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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Tuesday, October 19, 2021

Gold Mining Stocks: Will Investors Dump the Laggards? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Mining stocks were picked up by investors in the latest bullish wave. But these bad performers may be dumped just as quickly as they were bought.

After the HUI Index rallied back above the neckline of its bearish head & shoulders pattern, a new bull market for mining stocks has finally begun. Or has it? Well, after an identical development occurred in 2000, the HUI Index soon invalidated the breakout (and once again confirmed the breakdown) and a sharp decline followed.

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Companies

Tuesday, October 19, 2021

The Most Exciting Medical Breakthrough Of The Decade? / Companies / BioTech

By: OilPrice_Com

According to Google’s Health boss David Feinberg... over one billion people a day search Google for health concerns.
 
But, what if, instead... they could "consult" a phone app with the power of hundreds of doctors?
 
That's exactly what will be available weeks from now when Treatment.com’s (CSE: TRUE; OTC: TREIF) and their big tech platform for healthcare, deliver the breakthrough  AI app Cara launches.
 
After five years in beta, we think that they are about to disrupt the $11.8 trillion healthcare industry.
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Commodities

Tuesday, October 19, 2021

Prices Rising as New Dangers Point to Hard Assets / Commodities / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

A big week for precious metals markets as inflation pressures push consumer prices to painful new heights.

On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that inflation at the wholesale level is up 8.6% from a year ago. That’s the steepest annual advance since the data started being reported.

Of course, Americans who have shopped at a grocery store recently or tried to rent or buy a car don’t need to read a government report to discover that prices are surging. In many respects, inflation is even worse than reported officially.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 19, 2021

It’s not just Copper; GYX indicated cyclical the whole time / Commodities / Copper

By: Gary_Tanashian

Copper makes the headlines, but GYX has been bullish all along; gold awaits its time as the message from metals land is bullish, risk ‘on’ and cyclical

While copper went through its correction we have been noting each week in NFTRH that the Industrial Metals index, GYX had never aborted its bullish stance. Trends remained up and the index price held the SMA 50’s intermediate trend all the while copper (CPER, which I hold, in lower panel) worked through its summer correction.

The Industrial Metals are a primary indicator of cyclical inflation and by extension, economic reflation.

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Economics

Monday, October 18, 2021

Inflation Or Deflation – End Result Is Still Depression / Economics / Economic Depression

By: Kelsey_Williams

INFLATION OR DEFLATION 

The debate continues but not much has been said that clarifies the issue for ordinary  investors. What follows in this article should help.

Inflation is the debasement of money by government and central banks. The Federal Reserve and all central banks practice inflation by expanding the supply of money and credit continuously and intentionally.  

This debasement of the money results in effects that are harmful and unpredictable. One of these effects of inflation is an unquantifiable loss of purchasing power in the money itself.

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Companies

Monday, October 18, 2021

A.I. Breakthrough Could Disrupt the $11 Trillion Medical Sector / Companies / BioTech

By: OilPrice_Com

A massive disruption now appears imminent in one of the world’s largest – and most important – industries.

In much the same way that Amazon disrupted the retail business – and how PayPal disrupted the payments industry – one under-the-radar health technology company now seeks to transform the $11.85 trillion global health industry.
 
By moving healthcare away from brick and mortar, traditional medicine into an AI-driven tool that offers unprecedented speed, efficiency, and accuracy...

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Companies

Monday, October 18, 2021

Chinese Tech Stocks CCP Paranoia, VIES - Variable Interest Entities / Companies / China Stocks

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Don Xi Jin Ping Corleone continues to extract an ever escalating VIG from the chinese tek giants, three of which Bidu, Alibaba and Tencent perked my recent interest to start accumulating into once they crossed below a PE of 20 and for the fact their earnings growth continues to compound on an exponential trend trajectory, so buying chinese stocks should be a no brainier over a 3 to 5 year hold, i.e. new all time highs should be eventually a done deal.

However, as I keep pointing out we are dealing with a mafia enterprise in the Chinese Criminal Party (CCP) and so all must bow their heads down before Emperor Xi Jin Ping who has all the whole marks of absolute power having gone to his head, i.e. he is starting to go the way of all dictators by going a little insane, demanding tributes to the tune of hundreds of billions of dollars. For instance Tencent recently pledged to offer the crime syndicate $100 billion, likely soon to be followed by the other tek giants.

At this point in time it is difficult to say how long the tech blood bath will continue until the mafia that runs China has gorged itself full on hundreds of billions of dollars, but at this point in time I still see a fall in the chinese tech stocks as being temporary for I can not imagine that the Chinese mafia will actually kill the goose that lays the golden eggs, I am sure there will be some confucius quotes being brought to the attention of Xi Jin Ping.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 18, 2021

Inflation Peaked Again, Right? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 upswing continues, and is dealing with the 4,470 resistance – but the credit markets don‘t confirm. Still, that‘s rather a sign of stock market strength than of pending doom. The break back above the 50-day moving average has very good odds of sticking, and the sectoral performance bodes well for further advances. Financials and consumer discretionaries liked the daily upswing in yields while tech and real estates fared well regardless. VIX is likely to probe even lower values, it seems.

So, the open S&P 500 long position is working out well, and will likely continue to do so as higher yields just can‘t help the dollar rise. Inflation expectations are again turning up as we have moved from 1H 2021 Fed saying that inflation was transitory to the current phrase that inflation is transitory, but would last longer than we though. The next stage (arriving latest in Q1 2022) will likely be that inflation is sticky but we have tools to deal with it, followed by putting up a happy face that it‘s a good thing we have inflation after all.

Silver will likely keep leading gold, and the nearest target for the gold to silver ratio is 73. Crucially, miners keep confirming the upswing, and the copper example bodes well for silver as both metals are essential for the green economy, talking which means that crude oil is also likely to keep rising. Time to extend the commodity profits even more at a time when crypto gains keep doing great.

Reflation is slowly giving way to stagflation – GDP growth is slowing down while inflation isn‘t disappearing, to put it mildly. The copper upswing isn‘t so much a function of improving economy prospects but of record low stockpiles. Anyway, much more to look for in the commodities and precious metals bull markets that are likely to appreciate much more than stocks this decade.

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Commodities

Monday, October 18, 2021

Gold Stocks Bouncing Hard / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Zeal_LLC

The battered gold stocks are bouncing hard, blasting higher over the past couple weeks!  That’s despite the Fed still looking to soon start slowing the pace of its epic money printing.  Fed-tightening fears had weighted heavily on the precious-metals realm since June.  Gold stocks’ sharp rally confirms they have started mean reverting much higher after withering capitulation selling, portending massive gains coming.

As a professional speculator and newsletter guy for over two decades now, herd sentiment never ceases to amaze me.  The vast majority of traders have no perspective, just a what-have-you-done-for-me-lately mentality on the markets.  That foolish self-imposed myopia greatly limits their gains, all but guaranteeing they will fail to buy low then sell high.  Succumbing to popular greed and fear usually leads to the opposite.

The leading gold-stock benchmark and trading vehicle remains the GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF.  Its price trends reflect prevailing gold-stock psychology.  Between mid-May to late September, the major gold stocks per GDX dropped 27.1% in 4.4 months.  Nearly all those demoralizing losses accrued across just several brief episodes.  And they were all triggered by heavy gold-futures selling on Fed-tightening fears.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 18, 2021

Stock Market New Intermediate Bottom Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  The 4540 projection which had been in effect since the March 2020 low has now been reached, but it is too early to call for an end to the bull market which started in March 2009.

SPX Intermediate trend:  An intermediate correction has started.  Let’s see if it evolves into something more serious.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.

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Commodities

Monday, October 18, 2021

Beware, Gold Bulls — That’s the Beginning of the End / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Strong words, I know. Can I back them up? Well, what we see now – looking at various markets – does indeed look like the start of gold’s end


– The Oracle in Matrix Revolutions, 2003

The counter-trend rally has probably just ended, and the final big downswing has probably just started. This “beginning” of the final downswing is, in my opinion, the beginning of the final part of the prolonged sideways trend in gold that started in 2011. In the case of silver and mining stocks, that’s likely the final part of the decline that started back then.

These are strong words – I know. Let’s see if I can back them up.

First of all, I’ve been writing about the analogy between 2013 and now for many weeks now, and you can read about these analogies in this week’s flagship analysis. This key link remains intact. The charts given below confirm that from the short-term point of view.

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Commodities

Monday, October 18, 2021

Gold Price Flag Suggests A Big Rally May Start Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As precious metals traders have waited out this extended sideways/downward price contraction in price over the past 14+ months, a very broad Pennant/Flag price formation is nearing an APEX level which suggests Gold may begin a new rally phase over the next 60+ days. Support near $1675 is a critical price level that has been tested three times over the past 8 months. The true APEX of the Pennant/Flag price formation will be reached near November 15, 2021 – nearly 30 days before the US Debt Ceiling issue will become another big issue in Washington DC.

Gold Price Flag Initiated After The $1675 Level Based In March 2021

Let’s start with this Gold Daily Chart. I’ve drawn an upper line from the peak price level, in August 2020, across the recent highs in June 2021. Additionally, I’ve drawn a lower line from the lows near September 2020 across a series of price levels that are acting as support. These two major price channels have converged into a Pennant/Flag type of price formation recently.

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Economics

Sunday, October 17, 2021

US Economy and Stock Market Addicted to Deficit Spending / Economics / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

What to know what's driving the stock market into the stratosphere? US Deficit Spending! (actually twin deficits including Trade).

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Commodities

Sunday, October 17, 2021

The Gold Price And Inflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Kelsey_Williams

An understanding of the relationship between between the gold price and inflation requires historical observation and factual understanding. Below are three specific statements that are rooted in historical fact…

1)  GOLD IS REAL MONEY

Lots of things have been used as money during five thousand years of recorded history.  Only gold has stood the test of time. It has earned its role as real money because it is the only thing which meets the three specific criteria for money: a measure of value, a medium of exchange, and a store of value.

Gold is and has been easily incorporated into recognizable forms and amounts for use within various standards of weight and measure. Also, gold is scarce, malleable, indestructible and beautiful.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 17, 2021

Went Long the Crude Oil? Beware of the Headwinds Ahead… / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Submissions

Falling oil demand and bearish US inventories are not of any good to WTI investors. However, a deeper slide might be a great place to enter the trade…

Fundamental Analysis

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has downgraded its estimate of world oil demand for 2021. The demand has been lower than expected so far despite strong prospects for the end of the year.

In fact, in its monthly report, the cartel estimates that oil demand will rebound by 5.82 million barrels per day (mb/d) this year, while it forecast 5.96 mb/d last month.

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Companies

Sunday, October 17, 2021

Watch These Next-gen Cloud Computing Stocks / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Submissions

By Justin Spittler : Adapt or die.

That was the tough choice facing many small businesses when COVID-19 hit.

It was truly survival of the fittest.

The good news is millions of American entrepreneurs rose to the occasion.

According to CNBC, a record 4.3 million new business applications were processed last year. And 77% of those were online businesses!

Meanwhile, millions of existing mom-and-pop shops rapidly retooled to do business on the internet.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, October 16, 2021

Overclockers UK Custom Built PC 1 YEAR Use Review Verdict - Does it Still Work? / Personal_Finance / Computing

By: HGR

It's now Over 1 year since we bought a Custom Built PC from Overclockers UK for £1,000 for a student to hopefully study hard with, though with the specs to game in spare time. Anyway the desktops been used for a whole year now, does it still work? any issues, where the student who used it gives their 1 year real customer use verdict.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, October 16, 2021

Altonville Mine Tours Maze at Alton Towers Scarefest 2021 / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

Altonville Mine Tours, are you brave enough to venture into an abandoned mine? And face the crazy inbred hillibies can you find your way out!. Here' Anika takes us to the start of your scarefest nightmare maze!

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InvestorEducation

Thursday, October 14, 2021

How to Protect Your Self From a Stock Market CRASH / Bear Market? / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock Market CRASH / Correction

We will soon be moving into the window for a stock market correction where I penciled the probable expectations for it to take place sometime between Mid Sept to Mid October, though it could start earlier hence why I was not willing to wait around and de risked ahead of the window.

How much could the general indices such as the Dow drop? I have in mind a drop of somewhere between 15% to 20% as being the most provable outcome, though it is early days, so it could be less or it could a more but 15% to 20% is what I have had in mind for the likes of the Dow for some time.

Whether it will be just a correction and resume it's raging bull market or signal start of a bear market proper is uncertain, probability favours continuation but this is not 2011 when we were in a hated stealth bull market that few took seriously instead now every tom dick and harry thinks that stocks can only go up! And so will assume that buying the dip is a one way bet to stock market riches. Which is why one needs to focus on VALUATIONS! Buy when Stocks are CHEAP! For it allows one to survive BEAR MARKETs and not end up with a 20 year Dead Parrots like Cisco and Intel!

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 14, 2021

The Only way to Crush Inflation (not stocks) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021

By: Stephen_McBride

Folks are freaking out about inflation.

The US government’s own numbers show prices are rising at their fastest pace in 12 years…

Google searches for inflation hit their highest level ever last month…

You’re likely feeling it in your pocket too.

Tried to buy a car lately? If you can get your hands on one, it’ll cost you 40% more than last year.

Home prices are rising at their fastest pace in more than 30 years. And here in Ireland, the average heating bill is expected to jump $500 this winter.

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