Sunday, October 31, 2021
Why Most Stocks May Go Nowhere for the Next 10 Years! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here's why PE ratio's matter as the following chart shows the return 10 years forward from the starting average PE i.e if the stock market is trading on an average PE of 27 than can basically be expected to go nowhere for the next 10 years. Whilst the lower the PE the higher the expected return (on average), where the safe zone for investing is at a starting PE of between 10 and 20.
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Sunday, October 31, 2021
The Bank of Canada Ends QE, Plunging Gold Prices in CAD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
So, QE ended (so far in Canada, but the Fed will follow suit) and the termination plunged gold prices in Canadian dollars. Will this repeat globally?
Finally! Yesterday (October 27, 2021), one central bank ended its quantitative easing program after gradually reducing the pace of asset purchases earlier this year. Don’t panic though - it wasn’t the Fed, nor the ECB, nor the Bank of Japan. It was the Bank of Canada. As we can read in the monetary policy statement:
In light of the progress made in the economic recovery, the Governing Council has decided to end quantitative easing and keep its overall holdings of Government of Canada bonds roughly constant.
Sunday, October 31, 2021
Crypto-Alert - Will Solana Continue To 'Moon'? / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Submissions
Summary
Ethereum was the first smart contract platform to gain wide use and is still the market leader.
Many competing smart contract platforms have tried to unseat Ethereum from the leadership position by capitalizing on its speed and cost issues.
Solana is a new competitor that is cheap, fast, and that has seen great price appreciation, but will it last?
The Ethereum Revolution
Ethereum (ETH-USD) brought the use of smart contracts to scale. Smart contracts are essentially financial agreements between two or more parties, governed by code. Typically, they form both the agreement and the means to execute the actions specified in the agreement when terms are met.
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Sunday, October 31, 2021
Inflationary Wonderland / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Gary_Tanashian
Inflation has permeated the macro markets; where to from here?
Apologies in advance for some of the possibly confusing content to follow. But if this were easy anyone could do it, eh? There are a lot of balls in the air; balls known as inflation vs. deflation and most of all time frames.
The media present inflation as this guy picking out higher priced fruit. Wait til he gets to the meat department! You can click the graphic for the article at CNBC.
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Sunday, October 31, 2021
Serviced Office 101: What You Can Realistically Expect When You Rent a Serviced Office / Companies / SME
By: Submissions
Any business would need to have its own space at some point, even if you started your business in your residence at the beginning. As your business grows, you may need a broader area with more room for a bigger staff, and you may also be thinking of becoming more accessible to your customers. But whilst you can always opt for a traditional lease, there are more than a few advantages offered by serviced offices, and you could benefit from such an office space as well. But what exactly is it, and how can it be beneficial to your business? Here's what you should know about serviced offices and what you can realistically expect when you rent a serviced office.
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Saturday, October 30, 2021
Stock Market Volaility - What is Contango in the VIX? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
If you are new to trading or have been trading stock but are interested in options, you can find more information at The Technical Traders – Options Trading Signals Service. The head option’s trading specialist Neil Szczepanski who has been trading options for almost 20 years sends out real live trade alerts on real trades with real money. Come check it out here: TheTechnicalTraders.com
I have been trading options and coaching / mentoring other new options traders for years. I have seen new traders who were lucky and ended up with some winning trades and others who were so frustrated and on the verge of giving up. I have seen it all. One of the things I have noticed is that very few people understand the VIX or AKA the fear gauge to the markets.
Many know that it is a measure of fear but they don’t really understand what it is and how it is constructed. If you are an options trader, I would argue it is very important that you as a trader understand what the VIX is and how it works.
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Saturday, October 30, 2021
Central Planners Clinging to Hope That Inflation Is “Transitory” / Economics / Inflation
By: MoneyMetals
As trading closes out for October ahead of Halloween, the specter of inflation is haunting markets.
While some investors still cling to the hope that it will be transitory, a growing number are now worried that pricing pressures and even shortages will intensify heading into Christmas – and possibly get worse in 2022. Discussions of the term “hyperinflation” have even made the rounds on social media following a warning from Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey.
More on that in a bit. But first, let’s review this week’s price action in precious metals markets.
Gold over the past few trading days has been oscillating around the $1,800 level. Prices currently come in at $1,783 an ounce to register a weekly decline of 0.9%.
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Saturday, October 30, 2021
🎃 Making a Halloween Scary Hand Bonfire Fright Night 2021! 🎃 / Personal_Finance / Educating Children
By: Eliza_Walayat
��One more day till Halloween, Halloween. Here we are making a halloween scary hand bonfire after choping down a leylandi tree.
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Saturday, October 30, 2021
🎃 Tesco Halloween Shopping 2021 - Pumpkins, Masks and Costumes Best Buys! 🎃 / Personal_Finance / Shopping
By: Eliza_Walayat
��One more day to Halloween, Halloween, here's what was on offer for Halloween season at Tesco's, in case your off to do your halloween shop tomorrow and as a guide for next year as many of the items were repeated from last year.
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Friday, October 29, 2021
AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Current State / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
This is the third and final part of my extensive analysis - Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season, Chinese Stocks and Bitcoin Trend Update
This is Part 2 of my extensive analysis
Part 1 - Stock Market FOMO Going into Crash Season
Part 2 - Chinese Tech Stocks CCP Paranoia and Best AI Tech Stocks ETF
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Friday, October 29, 2021
Shrinking US Crude Reserves Might Confirm the Trend Now! / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Submissions
Oil prices rose again on Tuesday, approaching multi-year highs amid concerns over steadily shrinking US crude reserves.
Fundamental Analysis
U.S. API Weekly Crude Oil Stock:
Friday, October 29, 2021
The History of Gold’s Pavlovian Narrative / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: The_Gold_Report
Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger delves into the Federal Reserve's actions going back decades that affect the price of gold.
One of the benefits (or luxuries) of being removed from the commuting rat-race of my earlier life is the ability to devote large swaths of free time to reading – to the acquisition of either new sources of knowledge or new frameworks of opinion, neither of which can be trusted but both of which may be useful.
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Friday, October 29, 2021
What Do The Current Earnings Reports Tell Us About The Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Avi_Gilburt
I am going to let you in on one of my pet peeves this week: I abhor intellectual dishonesty in analysis. And, earnings season always brings to light some wonderful examples.
I was recently told quite confidently by another contributor that the direction of a stock is based upon its earnings. I know this is a common view within the market, but it is far from the truth.
While everyone thinks the market makes sense when a stock price rises on a good earnings report or drops on a bad earnings report, let’s try to understand what happens when a stock declines on good news. So, when blow-out earnings about a company are announced, yet the stock immediately begins to decline, the common theme we hear from the talking heads is that the earnings news was already “priced in” to the stock price. Right?
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Friday, October 29, 2021
How to Install Hard Drives into Your Desktop PC - Move Drives From Another Computer / Personal_Finance / Computing
By: HGR
In this video I show you how to install desktop SATA hard drives into WIndows PC . Installing a 2.5" or 3.5" hard drive or SSD isn't difficult as all it requires is a hard drive, a desktop computer with at least one empty 3.5" bay and possibly a screwdriver. I also show you how connect the drives to your system and what to expect when you boot up your system. So if you want to move your hard drives form one PC to another then watch this video and find out how to do it.
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Thursday, October 28, 2021
AI Tech Stocks Portfolio Current State / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
AI Stocks Buying Pressure Evaluation
Its now over 6 weeks since I first posted the AI generated forecasts where I deemed the resulting Buying Pressure as being the most important derived indicator for what the stocks are likely to do. For instance Facebook and AMD were expected to be the strongest, and not far behind Microsoft, Apple, Google, where Nvidia strength was contrary to my expectations for this over valued stock. Basically the AI was saying that I had a mistake mistake by selling out of Microsoft, Apple and Nvidia etc. The only decision it was concurring with was that Amazon was expected to be weak with only 17% upwards buying pressure, as was Samsung at 34%. and IBM on 26%. Whilst an unloved Intel continued to carry huge unrealised potential hence my seeking to accumulate more on any dips below $50.
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Thursday, October 28, 2021
Proshares Bitcoin BITO ETF Marks a Huge Milestone for Crypto Currencies / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: Stephen_McBride
After years in the making, it finally happened…On October 15, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the first-ever bitcoin ETF.
On October 19, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) debuted on the New York Stock Exchange.
This is a big, big milestone.
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Thursday, October 28, 2021
Bitnomics Review – Is it an easy solution to buy and sell crypto? / Currencies / cryptocurrency
By: S_N_Chatterjee
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Thursday, October 28, 2021
Skate Boarding Fun at Millhouses Park Summer 2021 / Local / Sheffield
By: Anika_Walayat
Skate Boarding Fun at Millhouses Park Summer 2021
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Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Chinese Tech Stocks CCP Paranoia and Best AI Tech Stocks ETF / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Dear Reader
The stock market is continuing to rally on FOMO fumes with the Dow up 1.5% for August as the market enters the seasonally worst month of the year for stocks, followed by October, and we all know what October's tend to herald, especially for markets that have run well beyond every expectation and value metric that one can think of which is true for a wide spectrum of stocks from our AI tech giants right through to the junk that populates the likes of Cathy Woods ARK Funds, metrics as I covered in recent analysis such as the Reverse REPO market RED FLAG, then we have margin debt soaring to well beyond all previous market highs which actually would be expected in nominal terms given inflation, however Margin debt has also soared to new highs as a percentage of GDP 3.9% vs 3% in 2000. Here's another flashing RED LIGHT that of the market cap of negative earning stocks exceeding that of the dot com bubble, so folks enjoy your FOMO whilst it lasts, I personally have battened down the hatches for the hurricane that's coming our way that will likely blow novice investors out of the water, especially those who are investing on margin!
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Tuesday, October 26, 2021
Food Prices & Farm Inputs Getting Hard to Stomach / Commodities / Food Crisis
By: Richard_Mills
Thanksgiving is a time to appreciate the food on our tables, but that probably isn’t stopping a lot of people from grumbling about how expensive the turkey and all the fixings have become.
According to Statistics Canada, food prices are up 2.5% over the past year, but that may be underestimating the impact of inflation. New research from Dalhousie University’s Agri-Food Analytics Lab, quoted by BNN Bloomberg, shows that food inflation in Canada is closer to 5%, well above the normal 1-2%.
Among food categories, meat prices stand out as rising the most, with Stats Canada noting a 10% increase for these products over the past six months. Nearly half of Canadians, 49%, say they have reduced their purchases of Alberta meat, while a majority of consumers acknowledge cutting back on it since the start of the year. The higher number of vegetarians may be due to economic reasons as much as concerns over animal cruelty.
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