Tuesday, April 27, 2021
The Top 3 CBD Oils with Anti-Inflammatory Properties for Stopping Pain / Commodities / Cannabis
By: Submissions
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Tuesday, April 27, 2021
Biden’s Green New Deal / Economics / Renewable Energy
By: Richard_Mills
Joe Biden came to power as the 46th US president expecting to spend more on green energy and clean technology. Just how much more is starting to be revealed.
Doubles down on emissions
This week Biden fulfilled a campaign promise in convening a “global climate summit” within his first 100 days in office. The two-day virtual meeting, attended by the leaders of a number of US allies and two of its adversaries — China and Russia — appears like many of these gatherings to be mostly a talking shop.
But a decision on Thursday is substantive, and therefore bears examination. The president committed the US to reducing its greenhouse gas emissions by 50 to 52% below its 2005 emissions levels by 2030, without revealing any details as to how this would be achieved.
The announcement also brings GHG reduction targets 20 years forward from what is set out in Biden’s $2.3 trillion infrastructure/ clean energy proposal unveiled in March. That plan commits to net-zero emissions by 2050 (net-zero refers to balancing the amount of emitted greenhouse gases with the equivalent emissions that are either offset or sequestered).
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Tuesday, April 27, 2021
Gold Stocks Upleg Accelerates / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2021
By: Zeal_LLC
This young gold-stock upleg is accelerating, with fast-rising prices enticing in more capital. This sector has surged sharply to multiple major upside breakouts in recent weeks, which is starting to turn skeptics into believers. Despite their strong upside momentum being chased, gold-stock prices remain far from overbought levels warning of impending selloffs. This mounting upleg still has great room to power way higher.
Gold miners’ earnings are highly leveraged to prevailing gold prices, which drive this sector’s upleg and correction cycles. In early March as the last extended gold-stock correction was bottoming, I wrote an essay on gold’s momentum selloff. It concluded with “the gold-futures selling that ignited all this is finite, and is likely nearing exhaustion. After that, gold should rally hard.” We were positioned for a new upleg.
At that major bottoming, the trading books in our newsletters were full of fundamentally-superior gold miners’ stocks. We added and recommended them leading into that at low prices, when they were deeply out of favor. A few weeks later, I wrote another essay analyzing the latest quarterly results from the mid-tier gold miners. They are in the sweet spot for stock-price appreciation potential when gold powers higher.
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Monday, April 26, 2021
The Tax Plan to Slay the Stocks Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
A day like almost any other – S&P 500 about to take again on the ATHs until the capital gains tax hike proposal came, shaving off 50 points in stocks within an hour. The 4,415 support held though, both before and after the closing bell. Are we ready to shake off the cold water and resume running higher again?
Depends on where you look – stocks have quite some recovering still to do, and it‘s the precious metals and commodities that are performing best today. Both as an index and sectoral collection, the S&P 500 sustained broad damage, concentrated in the tech heavyweights. The volatility spike has been partially repelled but option traders seem expecting another shoe to drop, which attests to us better dampening expectations of a fast return above 4,170.
Look still though how little has changed, as if the tax raising plans haven‘t been around since the infrastructure bill or implicitly even before. It‘s still April, and markets are pricing in not only this select reality, but broader tax increases coming. Yes, they have woken up, and the reflation paradigm is getting an unwelcome companion. This hit won‘t bring down the bull, but will slow it down – and the implications for broader economy will only hasten the pronounced advent of the commodities supercycle (well underway since the corona deflationary crash last year).
As the Chinese say, may you live in interesting times, and I am glad to have caught the April 2020 turnaround reasonably well. I‘m bringing this up just to say that this isn‘t the time to turn bearish on stocks yet – not in the least. The initial panic is over, real economy keeps recovering (amazing how fast were the reasonably good unemployment claims of yesterday forgotten, right?), inflation expectations aren‘t running progressively hotter, and Treasury yields continue retreating.
Monday, April 26, 2021
See What’s Next for European Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: EWI
Dear reader,
"Will it break above $1?" That’s the question millions of crypto watchers are asking now.
Dogecoin may be on your watch list, too. After all, its 9000%+ rally year-to-date is no longer “funny.” What started as a joke is now very serious.
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Monday, April 26, 2021
Gold's Perfect Storm / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Richard_Mills
US Treasuries are as much sought-out by investors in a crisis or pending crisis, but lately, Treasuries have become much less popular as a means of storing wealth.
The reason is simple: T-bills don’t offer a good return, and neither do other sovereign debt instruments. Although US Treasury yields have been climbing, owing partly to expectations of inflation, in recent weeks this trend has reversed, amid renewed concerns about the pandemic.
On Tuesday, the World Health Organization warned that global infections were reaching their highest levels, prompting many fund managers to rotate money into safe-haven bonds. The yield on the 10-year Treasury slid to 1.5% while the 30-year yield was reduced to 2.26%.
Looking at the 10-year chart, we see the yield starting to climb in January, reaching as high as 1.74% on March 19 before falling from 1.69% at the start of April to the current 1.5 %.
Subtract 2.6% inflation and the real yield is negative 1.1%.
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Monday, April 26, 2021
Biden’s ‘Green Reset’ Could Be Great for Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: MoneyMetals
As top officials around the world convene this week for a “climate summit,” President Joe Biden’s administration is planning the most radical expansion of government’s role in the economy since FDR’s New Deal.
The objective is nothing short of transitioning the entire U.S. and world economy to “clean energy” – as determined and directed by central planners.
Vice President Kamala Harris vowed, “We are not going to take it slow. We are not going to take it one step at a time. We are going to take one giant leap.”
First it was a Green New Deal, then it was a Great Reset. Now, apparently, it is a Giant Leap.
Sunday, April 25, 2021
SPX Stock Market Short Squeeze – Here Or Not? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 turned around at the open, and didn‘t look back. Is the selling over, have the markets turned the corner? Buy the dip looks to have won the day, VIX has been beaten back, and corporate credit markets scored strong gains. The benefit of the doubt would go with the bulls as the Russell 2000 and emerging markets joined in the buying spree. Heck, even the option traders turned more complacent again.
The table looks set for brighter days, but it‘s the odd performance in value (the reopening fireworks don‘t seem to go stale ever really) ignoring retreating yields, which the tech heavyweights strangely neither rejoiced. That reminds me of the dog that didn‘t bark story. I‘m thus looking for a daily consolidation of surprisingly easily gained ground without ruling out a weak downswing attempt – but it‘s the upside potential that‘s looking short-term limited here. The daily SPX chart doesn‘t give me confidence yet to declare this correction as not returning next week.
Nominal yields have again retreated a little, and inflation expectations are sending inconclusive messages – but don‘t forget that inflation is what the Fed ultimately wants. It just has to balance that with the Treasuries market not going into a tailspin – for now, mission accomplished, inflation expectations have peaked, move along, nothing to see here.
But the higher commodity prices are sending a clear message to the contrary – look for the PPI readings to be affecting CPI increasingly more. Markets aren‘t waiting for the Fed, and have been transitioning to a higher inflation environment already, even though the Fed sold the transitory talking points quite well – it would indeed be a 2022-3 story when inflation supported by the overheating job market would kick in. That‘s the context decreasing nominal yields should be interpreted in.
Sunday, April 25, 2021
Fiscal Guilt: What a Shift in Monetary Policy Portends for Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger describes how he is protecting his portfolio as political and financial fortunes begin to change.
To you from failing hands we throw
The torch; be yours to hold it high.
—from the poem "In Flanders Field;" 1915
I have a confession to make: I am reaching the end of my personal level of nonviolent tolerance when being forced to listen to non-elected "authorities" standing in front of TV cameras reading their "prepared notes" from teleprompters without the vaguest clue as to what they are talking about.
Worse still are the elected "representatives of the citizenry" of any country, state or province, standing in that very same spot ordering the populace to "stay indoors" while warning that the police have been instructed to issue citations (or arrest) those in violation of an order that has never been enacted into law.
Whether they are politicians or bankers or bureaucratic buffoons of questionable agenda, all of them should be gagged and bound and carted off to a facility of incarceration with zero chance of release back into the "general population." They all represent an ever-increasing threat to not only my sanity but also, and more importantly, to my personal liberty.
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Saturday, April 24, 2021
Tesla's BIG MISTAKE! Free Charging for LIFE! $700bn Stock Bubble Mania about to BURST! S 85D / Personal_Finance / Motoring
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Tesla's stock price has soared into the stratosphere, touching $900 a share earlier this year with the over hyped Autonomous EV, solar energy stock still trading over $700 a share that values the company at close to $700bn, MORE than ALL of the other auto manufacturers put together! Don't get me wrong, I like Tesla and would invest in Tesla for the long run, but NOT on a market cap $700bn that puts Tesla on a PE of over 1100! For instance Toyota makes 20 times more profit than Tesla yet Tesla is value near 3 times Toyota, what are the investors smoking? Tesla is a auto manufacturer! It should not be valued at about 60X Toyota! That is insane!
Anyway in this video I took a look under the hood at what it's like to own and drive a Tesla partying up with someone who has owned and driven one for 3 years.
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Saturday, April 24, 2021
Gold Price Reversal? Have No Fear! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Monica_Kingsley
S&P 500 closed in the the red, vindicating my bearish sentiment going into Monday‘s session. And as I have tweeted during the day, the sellling doesn‘t appear to be over. Friday‘s:
(…) selling wave before the close looks to indicate hesitation ahead. Even though VIX is attacking the 16 level, and the put/call ratio ticked higher, the bulls are little disturbed thus far.
While VIX rose yesterday, it finished only a little above 17 – the tide in stocks hasn‘t turned to fear even temporarily in the least, and the current consolidation would still be one to be bought.
That‘s the result of ample liquidity in the system, which is denting the rotations. Yields moved higher yesterday, and defensives including tech or Down Jones Industrial Average rightly felt the pressure more than value stocks.
Saturday, April 24, 2021
No Fear Of Inflation; Threat Of Deflation / Economics / Deflation
By: Kelsey_Williams
The Fed wants to have their cake and eat it too, but the cake is stale. Jerome Powell’s remarks in testimony before the Senate recently provoked considerable attention.
Responses, interpretation, and analysis by observers were many and varied. Unfortunately, no one learned anything different from what they thought they knew before Powell’s testimony.
The Fed is well aware of the problem. It is systemic in nature and goes far beyond corporate due diligence, bank liquidity, and the safety of your broker.
Most everyone else (with the exception of Janet Yellen, Ben Bernanke, and Alan Greenspan) thinks they understand the problem, but their limited understanding doesn’t allow for the subtleties of Fed Chair behavior.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
This "Lopsided" Stock Market Ratio Is Sending a Clear Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: EWI
Investors always find ways to "rationalize" bearish or bullish stances
For a stock market investor who understands that markets are not random or chaotic but instead patterned, the most important information to know is the price pattern of the market in question.
For an Elliott wave investor, the task is even more defined. As Frost & Prechter's Wall Street classic book, Elliott Wave Principle, says:
The market's progression unfolds in waves. Waves are patterns of directional movement.
So, familiarity with the Elliott wave model for forecasting financial markets is a must.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Stock Market Sentiment Speaks: Watch Out For The “Bear Market” / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Avi_Gilburt
Throughout the years I have been writing on Seeking Alpha, many readers have recognized that we have been quite accurate in our market prognostications, yet they have had a hard time understanding the lens through which I view the markets.
I want to first start by stating that in all the years I have been doing research and analysis into financial markets, I have not found a single form of analysis that provides market context as does Elliott Wave analysis. In fact, it was the reason I was so confident in my expectation that the market would exceed the 4000SPX region even though we were down in the 2200SPX region last year.
So, before I move into my discussion of a “bear market,” I wanted to take a moment to again reference the six-part series I wrote, which explains not only the application of my analysis methodology, but also provides you with the background and theory behind the methodology: https://www.elliottwavetrader.net/market-update/Elliott-Wave-Series-Part-1-201808184848063.html
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Azure AI Cloud Computing Driving Microsoft Tech Stock Giants Profits - Tech Stocks Investing 2021 / Companies / Microsoft
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Microsoft stocks risen by 10% since my last update but the valuations have stayed constant on an EC of 55, which is why Microsoft remains a great primary stock that stealthily continues to deliver as AI is driving this tech giants exponential growth continuing to beat Wall street expectations after all the analysts think linear whilst the trend trajectory is exponential. With Microsoft AI Azure cloud computing division growing by 50% per annum, converts into a Buy rating of 65%.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Ultimate FREE Cooling Solution for Oculus Quest 2 VR Headset / Personal_Finance / Virtual Reality
By: HGR
Kill Two birds with one stone! Keep your Quest 2 headset cool so you can use it for longer! AND exercising to lose weight, find out how in this video as I build stamina and lose weight, and I definitely need to lose some weight. NO need to go to gym and get in a ring with a sparring partner, don't even need a punch bag or gloves, as the Oculus Quest 2 means I can box literally anywhere any time. One thing about boxing is one gets hot pretty quick so what better than to box in the snow to help keep cool! Lets see how many opponents I defeat before I call it a day.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Growing Fruit and Nut Trees in the UK / Personal_Finance / Gardening
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's Eliza and Anika's fruit tree garden, in a small north England garden, it might be cold but you can still grow a large variety of fruit and nuts up here including various variety of Apples , Pears, Cherries, Almond, Hazelnuts, Plums, Grapes, Walnuts and Strawberries all in VR 180 so yuou can look around in a VR headset or browser.
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Friday, April 23, 2021
Amazing Steps to avoid the common mistakes / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Russell_Fenton
Currency trading is a very delicate profession and it requires strong devotion. Avoid repeating the mistakes as it can create huge problems. Proper preparation will help the investor to make the right decision. In this zone, if you cannot deal with the phases properly, you will face difficulties to get good outcomes. Traders need to determine the circumstances of the market so that they can ply the right techniques. There are some steps of avoiding errors that are being represented here.
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Thursday, April 22, 2021
Dow Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast Current State / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My trend forecast for 2021 as of the 8th of Feb analysis Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2021 is for a bull run to Dow 35k punctuated by a summer correction beginning early May as illustrated by the forecast graph for a gain of about 15% on the year.
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Thursday, April 22, 2021
Gold Rebounds Amid Positive Economic Reports / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Several economic indicators have surprised us on the positive side. Nevertheless, the price of gold has rebounded.Finally! The price of gold has been rising recently . As the chart below shows, the yellow metal rebounded from the late March bottom of $1,684 to above $1,770 on Friday (Mar. 16). This could be a promising start to the second quarter of 2021, which looks better than the first.
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