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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 09, 2024

Stocks: What This "Record Extreme" Indicator May Be Signaling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: EWI


"The total easily exceeds the prior net long extreme"

When most everyone agrees on the future trend of a market, it's almost guaranteed that the market will go in the other direction -- sooner rather than later.

The reason why is that there is no one left to convince, hence, the market in question will likely have difficulty going in the predicted direction.

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InvestorEducation

Saturday, March 09, 2024

My 3 Favorite Trade Setups - Elliott Wave Course / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

Dear reader,

You want to turn Elliott wave theory into a practical trading tool -- right?

Of course you do!

Our friends at Elliott Wave International have a new resource to help you do just that.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 04, 2024

Bitcoin Crypto Bubble Mania! / Stock-Markets / cryptocurrency

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

It's your lucky day! you get access to my latest market brief posted to patrons this morning.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 01, 2024

INFLATION and the Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

The crypto bull market is under way! For just $5 bucks you could have accumulated Bitcoin at $27k instead of at the current price of $62k. Still not to late to captialise on the great crypto bull market of 2024! Last Chance to Get on Board the Bitcoin Crypto Gravy Train - Choo Choo!

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 01, 2024

Stocks and Inverted Yield Curve / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Yield curve now inverted for 21 months so where's the recession? An inverted yield curve is supposed to predict an recession, however as I pointed out months ago for why I was accumulating long-bonds is that the US Treasury NEEDS LOWER long-term interest rates for it's flood of debt issuance during 2024, it does not want to pay 5% interest on this debt that continues to inflate the debt interest spiral. So the Fed will engineer LOWER long term yields whilst maintaining higher short-term rates so as to continue to suppress INFLATION! Which is what has come to pass, long rates are now 1% lower whilst the Fed fund rate remains at 5.25%.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 01, 2024

US Interest Rates - When WIll the Fed Pivot / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The current Fed Funds rate is 5.25% with he market expectations for the cuts to commence March 2023, though the market has been wrong for the whole of 2023 when Fed rate cuts were always seen as starting some 6 months into the future! In reality it does not matter when the Fed cuts rates because the Fed FOLLOWS the market rates not sets them. And the market rates as evidenced by bond yields has been falling for the past few months.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 29, 2024

S&P Stock Market Real Earnings Yield / Stock-Markets / Earnings

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Here's another indicator to pile on top of a mountain of indicators that I have been covering over the years that spiked lower below 0 into 2022 before bouncing. during 2023. Of note is the fact that every spike below zero is accompanied by a recession. So where's the recession? Answer it HAPPENED during 2022! It's just that the econofools had talked themselves out of recognising the fact that a recession had taken place.

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Economics

Thursday, February 29, 2024

US Unemployment is a Fake Statistic / Economics / Unemployment

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst everyone focuses on the unemployment rate as a gauge for economic activity, however the statistic has been engineered to the extent to become meaningless as shadow stats illustrates.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 29, 2024

U.S. financial market’s “Weimar phase” impact to your fiat and digital assets  / Stock-Markets / HyperInflation

By: Raymond_Matison

U.S. equities market was strong in 2023, and after a decline in 2022, rose by 20% last year as measured by the S&P 500 Index.  In addition, that index rose above 5,000 for the first time ever in the early part of the 2024 year.  Surely, it must be because our economy is strong - as key government officials including our president have assured us.  Or maybe not?!   You can decide for yourself as key issues are evaluated

herein.  We will compare our current equity market performance with a period 100 years ago with its implications for our future financial markets.  We will look at the concept of self-custody for assets from gold to bank money deposits, to a securities stock and bond account and the custody of digital assets.  We examine how America’s proxy war efforts are affecting our budget deficit, and the dire need for additional debt/money issueance promoting product price inflation, and asset inflation.  We examine America’s profligate spending challenging a growing BRICS coalition promoting global de-dollarization, and its effects on our fiat currency’s value, alternative currencies and implications for adoption and value of Web 3 digital assets.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 29, 2024

What a Breakdown in Silver Mining Stocks! What an Opportunity! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks 2024

By: P_Radomski_CFA

GDXJ declined once again yesterday, but the situation in silver juniors is even worse!

Silver Juniors in Trouble

Yes, it is possible for a market to be in an even worse position than gold junior mining stocks – that’s the case with silver juniors.

To be precise, the GDXJ aims to be exposed to about 80% gold juniors and 20% of silver juniors, but the SILJ ETF aims to be exposed to just silver miners, with the focus on junior miners.

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Politics

Thursday, February 29, 2024

Why AI will Soon become SA - Synthetic Intelligence - The Machine Learning Megatrend / Politics / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Is Artificial the right word to use for what is taking place as we enter 2024?

Artificial - made or produced by human beings rather than occurring naturally, especially as a copy of something natural.

Neural networks are a black box, they are not a copy of something natural i.e. are an emergent property, a different form of intelligence, in the past I've called this Alien Intelligence but that is a bit Sci-fi sounding, maybe a better word that could eventually become widespread should be Synthetic Intelligence since it is a form of intelligence and not artificial i.e. the intelligence is real, but different to human intelligence.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 19, 2024

Keep Calm and Carry on Buying Quantum AI Tech Stocks / Stock-Markets / Investing 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My focus for much of 2023 was to what degree one would get lucky in ones target stocks during the year, as it can be a case of playing with fire to heavily trim ones holdings, especially the primary and secondary AI tech stocks, all because one thinks one can then rebuy on the next dip. In which respect 2023 proved to be a great year because we got lucky TWICE during the year! Firstly March's correction to S&P 3800, can you imagine that the S&P traded down to 3800 in March! And then again following the July high of 4600 all the way down to 4100! Which even I had started to give up on happening given support at 4200.

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Politics

Saturday, February 17, 2024

How to Profit from the Global Warming ClImate Change Mega Death Trend - Part1 / Politics / Climate Change

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

Firstly I'm a climate change denier!

I deny the right of climate change to prevent me from getting richer! Large swathes of planet may become a scorched earth but I will be more than able to afford top end AC units, climate suits and indoor grown crops and meat to ensure it's impact on oneself and ones patrons proves to be limited, 10c for 10x!

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Economics

Saturday, February 17, 2024

Why Rising Shipping Costs Won't Cause Inflation / Economics / Global Economy

By: MoneyMetals

Defining inflation as "rising prices" creates all kinds of confusion.

As I explained in-depth, historically, inflation meant an increase in the amount of money and credit in the economy, or more succinctly, an expansion in the money supply. Rising consumer prices - price inflation - is one symptom of this monetary inflation. 

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InvestorEducation

Saturday, February 17, 2024

Intensive 6 Week Stock Market Elliott Wave Training Course / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Dear Reader,

The first live session for Parallax Trading's 6-week intensive trading course, The Parallax Way Group Trading Course, takes place on Monday, February 26.

To help you decide if the course is right for you, Elliott Wave International's Vadim Pokhlebkin hosted a webinar with Parallax Trading founder Imre Gams in October 2023.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, February 17, 2024

INFLATION and the Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: Nadeem_Walayat

US CP LIE Inflation has been moderating, largely due to the base effect as surge in inflation a year ago leaves the annual inflation indices thus giving the illusion of inflation being under control hence the focus of econofools. Whilst there is also real world impact of weak European and Chinese economies, that and the effect of base rate rises feeding through should continue to put downward pressure on CPI until at least release of Feb data in March 2024, after which inflation could tick higher to back over 3% for the rest of the year.

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Companies

Saturday, February 17, 2024

GameStop (GME): 88% Shellacking Yet No Lesson Learned / Companies / Investing 2024

By: EWI

"Every major peak gets cinematic treatment"

Back in early 2021, the meme stock craze was going strong.

As you'll recall that craze was all over the news and revolved around favorite stocks promoted by largely novice traders via social media. This January 27, 2021 New York Times news item sums up the frenzy surrounding one of those stocks:

'Dumb Money' Is on GameStop, and It's Beating Wall Street at Its Own Game

GameStop shares have soared 1,700 percent as millions of small investors, egged on by social media, employ a classic Wall Street tactic to put the squeeze -- on Wall Street.

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Housing-Market

Saturday, February 17, 2024

Nick Millican Explains Real Estate Investment in a Changing World / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Sumeet_Manhas

Real estate has long been considered the gold standard for investment, anchored by reliable returns and long-term stability. However, the world of real estate investment is constantly evolving, and successful investors must be able to adapt to the changing economic, technological, and environmental landscape to remain profitable. Nick Millican of Greycoat Real Estate has established himself as a recognized and trusted thought leader and advisor in the real estate market, particularly when it comes to large commercial properties and developments in central London.

Nick Millican’s work primarily involves acquiring, developing, and operating commercial properties. His company owns and manages a deeply diversified portfolio of assets, and his investment strategies have evolved significantly over the past several years in response to many multifaceted changes across the global economic, political, financial, and real estate worlds.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 07, 2024

US Stock Market Addicted to Deficit Spending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

Firstly my latest video explaining how I accumulate and distribute (Trim) stock positions to maximise profits

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, February 07, 2024

Stocks Bull Market Commands It All For Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2024

By: Avi_Gilburt

After writing publicly for over 13 years, I have come to notice that the landscape has very much changed. There were many through the years that have attempted to take me to task for my differing perspective on the market. Many simply could not understand how I am able to ignore exogenous factors, yet still be able to accurately identify turning points in the market while staying on the correct side of the market the great majority of the time.

When I look around now, many of them are no longer around. Yet, we are still here guiding investors through the turbulence of the various market machinations we have experienced over the last 13 years.

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