Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Energy and Resources Boom Investing / Commodities / Resources Investing
Commodity returns vary wildly, as experienced resource investors can attest and our popular periodic table illustrates. This inherent volatility can spell opportunity for the nimble investor who can look past the mainstream headlines to identify hot spots. Our global resources expert, Brian Hicks, CFA, identified four we believe are revved up for a resources boom.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
BoE Tells RBA: Don't Release Gold Bar Details (FOI Request) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Bullion Baron writes: Two months ago I wrote a Freedom of Information (FOI) request to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Here is the crux of my email:
This is a request under the Freedom of Information Act.
I request that a copy of the following documents [or documents containing the following information] be provided to me: An inventory (bar) list forming the 80 tonnes official Gold reserves (stored with the Bank of England), including details which identify the individual bars by refiner, weight, finesse, serial number and any other identification recorded for audit purposes.
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Tuesday, April 01, 2014
Global Gold Manipulation Update - MAP Wave Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
This commodity is perhaps the most misunderstood and has the most disinformation spread (with the possible exception of silver).
The most common misconceptions are possibly;
1 - Gold is "real money" - This shows a total lack of understanding of what money actually is, and what gives it value!
Money simply is a medium of exchange where users have confidence that it will retain value and be universally accepted for the exchange of goods and services.
Monday, March 31, 2014
Gold Price Looking For Short Term Support / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
{{8830|Gold}} is bearish for two weeks now and very slow beneath 1300 level, so we suspect that market is still in wave (a) and that current sideways price action is red wave iv) as part of a bearish impulse, so we are looking down in fifth for the start of this week. 1270/1280 level could be seen before market turns up for a three wave rally in wave (b). Short-term critical resistance is at 1319.
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Monday, March 31, 2014
Chinese Shadow Banking and Commodities / Commodities / China Credit Crisis
The story that commodities are at the centre of China's shadow banking system has gained prominence in recent weeks. No firm evidence has been presented to confirm the scale of these activities, bearing in mind China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) clamped down on these activities last May (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-05-23/china-rule-changes-may-halt-copper-financing-deals-goldman-says.html).
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Monday, March 31, 2014
How to Profit from Palladium Huge Price Surge… / Commodities / Palladium
Peter Krauth writes: we last checked in on palladium, the precious metal so critical to the consumer electronics we use hundreds of times a day.
At the time I said I was bullish for a number of market reasons.
As it turns out, there were even more...
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Monday, March 31, 2014
Central Banks Add To Gold Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The correction in the gold price continued this week, falling another $40 to a low of $1290 yesterday. In all, gold has retraced nearly half this year's rise and silver has retraced most of its rise since end-January, with the gold/silver ratio increasing to over 65 times. However, this disappointing performance for precious metals masks some strong undercurrents in gold.
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Sunday, March 30, 2014
Commodities Another Leg Up with Gold Setup for a Final Takedown / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
As most of you know by now I believe we are going to see a big surge in inflation this year. As I've noted in my previous articles the first leg up in the CRB has run its course and broken the 3 year down trend that's been in place since 2011. I think it's time for the second leg up in that inflation.
The two-week dip in the CRB has cleared the overbought conditions from the initial surge and I think we will now get one more push to test that 2012 high before commodities experience a more significant pullback this summer that sets up the big inflationary spike that I am anticipating to occur during the second half of the year.
Sunday, March 30, 2014
Gold and Silver - Here Comes April / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
"It was possible, no doubt, to imagine a society in which wealth, in the sense of personal possessions and luxuries, should be evenly distributed, while power remained in the hands of a small privileged caste.
But in practice such a society could not remain stable. For if leisure and security were enjoyed by all alike, the great mass of human beings who are normally stupified by poverty would become literate and would learn to think for themselves; and when once they had done this, they would sooner or later realise that the privileged minority had no function, and they would sweep it away.
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Saturday, March 29, 2014
Gold And Silver ARE Money! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Almost all who read our commentaries know that we place the greatest importance on reading the developing market activity, as best seen in charts, in order to have the closest pulse on what is going on in the market[s]. The reason is because the activity found in price and volume behavior reflects the decisions of all market participants.
Smart money leads, the rest follow. What constitutes smart money? Those with the most knowledge and deepest pockets that control what goes on. In the US stock market, it used to be institutional money that drove stocks. For the past few years, it has been the Federal Reserve, through Permanent Open Market Operations, [POMO], and the all of the QEs that have unsustainably propped up stocks.
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Friday, March 28, 2014
Study Will Show That Gold Is Being Manipulated on the Comex / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
"If I were running the manipulation I would be embarrassed at this point, it is so blatant...The regulators have been asleep at the switch." Jim Rickards
As an aside, and in case you wondered, I do not take Rickards at face value. I sift what he says, carefully. And that is enough said about that, except that it is good advice in general especially when it comes to money and investments.
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Friday, March 28, 2014
Gold Mid-Tier Stocks Set for Growth / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
In 2014 B2Gold is targeting gold production of 410k ounces from three different mines. This would be record output for this new mid-tier, a whopping 159% increase in volume over just a couple years ago. And with its fourth mine on schedule to pour its first gold in Q4, B2Gold is looking at an annual production rate of 550k+ ounces by this time next year.
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Friday, March 28, 2014
The Accidental End to Silver Price Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
It should be clear now to most precious metals observers that gold and silver price manipulation is just as common to the metals as it is to every other asset class. And equally evident should be the realization that resolution will not come from organized efforts. Be it regulation or legal class action, market forces will more than likely assert themselves.
With silver (and gold to less of a degree), it's strictly "look the other way" from a regulatory stand point. The greater market and public don’t seem to care, and are not at all aware that they should.
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Friday, March 28, 2014
Golden Opportunity Coming in Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Silver has been in a bear market for almost three years and the recent lack of strength suggests the metal could be headed for new lows. New lows are always bearish until the last one. Our technical work suggests that we should watch for a final low and end to the bear market in the coming months.
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Friday, March 28, 2014
Silver Prices Heading Lower As the Bears Tighten Their Grip / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Every picture tells a story and silver’s story is not a pretty one as the above chart clearly depicts.
I’m not convinced that the June low was the final low for this prolonged bear period that currently exists within this precious metals bull market. A final capitulation could be on the cards and arrive sometime this summer, maybe May/June time.
Thursday, March 27, 2014
Gold and Silver Go From Bearish to More Bearish / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Briefly: In our opinion short speculative positions in gold (half), silver (half) and mining stocks (full) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The decline in the precious metals sector continues, as indicated in the previous alerts. Gold, silver and mining stocks have declined once again and appear to be headed lower also today. Did yesterday’s price action change anything? Let’s take a look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com). Today we will start with silver and mining stocks.
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Global Risks Creating Opportunities in This Precious Metal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
George Leong writes: While the stock market has been struggling this year, under the radar, gold has been moving higher.
The tense stand-off in Crimea is clearly adding some support to gold, as an outbreak there could drive the precious metal much higher in the short term.
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Two More Reasons to Be Bullish on Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Mohammad Zulfiqar writes: Earlier in the year, gold bullion prices were going higher, and we heard the skeptics say, “They will decline. Don’t buy the precious metal; it’s useless.” They turned out to be very wrong. Now, gold bullion prices are seeing a minute pullback. With this, we are once again hearing the same thing: ditch gold and buy something else has become the mantra.
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Thursday, March 27, 2014
Gold and Silver Prices Testing Critical Technical Support Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Gold and silver are testing key technical support levels this week. Some analysts have already flipped their outlook to bearish over the past few days, but I believe the uptrend remains intact as long as current support levels are not breached.
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Wednesday, March 26, 2014
April Fools’ drop dead date for the Volcker Rule – what it might mean for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
It could get to be interesting as we move into the end of the month. The Volcker Rule which limits banks’ speculative investments (including gold) goes into effect April 1, 2014. There has probably already been quite a bit of adjustment to bank portfolios, but those who have held out will need to make their moves before the deadline.
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