Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, December 11, 2012
Dissecting the US Dollar, Biotech – The Next Major Bull Market After 2020 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Petch
Sometimes a very simple picture can replace 1000 words, so as such, this brief update will illustrate what is driving the market. There was a minor shooting star doji put in place yesterday, which suggests weakness into the start of next week before starting to rise towards 81.5. Other charts that will be presented on Wednesday will illustrate that the coming top will be just that and in the process, create a setup for a very sharp decline. After wave [E] completed a long-term triangle, a subsequent cliff-like decline occurred, which appears to take the form of an elongated flat to form wave (A).
Monday, December 10, 2012
EUR/JPY - The Fear Of 108.00? / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Forex_Abode
Euro - Japanese Yen has been making attempts to break over 107.95 for past 3 trading days but has been failing to do so. The drop took it to 106.12 before the currency pair closed for the week at 106.66.
The fact that EUR/JPY has not been able to break over 107.95 suggests that we can expect some downward consolidation. Please note that this zone had proved to be a very strong resistance area during April 2012 and a strong fall had taken place from here. But on the other hand the support came exactly at 22-day EMA and that keeps us neutral initially. The weekly MACD stays above the signal line very bullishly, while the daily MACD has moved below the signal line. This also indicates that some downward consolidation may take place while bullish sentiments continue to hold.
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Monday, December 10, 2012
GBP/USD - On the Crossroads? / Currencies / British Pound
By: Forex_Abode
GBP/USD went as high as 1.6130 but then went into sideways mode. Another attempt of upward jump failed 2 pips below it i.e. 1.6128 and the fall took the current pair to 1.6002 before the weekly closing at 1.6042.
On one hand the break above the psychological level and a move as high as 1.6130 brings in the bullish outlook but on the other hand a failure much below November 1st's 1.6175 argues in favor of some more consolidation if a break below the psychological 1.6000 takes place. Please also check this blog post about GBP/USD.
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Monday, December 10, 2012
USD/CHF - Break Of The First Hurdle / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Forex_Abode
USD/CHF found the support34 pips above the level we had mentioned last week (quoted above). The currency pair found support at 0.9241 and then broke above the mentioned resistance of 0.9340. The pair went as high as 0.9383 after breaking over the 55-day EMA resistance and closed for the week at 0.9347.
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Saturday, December 08, 2012
Should the UK Join the Euro? / Currencies / British Pound
By: Jan_Skoyles
Jan Skoyles looks at how the Euro might not be such a bad idea if it is the interim step to a return to the gold standard. Looking at a paper written by Jesus Huerta de Soto, she looks at the Austrian arguments for the UK joining the Euro, but concludes that the current path of central bank net gold investment and private citizens choosing to buy gold is more likely to be providing the first steps to the new gold standard.
Friday, December 07, 2012
Research Shows ALL Fiat Paper Money Systems Eventually Fail / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: GoldSilverWorlds
We often read or hear quotes like “paper money eventually fail” and “paper money always returns to its intrinsic value which is zero.” In this article, we provide evidence why these statements are true, backed by research in which 599 different forms of paper money have been analyzed. We explain in an easy to understand way what money fundamentally is, how monetary policies of governments are affecting everyone of us and how gold is first and foremost an alternative form of money (for each and every one of us, not only for an elite). Courtesy of Vince Cate for the incredibly valuable research and David Morgan who referred us to the research materials.
Friday, December 07, 2012
EUR/USD at double support level / Currencies / Euro
By: Forex_Blog
1) 38.2% retracement of the uptrend which took place between Nov. 13th and Dec. 5th.
And
2) 22-Day EMA support level.
Wednesday, December 05, 2012
More Cracks Appear for U.S. Dollar as Reserve Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes: The U.S. dollar has been the world’s reserve currency for decades, but that position might be under attack. With the rising level of U.S. debt, many countries around the world are questioning the position of the U.S. dollar as the reserve currency.
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Wednesday, December 05, 2012
U.S. Dollar Cliff? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
As election euphoria settles and the "fiscal cliff" approaches, what are the implications for the dollar? Even as federal deficits may be unsustainable, stocks and bonds are up, and while the dollar may have resumed its long-term downward trend, the greenback has hardly fallen off a cliff. We look at how different tax policies might affect the U.S. dollar.
Monday, December 03, 2012
Euro-US Dollar (EUR/USD) Analysis / Currencies / Euro
By: Submissions
ForexAbode writes: EUR/USD Outlook For This Week:
Euro-US Dollar (EUR/USD) lost some momentum but has been still inching upward. The currency pair has been mainly staying over 5-day EMA. The sharp downward spike on November 29th found support near 22-day EMA (1.2880). The pair went as high as 1.3027 before closing for the week at 1.2985.
Wednesday, November 28, 2012
Is the Japanese Yen Doomed? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Axel_Merk
Because of Japan’s massive public debt burden, pundits have called for the demise of the Japanese yen for years. Are the yen’s fortunes finally changing? Our analysis shows that the days of the yen being perceived as a safe haven may soon be over. Let us elaborate.
Monday, November 26, 2012
Currency Wars, Trading $ Driver, Forecasts 2013 / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Gordon_T_Long
Since September, the Currency Wars have escalated. It isn't just because of the seminal monetary events of the Federal Reserve's QE III "unlimited" and the ECB's OMT "Uncapped". It is highly likely, more about the fact that China announced its eleventh agreement that effectively bypasses using the US dollar with China's strategic trading partners. The latest agreement with Russia places trading oil, in non-US dollars, into the spotlight. The infamous petrodollar has had its destructive profile raised.
Thursday, November 15, 2012
How Multinational Treasurers hedge their Foreign Exchange Exposure in Global Operations / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
As can be seen from below since 1990, world trade between countries have been on the rise. The decline in world trade during 2008-2009 is due to the global financial crisis that affected many countries. However it did managed to reverse its direction by end of 2009 and continue its upward trend ahead. The ‘take off period’ actually happened since the year 2000 where world trade went up from 100 to 150 on the index.
Thursday, November 08, 2012
Cost of Presidential Campaigns Show Big Problems for the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: William_Bancroft
There has been much discussion recently about the growing cost of running to be President of the United States. The Presidency has been described as the ultimate recession proof commodity. Others might tell you it’s just the price to climb aboard and loot the good ship America.
Whatever is true, the dollar cost of getting into the Oval Office has been rising at a stunning pace, and this is no new phenomenon. Interestingly though, the cost in gold ounces of running for office has not been rising nearly so fast.
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Thursday, November 08, 2012
U.S. Dollar Technical Analysis and Trend Forecast 2013 / Currencies / US Dollar
By: David_Petch
No surprise, Barrack Obama handily one the US election, which means that with silly season over, they voted the same rascals back into the White House instead of a different batch of rascals. In the end, Mickey Mouse or the Pope could have been stuck into power in the US, the fate of the currency was baked in the cake a long time ago and we are simply following the cycle path. Today's update will provide some clarity regarding the US Dollar Index, as the developing pattern is somewhat recognizable (Refer to Figure 7).
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
U.S. of A(sia) United to Weaken the U.S. Dollar?! / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Axel_Merk
Our leaders want a weaker dollar and a stronger Chinese renminbi (RMB). That’s our assessment based on recent comments by President Obama, presidential hopeful Romney and Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Bernanke. If you join them in that call, OK, just be careful what you wish for, or at least consider taking action to protect your portfolio.
Saturday, October 27, 2012
Central Banks Are debasing More Than Our Currency / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: John_Mauldin
I can only pass on Societe Generale’s work to you once in a while, but the piece for today’s Outside the Box is important enough that its author, Dylan Grice, worked hard to convince his bosses to let me share it with you. Dylan is one of my favorite investments analysts, as well as just an all-around nice guy.
Friday, October 26, 2012
Money Is Just An Illusion / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: John_Rolls
John Rolls submits: The illusion of money, uncovering the evil plan behind the federal reserve, the central bank, and the world bank. They have designed a system to enslave you.Money is what most people spend their lives hunting , what if I tell you that today’s money is nothing more than an illusion in your mind , Its value is nothing more than a perception.
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Euro-zone Debt Crisis Presents Germany with a Golden Opportunity / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: MISES
Patrick Barron writes: The euro debt crisis in Europe has presented Germany with a unique opportunity to lead the world away from monetary destruction and its consequences of economic chaos, social unrest, and unfathomable human suffering. The cause of the euro debt crisis is the misconstruction of the euro that allows all members of the European Monetary Union (EMU), currently 17 sovereign nations, to print euros and force them on all other members. Dr. Philipp Bagus of King Juan Carlos University in Madrid has diagnosed this situation as a tragedy of the commons in his aptly named book The Tragedy of the Euro. Germany is on the verge of seeing its capital base plundered from the inevitable dynamics of this tragedy of the commons. It should leave the EMU, reinstate the deutsche mark (DM), and anchor it to gold.
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Currency Wars Part II / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Jesse
"All war is based on deception. Of all those close to the commander, none is more intimate than the secret agent; of all rewards none more liberal than those given to secret agents; of all matters none is more confidential than those relating to secret operations." Sun Tzu
"Let Hercules himself do what he may,
The cat will mew, and dog will have his day." William Shakespeare, Hamlet