Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, February 13, 2020
British Pound GBP Trend and Elliott Wave Analysis / Currencies / British Pound
This is part 4 of my British Pound Analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for 2020
- British Pound 2019 Review (Part1)
- Political Implications
- Fundamentals
- US Dollar Index
- GBP Long-term analysis
- GBP Trend Analysis
- Elliott Wave Theory
- GBP 2020 Forecast Conclusion
However the whole of analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work: British Pound GBP Trend Forecast 2020
So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
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Thursday, February 13, 2020
Bitcoin: "Is it too late to get in?" Get Answers Now / Currencies / Bitcoin
Hi Reader,
Since December, Bitcoin and other cryptos have been on a silent tear. Silent, because you don't hear about it in the news -- yet.
But if you've spotted the rally, you may be wondering, "Is it too late for me?"
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Tuesday, February 11, 2020
The US Dollar’s Subtle Message for Gold / Currencies / US Dollar
Gold and the US dollar. The yellow metal and its fiat nemesis. Often, they move inversely, though the strength and even the direction of their relationship varies when examined from different time perspectives. What is the message the greenback is sending out currently?
The USD Index is moving up in a rising trend channel (all medium-term highs are higher than the preceding ones) that formed after the index ended a very sharp rally. This means that the price movement within the rising trend channel is actually a running correction, which is the most bullish type of correction out there. If a market declines a lot after rallying, it means that the bears are strong. If it declines a little, it means that bears are only moderately strong. If the price moves sideways instead of declining, it means that the bears are weak. And the USD Index didn’t even manage to move sideways. The bears are so weak, and the bulls are so strong that the only thing that the USD Index managed to do despite Fed’s very dovish turn and Trump’s calls for lower USD, is to still rally, but at a slower pace.
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Friday, February 07, 2020
British Pound GBP Long-term Trend Analysis / Currencies / British Pound
This is part 3 of my British Pound Analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for 2020
- British Pound 2019 Review (Part1)
- Political Implications
- Fundamentals
- US Dollar Index
- GBP Long-term analysis
- GBP Trend Analysis
- Elliott Wave Theory
- GBP 2020 Forecast Conclusion
However the whole of analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work: British Pound GBP Trend Forecast 2020
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 05, 2020
British Pound Fundamental Analysis and US Dollar Trend Analysis / Currencies / British Pound
This is part 2 of my British Pound Analysis that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for 2020
- British Pound 2019 Review (Part1)
- Political Implications
- Fundamentals
- US Dollar Index
- GBP Long-term analysis
- GBP Trend Analysis
- Elliott Wave Theory
- GBP 2020 Forecast Conclusion
However the whole of analysis was first made available to Patrons who support my work: British Pound GBP Trend Forecast 2020
So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 04, 2020
Basics of Foreign Exchange / Currencies / Forex Trading
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Thursday, January 30, 2020
5 Reasons that Make Forex the Best Market to Trade / Currencies / Forex Trading
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Monday, January 13, 2020
British Pound GBP Trend Forecast Review / Currencies / British Pound
Get Brexit DONE just as Take Back Control before it won the day for the LEAVE camp (Tory party) after they finally managed to pry Remainer Theresa May's fingers from the doors of No 10, planting LEAVER Boris Johnson in her place.
Right from the outset Boris Johnson was perceived by all as being a tough sell to the public and just maybe the Corbyn socialist hard left brigade could pull off another surprise performance just as they had in 2017 that caught everyone by surprise.
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Sunday, December 29, 2019
Does Bitcoin Have Value; Is It Money? / Currencies / Bitcoin
Writing about Bitcoin is a challenge for several reasons. It has a short history (ten years), it is highly complex, and there is a certain vagueness to the logic behind the concept. When reading about it, or listening to explanations, I wonder whether or not I understand it adequately. I also wonder how many others do.
Much has already been written and discussed, such that further commentary might be superfluous. But some additional perspective likely won’t hurt. So, for those who asked…
What is it? Bitcoin, simply stated, is a form of digital currency. That is how most people describe it when pressed for an acceptable answer. That does not make Bitcoin unique, though, since most of our money supply today is in the form of digital currency.
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Wednesday, December 18, 2019
Setting Up A U.S. Dollar Crash And Metals Rise / Currencies / US Dollar
I know that many investors follow correlations as if they were gospel. But, do they really understand what a correlation represents?
You see, markets are not linear in nature. While two different markets may be traveling in the same direction for a period of time, unless you understand each chart on its own, how will you ever know when a seeming correlation will break? And, if you assume that they will align indefinitely, how long does it take for you to cut your losses in determining that a seeming correlation has broken?
Remember, when you are following a correlation, all you are doing is assuming a relationship will continue indefinitely in a linear manner, despite the fact that markets are simply not linear in nature.
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Saturday, December 14, 2019
Australian Dollar At an Important Juncture / Currencies / Austrailia
It can be certainly said that AUD/USD has surprised on the upside recently. Having reached several important resistances, and attempting breakout above them, what else can be said about the pair’s current and upcoming performance?
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Friday, December 13, 2019
The ABC’s of Fiat Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The machinations and bravo sierra excuses that are being “served up” attempting to explain the onset of massive Fed liquidity “adds” are fogging up my glasses. As a savant I once worked with in the institutional capital markets told me many, many years ago when I first parked my butt in a chair on a trading desk fresh out of University told me, “Kirby, what happens in here is really quite simple – we deal with money and the only things you can do with that are: buy it, sell it, borrow it or lend it. It isn’t rocket science”.When the Fed adds “liquidity” [aka fresh fiat money] they purchase debt – either on a temporary basis [repo] or a permanent basis by outright purchases [expanding their balance sheet]. Fresh fiat money is the oil that greases the wheels of our debt based money system. When the Fed purchases debt they are signalling concern that the wheels of our money system are seizing up.
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Monday, December 09, 2019
British Pound Struggling At New Resistance / Currencies / British Pound
For many weeks running, GBP/USD has been trading sideways in the pink consolidation. After moving higher recently, just what are the chances of the breakout sticking?
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Tuesday, December 03, 2019
The Rise and Evolution of Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
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Friday, November 22, 2019
The Financial Implications of Bitcoin Casinos in Japan / Currencies / Gambling
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Sunday, November 17, 2019
All You Need To Know About Cryptocurrency / Currencies / BlockChain
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Thursday, November 14, 2019
7 days of Free FX + Crypto Forecasts -- Join in / Currencies / Forex Trading
Hi Wave Trader,
The end of the year is fast approaching. Have you met your 2019 trading goals?
We can help.
In fact, our Forex FreeWeek event is worth your time even if you're not actively trading forex.
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Wednesday, November 13, 2019
7 days of FREE FX + Crypto Market Forecasts / Currencies / Forex Trading
Hi Reader,
The end of the year is fast approaching. Have you met your 2019 trading goals?
Our friends at Elliott Wave International (EWI) can help.
In fact, their upcoming Forex FreeWeek event is worth your time even if you're not actively trading forex.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 11, 2019
Avoid Emotional Investing in Cryptocurrency / Currencies / BlockChain
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Tuesday, November 05, 2019
Is the Run on the US Dollar Due to Panic or Greed? / Currencies / US Dollar
What’s going on in the repo market? Rates on repurchase (“repo”) agreements should be about 2%, in line with the Federal Reserve funds rate. But they shot up to over 5% on Sept. 16 and got as high as 10% on Sept. 17. Yet banks were refusing to lend to each other, evidently passing up big profits to hold onto their cash—just as they did in the housing market crash and Great Recession of 2008-09.
Because banks weren’t lending, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York jumped in, increasing its overnight repo operations to $75 billion, and on Oct. 23, it upped the ante to $120 billion in overnight operations and $45 billion in longer-term operations.
Why are banks no longer lending to each other? Are they afraid that collapse is imminent somewhere in the system, as with the Lehman collapse in 2008?
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