Thursday, September 29, 2016
What a Trump Win Means for The Stock Markets? Disaster or Buying Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
"As a man handles his troubles during the day, so he goes to bed at night a General, Captain, or Private." ~ Edgar Watson Howe
We would like to state that this article is not about politics but about the effect these two polarising individuals will have on the market. Before the debate, the outlook was somewhat favourable towards the Donald and immediately the markets reacted and started trending lower. Regardless of what you think of Trump, he is having the same effect as Brexit had on the markets but in smaller doses. If he should win the election, then the reaction will be several magnitudes larger. When the poll results came in stating that Hillary fared better in the 1st debates the markets responded positively and recouped their losses; this reinforces our argument of several years that says substantial pullbacks should be viewed as buying opportunities.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
SPX is at the 80% retracement. Will it turn here? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning,
Thus far the SPX has made an 80% retracement. Normally this would be a dubious distinction, since the odds grow of making a new high beyond the 78.6% retracement. However, this seems to be standard operating procedure for this top, so we’ll have to monitor it as it develops. Being the end of the quarter doesn’t help the bearish cause, but a lot of big name stocks are not making new highs, which is a first.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
Stocks Extend Their Short-Term Gains, But Will They Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, September 29, 2016
BlackStone Group Says The Stock Market Is The Most Treacherous They Have Seen / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
There has rarely ever been another time like this.
Not since 1999 and not since 1929 before that, have so many billionaires, central banksters, financial elites and fund managers, warned that we are on the verge of a catastrophic bust.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
Could the OPEC deal set stage for the Next Stock Market Risk Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: John_Mesh
We have been advising our clients about the market internals and fundamentals to be mildly bullish. Against popular opinion we have stuck to our guns that market will rally before the next big correction. The news of an OPEC deal could be the trigger if true. Reuters and other media outlets reported from Algeria on Thursday that OPEC members had agreed to cut oil output for the first time since 2008. Reuters reported OPEC members would limit production to a range of 32.5 million to 33 million barrels per day, down slightly on August's output of 33.2 million barrels a day, but there were few details availabe on the deal. Oil prices surged about 5 percent in response, with West Texas Intermediate trading at $46.75 per barrel. Without a deal, analysts had said oil could plunge to $40 or lower. ItThe OPEC deal to cut oil production may provide a short-term support for prices, but chances are it won't change the supply outlook much, Goldman Sachs said. Goldman said in a note to investors that it was sticking with its forecasts for WTI at $43 a barrel for the end of this year and $53 a barrel in 2017. The investment bank had cut its year-end forecast this week from $50 a barrel.
Thursday, September 29, 2016
Why Trump Lost, Hillary Won the 1st U.S. Presidential Debate / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The pollsters, political pundits and bookies all conclude that Donald Trump lost the 1st presidential debate. Apparently it was not even close, and personally having watched the debate and waiting for Hillary to make her fatal cough which never happened, I too can vouch that those who watched the debate and were not a vested interest would conclude that Hillary clearly won as the following video illustrates why:
Thursday, September 29, 2016
OPEC Announcement Triggers Late Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a turn-around Wednesday as the markets exploded. However, in the morning, they came down hard, held secondary support, and then rallied smartly, accelerating, in particular, when OPEC made the announcement that they may have come to an agreement on production cuts. At that point, the Nasdaq 100 rallied from 48.50 to 48.78, and the S&P 500 rallied from 21.52 to 21.72, both closing near the highs for the day.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
Is a Dollar Crash Imminent After the Senate Overrides Obama Veto on Saudi 9/11 Bill? / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Jason_Hamlin
President Obama just had his first veto override of his entire presidency today, as the Senate and House both voted to override his veto of the 9/11 victims bill, Justice Against Sponsors of Terrorism Act (JASTA). As of this moment, the Sept 11 bill is now law.
Intense lobbying by both the Obama Administration and the Saudi government didn’t amount to much in the end, with strong public support leading to a 97-1 veto override vote today. The long defector from the unanimous vote back in May was Sen. Harry Reid (D – NV). The House easily cleared the two-thirds threshold with a 348-77 vote.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
2017: Gold and Silver's Year of "Public Recognition" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: MoneyMetals
In all probability, December 2015 marked the bottom of the cyclical gold and silver bear market – a bear cycle that had been in play since silver topped in May 2011 and gold in September of the same year.
During the fourth quarter 2015, share price declines of the precious metals mining companies tapered off once the last of the weak hands gave up and sold their positions to stronger, forward-looking investors.
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Thursday, September 29, 2016
Did Trump Win the 1st US Presidential Election Debate? - There's Something Happening Here... / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The pollsters, political pundits and bookies all conclude that Donald Trump lost the 1st presidential debate. Apparently it was not even close, and personally having watched the debate, waiting for Hillary to make her fatal cough which never happened, I can vouch that those who watched the debate and were not a vested interest would conclude that Hillary won.
Thursday, September 29, 2016
FED Goes from ZIRP to NIRP! / Interest-Rates / NIRP
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The FED has not followed through on their numerous promises of a rate increase that Yellen and other FED officials have made over the past several years. She spoke about purchasing assets of private companies and also mentioned that the FED could modify its inflation target.
Investors will most likely purchase shares in companies whose assets have been purchased by the FED since it is likely that Congress and federal regulators would treat these companies as “too big to fail.” Federal ownership of private companies would also strengthen the movement to force businesses to base their decisions on political rather than economic considerations.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Is a “$46 TRILLION” Lehman Brothers Event Just Around the Corner? / Companies / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
The financial world is abuzz with talk of the first Presidential debate.
Meanwhile, one of the largest derivatives books in the world is imploding.
Deutsche Bank (DB) is the 11th largest bank in the world. And it has over $61 TRILLION (with a “T”) in derivatives on its books.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Will Deutsche Bank’s Collapse Be Worse Than Lehman Brothers? / Companies / Credit Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
Few analysts noted it, but the $USD actually staged its second strongest day of the year the Friday before last.
The only other day in which the $USD rallied more was on the day of BREXIT, a black swan event that featured EXTREME currency volatility.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
It’s Not Just Obamacare–Healthcare Systems Are Failing Everywhere / Politics / Healthcare Sector
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK COX : I’ve talked to many Canadian tourists who tell me that they’re having some medical procedure done while in the States. This is because the wait can be so long back home. As an uncouth American with borderline Tourette’s, I like to point out that their government health care doesn’t seem like such a utopian system after all. This typically provokes a defense of the Canada Health Act of 1984.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Here’s Why You Should Be in Cash Right Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : People are seriously undereducated on the benefits of being in cash.
The cool thing about cash is that it doesn’t go down. You can’t lose money if you have cash—unless it gets stolen or your bank account gets hacked. We don't have negative rates in the US yet, so you can’t complain about that. If you have money in cash, you will earn zero.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
The Fed Put a 50% Tax on Your Retirement Plan / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement
By: John_Mauldin
If a politician said he thought he should tax the income from your retirement plan, right now, at 50% (no matter where you are in the retirement process, that would certainly hurt the ability of your portfolio to compound), what would you think (other than that he was completely Looney Tunes)?
But that's exactly what the Federal Reserve has done by keeping interest rates low.
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Massive Chinese Debt And Why They Are On A Gold Buying Binge! / Interest-Rates / China Debt Crisis
By: Chris_Vermeulen
China’s debt is a staggering $24 trillion with 247% of annual GDP as of last year, which is, in fact, an increase of an astounding 465% within a decade. The total borrowing by both the financial and non-financial sectors was only 78% of the GDP in 2007 and has since increased to 309% of GDP according to economists at Nomura Holdings Inc. led by Yang Zhao and Wendy Chen.
Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Fascist Trump Versus Communist Hillary Battle on a Sinking Ship / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
We watched (and live tweeted ;@dollarvigilante) the US Presidential debates last night… mostly because we were hoping Hillary would drop dead on live TV.
Unfortunately, that didn’t happen.
What did happen was that the two choices for the lesser evil this year, came down to: slightly more fascist (Trump) versus slightly more communist (Clinton).
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Wednesday, September 28, 2016
Stocks Commodities and FX Markets Waiting Technically While Fundamental Data Neutral Poised / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: John_Mesh
The benchmark S&P 500 gyrated at open, showed indecision during the first 90 minutes of trading and then rose to its 0.70% intraday high in the early afternoon. It then traded in a narrow range and closed with a slightly trimmed gain of 0.64%, reclaiming a bit over half the pre-debate selloff following last week's "no rate hike" rally. The yield on the 10-year note closed at 1.56%, down three basis points from the previous close. Here is a snapshot of past five sessions in the S&P 500.
Wednesday, September 28, 2016
China’s International Renminbi Is Coming – Is Wall Street Ready? / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
By: Dan_Steinbock
On October 1, 2016, the Chinese renminbi (RMB) will officially join the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) international reserve assets; that is, the SDR (Special Drawing Rights) basket. From the perspective of the IMF, this is a ready affirmation of China’s success in opening up its markets. The inclusion of the renminbi into the ranks of the most important international currencies codifies the acceleration of bilateral and multilateral RMB transactions worldwide.Read full article... Read full article...