currencies

Thursday, February 06, 2014

The Euro Is A Rearview Gauge Of Geopolitical Risk / Currencies / Euro

By: Andrew_McKillop

What Goes Up Will Go Down
Five weeks into 2014 the Eurozone-18 and even the EU-28's stock exchanges are being treated as something of a safe haven bet by investors retreating from “risk assets” in emerging economies. They also see the euro money as safe, but this is very far from sure. The president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi has admitted either openly or by implication many times since the 2008 crisis began, that the euro is overvalued. Since 2008 and more so today, the euro still plays the role of a geopolitical barometer. The euro rises with global risk and the opposite, but this cart and horse combination is in no way timeless. It is under attack from the real world - and even by Germany.

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Currencies

Wednesday, February 05, 2014

Forex Trading Alert: U.S. Dollar Declines Against Major Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier this week, the U.S. currency erased some losses against the euro, yen and Swiss franc. However, the greenback moved lower against the British after data showed that construction output in the U.K. rose at the fastest rate since August 2007 in January, suggesting that the economic recovery is continuing. The U.S. dollar also declined against its Australian counterpart after the Reserve Bank of Australia left rates on hold at 2.5%. What impact did these numbers have on major currency pairs? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read the following part of this Forex Trading Alert.

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Currencies

Tuesday, February 04, 2014

Bitcoin Price Trading Range Narrows / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Mike_McAra

Key take away from this alert: in our opinion, closing long positions is not the way to go.

On Jan. 30, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) of the U.S. Department of Treasury released two additional guidelines on Bitcoin. The first takes a stance on whether Bitcoin miners are to be considered money transmitters:

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Currencies

Monday, February 03, 2014

British Pound GBP USD Bearish Reversal / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBPUSD moved to a new swing high two weeks back but then turned sharply down from 1.6660 level so our count from the past weeks remains valid. We are tracking a complex correction from July 2013 that can be wave E), final leg of a wave (B) triangle pattern. If that is the case then market should move impulsively to the downside while 1.6780 high from April of 2011 must stay in place.

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Currencies

Monday, February 03, 2014

USD/CAD: Corrective Retracement Before Going UP / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD/CAD has turned bearish last weeek from around 1.1220 where we see signs of a completed wave (v) of 3 with an ending diagonal formation at the end of extended move that typicaly confirms a bearish reversal. As such, we suspect that pair is now going south or at least sideways in black wave 4.

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Currencies

Monday, February 03, 2014

Bitcoin Revolution or Trap? / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: James_Turk

From Chapter 18 of The Money Bubble by James Turk and John Rubino:

In the Internet's early days there was general agreement that one of the first killer apps would be some form of cyber-currency. Since money was already largely non-corporeal, existing as entries in bank accounts and ready to spend with plastic cards, the next logical step would be to move the whole thing online and dispense with paper and coins and their costly and burdensome infrastructure of banks, regulators and printing presses. The emergence of such currencies would, in this optimistic scenario, consign relics like the dollar and the Fed to history's circular file and usher in an era of trust, stability, and growth similar to what occurred under the classical gold standard.

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Currencies

Friday, January 31, 2014

Iran, Pakistan, Malaysia Pathways to Increase Indian Rupee Value / Currencies / India

By: Submissions

Rangaraj Srinivasan writes: The value of the rupee hit an all time low of 68.85 on August 2013. The government and Reserve Bank of India mulled over about currency swap arrangements with its trade link countries during September 2013.Usually, India is using US dollar as its medium of exchange for its exports and imports of its goods and services like most of the other countries in the world. Currency swap arrangements refer to exchanging of their own currencies of countries for their trades instead of universally accepted currency like USD. Suppose India has export and import arrangements with Malaysia. India will receive ringgit for its exports to Malaysia and remit rupee for its imports from Malaysia.    

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Currencies

Friday, January 31, 2014

EUR USD Bearish Wave / Currencies / Euro

By: Gregor_Horvat

EURUSD has turned bearish at the start of January from 1.3900 spike high which we assumed it represents final part of a bullish trend. From there market fell sharply lower almost 400 pips so we assume that pair has completed an ending diagonal. However, a key for a breakdown would be move through the red wave 4) swing low that is placed around 1.3300 figure, still far away from current levels.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Taper Tantrums or the Start of an Emerging Markets Forex Crisis? / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: MahiFX

Unwinding the US Federal Reserve's quantitative easing programme was never going to be easy and it has barely started and some emerging market countries are already running into trouble.

So far the worst hit countries also appear to be victims of their own internal problems, such as high current account deficits and political turbulence. In effect, ultra cheap money from the Fed was papering over some serious cracks – similar to what the EUR was doing for years for peripheral Eurozone countries.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 29, 2014

USDCAD Forex Analysis - Elliott Wave 3 Near Top / Currencies / Canadian $

By: Gregor_Horvat

USDCAD is moving sharply to the upside for the last couple of weeks since pair managed to move above 1.0660 resistance zone, back from 2011. Sharp and big move in short period of time like this one on USDCAD usually occurs in the middle of wave three of an impulsive price action. As such we adjusted the wave count and around now tracking an incomplete five wave recovery, either in wave (C) or (3). In both cases we expect higher levels, up to 1.1600/1.1700 as long as 1.0600 level holds.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 28, 2014

Forex Trading Alert: U.S. Dollar Erases Losses / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the U.S. currency rose against most of major currencies as expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue to scale back stimulus program this week fueled demand for the greenback. What impact did these moves have on major currency pairs? If you want to know our take on this question, we invite you to read our today's Forex Trading Alert.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 28, 2014

Prepare for Currency Chaos / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: Michael_Pento

On November the 25th I published the following warning about the effects from the Fed’s imminent tapering of asset purchases:

“There is a good chance that the beginning of tapering will lead to a reversal of the trade to sell gold ahead of the news. But the major averages have priced in a sustainable recovery on the other side of QE, which will not come to fruition. For the Dow, S&P 500 and NASDAQ the end of QE will be especially painful. A unilateral removal of stimulus on the part of the Fed will send the dollar soaring [especially against emerging market currencies] and risk assets plunging -- you could throw in emerging market equities and any other interest rate sensitive investment on planet earth.”

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Currencies

Monday, January 27, 2014

America's Biggest Bank Wants In on Bitcoins / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: As we know, most fiscal history has been dominated by a web of central banks.

The central banks are in a race to debase, a trend that's rapidly accelerated over the past decade.

There's a lot of money to be made by issuing money.

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Currencies

Monday, January 27, 2014

Is the Canadian Dollar This Currency Losing Its “Safe” Status? / Currencies / Canadian $

By: DailyGainsLetter

Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Not too long ago, I wrote about an economic slowdown in the Canadian economy and how it could take the value of the Canadian dollar even lower. (Read “How American Investors Can Profit from the Canadian Economy’s Demise.”) By no surprise, the Canadian dollar (also referred to as the “loonie”) looks to be in a freefall. Take a look at the following chart.

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Currencies

Saturday, January 25, 2014

Currency Wars Massacre in Emerging Markets, Venezuela, Argentina, Turkey... / Currencies / Currency War

By: PhilStockWorld

By Pater Tenebrarum of Acting Man : Both Venezuela (socialist worker's paradise) and Argentina (nationalist socialist paradise) have a problem with their foreign exchange reserves. In both cases it stems from trying to keep up the pretense that their currencies are worth more than they really are. The central banks of both countries are (and have been for some time) printing money like crazy, and inflation is galloping with gay abandon. Their governments publish misleading economic statistics, that inter alia attempt to hide the true extent of the monetary debasement – in short, their inflation statistics are even more bogus than those of other governments (we are leaving aside here  that the mythical 'general price level' cannot really be measured anyway).

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 21, 2014

The Golden China Yuan Currency Is Coming – Here's How to Play It / Currencies / China Currency Yuan

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: The U.S. dollar has been the world's de facto reserve currency for almost 90 years.

But this financial dominance may be nearing its end.

In recent years, China's been floating the idea the yuan should take on the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency.

In fact, the Chinese have already negotiated numerous bilateral trade deals that completely bypass it.

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Currencies

Friday, January 17, 2014

U.S. Dollar Looks Bullish / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Gregor_Horvat

USD  Index Weekly
Dollar Index is slow choppy and overlapping within two contracting trendlines for the last few years which we think it represents a triangle pattern, most likely placed in wave B) position. The reason is a five wave rally in wave A) from 2008 low which is first leg of a three wave A)-B)-C) recovery. As such, we will be looking up in wave C) after a completion of a triangle pattern. For now that's not the case yet, as we will need waves D and E before we may turn immediately bullish. In the next few weeks we however expect move up in wave D up to the upper trendline of the pattern.

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Currencies

Thursday, January 16, 2014

Bitcoin Is Defeating Governments and Making Investors Rich / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Money_Morning

Michael A. Robinson writes: The world's two fastest-growing economies came down hard on Bitcoin in recent weeks.

Dips followed, but ultimately the virtual currency began to slough off the news and continued to gravitate toward a loose, but tightening, trading range.

And as a former senior advisor to a Silicon Valley venture capital firm, I've seen a lot of opportunities to make a killing on technology over the years.

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Currencies

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

U.S. Dollar, Currencies and Gold Outlook 2014 / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Axel_Merk

Rarely has the future been so clear. Really?? A lot of money has been lost jumping on the bandwagon. Let’s do a common sense check on the greenback to gauge where risks might be lurking and where there might be profit opportunities for investors.

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Currencies

Monday, January 13, 2014

GBP USD Bearish Reversal / Currencies / British Pound

By: Gregor_Horvat

GBPUSD found some resistance recently around 1.6600 figure where we think that pair will form a top even if just temporary. Our primary count  suggests that GBPUSD will fall in impulsive fashion because of a big picture with a bearish triangle. But for this confirmed scenario we need an impulsive sell-off back to 1.5500. For us the most important is probability on short-term swings. As such, we are also tracking the second wave count, which is different on a big scale but same on the short-term. We see a completed five waves up that now suggests a three wave retracement back to 1.5900. As such, it seems that GBPUSD will be weakening in the next few weeks.

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