Thursday, June 04, 2020
Comparing Bitcoin to Other Market Sectors – Risk vs. Value / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Quite a few traders have been discussing the recent rally of Bitcoin to recently breach the $10,000 level on May 7, 2020. This psychological price level is a major milestone for Bitcoin – even though the price has fallen into an extended Flag/Pennant formation since reaching the recent peak. Many traders and speculators are expecting Bitcoin to rally alongside the precious metals sector as there appears to be a strong belief that Bitcoin aligns with precious metals well. Our researchers attempted to put this assumption into a simple test and this is what we found.
Bitcoin appears to be similarly volatile in comparison to precious metals, although the overall trending of Bitcoin has been moderately lower since the peak levels in February 2020 whereas the Gold/Silver sectors have seen advancing price activity over the same span of time. Precious metals rallied much quicker after the bottom near March 2020 whereas Bitcoin didn’t really begin to rally until late April 2020. Because of this disconnect in price association, we don’t believe Bitcoin is aligned with the precious metals segment.
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Wednesday, June 03, 2020
Covid, Debt and Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Richard_Mills
Precious metals are loving the uncertainty the coronavirus has created.
Despite limited successes some countries have had with reopening, the virus is nowhere near contained. As of this writing, close to 6 million worldwide are infected and 365,328 have died. The important columns in the table below from the heavily visited Worldometer's coronavirus page, are the yellow and red.
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Wednesday, June 03, 2020
Gold-Silver Ratio And Correlation / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Kelsey_Williams
From Investopedia:
“Correlation is a statistic that measures the degree to which two variables move in relation to each other. Correlation measures association, but doesn’t show if x causes y or vice versa, or if the association is caused by a third–perhaps unseen–factor.”
In order for correlation to exist, there must be fundamentals that directly connect the two items being compared.
For example, there is a possible correlation between localized, bad weather and crop failures. But how do you predict the timing and extent, or the effects, to a degree that can be profitable?
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Wednesday, June 03, 2020
The Corona Riots Begin, US Covid-19 Catastrophe Trend Analysis / Politics / US Politics
By: Nadeem_Walayat
President Trump recently successfully bullshitted the gullible mainstream media into believing that he was self medicating on the anti malaria Hydrosychloroquine, that includes side effects such as paranoia, delirium and herat attacks, so unlike Vitamin D, definitely not to be taken on a whim, bur rather after considering the evidence in its favour of actually working to combat a coronavirus infection for which there is a building case against as previous tweets by nut jobs have been exposed as being BS.
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Wednesday, June 03, 2020
Stock Market Short-term Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
SPX: Long-term trend – We are in an official bear market
Intermediate trend – Concluding initial rally in a downtrend.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Wednesday, June 03, 2020
Deflation: Why the "Japanification" of the U.S. Looms Large / Economics / Deflation
By: EWI
The U.S. faces the prospect of a Japan-like deflation.
Let's begin with a brief review of Japan.
Here's a chart and commentary from the 2020 edition of Robert Prechter's Conquer the Crash:
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Wednesday, June 03, 2020
US Stock Market Sets Up Technical Patterns – Pay Attention / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The recent “melt-up” in the US stock market after a moderate downside price move in early May 2020 has set up a number of technical patterns that traders need to pay attention to. This melt-up trend may continue for a bit longer, but price levels and actions are beginning to set up very clear patterns that warn of potential weakness in the future.
First, no matter how we attempt to spin the data, the US economy is very likely to fall into a moderate recession after the COVID-19 virus event has created a world-wide economic event and the recent riots and protests all across the US continue to disrupt and destroy property, businesses, and other assets.
It is almost like a one-two-three series of punches leading to a TKO. We have the virus event, the stay-at-home orders, and now the riots and protests. Recently, the National Guard has been called out to support local law enforcement and to protect people and properties. From our perspective, the situation is very far away from stable economic activity/growth supporting current stock price activity/levels.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2020
UK Corona Catastrophe Trend Analysis / Politics / Pandemic
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The devastating consequences of the chinese Coronavirus catastrophe continues in terms of lives lost and severe economic contraction, which given who it's effecting and to what extent (the West) has all the hallmarks of being a bio-weapon that has in large part been engineered to target western population groups to a greater extent but which through negligence prematurely leaked out of the Wuhan bio lab and then proceeded to go on the rampage across world aided by infected Chinese travelers allowed to travel internationally whilst domestic flights out of Wuhan were suspended.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2020
US Real Estate Stats Show Big Wave Of Refinancing Is Coming / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Current data released for the May Real Estate and Consumer Spending activity suggests a wave of refinancing is taking place – and not much else. Pending home sales slipped to 69. That level is 7.4 points below the lowest level in 2010 – at the height of the 2008-09 credit crisis that collapsed the global Real Estate values. How big is this new low level in Pending home sales? It’s HUGE.
It suggests the rate of sales in the US for Real Estate has collapsed beyond levels that were seen at the worst possible time in recent history (July 2010). In fact, over the past 20 years, there has never been a time when the pending home sales index has collapsed below 74 to 75 – until today.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2020
Let’s Make Sure This Crisis Doesn’t Go to Waste / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: John_Mauldin
A stock market crash wasn’t 1929’s only big event. Coca-Cola (KO) launched a new slogan: “The Pause That Refreshes.”
Coke’s marketers sensed the economy was headed down. How do you sell a completely unnecessary beverage to a struggling country? It’s simple, really: You remind consumers that treating themselves is important, too.
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Tuesday, June 02, 2020
Silver and Gold: Balancing More Than 100 Years Of Debt Abuse / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Hubert_Moolman
Since the creation of the Federal Reserve in 1913, the stock market has outperformed Gold and Silver significantly. Here is a great chart (from longtermtrends.net) that proves this:
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Tuesday, June 02, 2020
The importance of effective website design in a business marketing strategy / Companies / SME
By: Submissions
If you are starting a new business, or managing an existing one, you have most likely thought about creating a website. Or, you may already have one for your business, and will also probably already be aware of the effects some simple website design can have on your business’ success.
Having an effective marketing strategy will obviously increase the chance of your business becoming successful. Effective marketing is what will lead to more sales and increased revenue, and thus the growth of your business. However, there is one key element that should be part of your marketing strategy, and that is effective website design.
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Monday, June 01, 2020
AI Mega-trend Tech Stocks Buying Levels Q2 2020 / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Perceiving Coronavirus as a Disruptive Technology
The 'scientists' say that viruses are not alive. We'll for something that's 'technically' not alive it sure does behave like it is! Perhaps just as scientists will deem AI to be 'not alive' all the way until they take all of the jobs.
So lets leave the academic world behind, for their moronic obsession's has gotten us into this mess, certainties of solutions adopted by the likes of the UK and US to achieve 'herd immunity' when commonsense would have served our nations far better that of isolating and quarantining all those even suspected of being infected! Such as every flight entering the UK from virus infested China during January and February.
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Monday, June 01, 2020
M2 Velocity Collapses – Could A Bottom In Capital Velocity Be Setting Up? / Interest-Rates / Money Supply
By: Chris_Vermeulen
M2 Velocity is the measurement of capital circulating within the economy. The faster capital circulates within the economy, the more that capital is being deployed within the economy to create output and opportunities for economic growth. When M2 Velocity contracts, capital is being deployed in investments or assets that prevent that capital from further circulation within the economy – thus preventing further output and opportunity growth features.
The decline in M2 Velocity over the past 10+ years has been dramatic and consistent with the dramatic new zero US Federal Reserve interest rates initiated since just after the 2008 credit crisis market collapse. It appears to our researchers that these extended periods of zero interest rates deflate the capability of money circulating throughout the economy and engaging in real growth opportunities for investment and capital inflation.
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Monday, June 01, 2020
The Inflation–Deflation Conundrum / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger considers what the post-pandemic world could look like in the aftermath of central bank actions. As I sit here on the shores of lovely Lake Scugog, its weed-infested waters lying in wait for countless unsuspecting propellers soon to be ensnared, I am reminded of the failed world of central banking and policy initiatives, which too has become ensnared in flora of its own making—a floating algae bloom of debt, deception and intervention.
Following this metaphor apropos, there is nary a dock with twenty miles of Port Perry that is navigable without encountering an impassable wall of goose droppings. Being Canada's favorite bird, these creatures are the height of ornithological fecal incontinence. Sadly, as a "protected species," citizens are prohibited from causing them not only any harm, but also inconvenience (as in shooing them off your property), resulting in spoiled lawns and malodorous decks and gazebos. When I see a flock of these flying manure sacks about to land on the lake, I am once again reminded of politics, where unelected officials are paid to engineer policies of unknown outcome and uncertain consequence, but where the result will be despoiled surroundings, economic disaster and odors of the foulest origin.
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Monday, June 01, 2020
AMD 3900XT, 3800XT, 3600XT Refresh Means Zen 3 4000 AMD CPU's Delayed for 5nm Until 2021? / Personal_Finance / Computing
By: HGR
AMD has leaked specs on 3 new desktop processors to be released as early as Mid June, which are refreshes for 3 Ryzen 3000 series cpus featuring higher clock speeds for the 3900x that becomes the 3900XT, 3800x becomes the 3800XT and so on for the 3600XT at the same price as existing processors, so the X variants will drop in price.
These chips are a bit of a surprise because everyone's been eagerly waiting for the fourth gen Zen 3 desktop processors to start appearing from August or September, which hopefully will also include a 4950x
So why release Zen 2 XT' refresh? We'll it appears to be to put the gaming CPU nail in Intel's 10th gen Comet late coffin. Intel's 10,900k and 10,700k processors that the XT will seek to displace from their gaming number 1 spots..
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Monday, June 01, 2020
Why Multi-Asset Brokers Like TRADE.com are the Future of Trading? / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: Justin_Weinger
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Saturday, May 30, 2020
Will Fed‘s Cap On Interest Rates Trigger Gold’s Rally? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Last week, the FOMC released the minutes from its last meeting. What implications do they carry for the gold market?FOMC Finally Acknowledges the Situation As Serious
Last week, the FOMC has published minutes of its meeting from April 28-29. They show that the Fed reassessed the coronavirus economic implications since the previous meeting at which the central banks did not yet grasp the full gravity of the situation. This time, they acknowledged that “the second quarter would likely see overall economic activity decline at an unprecedented rate.” Indeed, as we reported many times, the GDP will collapse, while the unemployment rate will soar to the levels not seen since the Great Depression.
Friday, May 29, 2020
Is Stock Market Setting Up for a Blow-Off Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team has become increasingly concerned that the US Fed support for the markets has pushed price levels well above true valuation levels and that a risk of a downside price move is still rather high. Recently, we published a research article highlighting our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system results showing the US stock market was 12% to 15% overvalued based on our ADL results. Today, Tuesday, May 26, the markets opened much higher which extends that true valuation gap.
We understand that everyone expects the markets to go back to where they were before the COVID-19 virus event happened – and that is likely going to happen over time. Our research team believes the disruption of the global economy over the past 70+ days will result in a very difficult Q2: 2020 and some very big downside numbers. Globally, we believe the disruption to the consumer and services sector has been strong enough to really disrupt forward expectations and earnings capabilities. We’ve been warning our friends and followers to be very cautious of this upside price trend as the Fed is driving prices higher while the foundations of the global economy (consumers, services, goods, and retail) continue to crumble away.
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Friday, May 29, 2020
Strong Signs In The Mobile Gaming Market / Companies / Gambling
By: Submissions
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