Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, October 19, 2015
Crude Oil Market Showdown: Can Russia Outlast The Saudis? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
"Two men enter, one man leaves, two men enter, one man leaves, two men enter..." -
Mad Max: Beyond Thunderdome November 27, oil consuming countries will celebrate the first anniversary of the Saudi decision to let market forces determine prices. This decision set crude prices on a downward path. Subsequently, to defend market share, the Saudis increased production, which exacerbated market oversupply and further pressured prices.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
Gold Shows Strength as Debt Ceiling Showdown Approaches / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
Stefan Gleason writes: Gold and silver markets enter this week on improved technical footing. The precious metals each rallied above resistance levels last week as disappointing economic data stimulated safe-haven buying.
Silver cleared the $16.00 level, while gold poked above its 200-day moving average for the first time in five months on Wednesday. And prices closed Friday right at the 200-day line and remain there this morning.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
LBMA Looks to Modernise Gold Trading / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Change is brewing in London as the the LBMA – the association that oversees the world’s largest gold market – is looking at how best to modernise and improve over-the-counter gold trading.
As members of the world’s gold industry meet this week at the LBMA’s annual conference in Vienna, their proposals are being sought on how to bring the gold trading in London up to date.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
Gold New Bull Market a False Dawn? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
Gold's cheerleaders are at it again, jumping up and down with excitement as they proclaim the birth of a new bullmarket, and herding their flocks into the sector, when they have barely recovered from the last fleecing.
There are 3 factors that we are going to look at which suggest that this latest rally is just another false dawn. One is the unbroken downtrends in gold and silver, the next is the unfavorable alignment of their moving averages, and finally their latest COTs, which call for caution - especially silver's which is downright bearish.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
Silver Bugs Premature Celebrations? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
Silverbugs have been getting worked up this month about the possibility of a new bull market in their favorite white metal, due to its sharp rally in the early days of the month, but as we will see in this update, the long-term charts and latest COTs reveal that there is little real cause for celebration - on the contrary, we should beware of an imminent downturn in silver and more than that, position ourselves to capitalize on it.
Sunday, October 18, 2015
Now is the Time to Short Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Submissions
Tony Mermer writes: Gold's recent rally has convinced many investors and traders that the precious metals bear market is over. I disagree. Since I believe that the gold and silver bear markets are not over, the recent rally is merely a rally within this bear market. This rally is probably over, so here's why now is the time to short gold and silver.
Saturday, October 17, 2015
Shanghai Gold Exchange Withdrawals Running at Record Pace / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jesse
Withdrawals of gold from the Shanghai Exchange alone are at 1,958 tonnes for the year. The first chart below compares that pace to the prior years.
As I noted the other day, the mispricing of value and risk in the gold market, primarily driven by traders in London and New York, is calling a form of Gresham's Law into action.
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Saturday, October 17, 2015
Gold Price Retracement / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Savage
At 12 weeks gold has probably produced it's first right translated intermediate cycle in almost 3 years. But after 2 big up weeks in a row and a test of the 50 WMA it would mot be unusual for gold to back off and regroup for a week or two before breaking through that resistance.
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Saturday, October 17, 2015
Gold And Silver - Obama Is Bullish for Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
Obama is ultimately bullish for gold and silver. His erratic and often incompetent decision-making can only cause both PMs to rally. Here is part of the reason why:
Russia's entry into the Syrian conflict to fight real terrorists is as much a side-show as it is a pivotal power play and game changer for Putin in the Middle East [ME]. We continue to report on this for diametrically opposed reasons. It puts a glaring focus on Obama's political inabilities, similar to watching a satirical comedy sketch, while at the same time, there is the potential for WWIII, mostly due to the instability of US policies. This is a tragicomedy unfolding before us on the world's stage.
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Gold and Silver Price Test Initial Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The precious metals sector, after failing to breakdown has enjoyed a strong rally in recent weeks. Gold, Silver and junior gold miners (GDXJ) have reached their 200-day moving averages with senior miners (GDX) close behind. While this is a positive development it does not yet signal that the sector is embarking on a new bull market trend. There are a few things to keep an eye on over the days and weeks to come that can help us determine if a new bull market is taking shape.
Friday, October 16, 2015
Radical Gold Stocks Underinvestment / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Despite gold blasting higher this month, this metal remains deeply out of favor among investors. They have shunned it for years thanks to extreme central-bank money printing levitating stock markets. This slayed demand for alternative investments, led by gold. But the resulting radical underinvestment in gold today is super-bullish. Vast capital inflows will be necessary to return gold investment to normal levels.
It’s impossible to overstate just how much gold is hated these days. Investors’ opinions on it range from total apathy to fervently believing gold is the worst investment on Earth. You can easily test this out in your own social circles. The next time the markets or investing come up, ask if gold is now a good buy. Everyone will say no, usually emphatically. And if you advocate for gold, they’ll think you’re naive or stupid.
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Silver Price Green Light / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Silver looks like it has bottomed and will move substantially higher. Why?
Long Term – 25+ years: Examine the silver to gold ratio since 1990. The ratio is currently low and appears to have bottomed. Silver bottoms when the ratio bottoms. Expect a multi-year rally.
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Gold's Inflection Point and Asset Allocation with Butler and O'Byrne / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
- Gold’s Outlook For Year End 2015 and In 2016
- Gold’s Performance in the Coming Years: 2016-2020
- Coming Global Currency Reset
- Asset Allocation – How Much Gold?
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Gold Stocks: Different This Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
The title does not include a (?) after it and that is for a reason. The gold sector’s fundamentals, both sector-specific and macro, are improving and this was not the case during the last exciting upturn in the sector circa summer 2014.
Back then, everything from Russia’s move into Ukraine to the Ebola scare were imagined to be sound drivers of the gold price. This stuff proved, as expected, to be wrong when the whole complex made new lows in November of 2014 (prior to this year’s ultimate lows).
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Gold Holdings in GLD ETF Continue to Climb / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
A quick update on GLD for the readers and by request…
GLD reported another nice build in reported gold holdings today – about 5 tons. That comes on the heels of a nice increase the previous day of some 7+ tons.
Since October 1, gold holdings have climbed from 689.2 tons to 700 tons. While not a huge build, nonetheless, this is what one wants to see if the gold price is moving higher as it shows investment demand from Western-based investors.
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Gold Companies That Create Extra Value Will Always Reward Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: The_Gold_Report
Even in the worst resource market in history, companies with good management teams can increase in value. In this interview with The Gold Report, U.S. Global Investors CEO Frank Holmes talks about whether this is the right time to get back into gold, and Portfolio Manager Ralph Aldis reports on the performance of companies in the portfolio and shares some of the names in Australia that have done so well he almost feels guilty about how easy it is to make money off them.
The Gold Report: A number of thought leaders in the larger investing community have come out lately in favor of gold. How do you know it is time to move into the resource?
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Thursday, October 15, 2015
How to Profit From America’s Growing Natural Gas Reserves / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: Investment_U
David Fessler writes: Once every two years, a little-known committee conducts a very important study. The Potential Gas Committee (PGC) estimates how much natural gas we can recover from U.S. deposits.
Currently, the U.S. uses 26.7 trillion cubic feet (tcf) each year. That’s a lot of gas. Fortunately, the PGC’s 2014 year-end estimate for recoverable gas is 2,515 tcf... or 2.5 quadrillion cubic feet.
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Thursday, October 15, 2015
Are The Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) On The Verge of a Major Breakout at $23? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Jeb_Handwerger
Junior gold miners may be on the verge of a major breakout past three month highs after The Federal Reserve continues to push back interest rate increases. There is a stealth rally underway for junior miners as gold tests resistance after bouncing off its lows in late July. Investors appear to be rotating from the Dow into precious metals as investors may be anticipating even greater easing efforts globally due to China's recent weakness and Yuan devaluation. This could continue to push precious metals, the large miners such as Barrick Gold (NYSE:ABX) and mid-tiers such as Alamos Gold (NYSE:AGI) higher. The fear of rate increases that pushed precious metals down is decreasing. The recent rally in precious metals and junior miners may be just beginning as I expect to see increased mergers and acquisitions off of these depressed low prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 15, 2015
Gold Surprise / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Bob_Loukas
The surprises are going to the upside for gold, and that is obviously a change in behavior. The miners are roaring higher and are outside of their Bollinger Bands for multiple days, a sure sign of strength. Up until very recently, the Investor Cycle had showed us relatively little to get excited about. But suddenly, eleven weeks into the Cycle and right where you would have expected it to turn lower, gold has found yet another gear.
Thursday, October 15, 2015
Silver Prices and Technical Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
We started this series “shallow and wide” on the subject of what's really determining the silver price…
What are the factors, the most influential factors right now? Last week we covered high-frequency trading and algorithm trading in association with the future's market. This week we're going to kind of go on a second factor, which is silver prices and technical analysis.
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