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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Monday, February 01, 2021

How You Could've Spotted the Start of Silver's Price Slide / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: EWI

If you're a close observer of the metals market, you know that the price of silver has taken a tumble during the past several days.

Elliott wave analysis was a big help in identifying the price turn, which occurred on Jan. 6.

Indeed, here's a chart and commentary from the Jan. 6 issue of our Monday-Wednesday-Friday U.S. Short Term Update, an Elliott Wave International publication which provides near-term forecasts for major U.S. financial markets:

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Politics

Monday, February 01, 2021

US Fourth Turning Detonation / Politics / US Politics

By: James_Quinn

“Americans today fear that linearism (alias the American Dream) has run its course. Many would welcome some enlightenment about history’s patterns and rhythms, but today’s intellectual elites offer little that’s useful. Caught between the entropy of the chaoticists and the hubris of the linearists, the American people have lost their moorings.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning

“The ancients believed that each cyclical extreme, mirroring the hopes and fears of the other, helps generate the other. The night longs for the day, the day for night. In war, people yearn for relief from strife, leading to peace. In peace, people yearn to champion what they love, leading to war.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning

When I started thinking about my annual beginning of the year article in early January, I tried to formulate a catchy title. Knowing we have entered the thirteenth year of this Fourth Turning, with the intensity of the crisis reaching an unparalleled level since November 4, I decided upon Fourth Turning Detonation. I immediately thought that might be too dire and figured I would change it later. After the first few weeks of the new year, I now think it might be grossly inadequate to describe what is coming in 2021.

It is easy to get distracted by the daily gyrations, ceaseless media propaganda, political theater, false narratives, and delusional beliefs of both the left and right, as this military empire built on debt and deceit spirals towards its fiery cataclysmic climax. Opposing forces have gathered themselves into position focusing on defeating their domestic enemies, with the left seeming to have strategic advantage but led by hubristic dullards, while numerous foreign adversaries circle like hungry vultures ready to pounce on the dying beast of an empire.

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Politics

Monday, February 01, 2021

Biden to Preside Over Another Financial Crisis / Politics / Financial Crisis 2021

By: MoneyMetals

Being put in charge of the U.S. government’s finances in 2021 is a bit like being appointed captain of the Titanic in 1912.

More to the point, trying to avert a financial disaster ahead in the current environment is akin to trying to steer a doomed ship away from a deadly iceberg moments before impact.

By the time the Titanic’s crew had realized the impending danger in front of them, it was too late to change course. The massive ship’s momentum ensured a collision would occur.

President Joe Biden’s incoming U.S. Treasury Secretary will be virtually powerless to change the trajectory of government debt growth – a trajectory that history suggests will end in disaster.

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Personal_Finance

Saturday, January 30, 2021

Land Rover OBD2 II Best Check Engine Code Reader - Nexpeak NX 501 Review, Discovery Sport / Personal_Finance / Motoring

By: HGR

Got an engine management warning light show up on your cars dash board? Before you rush off to the car dealership and pay upwards of £150 to get your codes read then why don't you try a OBD2 code reader. After some research I bought a Nexpeak NX501 off amazon https://amzn.to/36twU54 for 50 quid, then read the short manual and plugged it into my Land Rover Discovery Sport and wow! it WORKED! Find out in my latest money saving video of what it does video and how it could save you hundreds of pounds even prevent you from getting ripped off at a garage when they do unnecessary work!

In my opinion an OBD2 reader is a a must have tool and is CHEAP! Well worth it not just for reading the codes but also monitoring your car from time to time because this gadget does far more than just read the codes. My only regret is that I did not buy one earlier!

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 30, 2021

VIX and Defensive Sectors React To Perceived Stock Market Trend Weakness / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Since early November 2020, the VIX has continued to decline and consolidate near the 22 level.  Late in December 2020 and beyond, the VIX started setting up series-high price spikes – which indicates a flagging downside pattern is setting up.  You can see this setup across the recent VIX highs drawn in MAGENTA on the chart below.  Additionally, the VIX has “stepped” higher – moving from lows near 19.50 to higher lows near 21.00.  This upward stepping base is indicative of a shift in volatility.

VIX Sets Up Pennant/Flag Pattern

My research team and I interpret this data as a sign that trend weakness is starting to build after the strong rally that initiated in early November 2020.  Although we have not seen any clear sign that the markets are about to reverse or decline, this move in the VIX is suggesting that volatility is increasing. The high price “breakout”, yesterday, in the VIX suggests the MAGENTA flag setup is nearing an Apex/breakout point.

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Politics

Friday, January 29, 2021

EU Declares WAR On Britain, Demands UK Vaccine Stocks, Implements Export Controls / Politics / BrExit

By: N_Walayat

The Battle for Britain's Vaccine stocks has begun by an incompetent slow to act European Union that has vaccinated in total less than the UK. Facing a shortfall in vaccine supplies due to the highly technical nature of production the EU has effectively declared war on Brexit Britain attempting to seize or steal Britains vaccine stocks due to the fact that Brexit Britain was able to act a good 3 months ahead of the EU in both procurement of orders for hundreds of millions of doses including Oxford AstraZenica's vaccines that are at the heart of the EU's vaccine crisis which Brexit Britain authorised use of during December that a slow to act EU has only authorised on the 29th of January.

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Commodities

Friday, January 29, 2021

Why the Gold Bull Market Will Run for Years / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: The_Gold_Report

Peter Krauth, the editor of Gold Resource Investor, traces previous gold bull markets and lays out what he believes is in store for the current one.

If we want to make intelligent forecasts and decisions about our future, we need to understand not only where we are today, but also how we got here. So, let's look at previous gold bull markets for some insight on what we might expect from this one.

Gold enjoyed a tremendous bull market in the 1970s. That decade was fraught with geopolitical uncertainty, an oil embargo, and big inflation to name a few. Of course, many of these factors were already in place and building up in the years before, but they came together by the early 1970s.

One of the biggest historical events was when U.S. President Nixon cut the dollar's tie to gold in August 1971. Until then, foreign nations could convert their U.S. dollar holdings to gold upon request. Many began doing so as they saw the U.S. rapidly increase spending, which weakened the U.S. dollar.

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Commodities

Friday, January 29, 2021

Will Biden’s Executive Blitzkrieg Defeat Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

A new sheriff is in in town, and he’s making some rearrangements. Will the new order of things support the price of gold?

What a blitzkrieg! Joe Biden certainly wastes no time in signing executive orders. Since inauguration, he introduced several policies, including mandating masks on federal property, in airports and on certain public transportation, and the end of a travel bank on some countries. Biden also terminated the construction of the wall at the Mexican border, halted the withdrawal from the WHO and placed the U.S. back on the path to rejoining the Paris climate accord.

We’re seeing a reversal of many of Trump’s policies. The new President’s actions shouldn’t materially affect the gold market , but if they manage to restore widespread confidence in the U.S. government, they could limit the safe-haven demand for gold .
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Companies

Friday, January 29, 2021

What Exactly Is Bookkeeping? / Companies / Financial Education

By: Submissions

Bookkeeping is essentially the comprehensive organizing and recording of the financial transactions of a business. These include things such as day to day spendings, as well as recording information that pertains to the business. By having a bookkeeper in place it means that all of the financial records kept by a business are accurate, up to date, and completel. 

Throughout the entire bookkeeping process it is important that accuracy is maintained at all times. This is because this information forms the basis on which the business’s accounts are based. To aid this process there are a number of structures in place known as quality controls that ensure all financial records are accurate and timely.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 29, 2021

7 Must-Have Apps for Day Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Submissions

The past few years have seen a series of changes take place. The most impactful of them all is the increase in the importance of the Internet in our lives. As everything is moving online, the popularity of online trading has also increased significantly. Today, most people interested in making money by buying and selling shares, stocks, equities, etc. prefer to carry out their operations online. The main reason behind this change is the rise in popularity of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. 

The biggest advantage of online trading is that you can take part in the actions irrespective of your location if you have a mobile device and a healthy Internet connection. To make the process of online trading even easier for traders, developers have come up with several apps. You can use some of them to boost your market intelligence and trading profits. The section below talks about seven apps day traders must have on their phones. 

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ConsumerWatch

Friday, January 29, 2021

Real Reason for GPU and CPU Price Hikes! RTX 3080 Now Costs Over $1100! / ConsumerWatch / Computing

By: HGR

GPU's are seeing insane price hikes! For instance, 3 weeks ago I bought and paid for a custom PC build system from Scan computers that cost £3235 with components that included an Asus RTX 3080 TUF Gaming graphics card that was supposed to sell for around $700 or £500 but cost me £750 or over $1000. However the price has just kept increasing since were 10 days ago it had risen to £780, and today jumped by another £35 to £815.

Which at the current exchange rate puts that card at over $1100 converting to $1116. This is a ridiculously crazy high price for a GPU! We are really being ripped off in the UK to a very great extent.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, January 28, 2021

Russell 2000 ETF Initiates New Stock Market Rally Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last week my team and I alerted our readers to the current trends and shifting sectors that are getting hotter every day.  Technology, Energy, Financials, Industrials and others are experiencing bullish trends we haven’t seen in years.  The Russell 2000 ETF, URTY, is starting a new breakout uptrend just after our BAN Trader Pro system suggested the SPY may initiate a new bullish rally.  You can read relevant research posts here: RECENT TRIGGERS IN THESE SECTORS SUGGEST US STOCK MARKETS MAY ENTER A RALLY PHASE and TECHNICAL TRADERS ARE USING THE BAN HOTLIST TRIGGERS WITH HUGE SUCCESS USING REGULAR ETFS, LEVERAGE ETFS, AND OPTIONS.

As we can see in the chart below, the Russell 2000 has been one of the top performers since just after the November 2020 elections. Originating a breakout trigger on November 3, near $43.46, and confirming a “New High Breakout” on November 9, near $51.37, the Russell 200 sector has been rallying very strongly over the past 60+ days. The current “New Price High” breakout suggests this rally may continue.  Fibonacci price extensions show a peak may target levels near $125~$130 – nearly 20%+ higher than current prices.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 28, 2021

Demand for Physical Bullion Surges – Will It Break Paper Markets? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: MoneyMetals

Last year felt like a pivot point in U.S. history. The pandemic and election left the nation ideologically divided.

There seem to be only three resolutions going forward.

America will face an increasingly authoritarian federal government ruling over a largely apathetic populace, the nation will splinter, or leadership will emerge which is somehow capable of bridging the ideological divide between the American left and the right.

Gold bugs aren’t betting on bridges being built any time soon. Demand for physical metal ratcheted up to a new all-time high in January.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, January 28, 2021

US Interest Rate Threshold Keeps Dropping / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

Initial Jobless claims totaled 900,000 for the week ending January 16th, after shedding 965,000 in the week prior. These numbers are over four times greater than they were a year ago. I find this to be not only sad but also remarkable in that we are still losing close to one million jobs per week a year after the Wuhan virus first broke out. More signs of economic stress were found in the December Retail Sales report. Sales dropped 0.7% last month, and the data for November was revised down to show a decline of 1.4%, instead of the 1.1% previously reported. Figures such as these illustrate just how fragile the economy still is, which will automatically put upward pressure on the level of outstanding debt. And, gives the new Administration impetus to pass more and bigger fiscal stimulus packages. That's really bad news for any of us left that still care about debt and deficits.
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Commodities

Thursday, January 28, 2021

After Recent Gold High - Where to Now? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2021

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold is suffering a hang-over after it’s early January highs, while the EUR/USD pair is buckling - so when gold declines, where will its bottom be?

After injecting itself with Janet Yellen’s stimulus sentiment, gold came down from its highs on Friday (Jan. 22).

And like the GDX ETF, it’s important to put gold’s recent run into context. For starters, gold is still trading below its August declining resistance line, it topped at its triangle-vertex-based reversal point (which I warned about previously ) and the yellow metal remains well-off its January highs.

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Economics

Thursday, January 28, 2021

Captain Biden now Piloting MMT Adventure / Economics / Coronavirus Depression

By: Richard_Mills

Gold may have come off the boil after rising above $1,900 an ounce in the aftermath of the US election, but the precious metal, and its sister silver, will do very well under a Biden presidency, an Ahead of the Herd analysis has found.

The main factors are drastically increased government spending, leading to even more unsustainable US debt levels than currently, along with rising inflation; dovish monetary policy as the Federal Reserve continues to advocate near 0% interest rates; and a sinking US dollar. Gold prices and the USD generally move in opposite directions.

Covid spending ‘out the wazoo’

Within the current structural bull market for gold, the antecedents of the next phase are in the spending promises of President-elect Joe Biden.

Biden, despite claiming otherwise, believes strongly in the power of the state to tax and spend, and will face overwhelming pressure from the left wing of the Democratic Party – supporters of hard-left progressives like Elizabeth Warren, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Bernie Sanders – to toe the party line. A long wish list waits to be filled, with little to no concern regarding the already out of control $28 billion national debt, courtesy of Modern Monetary Theory, or MMT.

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Economics

Thursday, January 28, 2021

China's Accelerated Economic Recovery Key to Global Growth / Economics / China Economy

By: Dan_Steinbock

Unlike other major economies, China has rebounded and its recovery is accelerating. It could fuel a third of global economic growth in 2021.

With the Spring Festival holidays just weeks away, recent resurgences of COVID-19 infections in Jilin province and Shijiazhuang, Hebei province have renewed concerns about sporadic outbreaks.

China’s public-health authorities believe a major outbreak of the novel coronavirus in the Chinese mainland is unlikely. The authorities have taken strong containment measures to rapidly identify, isolate and control potential outbreaks.

Nonetheless, despite the holidays, Chinese people have been urged to avoid travels, to keep the infection rate under control. Downside risks permit no complacency in the foreseeable future.

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Companies

Thursday, January 28, 2021

Technology & Energy Stocks Sectors Are Hot – Are You Missing Out? / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We have seen some really big moves in various S&P sectors over the past 60+ days and these trends look like they may continue for a while.  Near the end of 2020, in October and November, the markets seemed to stall a bit before the US elections, but they have really started to trend much higher over the past 60+ days.  Technology and Energy seem to be leading the charge in some respects. The most important thing for traders is to find decent breakout trends in stocks and sectors that have a real potential for strong continued trending.  When we find these types of longer-term trends, we can scale in and out of the typical up/down price trends, over time, to generate some incredible returns.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 27, 2021

Stock Market Investors’ Limitless Risk Appetite / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021

By: Troy_Bombardia

Investors are buying anything and everything in a manner that’s reminiscent of the 1990s. The best stocks to buy these days: money-losing tech companies. The more losses, the better because growth is the name of the game. In the 1990s, profits didn’t matter. All that mattered was “eyeballs” and user growth.

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Housing-Market

Wednesday, January 27, 2021

3 Dividend Paying Stocks to Ride the New Housing Boom / Housing-Market / Housing Stocks

By: Robert_Ross

Dear Reader,

The Cleveland Browns are playing in the postseason for the first time since 2002. But this almost didn't happen because of a COVID-19 outbreak at their training facility.

The Browns didn't miss a moment of practice time. Rather than hit the field, players and coaches huddled over Zoom (ZM). And they went on to win their matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers that made this 17-years-in-the-making victory possible.

Even if the Browns don't make it to the Super Bowl on February 7, their MVP moves will go down in history as a sign of these unusual times.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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